Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 15 January 2007 at 21:32:47 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 January 2007, Tottenham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    23   57  +36      89.27     4.76    58.38    89.58    99.30   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   51  +24      80.18     5.15    37.34     9.69    79.25    99.11    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   43  +19      71.51     5.27    31.36     0.38    11.71    84.14    98.75     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   42  +24      70.18     5.35    36.97     0.34     8.79    77.05    97.62     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          23   40   +6      63.95     5.34    10.87     0.01     0.60    22.70    80.84     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      61.33     5.60    16.94     0.00     0.33    13.23    67.48     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   32   +6      54.71     5.53     9.50     0.00     0.02     1.73    19.23     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   32   -3      52.25     5.58    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.49     8.83     0.10R    0.00  
Reading         23   31   +0      54.24     5.52     3.92     0.00     0.00     1.19    16.43     0.01R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   30   -6      47.29     5.33   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.40     0.43R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   29   -4      50.04     5.69    -3.25     0.00     0.00     0.23     4.51     0.19R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   28   -7      48.24     5.51   -10.75     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.52     0.62R    0.00  
Fulham          23   28  -10      43.37     5.31   -19.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34     2.93R    0.03  
Middlesbrough   23   27   -4      45.06     5.28    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.56     1.59R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -4      46.27     5.49    -4.10     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.33     1.00R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     23   24  -12      39.87     5.04   -20.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    11.29R    0.34  
Wigan           22   22  -13      41.33     5.66   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     8.68R    0.34  
West_Ham        23   19  -21      30.11     4.49   -36.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.40R   18.12  
Charlton        23   16  -25      27.61     4.61   -42.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.34R   39.58  
Watford         21   12  -17      27.10     5.40   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.42R   41.57  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Hull vs Queens_PR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.80     6.38    33.65    56.65    76.39    97.84    82.29P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            28   53   +9      82.51     6.28    16.36    17.94    42.94    89.67    52.48P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   50  +13      79.87     6.23    20.85     9.81    26.61    82.00    39.92P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    28   46  +18      77.73     6.32    29.30     6.21    19.30    74.05    34.36P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   46  +12      75.44     6.18    19.81     3.03    10.86    59.30    22.59P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       28   44  +15      74.37     6.25    24.08     2.27     8.54    54.19    21.13P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            27   44  +14      75.20     6.46    21.91     3.21    10.89    58.05    25.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          28   43   +7      70.05     6.11    10.86     0.41     1.80    25.18     7.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       28   43   +5      68.39     6.17     5.84     0.20     1.05    17.23     4.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    28   43   -1      66.89     6.35    -1.58     0.10     0.58    11.67     2.90P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      28   40   +1      64.51     6.29     0.29     0.04     0.21     6.89     1.58P    0.10R    0.01  
Plymouth         28   39   +1      65.23     6.26     3.25     0.03     0.33     7.99     1.99P    0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          27   38   +4      65.80     6.48     6.73     0.07     0.39    10.51     2.83P    0.09R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   37   +1      61.79     6.22     1.12     0.01     0.07     2.96     0.73P    0.37R    0.03  
Ipswich          28   35   -1      60.46     6.25     0.05     0.00     0.02     1.89     0.41P    0.75R    0.02  
Coventry         28   34   -8      53.76     6.04   -14.97     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.01P    7.57R    0.27  
Norwich          28   34  -10      54.12     6.07   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    7.55R    0.36  
Leicester        28   33   -8      54.92     6.06   -11.51     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P    5.28R    0.26  
Luton            28   31  -11      54.61     6.25   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    7.07R    0.46  
Queens_PR        28   30   -8      52.12     6.29   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    12.65R    1.29  
Hull             28   30  -10      50.63     6.11   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.11R    1.83  
Barnsley         28   26  -19      42.93     5.79   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.34R   18.74  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.36     5.93   -38.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.30R   36.96  
Southend         28   24  -22      39.75     5.56   -36.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.69R   39.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Nottingham_Forest vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham_Forest   27   51  +11      83.76     6.55    21.24    19.30    40.44    90.44    51.85P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          27   50  +18      84.73     6.41    30.86    25.00    49.57    93.09    62.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              27   49  +24      86.89     6.18    41.93    41.11    66.11    97.16    76.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        27   49  +11      78.87     6.46    16.95     5.88    15.73    71.99    28.00P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              27   45  +10      74.11     6.46    14.96     1.37     4.59    44.85    14.24P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           27   44  +12      75.50     6.58    20.64     2.63     8.11    54.69    18.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             27   43  +13      73.55     6.53    20.30     1.36     4.56    43.77    13.77P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           26   42  +11      74.92     6.70    19.06     2.23     6.83    51.12    19.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            27   42   +9      73.11     6.65    16.80     1.09     3.81    40.30    12.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            27   39   -3      63.60     6.53    -4.75     0.01     0.12     4.37     0.83P    0.79R    0.00  
Port_Vale           28   36   -4      60.58     6.35    -4.20     0.00     0.03     1.40     0.32P    2.54R    0.01  
Bradford            28   35   -1      58.98     6.30    -1.67     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.19P    3.71R    0.03  
Rotherham           27   34   +1      61.64     6.66     3.48     0.01     0.04     2.83     0.59P    1.70R    0.01  
Chesterfield        27   34   +0      60.56     6.46     1.18     0.00     0.03     1.71     0.37P    2.35R    0.01  
Huddersfield        28   34   -8      56.90     6.28   -11.06     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.05P    8.29R    0.07  
Gillingham          27   34  -13      55.26     6.42   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   13.80R    0.21  
Crewe               26   32   -2      57.18     6.80    -6.39     0.01     0.01     0.73     0.14P    8.38R    0.12  
Northampton         27   32   -6      54.58     6.29    -9.85     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.03P   13.92R    0.18  
Brighton            27   31   -8      52.13     6.44   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   26.13R    0.69  
Millwall            26   30   -6      52.58     6.54   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   23.25R    0.35  
Leyton_Orient       27   28  -12      47.86     6.23   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   52.22R    2.67  
Bournemouth         28   28  -14      46.49     5.87   -23.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.50R    3.50  
Cheltenham          27   24  -16      42.41     6.00   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.38R   14.47  
Brentford           28   22  -27      34.85     5.16   -46.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.02R   77.67  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Torquay vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      97.60     6.20    46.51    82.50    97.83    99.99    98.55P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     27   53  +14      85.46     6.48    23.57     6.96    59.10    98.12    68.73P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        28   52  +17      83.91     6.24    28.98     4.88    51.80    97.70    63.59P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    28   52  +14      83.79     6.20    26.31     3.98    50.14    97.13    61.61P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       28   51  +12      80.78     6.22    19.56     1.50    29.06    93.39    46.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          28   46   +8      74.89     6.35    14.36     0.15     7.50    72.10    24.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   39   +0      64.97     6.64     0.55     0.00     0.32    16.14     3.80P    0.04R    0.00  
Stockport        27   38   +2      63.55     6.60     1.35     0.01     0.22    11.69     2.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County     27   38   +1      65.05     6.47     2.92     0.00     0.27    16.16     3.65P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   38   -2      64.65     6.65    -1.21     0.00     0.34    14.82     3.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.52     6.47    24.33     0.02     3.21    54.53    18.39P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         27   37   -2      60.96     6.49    -4.60     0.00     0.06     5.51     1.11P    0.16R    0.02  
Barnet           27   37   -5      59.59     6.35   -10.64     0.00     0.02     3.52     0.62P    0.35R    0.04  
Chester          27   36   +0      61.35     6.50    -0.79     0.01     0.05     6.55     1.35P    0.18R    0.01  
Bury             26   34   +0      60.70     6.80    -0.87     0.00     0.04     6.64     1.35P    0.36R    0.07  
Darlington       26   33   -3      58.37     6.76    -5.84     0.00     0.01     2.98     0.59P    0.92R    0.18  
Mansfield        25   30   -4      56.92     7.14    -7.34     0.00     0.04     2.69     0.58P    1.97R    0.45  
Boston           28   30  -12      50.16     6.07   -19.63     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.27R    3.12  
Grimsby          27   29  -21      45.60     5.91   -36.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   33.46R   12.51  
Rochdale         28   28   -2      50.45     6.32    -5.25     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    8.77R    2.33  
Wrexham          26   28  -17      46.58     6.16   -31.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.75R    9.96  
Accrington       27   26   -9      48.32     6.38   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    17.07R    5.62  
Macclesfield     27   26  -11      47.31     6.37   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   22.05R    7.10  
Torquay          27   21  -16      38.18     5.86   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.59R   58.59  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Cambridge_U vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          26   54  +27      93.83     6.58    47.54    55.95    99.34    71.69P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   51  +24      91.77     6.53    43.49    39.31    98.78    64.61P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   47   +9      79.39     6.98    16.77     2.09    66.64    15.20P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.32     7.00     6.91     0.30    31.65     5.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.30     7.18     6.58     0.44    36.67     7.52P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          25   43   +4      75.67     7.35     9.98     0.76    45.16     9.30P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.09     7.14     2.65     0.24    25.07     4.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.82     7.48    19.73     0.79    48.37    12.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.45     7.20     8.86     0.07    17.48     2.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley            26   37   -1      66.80     6.98     2.65     0.00     8.70     1.53P    0.13R    0.01  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.49     7.13    -5.10     0.01     3.23     0.56P    0.53R    0.01  
Aldershot          24   35   +4      67.56     7.54     7.53     0.04    12.91     2.56P    0.10R    0.00  
Woking             26   32   +0      60.74     6.84     2.23     0.00     1.68     0.32P    0.84R    0.04  
Northwich          24   31   -9      55.79     7.28   -18.16     0.00     0.38     0.04P    6.51R    0.93  
Stafford_Rangers   24   31   -9      56.14     7.14   -16.18     0.00     0.46     0.10P    5.84R    0.80  
Altrincham         26   30   -7      52.79     6.80   -14.50     0.00     0.14     0.01P   11.31R    1.91  
Grays              25   29   +7      61.76     7.27    13.24     0.01     2.73     0.67P    0.91R    0.07  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.15     7.17    -2.80     0.00     0.57     0.10P    3.81R    0.48  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      48.05     6.67   -17.69     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.48R    7.84  
Cambridge_U        27   26  -12      45.14     6.13   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.39R   14.55  
St_Albans          27   26  -15      45.58     6.38   -27.63     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.07R   14.61  
Rushden_&_D        25   24   -7      47.79     6.87   -14.45     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.43R    8.04  
Southport          26   23  -12      44.14     6.56   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.03R   20.16  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.81     7.12   -28.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.58R   30.52