Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 17 January 2007 at 21:32:47 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 January 2007, Tottenham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    23   57  +36      89.14     4.74    58.23    89.28    99.25    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   51  +24      80.16     5.25    37.28     9.98    78.81    98.86    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   43  +19      71.61     5.38    31.45     0.51    12.34    83.80    98.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   42  +24      69.97     5.40    36.61     0.21     8.48    76.08    97.22     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          23   40   +6      63.91     5.41    10.76     0.01     0.69    23.29    80.51     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      61.45     5.60    17.17     0.00     0.43    14.21    68.03     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   32   +6      54.71     5.39     9.50     0.00     0.01     1.53    19.17     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       23   32   -3      52.41     5.60    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.55     9.29     0.07R    0.00  
Reading         23   31   +0      54.23     5.49     3.94     0.00     0.00     1.37    16.51     0.04R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   30   -6      47.20     5.30   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.27     0.50R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   29   -4      49.97     5.60    -3.41     0.00     0.00     0.17     4.34     0.20R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   28   -7      48.11     5.55   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.48     0.59R    0.01  
Fulham          23   28  -10      43.44     5.30   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.32     2.98R    0.04  
Middlesbrough   23   27   -4      45.11     5.33    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.73     1.50R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -4      46.37     5.48    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.22     1.04R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     23   24  -12      39.73     5.13   -20.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    12.38R    0.41  
Wigan           22   22  -13      41.15     5.70   -18.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     9.40R    0.39  
West_Ham        23   19  -21      30.05     4.55   -36.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.80R   20.02  
Charlton        23   16  -25      27.74     4.61   -42.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.85R   39.74  
Watford         21   12  -17      27.45     5.42   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.62R   39.38  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Stoke vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.62     6.35    33.43    55.88    75.94    97.77    81.70P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            28   53   +9      82.47     6.17    16.26    17.45    41.34    90.09    51.63P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   50  +13      80.36     6.29    21.55    11.51    30.03    83.16    42.86P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    28   46  +18      77.53     6.29    28.90     5.65    17.93    73.00    32.78P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   46  +12      75.35     6.22    19.65     3.04    10.40    58.38    21.60P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       28   44  +15      74.56     6.22    24.36     2.50     8.80    55.00    21.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            27   44  +14      75.29     6.38    22.04     3.13    10.96    58.84    25.56P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          28   43   +7      70.13     6.21    11.02     0.42     2.11    25.18     7.65P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       28   43   +5      68.39     6.18     5.86     0.17     0.93    17.11     4.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    28   43   -1      66.62     6.31    -1.91     0.10     0.46    11.12     2.59P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      28   40   +1      64.62     6.30     0.41     0.02     0.21     6.91     1.52P    0.11R    0.01  
Plymouth         28   39   +1      65.17     6.37     3.22     0.04     0.29     8.05     1.96P    0.07R    0.00  
Burnley          27   38   +4      65.76     6.53     6.73     0.10     0.54    10.28     2.96P    0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   37   +1      61.62     6.26     0.91     0.00     0.04     2.70     0.57P    0.42R    0.01  
Ipswich          28   35   -1      60.32     6.27    -0.28     0.00     0.02     1.79     0.39P    0.81R    0.04  
Coventry         28   34   -8      53.93     5.97   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    7.12R    0.24  
Norwich          28   34  -10      54.06     6.14   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P    8.03R    0.38  
Leicester        28   33   -8      54.85     6.06   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    5.46R    0.26  
Luton            28   31  -11      54.94     6.36   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    6.55R    0.49  
Queens_PR        28   30   -8      52.14     6.27   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.65R    1.07  
Hull             28   30  -10      50.60     5.98   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.80R    1.66  
Barnsley         28   26  -19      43.12     5.91   -32.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.30R   17.70  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.34     5.87   -38.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.93R   36.31  
Southend         28   24  -22      39.47     5.49   -36.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.67R   41.84  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 January 2007, Tranmere vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          28   51  +18      83.35     6.10    29.46    18.67    41.65    91.08    56.07P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   27   51  +11      83.78     6.51    21.21    20.72    42.42    90.06    53.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              27   49  +24      86.97     6.28    42.08    44.56    68.20    96.72    77.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        27   49  +11      78.91     6.49    17.02     6.46    17.01    71.85    28.43P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            28   45  +10      74.32     6.22    17.00     1.42     4.95    46.11    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              27   45  +10      74.47     6.47    15.51     1.69     5.62    46.52    15.47P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           27   44  +12      75.09     6.56    20.08     2.58     7.64    51.94    18.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea             27   43  +13      73.74     6.56    20.54     1.69     5.55    45.06    15.25P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           26   42  +11      74.62     6.71    18.78     2.19     6.76    48.73    18.57P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle            27   39   -3      63.41     6.55    -4.97     0.01     0.08     4.21     0.76P    0.84R    0.01  
Port_Vale           28   36   -4      60.39     6.30    -4.44     0.01     0.01     1.35     0.23P    2.60R    0.02  
Bradford            28   35   -1      58.99     6.30    -1.73     0.01     0.01     0.91     0.17P    3.79R    0.01  
Rotherham           27   34   +1      61.50     6.53     3.26     0.01     0.05     2.56     0.56P    1.70R    0.02  
Chesterfield        27   34   +0      60.51     6.57     1.10     0.00     0.02     1.70     0.34P    2.58R    0.02  
Huddersfield        28   34   -8      56.98     6.19   -10.99     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P    7.79R    0.06  
Gillingham          27   34  -13      55.30     6.39   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P   13.57R    0.24  
Crewe               27   32   -3      56.34     6.59    -6.27     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.08P    9.83R    0.14  
Northampton         27   32   -6      54.70     6.30    -9.66     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   13.34R    0.23  
Brighton            27   31   -8      52.11     6.38   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   26.25R    0.78  
Millwall            26   30   -6      52.43     6.58   -13.23     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   24.37R    0.60  
Leyton_Orient       27   28  -12      47.93     6.32   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    52.17R    2.83  
Bournemouth         28   28  -14      46.33     5.84   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.92R    4.17  
Cheltenham          28   25  -16      43.09     5.87   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.47R   12.38  
Brentford           28   22  -27      35.06     5.20   -45.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.78R   78.50  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 16 January 2007, Bury vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          27   59  +27      97.62     5.96    45.88    83.17    98.22   100.00    98.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     27   53  +14      85.77     6.51    24.00     6.88    60.21    98.27    70.47P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        28   52  +17      84.07     6.16    29.22     4.29    52.47    97.82    63.82P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    28   52  +14      83.76     6.27    26.32     4.01    49.24    97.12    60.77P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       28   51  +12      80.82     6.22    19.61     1.47    28.26    93.50    45.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          28   46   +8      74.96     6.30    14.43     0.14     7.18    73.02    24.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   39   +0      64.93     6.59     0.53     0.00     0.36    16.12     3.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport        27   38   +2      63.43     6.71     1.18     0.00     0.23    12.06     2.62P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County     27   38   +1      64.95     6.53     2.80     0.00     0.34    16.45     3.78P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   38   -2      64.80     6.71    -1.01     0.01     0.35    15.70     3.11P    0.04R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.26     6.56    24.00     0.03     2.98    53.68    17.89P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         27   37   -2      61.36     6.52    -4.03     0.00     0.04     6.39     1.31P    0.12R    0.02  
Barnet           27   37   -5      59.41     6.30   -10.95     0.00     0.03     3.35     0.57P    0.34R    0.04  
Chester          27   36   +0      61.38     6.57    -0.73     0.00     0.04     6.96     1.51P    0.17R    0.03  
Bury             27   35   +0      59.88     6.47    -1.57     0.00     0.03     4.82     0.99P    0.37R    0.02  
Darlington       27   34   -3      58.73     6.52    -4.72     0.00     0.01     3.15     0.57P    0.60R    0.11  
Mansfield        26   30   -5      55.71     6.69    -8.09     0.00     0.01     1.39     0.23P    2.27R    0.53  
Boston           28   30  -12      50.19     6.00   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.24R    2.84  
Accrington       28   29   -8      49.86     6.06   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   10.86R    3.29  
Grimsby          28   29  -23      45.13     5.81   -36.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.82R   14.10  
Rochdale         28   28   -2      50.05     6.21    -5.81     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    9.75R    2.67  
Wrexham          26   28  -17      46.76     6.28   -31.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   27.13R    9.65  
Macclesfield     27   26  -11      47.11     6.32   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.93R    7.39  
Torquay          27   21  -16      38.19     5.79   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.27R   59.30  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Cambridge_U vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          26   54  +27      94.02     6.47    47.78    57.30    99.39    72.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   51  +24      91.79     6.44    43.53    37.84    98.78    63.76P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   47   +9      79.86     6.89    17.43     2.39    68.66    15.80P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.15     6.87     6.79     0.20    30.23     5.28P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.27     7.21     6.59     0.50    36.01     7.09P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          25   43   +4      75.76     7.23    10.06     0.61    44.83     9.19P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.30     7.23     3.01     0.24    26.52     4.76P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.93     7.51    19.85     0.80    48.62    12.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.46     7.19     8.88     0.06    17.14     2.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            26   37   -1      66.46     7.02     2.22     0.00     8.23     1.48P    0.07R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.92     7.09    -4.47     0.00     3.20     0.65P    0.42R    0.01  
Aldershot          24   35   +4      67.71     7.48     7.73     0.06    12.77     2.44P    0.15R    0.01  
Woking             26   32   +0      61.02     6.93     2.63     0.00     1.65     0.40P    0.78R    0.10  
Northwich          24   31   -9      56.23     7.25   -17.41     0.00     0.43     0.07P    5.46R    0.68  
Stafford_Rangers   24   31   -9      55.87     7.22   -16.55     0.00     0.41     0.04P    6.26R    0.90  
Altrincham         26   30   -7      52.48     6.68   -15.12     0.00     0.06     0.01P   11.39R    1.68  
Grays              25   29   +7      61.42     7.27    12.71     0.00     2.44     0.71P    0.86R    0.10  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.43     7.19    -2.38     0.00     0.61     0.09P    3.55R    0.49  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      47.84     6.61   -18.09     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.59R    7.84  
Cambridge_U        27   26  -12      45.12     6.17   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.99R   14.03  
St_Albans          27   26  -15      45.64     6.36   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.85R   14.11  
Rushden_&_D        25   24   -7      47.27     6.85   -15.20     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.94R    9.42  
Southport          26   23  -12      44.04     6.57   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.33R   19.98  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.48     6.92   -28.94     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.34R   30.66