Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 9 January 2007 at 21:47:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Aston_Villa vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    22   54  +34      88.80     4.88    58.30    90.99    99.42    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   48  +20      78.72     5.48    33.73     8.40    76.48    97.53    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +16      70.07     5.58    28.32     0.41    12.62    74.85    96.45     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   39  +22      68.24     5.65    34.49     0.17     7.96    63.85    93.35     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          22   39   +6      65.22     5.55    12.15     0.02     2.23    35.03    82.45     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   36  +11      62.32     5.91    18.00     0.01     1.17    21.33    68.06     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   32   -2      54.46     5.89    -1.53     0.00     0.03     1.80    14.46     0.04R    0.00  
Everton         22   31   +6      55.77     5.76    10.59     0.00     0.09     3.48    23.09     0.02R    0.00  
Reading         22   30   +0      53.51     5.87     2.08     0.00     0.00     1.55    12.89     0.10R    0.00  
Manchester_C    22   29   -6      46.91     5.57   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.26     1.07R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   28   -5      49.78     5.79    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.40     4.13     0.50R    0.01  
Fulham          22   27  -10      43.83     5.54   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.41     4.26R    0.09  
Aston_Villa     22   26   -2      46.68     5.65    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.30     1.28R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      47.38     5.85    -5.77     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.73     1.43R    0.03  
Middlesbrough   22   24   -6      42.97     5.56   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25     5.71R    0.20  
Sheffield_U     22   23  -12      39.47     5.26   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    16.84R    0.98  
Wigan           21   22   -9      42.55     5.80   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     7.92R    0.36  
West_Ham        22   18  -21      29.73     4.77   -36.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.89R   30.21  
Charlton        22   16  -23      29.25     4.95   -39.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.15R   34.81  
Watford         20   12  -14      29.28     5.83   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.80R   33.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Sheffield_W vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.68     6.38    33.59    55.80    74.92    97.36    80.72P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            27   50   +8      81.50     6.62    16.27    15.24    35.86    84.00    45.72P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   47  +12      78.79     6.54    20.77     7.97    22.18    74.36    34.90P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +12      76.14     6.42    20.50     3.96    13.21    60.38    24.30P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    27   43  +17      77.26     6.58    30.20     6.05    17.89    68.89    32.91P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43  +15      75.86     6.43    25.75     3.92    12.47    60.59    25.30P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43  +14      76.60     6.69    23.41     5.27    15.59    63.45    29.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   43   +8      73.33     6.33    14.85     1.38     5.63    42.23    14.31P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   42   -1      66.19     6.39    -3.07     0.10     0.53     9.34     2.24P    0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland       27   40   +4      66.99     6.48     5.11     0.13     0.66    12.64     3.27P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      27   40   +2      65.59     6.50     0.64     0.07     0.41     8.96     2.00P    0.07R    0.00  
Burnley          26   37   +4      65.29     6.69     5.36     0.09     0.51     8.93     2.54P    0.10R    0.00  
Plymouth         27   36   -1      62.31     6.51    -0.65     0.01     0.04     3.28     0.70P    0.43R    0.01  
Ipswich          27   35   +0      61.74     6.57     0.85     0.00     0.07     3.04     0.71P    0.64R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   27   34   -1      59.29     6.48    -1.98     0.00     0.02     1.35     0.29P    1.26R    0.01  
Coventry         27   34   -6      56.17     6.36   -11.17     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.09P    3.96R    0.10  
Norwich          27   34   -8      56.12     6.43   -14.69     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.07P    4.40R    0.10  
Leicester        27   32   -8      53.96     6.25   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    7.86R    0.33  
Luton            27   31  -10      55.28     6.51   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P    6.26R    0.30  
Queens_PR        27   30   -7      53.54     6.53   -10.79     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    9.30R    0.51  
Hull             27   27  -11      48.89     6.29   -16.93     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   26.74R    2.41  
Barnsley         27   26  -18      44.29     6.00   -31.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.91R   10.04  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.38     5.93   -39.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.22R   28.59  
Southend         27   21  -23      36.75     5.59   -40.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.78R   57.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Tranmere vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          26   49  +18      85.42     6.67    31.35    30.20    55.42    93.99    67.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              26   48  +24      87.00     6.53    41.72    42.84    67.30    96.56    76.99P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   26   48  +10      81.80     6.81    19.82    12.57    30.66    84.01    42.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        26   46  +10      77.11     6.82    15.73     4.24    12.36    62.22    23.46P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              26   45  +11      76.01     6.68    16.81     2.92     9.38    56.79    21.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea             26   42  +13      73.92     6.92    20.19     1.89     6.24    47.37    16.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            26   42  +10      74.61     6.84    17.98     2.08     6.83    49.83    17.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           26   41  +11      74.30     6.77    20.47     1.80     6.50    49.51    16.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           25   39   +9      72.59     7.11    16.19     1.36     4.77    38.88    14.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Carlisle            26   39   -2      65.43     6.75    -2.82     0.06     0.32     8.20     1.64P    0.45R    0.00  
Port_Vale           27   36   -3      61.32     6.56    -4.13     0.00     0.03     2.35     0.43P    2.08R    0.00  
Rotherham           26   34   +2      63.69     6.92     5.64     0.03     0.17     6.30     1.44P    1.15R    0.00  
Bradford            27   34   -1      59.14     6.46    -1.95     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.20P    3.85R    0.02  
Gillingham          26   34  -11      56.95     6.69   -18.97     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.07P    9.17R    0.16  
Chesterfield        26   31   -1      58.10     6.88    -1.15     0.00     0.01     1.10     0.24P    6.78R    0.07  
Brighton            26   31   -7      54.59     6.74   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P   16.57R    0.44  
Huddersfield        27   31  -10      55.04     6.46   -13.66     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   14.29R    0.34  
Crewe               25   29   -4      55.56     7.06    -8.51     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.10P   13.62R    0.36  
Northampton         26   29   -7      52.79     6.52   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.04P   21.79R    0.54  
Bournemouth         27   28  -12      47.42     6.18   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.87R    3.12  
Millwall            25   27   -7      50.55     6.89   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   34.70R    1.57  
Leyton_Orient       26   27  -12      48.44     6.48   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    48.27R    3.20  
Cheltenham          26   24  -14      43.93     6.38   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.74R   10.76  
Brentford           27   21  -27      34.66     5.41   -46.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.66R   79.43  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 January 2007, Milton_Keynes vs Lincoln_C; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      96.99     6.27    45.69    78.44    97.36    99.98    98.28P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    27   52  +15      85.08     6.45    27.37     6.80    58.07    98.00    67.59P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        27   51  +17      84.89     6.46    29.90     6.78    57.20    98.12    67.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     26   50  +13      84.88     6.73    24.20     6.71    54.80    97.73    66.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       27   48  +11      79.00     6.63    18.46     1.12    21.69    88.47    39.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          27   43   +7      73.04     6.61    13.09     0.10     4.96    62.77    20.14P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     26   38   +0      66.46     7.01     1.53     0.00     0.81    25.05     5.56P    0.05R    0.01  
Hereford         26   37   +0      64.08     6.88    -0.05     0.01     0.28    15.04     3.73P    0.13R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       26   36  +11      71.30     6.83    23.50     0.03     3.98    55.64    18.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   26   36   -1      62.65     6.91    -1.44     0.00     0.20    11.27     2.54P    0.23R    0.02  
Stockport        26   35   +0      62.21     6.92    -0.33     0.00     0.15    10.36     2.36P    0.28R    0.05  
Notts_County     26   35   +0      62.80     6.91     0.93     0.01     0.23    11.71     2.71P    0.22R    0.06  
Barnet           26   34   -6      58.20     6.74   -11.54     0.00     0.01     3.42     0.59P    1.23R    0.24  
Bury             25   33   +0      61.68     6.99     0.08     0.01     0.13     9.87     2.12P    0.37R    0.04  
Chester          25   33   -1      61.01     7.04    -1.87     0.00     0.12     8.11     1.69P    0.54R    0.06  
Darlington       25   30   -5      55.88     7.00    -9.13     0.00     0.02     1.95     0.41P    3.46R    0.78  
Boston           27   30  -10      51.64     6.35   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P    9.03R    2.48  
Grimsby          26   29  -19      47.63     6.26   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   26.76R    8.75  
Rochdale         27   28   -1      52.45     6.53    -3.18     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.12P    6.33R    1.51  
Wrexham          25   28  -16      47.27     6.44   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   28.74R    9.98  
Mansfield        24   27   -6      53.63     7.28   -11.93     0.00     0.01     1.37     0.23P    7.28R    1.92  
Accrington       26   26   -8      50.00     6.66   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   14.30R    4.45  
Macclesfield     26   26  -10      48.58     6.58   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   20.40R    6.05  
Torquay          26   20  -16      38.14     6.00   -28.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.64R   63.58  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Southport vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          26   54  +27      93.69     6.50    47.21    55.16    99.20    70.80P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   51  +24      91.85     6.37    43.65    39.73    98.80    65.86P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   47   +9      79.39     6.91    16.73     1.92    65.36    14.60P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.36     6.94     7.08     0.37    31.16     5.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.16     7.17     6.41     0.47    34.92     6.75P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          25   43   +4      75.69     7.39     9.95     0.80    44.24     9.18P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.12     7.06     2.66     0.27    24.33     4.26P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      76.05     7.49    20.08     0.94    48.46    12.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.62     7.21     9.10     0.10    17.23     2.90P    0.07R    0.01  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.58     7.20    -4.97     0.01     2.94     0.54P    0.65R    0.04  
Aldershot          23   35   +6      70.62     7.94    12.22     0.23    23.54     5.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            25   34   -3      63.50     7.29    -1.79     0.01     4.19     0.77P    0.61R    0.07  
Woking             26   32   +0      60.98     6.95     2.58     0.00     1.77     0.33P    0.83R    0.04  
Northwich          24   31   -9      56.24     7.26   -17.48     0.00     0.45     0.06P    5.99R    0.91  
Altrincham         26   30   -7      52.77     6.64   -14.65     0.00     0.06     0.01P   11.28R    1.74  
Grays              25   29   +7      61.85     7.21    13.33     0.01     2.56     0.61P    0.93R    0.12  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.01     7.21    -3.00     0.00     0.54     0.12P    4.26R    0.57  
Stafford_Rangers   23   28  -10      53.55     7.49   -18.67     0.00     0.22     0.04P   12.80R    2.58  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      47.67     6.65   -18.29     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.53R    8.60  
Cambridge_U        26   26  -11      46.90     6.36   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.03R   10.23  
St_Albans          27   26  -15      45.72     6.41   -27.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.60R   14.64  
Rushden_&_D        25   24   -7      47.69     6.94   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.30R    8.90  
Southport          26   23  -12      44.28     6.54   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.53R   20.09  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.80     7.03   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.58R   31.47