Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 11 January 2007 at 22:03:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Aston_Villa vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    22   54  +34      88.79     4.83    58.24    90.87    99.38   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   48  +20      78.90     5.45    34.07     8.49    77.45    97.83    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +16      70.02     5.59    28.26     0.36    11.52    73.78    96.36     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   39  +22      68.34     5.72    34.61     0.23     8.29    63.85    93.02     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          22   39   +6      65.42     5.62    12.54     0.04     2.29    35.67    82.43     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   36  +11      62.50     5.86    18.24     0.01     1.00    21.69    68.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   32   -2      54.59     5.92    -1.36     0.00     0.03     2.02    15.27     0.04R    0.00  
Everton         22   31   +6      55.73     5.78    10.52     0.00     0.04     3.33    22.61     0.03R    0.01  
Reading         22   30   +0      53.49     5.78     2.07     0.00     0.01     1.34    12.40     0.05R    0.00  
Manchester_C    22   29   -6      46.70     5.53   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.11     1.07R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   28   -5      49.72     5.78    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.31     3.81     0.42R    0.01  
Fulham          22   27  -10      43.79     5.46   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.36     4.00R    0.07  
Aston_Villa     22   26   -2      46.65     5.64    -4.18     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.38     1.31R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      47.44     5.85    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.86     1.27R    0.04  
Middlesbrough   22   24   -6      42.71     5.50   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     6.14R    0.20  
Sheffield_U     22   23  -12      39.49     5.31   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    17.00R    0.97  
Wigan           21   22   -9      42.28     5.89   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27     8.71R    0.47  
West_Ham        22   18  -21      29.85     4.75   -36.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.12R   30.02  
Charlton        22   16  -23      29.35     4.96   -39.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.80R   34.39  
Watford         20   12  -14      29.24     5.80   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.02R   33.80  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Sheffield_W vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.97     6.31    34.07    58.20    77.17    97.72    82.78P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            27   50   +8      81.33     6.48    16.01    13.80    34.80    84.00    44.99P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   47  +12      78.56     6.53    20.34     7.37    21.16    73.19    33.49P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +12      76.17     6.48    20.58     4.14    13.69    60.81    24.86P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    27   43  +17      77.00     6.51    29.81     5.40    16.70    67.38    31.18P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43  +15      75.82     6.45    25.60     3.71    12.60    60.39    25.71P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43  +14      76.55     6.73    23.35     5.33    15.54    63.23    29.49P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   43   +8      73.55     6.29    15.16     1.57     6.00    43.94    15.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   42   -1      66.28     6.49    -2.86     0.10     0.49     9.68     2.15P    0.06R    0.00  
Sunderland       27   40   +4      67.17     6.45     5.34     0.14     0.77    13.16     3.58P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      27   40   +2      65.65     6.48     0.76     0.09     0.49     9.02     2.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          26   37   +4      65.12     6.66     5.13     0.11     0.48     8.69     2.46P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth         27   36   -1      62.57     6.48    -0.22     0.00     0.04     3.52     0.70P    0.36R    0.01  
Ipswich          27   35   +0      62.06     6.43     1.35     0.01     0.06     3.04     0.67P    0.48R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   27   34   -1      59.18     6.36    -2.13     0.01     0.01     1.04     0.28P    1.36R    0.03  
Coventry         27   34   -6      56.03     6.22   -11.35     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    4.00R    0.05  
Norwich          27   34   -8      55.99     6.37   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P    4.72R    0.09  
Leicester        27   32   -8      53.98     6.20   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    7.46R    0.28  
Luton            27   31  -10      55.34     6.54   -13.27     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P    6.18R    0.33  
Queens_PR        27   30   -7      53.61     6.47   -10.67     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    8.66R    0.47  
Hull             27   27  -11      48.88     6.25   -17.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.68R    2.39  
Barnsley         27   26  -18      44.22     6.01   -31.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.41R    9.86  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.26     5.84   -39.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.83R   28.34  
Southend         27   21  -23      36.59     5.60   -40.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.66R   58.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Tranmere vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          26   49  +18      85.31     6.72    31.24    29.59    54.11    93.74    65.58P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              26   48  +24      87.19     6.53    41.92    43.48    68.53    96.87    78.13P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   26   48  +10      82.04     6.81    20.24    13.14    31.95    85.00    43.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        26   46  +10      77.38     6.76    16.10     4.33    12.54    64.38    24.38P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              26   45  +11      75.71     6.72    16.33     2.36     8.61    55.29    19.77P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             26   42  +13      73.98     6.82    20.33     1.91     6.30    46.84    16.21P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere            26   42  +10      74.87     6.78    18.40     2.14     7.19    51.58    18.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           26   41  +11      74.12     6.82    20.16     1.89     6.21    48.08    16.02P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster           25   39   +9      72.39     7.06    16.02     1.07     4.11    37.70    13.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            26   39   -2      65.44     6.66    -2.85     0.05     0.23     7.57     1.50P    0.41R    0.00  
Port_Vale           27   36   -3      61.42     6.67    -3.96     0.01     0.02     2.34     0.53P    2.17R    0.01  
Rotherham           26   34   +2      63.88     6.90     5.87     0.03     0.17     6.42     1.21P    1.10R    0.00  
Bradford            27   34   -1      59.13     6.62    -1.95     0.00     0.01     1.25     0.28P    4.22R    0.03  
Gillingham          26   34  -11      56.99     6.64   -18.97     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.10P    9.04R    0.10  
Chesterfield        26   31   -1      58.09     6.77    -1.13     0.00     0.01     1.01     0.21P    5.85R    0.06  
Brighton            26   31   -7      54.46     6.76   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P   16.85R    0.40  
Huddersfield        27   31  -10      55.21     6.49   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.01P   13.46R    0.33  
Crewe               25   29   -4      55.55     7.11    -8.45     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.12P   13.69R    0.30  
Northampton         26   29   -7      52.39     6.48   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   23.26R    0.59  
Bournemouth         27   28  -12      47.53     6.18   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.61R    2.94  
Millwall            25   27   -7      50.11     6.80   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   37.09R    1.58  
Leyton_Orient       26   27  -12      48.68     6.65   -21.28     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.01P   46.88R    2.96  
Cheltenham          26   24  -14      43.97     6.33   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    73.75R   10.66  
Brentford           27   21  -27      34.60     5.39   -47.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.59R   80.05  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 January 2007, Grimsby vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      97.36     6.08    46.13    80.33    97.56    99.98    98.36P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    27   52  +15      85.16     6.49    27.51     6.43    58.12    97.98    67.67P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        27   51  +17      84.74     6.47    29.78     5.89    55.75    97.81    66.28P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     26   50  +13      85.17     6.70    24.54     6.28    56.55    97.85    67.69P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       27   48  +11      78.99     6.50    18.39     0.91    21.09    89.06    39.20P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          27   43   +7      73.05     6.61    13.14     0.08     4.77    62.64    19.55P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     26   38   +0      66.61     7.00     1.68     0.01     0.86    24.82     5.25P    0.04R    0.01  
Hereford         26   37   +0      63.90     6.76    -0.28     0.00     0.28    14.08     3.10P    0.10R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       26   36  +11      71.43     6.82    23.69     0.07     3.98    55.86    19.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester          26   36   +1      63.26     6.81     1.04     0.00     0.26    12.30     2.94P    0.07R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   26   36   -1      62.45     6.86    -1.69     0.00     0.19    10.12     2.19P    0.23R    0.03  
Stockport        26   35   +0      61.74     6.90    -1.01     0.00     0.16     8.88     2.04P    0.33R    0.08  
Notts_County     26   35   +0      63.01     6.82     1.25     0.00     0.17    12.36     2.83P    0.09R    0.01  
Barnet           26   34   -6      58.22     6.65   -11.63     0.00     0.02     3.00     0.45P    1.01R    0.17  
Bury             25   33   +0      61.46     7.07    -0.26     0.00     0.20     9.16     2.14P    0.35R    0.07  
Darlington       25   30   -5      55.84     7.07    -9.16     0.00     0.01     1.92     0.39P    2.98R    0.78  
Boston           27   30  -10      51.82     6.29   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    7.53R    1.97  
Grimsby          27   29  -21      45.74     5.95   -36.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.60R   12.61  
Rochdale         27   28   -1      52.40     6.45    -3.28     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P    5.48R    1.44  
Wrexham          25   28  -16      47.02     6.35   -32.36     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   27.82R    9.74  
Mansfield        24   27   -6      53.71     7.22   -11.75     0.00     0.01     1.11     0.24P    6.48R    1.74  
Accrington       26   26   -8      49.97     6.59   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   13.26R    4.01  
Macclesfield     26   26  -10      48.53     6.58   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   19.15R    5.67  
Torquay          26   20  -16      38.10     6.09   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.50R   61.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Southport vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          26   54  +27      93.88     6.51    47.62    56.31    99.29    72.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   51  +24      91.93     6.41    43.72    38.82    98.71    64.89P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   47   +9      79.61     6.91    17.09     2.06    66.53    15.10P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.17     6.88     6.74     0.21    29.74     5.22P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.20     7.25     6.46     0.49    35.16     6.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe          25   43   +4      75.76     7.26    10.00     0.66    44.20     8.96P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.32     7.16     3.02     0.23    25.70     4.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.93     7.52    19.91     0.82    47.78    12.13P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.66     7.15     9.15     0.12    17.07     2.92P    0.02R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.63     7.14    -4.89     0.00     2.96     0.53P    0.48R    0.03  
Aldershot          23   35   +6      70.68     7.87    12.32     0.27    23.16     4.74P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley            25   34   -3      63.24     7.35    -2.06     0.00     3.96     0.67P    0.69R    0.07  
Woking             26   32   +0      60.98     6.98     2.56     0.00     1.73     0.37P    0.95R    0.08  
Northwich          24   31   -9      56.03     7.25   -17.81     0.00     0.48     0.06P    6.10R    0.87  
Altrincham         26   30   -7      52.62     6.74   -14.87     0.00     0.05     0.01P   11.85R    2.06  
Grays              25   29   +7      61.65     7.25    13.04     0.01     2.51     0.69P    0.89R    0.04  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.37     7.26    -2.52     0.00     0.78     0.13P    3.73R    0.43  
Stafford_Rangers   23   28  -10      53.35     7.51   -19.04     0.00     0.16     0.03P   13.55R    2.63  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      47.97     6.67   -17.88     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.80R    7.84  
Cambridge_U        26   26  -11      47.02     6.52   -20.13     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.13R    9.88  
St_Albans          27   26  -15      45.81     6.34   -27.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.22R   13.96  
Rushden_&_D        25   24   -7      47.68     6.84   -14.71     0.00     0.01     0.01P   32.13R    8.68  
Southport          26   23  -12      44.02     6.56   -21.66     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.09R   21.09  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.56     7.08   -28.85     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.29R   32.34