Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 January 2007 at 21:32:50 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 January 2007, Tottenham vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    23   57  +36      89.20     4.71    58.16    89.70    99.31   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   51  +24      79.97     5.28    37.08     9.59    77.54    98.75    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   43  +19      71.54     5.40    31.32     0.43    12.68    83.08    98.59     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   42  +24      70.17     5.37    37.03     0.27     9.33    76.28    97.52     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          23   40   +6      63.93     5.38    10.85     0.01     0.69    22.70    80.25     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      61.67     5.60    17.50     0.00     0.44    15.38    69.02     0.00     0.00  
Everton         23   32   +6      54.72     5.49     9.57     0.00     0.00     1.59    18.77     0.02R    0.00  
Tottenham       23   32   -3      52.32     5.60    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.45     8.58     0.06R    0.00  
Reading         23   31   +0      54.25     5.63     3.98     0.00     0.00     1.41    17.02     0.04R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   30   -6      47.10     5.25   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.24     0.47R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   29   -4      50.31     5.61    -2.94     0.00     0.00     0.20     4.74     0.23R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   28   -7      48.00     5.51   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.00     0.68R    0.01  
Fulham          23   28  -10      43.46     5.29   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35     2.90R    0.03  
Middlesbrough   23   27   -4      45.04     5.29    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.58     1.70R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -4      46.12     5.49    -4.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.18     1.14R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     23   24  -12      39.74     5.13   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.40R    0.44  
Wigan           22   22  -13      40.88     5.77   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    10.73R    0.49  
West_Ham        23   19  -21      30.33     4.59   -36.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.61R   18.82  
Charlton        23   16  -25      27.66     4.63   -42.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.86R   40.84  
Watford         21   12  -17      27.49     5.45   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.17R   39.35  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Coventry vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.74     6.32    33.56    56.70    76.38    97.82    82.30P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            28   53   +9      82.54     6.25    16.36    17.62    42.56    89.87    52.38P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   50  +13      80.24     6.25    21.38    10.33    28.93    83.08    42.03P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    28   46  +18      77.73     6.37    29.29     6.04    18.95    73.78    34.45P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   46  +12      75.22     6.24    19.44     2.83     9.79    57.98    20.90P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       28   44  +15      74.37     6.29    24.07     2.46     8.46    54.11    20.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            27   44  +14      75.38     6.41    22.20     3.28    10.66    59.57    25.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          28   43   +7      70.25     6.06    11.09     0.38     1.91    25.68     7.54P    0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       28   43   +5      68.08     6.19     5.44     0.10     0.81    16.30     4.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    28   43   -1      66.80     6.26    -1.75     0.10     0.49    11.14     2.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      28   40   +1      64.64     6.28     0.44     0.04     0.20     6.87     1.46P    0.06R    0.00  
Plymouth         28   39   +1      65.19     6.39     3.24     0.04     0.27     8.22     1.83P    0.07R    0.00  
Burnley          27   38   +4      65.56     6.59     6.49     0.06     0.49    10.12     2.70P    0.10R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   28   37   +1      61.65     6.32     0.91     0.01     0.07     2.94     0.74P    0.39R    0.01  
Ipswich          28   35   -1      60.45     6.32     0.02     0.00     0.03     1.99     0.46P    0.86R    0.04  
Coventry         28   34   -8      53.95     6.01   -14.68     0.01     0.01     0.09     0.01P    7.05R    0.38  
Norwich          28   34  -10      54.07     6.07   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    7.68R    0.39  
Leicester        28   33   -8      54.55     6.06   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    6.13R    0.26  
Luton            28   31  -11      54.93     6.31   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    6.51R    0.42  
Queens_PR        28   30   -8      52.29     6.34   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   12.45R    1.26  
Hull             28   30  -10      50.68     6.00   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.75R    1.56  
Barnsley         28   26  -19      43.12     5.78   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.02R   17.33  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.11     5.86   -39.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.39R   38.60  
Southend         28   24  -22      39.75     5.54   -36.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.50R   39.76  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Rotherham vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham_Forest   27   51  +11      83.66     6.41    21.11    18.70    39.60    90.39    51.06P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          27   50  +18      84.80     6.40    31.10    25.18    49.66    93.31    62.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              27   49  +24      86.77     6.17    41.73    41.08    65.67    96.86    75.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        27   49  +11      79.03     6.49    17.19     6.31    16.75    72.00    28.77P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              27   45  +10      74.30     6.46    15.15     1.42     4.83    45.23    14.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           27   44  +12      75.22     6.61    20.28     2.32     7.37    52.77    17.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea             27   43  +13      73.79     6.55    20.71     1.60     5.07    44.39    14.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           26   42  +11      74.88     6.63    19.12     2.11     6.55    50.58    18.88P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            27   42   +9      73.44     6.65    17.30     1.26     4.28    41.81    14.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            27   39   -3      63.71     6.57    -4.59     0.01     0.12     4.67     0.91P    0.65R    0.00  
Port_Vale           28   36   -4      60.63     6.35    -4.10     0.00     0.00     1.42     0.24P    2.40R    0.01  
Bradford            28   35   -1      59.07     6.23    -1.55     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.17P    3.26R    0.00  
Rotherham           27   34   +1      61.40     6.59     3.16     0.00     0.04     2.63     0.52P    1.78R    0.01  
Chesterfield        27   34   +0      60.60     6.58     1.18     0.01     0.02     1.79     0.39P    2.50R    0.03  
Huddersfield        28   34   -8      56.88     6.23   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.07P    8.03R    0.10  
Gillingham          27   34  -13      55.18     6.36   -21.89     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.04P   13.63R    0.23  
Crewe               26   32   -2      56.90     6.84    -6.83     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.17P    8.95R    0.10  
Northampton         27   32   -6      54.49     6.34    -9.91     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   14.41R    0.15  
Brighton            27   31   -8      52.17     6.45   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   25.24R    0.81  
Millwall            26   30   -6      52.60     6.55   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   23.05R    0.47  
Leyton_Orient       27   28  -12      47.83     6.29   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    52.37R    2.81  
Bournemouth         28   28  -14      46.25     5.88   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.65R    4.00  
Cheltenham          27   24  -16      42.45     6.06   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.26R   14.59  
Brentford           28   22  -27      34.97     5.20   -45.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.81R   76.68  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Torquay vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      97.11     6.17    45.82    81.05    97.53    99.98    98.40P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     27   53  +14      85.78     6.54    24.01     8.12    60.44    98.22    70.64P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        28   52  +17      83.84     6.14    28.84     4.69    51.19    97.47    62.83P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    28   52  +14      83.66     6.23    26.14     4.22    49.25    96.94    60.55P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       28   51  +12      80.93     6.20    19.76     1.77    29.70    93.42    46.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          28   46   +8      74.59     6.29    14.00     0.12     6.83    70.06    23.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   39   +0      65.28     6.67     0.99     0.00     0.37    17.16     3.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport        27   38   +2      63.67     6.67     1.51     0.00     0.33    11.87     2.78P    0.04R    0.01  
Notts_County     27   38   +1      64.86     6.50     2.58     0.00     0.28    15.48     3.34P    0.05R    0.01  
Peterborough     27   38   -2      64.65     6.68    -1.22     0.00     0.35    14.64     2.79P    0.04R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.78     6.53    24.81     0.02     3.38    56.41    19.46P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         27   37   -2      61.11     6.45    -4.38     0.00     0.07     5.64     1.25P    0.19R    0.03  
Barnet           27   37   -5      59.77     6.38   -10.45     0.00     0.03     3.60     0.59P    0.32R    0.04  
Chester          27   36   +0      61.55     6.50    -0.43     0.00     0.07     6.77     1.44P    0.12R    0.01  
Bury             26   34   +0      60.76     6.84    -0.78     0.00     0.12     6.42     1.41P    0.28R    0.04  
Darlington       26   33   -3      58.46     6.80    -5.64     0.00     0.04     3.15     0.72P    0.86R    0.19  
Mansfield        25   30   -4      57.09     7.10    -7.10     0.00     0.03     2.52     0.45P    1.89R    0.40  
Boston           28   30  -12      50.03     6.02   -19.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    10.41R    2.88  
Grimsby          27   29  -21      45.64     5.90   -36.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   32.55R   12.45  
Rochdale         28   28   -2      50.28     6.21    -5.45     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    8.48R    2.40  
Wrexham          26   28  -17      46.34     6.25   -32.21     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   28.28R   10.41  
Accrington       27   26   -9      48.02     6.36   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.64R    6.46  
Macclesfield     27   26  -11      47.00     6.30   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    23.06R    7.72  
Torquay          27   21  -16      38.39     5.85   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.77R   56.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Cambridge_U vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          26   54  +27      94.21     6.51    48.12    58.24    99.28    73.53P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   51  +24      91.74     6.42    43.41    37.03    98.86    63.77P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   47   +9      79.74     6.97    17.23     2.34    68.23    15.80P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.32     6.92     7.00     0.23    31.76     5.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.15     7.23     6.38     0.40    36.08     6.91P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          25   43   +4      75.48     7.26     9.70     0.64    43.65     8.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.28     7.07     2.97     0.20    25.86     4.14P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.78     7.60    19.66     0.75    48.24    12.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.72     7.17     9.34     0.10    17.86     2.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            26   37   -1      66.70     7.09     2.51     0.00     8.61     1.57P    0.09R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.25     7.12    -5.48     0.01     2.71     0.47P    0.47R    0.04  
Aldershot          24   35   +4      67.77     7.37     7.89     0.06    12.63     2.35P    0.09R    0.01  
Woking             26   32   +0      60.93     7.04     2.53     0.00     1.85     0.36P    0.92R    0.07  
Northwich          24   31   -9      56.20     7.26   -17.54     0.00     0.42     0.07P    5.70R    0.67  
Stafford_Rangers   24   31   -9      55.86     7.25   -16.55     0.00     0.35     0.07P    6.38R    0.86  
Altrincham         26   30   -7      52.61     6.73   -14.88     0.00     0.08     0.01P   11.36R    1.89  
Grays              25   29   +7      61.63     7.26    12.98     0.00     2.79     0.71P    0.88R    0.07  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.29     7.20    -2.55     0.00     0.68     0.12P    3.60R    0.46  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      47.92     6.69   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.48R    7.77  
Cambridge_U        27   26  -12      44.93     6.16   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.12R   15.10  
St_Albans          27   26  -15      45.64     6.33   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.09R   14.30  
Rushden_&_D        25   24   -7      47.83     6.92   -14.41     0.00     0.04     0.01P   30.36R    7.86  
Southport          26   23  -12      43.91     6.54   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.14R   20.73  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.61     6.93   -28.68     0.00     0.01     0.00    62.33R   30.18