Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 16 January 2007 at 21:32:40 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 January 2007, Tottenham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    23   57  +36      89.13     4.74    58.08    89.72    99.31   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   51  +24      80.09     5.17    37.14     9.64    78.75    99.07    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   43  +19      71.50     5.27    31.31     0.38    12.04    83.65    98.75     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   42  +24      70.18     5.32    36.93     0.24     8.94    77.61    97.45     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          23   40   +6      63.83     5.37    10.71     0.01     0.61    21.80    79.68     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      61.43     5.62    17.21     0.01     0.34    14.35    67.84     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   32   +6      54.66     5.47     9.51     0.00     0.01     1.36    19.20     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       23   32   -3      52.31     5.60    -3.83     0.00     0.01     0.45     9.02     0.04R    0.00  
Reading         23   31   +0      54.30     5.54     4.09     0.00     0.00     1.28    16.48     0.03R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   30   -6      47.17     5.36   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.36     0.55R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   29   -4      50.34     5.60    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.23     5.04     0.17R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   28   -7      48.40     5.53   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.79     0.56R    0.01  
Fulham          23   28  -10      43.35     5.34   -19.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     3.10R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   23   27   -4      44.96     5.36    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.64     1.44R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -4      46.19     5.47    -4.24     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.23     1.09R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     23   24  -12      40.00     5.04   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    11.00R    0.27  
Wigan           22   22  -13      41.27     5.78   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     9.51R    0.45  
West_Ham        23   19  -21      30.02     4.59   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.98R   19.18  
Charlton        23   16  -25      27.66     4.63   -42.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.97R   38.80  
Watford         21   12  -17      27.13     5.41   -28.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.57R   41.28  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Coventry vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.69     6.37    33.49    56.07    75.76    97.88    81.54P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            28   53   +9      82.51     6.31    16.32    17.91    42.50    89.82    51.94P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   50  +13      80.11     6.27    21.15    10.90    28.68    82.58    41.88P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    28   46  +18      77.49     6.31    28.90     5.57    18.18    72.59    33.13P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   46  +12      75.23     6.24    19.51     3.08    10.38    57.77    21.60P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       28   44  +15      74.26     6.27    23.83     2.18     8.36    54.04    21.08P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            27   44  +14      75.48     6.44    22.30     3.44    11.51    59.52    26.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          28   43   +7      70.14     6.18    10.97     0.37     1.97    25.88     7.92P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       28   43   +5      68.36     6.21     5.77     0.21     0.98    17.84     4.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    28   43   -1      66.81     6.24    -1.76     0.10     0.48    11.04     2.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      28   40   +1      64.73     6.37     0.60     0.04     0.30     7.41     1.80P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth         28   39   +1      65.25     6.32     3.39     0.03     0.25     8.09     1.86P    0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          27   38   +4      65.77     6.49     6.81     0.10     0.55    10.43     3.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   37   +1      61.74     6.19     1.08     0.01     0.07     2.75     0.69P    0.39R    0.01  
Ipswich          28   35   -1      60.65     6.25     0.40     0.00     0.02     1.85     0.42P    0.71R    0.04  
Coventry         28   34   -8      53.96     6.04   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    7.54R    0.35  
Norwich          28   34  -10      53.91     6.13   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    7.99R    0.46  
Leicester        28   33   -8      54.65     6.11   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    6.16R    0.34  
Luton            28   31  -11      54.56     6.34   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    7.21R    0.53  
Queens_PR        28   30   -8      52.03     6.33   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   13.09R    1.15  
Hull             28   30  -10      50.64     6.16   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.18R    2.10  
Barnsley         28   26  -19      43.36     5.89   -31.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.13R   16.54  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.21     5.90   -39.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.01R   37.84  
Southend         28   24  -22      39.70     5.57   -36.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.31R   40.65  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Rotherham vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham_Forest   27   51  +11      83.68     6.46    21.09    18.48    39.42    90.42    50.73P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          27   50  +18      84.79     6.47    30.96    25.66    50.02    93.41    62.77P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              27   49  +24      86.88     6.23    41.97    41.12    66.33    96.79    76.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        27   49  +11      79.03     6.47    17.13     6.39    16.86    72.51    28.80P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              27   45  +10      74.39     6.39    15.33     1.45     4.82    46.24    14.70P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           27   44  +12      75.39     6.50    20.59     2.29     7.14    54.39    17.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea             27   43  +13      73.59     6.55    20.33     1.44     4.80    43.81    14.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           26   42  +11      74.87     6.67    19.08     2.10     6.74    50.45    19.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            27   42   +9      73.10     6.63    16.76     1.05     3.65    39.55    12.75P    0.03R    0.00  
Carlisle            27   39   -3      63.69     6.56    -4.57     0.01     0.12     4.34     0.84P    0.81R    0.00  
Port_Vale           28   36   -4      60.76     6.41    -3.91     0.00     0.01     1.53     0.32P    2.29R    0.01  
Bradford            28   35   -1      58.94     6.27    -1.72     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.18P    3.53R    0.03  
Rotherham           27   34   +1      61.39     6.64     3.13     0.01     0.04     2.58     0.60P    2.17R    0.01  
Chesterfield        27   34   +0      60.40     6.54     0.93     0.01     0.04     1.68     0.37P    2.52R    0.01  
Huddersfield        28   34   -8      56.67     6.26   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    8.62R    0.11  
Gillingham          27   34  -13      55.46     6.37   -21.33     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.03P   12.69R    0.16  
Crewe               26   32   -2      57.10     6.82    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.11P    8.44R    0.17  
Northampton         27   32   -6      54.52     6.29    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P   14.04R    0.23  
Brighton            27   31   -8      52.27     6.49   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   25.70R    0.68  
Millwall            26   30   -6      52.52     6.64   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   23.81R    0.52  
Leyton_Orient       27   28  -12      47.89     6.30   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.79R    2.91  
Bournemouth         28   28  -14      46.19     5.95   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.45R    4.16  
Cheltenham          27   24  -16      42.63     6.06   -27.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.17R   13.76  
Brentford           28   22  -27      34.85     5.19   -46.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.93R   77.27  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 January 2007, Walsall vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          27   59  +27      97.94     6.01    46.45    84.25    98.31   100.00    98.92P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     27   53  +14      85.76     6.56    24.06     6.83    59.96    98.33    69.69P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        28   52  +17      83.81     6.20    28.78     3.83    50.30    97.53    61.63P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    28   52  +14      83.81     6.24    26.40     3.60    49.88    97.14    60.91P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       28   51  +12      80.89     6.20    19.69     1.26    29.32    93.33    46.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          28   46   +8      75.09     6.26    14.60     0.19     7.68    72.77    24.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   39   +0      65.07     6.59     0.71     0.00     0.38    16.04     3.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport        27   38   +2      63.54     6.63     1.30     0.01     0.20    11.45     2.61P    0.04R    0.01  
Notts_County     27   38   +1      65.00     6.59     2.87     0.00     0.35    16.23     3.77P    0.04R    0.01  
Peterborough     27   38   -2      64.60     6.68    -1.29     0.00     0.32    14.61     2.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.40     6.52    24.13     0.03     2.98    54.28    18.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         27   37   -2      60.77     6.39    -4.91     0.00     0.04     4.91     1.08P    0.15R    0.03  
Barnet           27   37   -5      59.55     6.41   -10.76     0.00     0.03     3.69     0.62P    0.36R    0.06  
Chester          27   36   +0      61.53     6.63    -0.52     0.00     0.07     7.38     1.58P    0.15R    0.01  
Bury             26   34   +0      60.75     6.83    -0.78     0.00     0.09     6.54     1.47P    0.31R    0.06  
Darlington       26   33   -3      58.38     6.79    -5.83     0.00     0.05     3.12     0.60P    0.97R    0.23  
Mansfield        25   30   -4      57.01     6.99    -7.19     0.00     0.02     2.42     0.41P    1.75R    0.36  
Boston           28   30  -12      49.89     5.95   -20.17     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   10.60R    2.90  
Grimsby          28   29  -23      45.43     5.83   -36.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.26R   13.13  
Rochdale         28   28   -2      50.36     6.26    -5.34     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    8.32R    2.33  
Wrexham          26   28  -17      46.64     6.23   -31.65     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    27.09R    9.97  
Accrington       27   26   -9      48.11     6.33   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   17.28R    6.15  
Macclesfield     27   26  -11      47.19     6.31   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   22.19R    7.04  
Torquay          27   21  -16      38.32     5.87   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.42R   57.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Cambridge_U vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          26   54  +27      94.01     6.45    47.83    56.56    99.44    72.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   51  +24      91.96     6.42    43.74    39.02    98.92    65.01P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   47   +9      79.50     6.90    16.88     1.98    66.77    14.91P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.07     6.92     6.62     0.28    30.49     5.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.22     7.13     6.47     0.38    36.72     7.18P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          25   43   +4      75.45     7.33     9.62     0.59    43.56     8.71P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.51     7.07     3.21     0.23    27.22     4.78P    0.01R    0.01  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.81     7.56    19.79     0.81    48.80    12.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.79     7.20     9.44     0.10    18.41     3.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley            26   37   -1      66.45     7.00     2.19     0.01     8.26     1.45P    0.09R    0.01  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.69     7.04    -4.84     0.00     2.98     0.52P    0.46R    0.03  
Aldershot          24   35   +4      67.60     7.41     7.60     0.05    12.62     2.42P    0.13R    0.00  
Woking             26   32   +0      60.82     6.91     2.41     0.00     1.78     0.40P    0.90R    0.06  
Northwich          24   31   -9      56.08     7.33   -17.68     0.00     0.49     0.07P    5.88R    0.83  
Stafford_Rangers   24   31   -9      55.66     7.16   -16.90     0.00     0.40     0.03P    6.35R    0.86  
Altrincham         26   30   -7      52.61     6.74   -14.86     0.00     0.08     0.01P   11.78R    1.92  
Grays              25   29   +7      61.74     7.10    13.16     0.00     2.42     0.63P    0.71R    0.07  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.13     7.07    -2.79     0.00     0.64     0.08P    3.54R    0.43  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      48.13     6.69   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.79R    7.66  
Cambridge_U        27   26  -12      45.17     6.15   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.65R   14.51  
St_Albans          27   26  -15      45.71     6.33   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.52R   13.45  
Rushden_&_D        25   24   -7      47.54     6.87   -14.91     0.00     0.01     0.01P   32.30R    8.61  
Southport          26   23  -12      44.12     6.59   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.80R   20.84  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.66     6.95   -28.63     0.00     0.01     0.01P   63.08R   30.72