Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 8 January 2007 at 21:32:41 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Aston_Villa vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    22   54  +34      88.91     4.90    58.46    91.05    99.38   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   48  +20      78.84     5.42    33.96     8.34    77.23    97.87    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +16      69.87     5.62    28.04     0.39    11.61    73.34    96.02     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   39  +22      68.52     5.56    34.84     0.18     8.38    65.64    93.69     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          22   39   +6      65.15     5.60    12.05     0.04     2.17    34.20    81.67     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   36  +11      62.42     5.91    18.12     0.01     1.10    21.52    68.31     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   32   -2      54.64     5.90    -1.28     0.00     0.03     2.00    15.15     0.02R    0.00  
Everton         22   31   +6      55.78     5.78    10.60     0.00     0.08     3.28    22.91     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         22   30   +0      53.68     5.86     2.39     0.00     0.01     1.61    13.60     0.09R    0.00  
Manchester_C    22   29   -6      46.71     5.59   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.21     1.14R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   28   -5      49.66     5.75    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.24     3.69     0.63R    0.01  
Fulham          22   27  -10      43.79     5.57   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40     4.13R    0.10  
Aston_Villa     22   26   -2      46.76     5.62    -3.98     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.46     1.18R    0.03  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      47.45     5.74    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.54     1.14R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   22   24   -6      42.71     5.49   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     5.70R    0.20  
Sheffield_U     22   23  -12      39.45     5.28   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    16.91R    1.03  
Wigan           21   22   -9      42.36     5.90   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27     8.71R    0.43  
West_Ham        22   18  -21      29.72     4.66   -36.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.27R   30.13  
Charlton        22   16  -23      29.28     5.00   -39.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.63R   35.51  
Watford         20   12  -14      29.37     5.77   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.45R   32.54  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Sheffield_W vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.89     6.33    33.98    57.54    76.61    97.83    82.39P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            27   50   +8      81.00     6.60    15.58    13.91    33.20    82.19    43.62P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   47  +12      78.69     6.52    20.57     8.01    22.32    74.17    34.77P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +12      76.32     6.47    20.71     4.27    13.79    61.37    24.77P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    27   43  +17      77.11     6.52    30.03     5.26    17.36    68.92    31.76P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43  +15      75.93     6.47    25.87     3.91    13.36    61.80    26.82P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43  +14      76.52     6.64    23.27     5.14    15.23    63.27    29.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   43   +8      73.38     6.38    14.92     1.52     5.93    43.15    14.78P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   42   -1      66.09     6.44    -3.16     0.11     0.43     9.11     1.93P    0.05R    0.00  
Sunderland       27   40   +4      66.93     6.37     4.92     0.17     0.67    12.04     2.96P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      27   40   +2      65.39     6.40     0.29     0.05     0.37     8.04     1.95P    0.06R    0.00  
Burnley          26   37   +4      65.24     6.75     5.34     0.07     0.47     9.05     2.43P    0.09R    0.00  
Plymouth         27   36   -1      62.37     6.59    -0.55     0.00     0.09     3.65     0.81P    0.47R    0.01  
Ipswich          27   35   +0      61.81     6.53     1.01     0.03     0.10     3.07     0.74P    0.60R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   27   34   -1      59.29     6.36    -1.94     0.00     0.04     1.21     0.30P    1.43R    0.04  
Coventry         27   34   -6      55.97     6.20   -11.37     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P    4.07R    0.09  
Norwich          27   34   -8      56.22     6.42   -14.50     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.10P    4.61R    0.11  
Leicester        27   32   -8      54.07     6.25   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    7.71R    0.32  
Luton            27   31  -10      55.36     6.43   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    6.24R    0.33  
Queens_PR        27   30   -7      53.72     6.58   -10.51     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.04P    9.38R    0.48  
Hull             27   27  -11      48.93     6.31   -16.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.86R    2.65  
Barnsley         27   26  -18      44.44     6.08   -31.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.06R    9.52  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.38     5.87   -39.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.67R   28.27  
Southend         27   21  -23      36.69     5.62   -40.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.69R   58.17  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Tranmere vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          26   49  +18      85.37     6.66    31.33    29.74    54.86    93.83    66.34P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              26   48  +24      87.10     6.48    41.78    43.20    67.96    96.77    77.42P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   26   48  +10      82.02     6.73    20.18    13.24    31.82    84.82    43.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        26   46  +10      77.01     6.75    15.65     3.85    11.58    61.98    22.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil              26   45  +11      75.88     6.69    16.55     2.81     8.96    56.67    20.78P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             26   42  +13      74.01     6.84    20.45     1.86     6.38    47.44    16.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            26   42  +10      75.05     6.83    18.61     2.33     7.62    52.49    19.80P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool           26   41  +11      73.91     6.75    19.77     1.79     6.13    46.58    15.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           25   39   +9      72.56     6.96    16.21     1.14     4.21    38.29    13.47P    0.03R    0.00  
Carlisle            26   39   -2      65.35     6.72    -2.97     0.04     0.28     8.25     1.70P    0.49R    0.00  
Port_Vale           27   36   -3      61.52     6.61    -3.81     0.00     0.02     2.62     0.46P    2.16R    0.01  
Rotherham           26   34   +2      63.76     6.86     5.58     0.01     0.12     6.28     1.45P    1.02R    0.01  
Bradford            27   34   -1      59.01     6.54    -2.11     0.01     0.01     1.25     0.32P    4.17R    0.02  
Gillingham          26   34  -11      56.93     6.66   -19.10     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.14P    9.23R    0.12  
Chesterfield        26   31   -1      57.88     6.83    -1.38     0.00     0.01     0.93     0.27P    6.72R    0.06  
Brighton            26   31   -7      54.69     6.86   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P   16.20R    0.35  
Huddersfield        27   31  -10      55.04     6.54   -13.65     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   13.98R    0.29  
Crewe               25   29   -4      55.71     7.00    -8.26     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.09P   12.90R    0.24  
Northampton         26   29   -7      52.56     6.55   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   22.70R    0.69  
Bournemouth         27   28  -12      47.62     6.30   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.73R    2.90  
Millwall            25   27   -7      50.19     6.78   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   36.58R    1.65  
Leyton_Orient       26   27  -12      48.48     6.58   -21.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    47.99R    3.54  
Cheltenham          26   24  -14      44.09     6.34   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.47R    9.97  
Brentford           27   21  -27      34.65     5.40   -46.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.62R   80.14  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Boston vs Accrington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      97.04     6.26    45.66    76.82    97.39    99.97    98.22P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    26   51  +15      86.01     6.82    28.31     9.20    62.30    98.28    70.92P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        26   50  +17      84.61     6.75    28.74     6.53    54.57    97.44    65.03P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     26   50  +13      84.87     6.72    24.23     6.21    54.20    97.59    65.92P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       27   48  +11      79.13     6.59    18.63     1.09    21.71    89.06    39.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          27   43   +7      73.09     6.56    13.20     0.09     4.36    63.62    19.27P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     26   38   +0      66.70     6.91     1.80     0.01     0.78    25.33     5.21P    0.06R    0.02  
Hereford         26   37   +0      63.87     6.87    -0.35     0.00     0.26    14.18     3.40P    0.08R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       26   36  +11      71.42     6.79    23.64     0.05     3.52    56.52    19.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   26   36   -1      62.55     6.87    -1.52     0.00     0.18    10.64     2.51P    0.23R    0.01  
Stockport        26   35   +0      61.95     6.87    -0.64     0.00     0.16     9.73     2.09P    0.28R    0.04  
Notts_County     26   35   +0      62.67     6.77     0.73     0.00     0.15    11.10     2.48P    0.17R    0.03  
Barnet           26   34   -6      58.50     6.68   -11.05     0.00     0.01     3.23     0.54P    1.12R    0.21  
Bury             25   33   +0      61.82     7.11     0.29     0.01     0.21    10.12     2.38P    0.41R    0.09  
Chester          25   33   -1      61.09     7.03    -1.81     0.00     0.13     8.54     1.77P    0.47R    0.04  
Darlington       25   30   -5      55.99     7.09    -8.99     0.00     0.03     2.05     0.41P    3.23R    0.69  
Boston           27   30  -10      51.53     6.33   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    8.82R    2.23  
Grimsby          26   29  -19      47.62     6.26   -33.66     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    26.61R    8.43  
Rochdale         27   28   -1      52.54     6.54    -3.11     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.11P    6.14R    1.53  
Wrexham          25   28  -16      47.15     6.41   -32.29     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   28.95R    9.86  
Mansfield        24   27   -6      53.84     7.29   -11.55     0.01     0.03     1.39     0.23P    6.64R    1.65  
Accrington       26   26   -8      49.95     6.64   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   14.54R    4.41  
Macclesfield     26   26  -10      48.45     6.69   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P   21.14R    6.26  
Torquay          26   20  -16      37.88     6.07   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.08R   64.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Southport vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          26   54  +27      93.82     6.61    47.42    55.80    99.22    71.33P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   51  +24      91.88     6.37    43.60    38.92    98.81    65.22P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   47   +9      79.40     7.06    16.70     2.38    65.30    14.84P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.22     6.99     6.85     0.29    30.29     5.72P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.43     7.21     6.82     0.53    36.53     7.15P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          25   43   +4      75.45     7.33     9.67     0.66    42.51     8.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.19     7.25     2.71     0.22    25.39     4.42P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.84     7.46    19.85     0.88    47.34    12.18P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.86     7.21     9.57     0.12    18.13     3.23P    0.03R    0.01  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.53     7.06    -5.02     0.00     2.90     0.47P    0.56R    0.04  
Aldershot          23   35   +6      70.86     7.80    12.60     0.20    24.09     5.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley            25   34   -3      63.44     7.33    -1.82     0.01     4.07     0.68P    0.53R    0.05  
Woking             26   32   +0      60.53     6.86     1.91     0.01     1.38     0.21P    1.06R    0.12  
Northwich          24   31   -9      56.29     7.26   -17.36     0.00     0.42     0.04P    5.72R    0.88  
Altrincham         26   30   -7      52.63     6.71   -14.94     0.00     0.07     0.03P   11.83R    1.92  
Grays              25   29   +7      61.94     7.20    13.46     0.01     2.61     0.69P    0.70R    0.05  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.16     7.26    -2.77     0.00     0.70     0.14P    3.94R    0.45  
Stafford_Rangers   23   28  -10      53.71     7.38   -18.47     0.00     0.20     0.04P   11.86R    2.17  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      47.94     6.63   -17.84     0.00     0.01     0.01P   31.23R    8.14  
Cambridge_U        26   26  -11      46.87     6.49   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.94R   10.49  
St_Albans          27   26  -15      45.77     6.38   -27.41     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.22R   14.66  
Rushden_&_D        25   24   -7      47.54     6.88   -14.92     0.00     0.02     0.01P   32.74R    8.86  
Southport          26   23  -12      44.00     6.50   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.30R   21.54  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.80     7.06   -28.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.28R   30.62