Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 13 January 2007 at 21:32:39 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Blackburn vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    23   57  +36      89.06     4.72    58.19    89.64    99.31   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   51  +24      79.95     5.24    36.94     9.53    77.33    98.78    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   43  +19      71.78     5.35    31.74     0.57    12.99    83.75    98.56     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   42  +24      70.23     5.33    37.10     0.25     9.18    77.14    97.34     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          23   40   +6      63.81     5.43    10.65     0.00     0.73    21.72    77.35     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      23   37  +11      61.41     5.61    17.08     0.00     0.41    13.19    64.50     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   32   -2      54.50     5.86    -1.51     0.00     0.03     1.42    15.89     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         22   31   +6      55.69     5.75    10.50     0.00     0.02     2.59    24.42     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         22   30   +0      53.86     5.77     2.75     0.00     0.01     1.21    14.84     0.03R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   30   -6      47.19     5.26   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.05     0.43R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   28   -7      48.25     5.53   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.11     0.59R    0.03  
Fulham          23   28  -10      43.38     5.28   -19.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26     2.86R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   23   27   -4      45.34     5.34    -8.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54     1.47R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -4      46.35     5.50    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.20     0.99R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      47.36     5.81    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.83     1.02R    0.01  
Sheffield_U     23   24  -12      40.03     5.04   -19.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.79R    0.34  
Wigan           22   22  -13      41.02     5.63   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     9.55R    0.42  
West_Ham        23   19  -21      30.10     4.56   -36.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.86R   19.60  
Charlton        23   16  -25      27.68     4.63   -42.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.25R   39.19  
Watford         21   12  -17      27.28     5.36   -28.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.11R   40.40  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Coventry vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.57     6.35    33.29    55.51    75.81    97.81    81.36P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            28   53   +9      82.58     6.30    16.36    18.07    42.33    90.03    52.16P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   50  +13      80.18     6.29    21.32    10.61    29.04    82.94    42.89P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    28   46  +18      77.59     6.28    29.13     6.08    18.33    73.23    33.55P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   46  +12      75.24     6.21    19.52     3.12    10.07    58.02    21.20P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       28   44  +15      74.49     6.20    24.25     2.35     8.81    54.99    21.75P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            27   44  +14      75.34     6.45    22.10     3.38    10.79    58.95    25.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          28   43   +7      70.20     6.26    11.09     0.45     2.12    26.36     7.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland       28   43   +5      68.26     6.15     5.61     0.14     1.02    16.55     4.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    28   43   -1      66.93     6.25    -1.55     0.09     0.53    11.79     2.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      28   40   +1      64.54     6.24     0.30     0.04     0.24     6.43     1.37P    0.11R    0.00  
Plymouth         28   39   +1      65.25     6.27     3.33     0.05     0.33     7.79     2.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Burnley          27   38   +4      65.68     6.52     6.69     0.10     0.46    10.02     2.68P    0.05R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   37   +1      61.68     6.30     0.97     0.03     0.08     2.83     0.78P    0.39R    0.01  
Ipswich          28   35   -1      60.55     6.34     0.17     0.00     0.04     1.82     0.41P    0.95R    0.03  
Coventry         28   34   -8      53.73     5.97   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    7.31R    0.25  
Norwich          28   34  -10      53.87     6.12   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.05R    0.50  
Leicester        28   33   -8      54.75     6.02   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P    5.94R    0.31  
Luton            28   31  -11      54.87     6.30   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    6.74R    0.47  
Queens_PR        28   30   -8      52.09     6.40   -11.92     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   13.57R    1.25  
Hull             28   30  -10      50.53     5.95   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.82R    1.62  
Barnsley         28   26  -19      43.16     5.88   -31.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.92R   18.14  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.37     5.93   -38.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.56R   37.00  
Southend         28   24  -22      39.76     5.58   -36.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.49R   40.44  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Rotherham vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham_Forest   27   51  +11      83.38     6.43    20.68    17.45    38.10    89.36    49.16P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe          27   50  +18      84.63     6.40    30.78    25.39    49.42    92.97    62.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              27   49  +24      86.91     6.24    42.05    41.90    66.78    96.87    76.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        27   49  +11      78.82     6.58    16.90     6.16    16.39    71.16    27.92P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              27   45  +10      74.44     6.45    15.38     1.55     5.36    46.45    15.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           27   44  +12      75.45     6.51    20.68     2.44     7.71    54.93    18.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea             27   43  +13      73.66     6.63    20.38     1.66     5.09    44.67    14.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           26   42  +11      74.79     6.69    19.02     2.22     6.83    49.88    19.54P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            27   42   +9      73.23     6.68    16.97     1.18     4.07    40.52    13.14P    0.03R    0.00  
Carlisle            27   39   -3      63.80     6.60    -4.49     0.04     0.17     4.70     1.00P    0.78R    0.00  
Port_Vale           28   36   -4      60.66     6.34    -4.05     0.00     0.01     1.47     0.38P    2.23R    0.01  
Bradford            28   35   -1      59.12     6.26    -1.53     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.20P    3.69R    0.01  
Rotherham           27   34   +1      61.54     6.59     3.35     0.01     0.06     2.59     0.58P    1.79R    0.01  
Chesterfield        27   34   +0      60.60     6.62     1.25     0.00     0.01     1.95     0.43P    2.69R    0.01  
Huddersfield        28   34   -8      56.85     6.23   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    8.16R    0.04  
Gillingham          27   34  -13      55.27     6.42   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   13.63R    0.14  
Crewe               26   32   -2      56.90     6.93    -6.76     0.01     0.01     0.73     0.13P    9.30R    0.10  
Northampton         27   32   -6      54.84     6.35    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   13.40R    0.14  
Brighton            27   31   -8      52.32     6.45   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.53R    0.50  
Millwall            26   30   -6      52.65     6.58   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   23.18R    0.48  
Leyton_Orient       27   28  -12      47.94     6.28   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.51R    2.56  
Bournemouth         28   28  -14      46.10     5.91   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.97R    3.94  
Cheltenham          27   24  -16      42.39     6.04   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.02R   13.88  
Brentford           28   22  -27      34.66     5.07   -46.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.06R   78.17  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Torquay vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      97.20     6.16    45.92    81.17    97.65   100.00    98.53P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     27   53  +14      85.78     6.52    24.06     7.96    60.45    98.12    70.36P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        28   52  +17      83.85     6.29    28.82     4.71    51.34    97.34    62.90P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    28   52  +14      83.75     6.20    26.27     4.16    49.27    97.19    60.22P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       28   51  +12      80.99     6.15    19.87     1.75    29.36    93.67    47.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          28   46   +8      74.76     6.37    14.19     0.23     7.11    70.91    23.20P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   39   +0      65.31     6.68     1.01     0.00     0.43    17.21     4.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Stockport        27   38   +2      63.55     6.67     1.32     0.00     0.26    11.63     2.47P    0.06R    0.01  
Notts_County     27   38   +1      65.12     6.55     3.02     0.00     0.38    16.60     3.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   38   -2      64.59     6.71    -1.37     0.00     0.27    14.65     2.78P    0.04R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       27   37  +11      71.61     6.48    24.54     0.03     3.23    54.80    18.64P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford         27   37   -2      60.99     6.47    -4.52     0.00     0.07     5.51     1.11P    0.17R    0.01  
Barnet           27   37   -5      59.44     6.33   -10.93     0.00     0.03     3.10     0.44P    0.36R    0.03  
Chester          27   36   +0      61.62     6.58    -0.36     0.01     0.07     7.00     1.61P    0.15R    0.03  
Bury             26   34   +0      60.66     6.79    -0.87     0.00     0.06     6.21     1.51P    0.27R    0.04  
Darlington       26   33   -3      58.41     6.70    -5.76     0.00     0.02     3.14     0.65P    0.92R    0.17  
Mansfield        25   30   -4      57.00     7.14    -7.15     0.00     0.01     2.62     0.57P    1.96R    0.46  
Boston           28   30  -12      49.80     6.03   -20.20     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   11.19R    3.22  
Grimsby          27   29  -21      45.58     5.89   -36.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.22R   12.65  
Rochdale         28   28   -2      50.28     6.20    -5.39     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P    8.78R    2.42  
Wrexham          26   28  -17      46.54     6.29   -31.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   27.68R   10.87  
Accrington       27   26   -9      48.10     6.38   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   17.63R    6.42  
Macclesfield     27   26  -11      47.18     6.28   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    21.96R    7.38  
Torquay          27   21  -16      38.50     5.91   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.58R   56.29  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 January 2007, Cambridge_U vs Stafford_Rangers; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          26   54  +27      93.86     6.58    47.61    55.84    99.28    71.28P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   51  +24      92.02     6.38    43.76    39.54    98.90    65.39P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   47   +9      79.65     6.96    17.06     2.11    67.57    15.64P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.09     6.91     6.64     0.21    30.60     5.54P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.37     7.16     6.74     0.48    36.71     7.51P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          25   43   +4      75.60     7.32     9.79     0.58    43.80     9.07P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.36     7.19     3.07     0.21    27.02     4.75P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.71     7.43    19.52     0.85    47.72    11.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.96     7.17     9.70     0.10    18.77     3.19P    0.04R    0.01  
Crawley            26   37   -1      66.54     7.05     2.39     0.00     7.99     1.44P    0.10R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.22     7.05    -5.52     0.01     2.56     0.42P    0.53R    0.02  
Aldershot          24   35   +4      67.82     7.55     7.96     0.07    13.38     2.70P    0.15R    0.01  
Woking             26   32   +0      60.77     6.96     2.27     0.00     1.67     0.31P    1.05R    0.09  
Northwich          24   31   -9      56.02     7.29   -17.89     0.00     0.38     0.06P    6.25R    0.81  
Stafford_Rangers   24   31   -9      56.13     7.19   -16.16     0.00     0.46     0.06P    5.71R    0.67  
Altrincham         26   30   -7      52.57     6.73   -15.01     0.00     0.09     0.02P   11.52R    1.72  
Grays              25   29   +7      61.85     7.11    13.31     0.00     2.49     0.62P    0.58R    0.03  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.13     7.20    -2.84     0.00     0.61     0.10P    3.71R    0.45  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      47.99     6.58   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.93R    7.40  
Cambridge_U        27   26  -12      44.90     6.12   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.76R   15.43  
St_Albans          27   26  -15      45.68     6.40   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.38R   14.33  
Rushden_&_D        25   24   -7      47.57     6.77   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.76R    8.18  
Southport          26   23  -12      44.08     6.55   -21.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.54R   20.78  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.71     7.02   -28.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.98R   30.09