Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 12 January 2007 at 21:32:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Aston_Villa vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    22   54  +34      88.67     4.96    58.17    90.06    99.25    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   48  +20      78.84     5.46    33.95     9.16    76.87    97.45    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +16      70.02     5.65    28.29     0.40    12.35    73.83    96.13     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   39  +22      68.35     5.67    34.63     0.31     8.11    64.50    93.36     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          22   39   +6      65.33     5.57    12.32     0.06     2.25    35.27    82.83     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   36  +11      62.40     5.96    18.12     0.01     1.08    21.80    68.38     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   32   -2      54.67     5.86    -1.25     0.00     0.02     2.01    15.09     0.03R    0.01  
Everton         22   31   +6      55.69     5.74    10.49     0.00     0.07     3.19    22.06     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         22   30   +0      53.66     5.78     2.26     0.00     0.00     1.44    13.02     0.06R    0.00  
Manchester_C    22   29   -6      46.63     5.48   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.05     1.11R    0.00  
Blackburn       21   28   -5      49.69     5.86    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.24     4.13     0.54R    0.01  
Fulham          22   27  -10      43.72     5.53   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34     3.96R    0.06  
Aston_Villa     22   26   -2      46.80     5.65    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.28     1.06R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      47.69     5.85    -5.31     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.98     1.02R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   22   24   -6      42.77     5.53   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     5.83R    0.23  
Sheffield_U     22   23  -12      39.31     5.30   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    17.73R    1.02  
Wigan           21   22   -9      42.39     5.84   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27     8.56R    0.47  
West_Ham        22   18  -21      29.77     4.72   -36.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.73R   29.64  
Charlton        22   16  -23      29.37     4.96   -39.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.33R   34.67  
Watford         20   12  -14      29.22     5.74   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.03R   33.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Sheffield_W vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.89     6.36    33.91    57.91    76.25    97.85    81.97P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            27   50   +8      81.20     6.50    15.84    13.60    33.67    83.32    43.92P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   47  +12      78.73     6.43    20.72     7.46    21.82    74.29    34.52P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +12      76.28     6.43    20.65     4.26    13.79    61.08    24.68P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    27   43  +17      77.12     6.49    30.06     5.35    17.14    68.54    31.82P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43  +15      75.97     6.49    25.94     4.08    13.40    61.12    26.45P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43  +14      76.56     6.64    23.37     5.18    15.37    63.23    29.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   43   +8      73.46     6.42    14.99     1.70     6.21    43.42    15.22P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   42   -1      65.89     6.35    -3.40     0.05     0.30     8.38     1.74P    0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland       27   40   +4      67.12     6.40     5.32     0.21     0.85    12.37     3.40P    0.04R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      27   40   +2      65.46     6.51     0.41     0.11     0.50     8.50     2.11P    0.07R    0.01  
Burnley          26   37   +4      65.00     6.70     4.92     0.07     0.41     8.55     2.29P    0.15R    0.00  
Plymouth         27   36   -1      62.63     6.56    -0.14     0.01     0.14     3.63     0.83P    0.40R    0.01  
Ipswich          27   35   +0      61.92     6.57     1.14     0.01     0.10     3.46     0.79P    0.66R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   27   34   -1      59.22     6.41    -2.07     0.00     0.02     1.16     0.24P    1.28R    0.01  
Coventry         27   34   -6      56.24     6.19   -11.10     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.07P    3.59R    0.04  
Norwich          27   34   -8      55.91     6.44   -15.07     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P    4.79R    0.12  
Leicester        27   32   -8      53.84     6.23   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.04P    8.00R    0.36  
Luton            27   31  -10      55.18     6.55   -13.50     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.07P    7.09R    0.40  
Queens_PR        27   30   -7      53.79     6.63   -10.42     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.04P    9.10R    0.49  
Hull             27   27  -11      49.01     6.35   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   26.41R    2.44  
Barnsley         27   26  -18      44.38     6.02   -31.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.39R   10.10  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.47     5.81   -38.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.34R   27.23  
Southend         27   21  -23      36.62     5.59   -40.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.62R   58.79  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Tranmere vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          26   49  +18      85.35     6.62    31.32    30.57    55.55    93.92    66.46P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              26   48  +24      86.88     6.48    41.46    41.91    66.56    96.67    76.39P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   26   48  +10      81.91     6.82    20.04    13.10    31.56    83.99    43.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        26   46  +10      77.26     6.86    16.00     4.16    12.61    63.62    23.85P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              26   45  +11      75.94     6.73    16.64     2.98     9.26    56.68    20.90P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             26   42  +13      74.13     6.79    20.56     1.95     6.62    48.02    16.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            26   42  +10      74.70     6.80    18.11     2.18     6.83    50.74    18.47P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           26   41  +11      74.05     6.84    20.04     1.88     6.21    48.18    16.23P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           25   39   +9      72.39     7.08    15.95     1.21     4.25    37.34    13.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            26   39   -2      65.45     6.74    -2.80     0.05     0.32     8.29     1.74P    0.46R    0.00  
Port_Vale           27   36   -3      61.31     6.70    -4.17     0.00     0.06     2.43     0.50P    2.50R    0.01  
Rotherham           26   34   +2      63.74     6.85     5.61     0.01     0.12     6.07     1.34P    1.08R    0.01  
Bradford            27   34   -1      59.27     6.56    -1.73     0.00     0.02     1.21     0.30P    4.06R    0.04  
Gillingham          26   34  -11      57.07     6.68   -18.85     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.14P    9.20R    0.15  
Chesterfield        26   31   -1      57.87     6.75    -1.47     0.00     0.01     1.03     0.21P    6.27R    0.06  
Brighton            26   31   -7      54.61     6.76   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   16.18R    0.42  
Huddersfield        27   31  -10      55.42     6.54   -13.02     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   13.46R    0.27  
Crewe               25   29   -4      55.59     7.07    -8.46     0.01     0.01     0.53     0.06P   13.51R    0.41  
Northampton         26   29   -7      52.27     6.44   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   23.91R    0.66  
Bournemouth         27   28  -12      47.67     6.23   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    52.70R    2.76  
Millwall            25   27   -7      50.00     6.84   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    38.20R    1.72  
Leyton_Orient       26   27  -12      48.85     6.66   -20.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.22R    3.08  
Cheltenham          26   24  -14      44.00     6.44   -25.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    73.64R   10.87  
Brentford           27   21  -27      34.65     5.41   -46.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.59R   79.53  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 January 2007, Grimsby vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      97.25     6.17    45.94    78.72    97.52   100.00    98.38P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    27   52  +15      85.25     6.47    27.65     6.62    58.30    97.95    67.75P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        27   51  +17      84.98     6.45    30.13     6.71    57.69    97.88    67.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     26   50  +13      85.13     6.72    24.57     6.94    55.70    97.70    66.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       27   48  +11      78.92     6.50    18.30     0.86    20.64    88.12    38.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          27   43   +7      73.16     6.56    13.23     0.07     4.57    62.99    19.79P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     26   38   +0      66.65     6.97     1.73     0.01     0.89    25.20     5.33P    0.05R    0.01  
Hereford         26   37   +0      63.82     6.75    -0.42     0.01     0.29    13.40     2.91P    0.09R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       26   36  +11      71.19     6.80    23.31     0.04     3.46    54.34    18.74P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          26   36   +1      63.22     6.89     1.00     0.01     0.18    12.88     2.87P    0.12R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   26   36   -1      62.58     6.95    -1.48     0.00     0.22    10.92     2.50P    0.12R    0.01  
Stockport        26   35   +0      61.68     6.95    -1.11     0.00     0.14     8.99     1.96P    0.24R    0.04  
Notts_County     26   35   +0      62.99     6.81     1.16     0.00     0.22    11.96     2.60P    0.14R    0.01  
Barnet           26   34   -6      58.68     6.70   -10.81     0.00     0.03     3.31     0.57P    0.97R    0.20  
Bury             25   33   +0      61.70     7.14     0.09     0.00     0.15    10.07     2.42P    0.34R    0.04  
Darlington       25   30   -5      56.23     7.09    -8.59     0.00     0.00     2.09     0.38P    2.88R    0.69  
Boston           27   30  -10      51.56     6.24   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    8.02R    2.00  
Grimsby          27   29  -21      45.48     5.84   -36.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.28R   13.02  
Rochdale         27   28   -1      52.28     6.47    -3.52     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.09P    5.64R    1.36  
Wrexham          25   28  -16      47.00     6.38   -32.50     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   27.43R    9.55  
Mansfield        24   27   -6      53.42     7.30   -12.20     0.00     0.01     1.21     0.23P    7.03R    1.98  
Accrington       26   26   -8      50.07     6.69   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   12.65R    4.13  
Macclesfield     26   26  -10      48.62     6.62   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   18.36R    5.68  
Torquay          26   20  -16      37.98     6.04   -28.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.64R   61.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Southport vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          26   54  +27      93.78     6.57    47.39    55.60    99.21    71.08P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   51  +24      91.96     6.31    43.75    39.62    98.89    65.62P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   47   +9      79.73     6.88    17.22     2.12    67.49    15.75P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.22     6.91     6.88     0.28    30.52     5.59P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.09     7.19     6.36     0.42    34.26     6.71P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          25   43   +4      75.81     7.31    10.09     0.69    44.32     9.03P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.13     7.09     2.73     0.20    24.75     4.20P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.71     7.54    19.60     0.70    46.82    11.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.76     7.22     9.38     0.10    17.18     3.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.63     7.12    -4.80     0.00     3.17     0.49P    0.47R    0.01  
Aldershot          23   35   +6      70.81     7.87    12.54     0.24    23.75     5.19P    0.06R    0.00  
Crawley            25   34   -3      63.48     7.27    -1.81     0.01     4.17     0.70P    0.49R    0.03  
Woking             26   32   +0      60.83     6.91     2.39     0.00     1.69     0.34P    0.76R    0.04  
Northwich          24   31   -9      56.07     7.39   -17.67     0.00     0.49     0.04P    6.62R    1.01  
Altrincham         26   30   -7      52.43     6.74   -15.19     0.00     0.09     0.01P   12.27R    2.07  
Grays              25   29   +7      61.80     7.15    13.31     0.01     2.38     0.55P    0.81R    0.09  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.04     7.19    -2.99     0.00     0.61     0.08P    3.88R    0.53  
Stafford_Rangers   23   28  -10      53.59     7.43   -18.62     0.00     0.22     0.04P   12.35R    2.23  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      47.91     6.59   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.93R    8.12  
Cambridge_U        26   26  -11      46.78     6.50   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.98R   10.68  
St_Albans          27   26  -15      45.68     6.38   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.99R   14.68  
Rushden_&_D        25   24   -7      47.64     6.91   -14.80     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.22R    8.66  
Southport          26   23  -12      44.22     6.60   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.31R   21.11  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.86     7.07   -28.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.84R   30.73