Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 10 January 2007 at 21:32:36 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Aston_Villa vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    22   54  +34      88.78     4.84    58.35    90.64    99.42    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   48  +20      78.92     5.50    34.08     8.76    77.06    97.74    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +16      70.01     5.55    28.19     0.36    11.90    74.58    96.47     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   39  +22      68.41     5.58    34.80     0.20     8.36    65.28    93.89     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          22   39   +6      65.11     5.64    11.97     0.04     2.03    34.19    81.67     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   36  +11      62.21     5.91    17.80     0.01     1.13    20.72    67.56     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   32   -2      54.41     5.88    -1.59     0.00     0.03     1.68    14.38     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         22   31   +6      55.94     5.81    10.83     0.00     0.05     3.65    23.97     0.03R    0.00  
Reading         22   30   +0      53.72     5.79     2.45     0.00     0.01     1.71    13.41     0.06R    0.00  
Manchester_C    22   29   -6      46.63     5.48   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.81     1.07R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   28   -5      49.74     5.75    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.28     3.76     0.42R    0.02  
Fulham          22   27  -10      43.59     5.47   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.38     4.20R    0.07  
Aston_Villa     22   26   -2      46.60     5.61    -4.26     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.23     1.33R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      47.87     5.86    -5.10     0.00     0.00     0.07     2.07     1.06R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   22   24   -6      43.03     5.55   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     5.53R    0.29  
Sheffield_U     22   23  -12      39.56     5.32   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    16.09R    0.92  
Wigan           21   22   -9      42.26     5.85   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27     8.78R    0.49  
West_Ham        22   18  -21      29.70     4.70   -36.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.81R   30.05  
Charlton        22   16  -23      29.29     4.93   -39.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.78R   34.70  
Watford         20   12  -14      29.17     5.72   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.83R   33.43  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Sheffield_W vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.69     6.38    33.54    56.36    75.21    97.38    81.06P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            27   50   +8      81.25     6.48    15.91    13.91    34.28    83.60    44.69P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   47  +12      78.66     6.47    20.59     7.75    22.13    73.43    34.63P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +12      76.23     6.43    20.68     4.29    13.38    61.10    24.20P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    27   43  +17      77.28     6.50    30.32     6.11    17.71    69.35    32.92P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43  +15      75.90     6.43    25.77     4.00    13.04    60.85    26.14P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43  +14      76.72     6.65    23.54     5.45    15.59    64.31    30.17P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   43   +8      73.28     6.39    14.73     1.66     6.06    41.92    14.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   42   -1      66.24     6.48    -2.94     0.15     0.58     9.65     2.15P    0.06R    0.00  
Sunderland       27   40   +4      66.97     6.47     5.03     0.15     0.78    12.39     3.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      27   40   +2      65.55     6.49     0.58     0.07     0.47     8.48     1.78P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          26   37   +4      65.23     6.72     5.31     0.09     0.56     8.79     2.54P    0.11R    0.00  
Plymouth         27   36   -1      62.25     6.51    -0.73     0.01     0.09     3.10     0.68P    0.49R    0.01  
Ipswich          27   35   +0      61.94     6.53     1.11     0.01     0.09     3.15     0.66P    0.52R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   27   34   -1      59.63     6.46    -1.44     0.01     0.05     1.36     0.34P    1.15R    0.01  
Coventry         27   34   -6      56.21     6.23   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    3.72R    0.09  
Norwich          27   34   -8      56.14     6.45   -14.65     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.09P    4.32R    0.12  
Leicester        27   32   -8      53.83     6.18   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    7.83R    0.28  
Luton            27   31  -10      55.33     6.57   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    6.29R    0.21  
Queens_PR        27   30   -7      53.66     6.57   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    9.25R    0.45  
Hull             27   27  -11      48.67     6.23   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    27.83R    2.52  
Barnsley         27   26  -18      44.40     6.03   -31.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.74R    9.28  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.38     5.81   -39.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.61R   27.67  
Southend         27   21  -23      36.45     5.56   -40.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.03R   59.35  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Tranmere vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          26   49  +18      85.02     6.67    30.78    27.75    52.83    93.21    64.58P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              26   48  +24      87.40     6.44    42.32    45.40    69.59    97.14    78.95P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   26   48  +10      82.07     6.80    20.27    13.43    32.59    85.17    44.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        26   46  +10      76.94     6.89    15.54     4.18    12.16    61.28    22.97P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              26   45  +11      75.89     6.69    16.58     2.73     8.82    56.92    20.43P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             26   42  +13      74.17     6.81    20.58     1.77     6.62    48.77    16.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            26   42  +10      74.87     6.73    18.33     1.91     6.72    51.55    18.29P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           26   41  +11      74.05     6.83    20.01     1.75     6.28    47.80    16.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           25   39   +9      72.33     7.03    15.88     1.03     3.84    36.85    12.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            26   39   -2      65.26     6.79    -3.09     0.04     0.28     7.95     1.56P    0.55R    0.01  
Port_Vale           27   36   -3      61.53     6.57    -3.80     0.01     0.04     2.48     0.54P    1.92R    0.00  
Rotherham           26   34   +2      64.02     6.87     6.17     0.03     0.19     6.82     1.59P    0.95R    0.02  
Bradford            27   34   -1      58.81     6.63    -2.35     0.01     0.01     1.11     0.24P    4.64R    0.04  
Gillingham          26   34  -11      56.94     6.75   -19.07     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.07P    9.73R    0.12  
Chesterfield        26   31   -1      58.26     6.85    -0.92     0.00     0.01     1.09     0.20P    5.83R    0.07  
Brighton            26   31   -7      54.46     6.76   -13.59     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.04P   16.70R    0.45  
Huddersfield        27   31  -10      55.14     6.52   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   13.82R    0.37  
Crewe               25   29   -4      55.37     7.11    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.10P   14.33R    0.40  
Northampton         26   29   -7      52.32     6.62   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   23.89R    0.71  
Bournemouth         27   28  -12      47.90     6.20   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.37R    2.83  
Millwall            25   27   -7      50.31     6.79   -15.16     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.01P   35.80R    1.59  
Leyton_Orient       26   27  -12      48.54     6.61   -21.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    47.78R    3.19  
Cheltenham          26   24  -14      43.85     6.33   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.18R   11.70  
Brentford           27   21  -27      34.89     5.48   -46.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.47R   78.50  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 January 2007, Grimsby vs Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      97.56     6.13    46.54    80.53    97.69   100.00    98.64P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    27   52  +15      85.26     6.49    27.65     6.55    59.27    98.01    68.47P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        27   51  +17      84.77     6.44    29.67     6.01    55.97    97.84    66.27P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     26   50  +13      84.88     6.76    24.14     5.82    54.80    97.47    66.19P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       27   48  +11      79.08     6.52    18.55     0.94    21.41    88.86    39.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          27   43   +7      73.00     6.57    13.05     0.09     4.79    62.17    19.48P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     26   38   +0      66.91     7.02     2.16     0.01     0.99    26.70     5.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         26   37   +0      63.65     6.76    -0.64     0.00     0.20    12.84     2.77P    0.12R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       26   36  +11      71.27     6.92    23.43     0.04     3.88    54.62    19.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester          26   36   +1      63.24     6.77     0.97     0.00     0.23    12.72     2.84P    0.08R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   26   36   -1      62.52     6.91    -1.66     0.00     0.20    10.43     2.34P    0.18R    0.03  
Stockport        26   35   +0      61.90     6.98    -0.77     0.00     0.14     9.46     2.26P    0.24R    0.04  
Notts_County     26   35   +0      62.97     6.79     1.16     0.01     0.19    11.69     2.81P    0.20R    0.03  
Barnet           26   34   -6      58.42     6.71   -11.22     0.00     0.02     3.10     0.55P    1.07R    0.18  
Bury             25   33   +0      61.64     7.10     0.00     0.00     0.20     9.78     2.31P    0.35R    0.06  
Darlington       25   30   -5      56.03     6.98    -8.91     0.00     0.01     1.94     0.34P    2.58R    0.52  
Boston           27   30  -10      51.73     6.25   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    7.67R    1.87  
Grimsby          27   29  -21      45.69     5.93   -36.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.34R   12.02  
Rochdale         27   28   -1      52.32     6.50    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P    6.00R    1.53  
Wrexham          25   28  -16      47.10     6.42   -32.40     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   26.89R    8.85  
Mansfield        24   27   -6      53.90     7.26   -11.44     0.00     0.00     1.35     0.27P    5.71R    1.53  
Accrington       26   26   -8      50.06     6.70   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   12.82R    3.84  
Macclesfield     26   26  -10      48.35     6.70   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   19.66R    5.82  
Torquay          26   20  -16      37.61     6.06   -29.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.06R   63.69  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Southport vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          26   54  +27      93.74     6.57    47.31    55.60    99.13    71.08P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   51  +24      91.82     6.44    43.50    39.39    98.70    64.82P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   47   +9      79.46     7.03    16.87     2.18    65.77    15.46P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.33     6.96     6.98     0.31    31.36     6.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.14     7.11     6.39     0.42    34.56     6.62P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          25   43   +4      75.51     7.24     9.78     0.70    42.69     8.71P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.29     7.12     2.91     0.24    25.62     4.53P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.64     7.49    19.49     0.81    46.62    11.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.92     7.18     9.64     0.05    18.39     3.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.55     7.16    -4.93     0.01     2.92     0.51P    0.56R    0.04  
Aldershot          23   35   +6      70.91     7.91    12.71     0.27    24.57     5.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley            25   34   -3      63.37     7.32    -1.85     0.00     4.07     0.72P    0.47R    0.06  
Woking             26   32   +0      60.97     6.79     2.57     0.00     1.50     0.36P    0.86R    0.05  
Northwich          24   31   -9      56.15     7.33   -17.54     0.00     0.42     0.05P    6.42R    0.86  
Altrincham         26   30   -7      52.42     6.71   -15.26     0.00     0.06     0.01P   12.13R    1.90  
Grays              25   29   +7      61.83     7.36    13.28     0.00     2.79     0.68P    0.90R    0.10  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.22     7.18    -2.77     0.00     0.55     0.10P    3.94R    0.58  
Stafford_Rangers   23   28  -10      53.82     7.47   -18.26     0.00     0.25     0.04P   11.96R    2.31  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      47.87     6.60   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.49R    7.97  
Cambridge_U        26   26  -11      46.96     6.52   -20.13     0.00     0.01     0.00    37.00R    9.95  
St_Albans          27   26  -15      45.85     6.35   -27.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.38R   14.41  
Rushden_&_D        25   24   -7      47.58     6.77   -14.84     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.16R    8.61  
Southport          26   23  -12      44.00     6.54   -21.80     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.45R   21.16  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.60     7.00   -28.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.24R   32.01