Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 7 January 2007 at 21:34:29 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Aston_Villa vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    22   54  +34      88.78     4.86    58.35    90.47    99.42    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   48  +20      78.87     5.49    33.96     8.88    77.27    97.90    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +16      69.98     5.56    28.21     0.38    11.35    73.69    96.31     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   39  +22      68.44     5.66    34.78     0.23     8.54    65.24    93.47     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          22   39   +6      65.09     5.62    11.94     0.01     2.17    34.03    82.05     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   36  +11      62.22     5.99    17.80     0.01     1.18    21.40    67.22     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       22   32   -2      54.58     5.86    -1.33     0.00     0.02     1.85    15.10     0.04R    0.00  
Everton         22   31   +6      55.76     5.83    10.58     0.01     0.04     3.59    23.18     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         22   30   +0      53.82     5.86     2.59     0.00     0.01     1.84    14.12     0.04R    0.00  
Manchester_C    22   29   -6      46.96     5.55   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.30     0.98R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   28   -5      49.48     5.80    -9.02     0.00     0.00     0.24     3.60     0.58R    0.01  
Fulham          22   27  -10      43.74     5.49   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34     3.90R    0.07  
Aston_Villa     22   26   -2      46.83     5.63    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.40     1.29R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      47.42     5.79    -5.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.53     1.23R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   22   24   -6      42.75     5.54   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     6.29R    0.25  
Sheffield_U     22   23  -12      39.64     5.26   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    15.79R    0.94  
Wigan           21   22   -9      42.31     5.80   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25     8.38R    0.35  
West_Ham        22   18  -21      29.73     4.73   -36.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.00R   29.88  
Charlton        22   16  -23      29.26     4.92   -39.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.20R   34.81  
Watford         20   12  -14      29.25     5.81   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.26R   33.65  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Sheffield_W vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.79     6.37    33.68    56.22    75.64    97.51    81.15P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            27   50   +8      81.36     6.50    16.09    14.31    34.36    83.78    44.76P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   47  +12      78.95     6.53    21.01     8.54    22.83    74.69    35.12P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +12      76.36     6.39    20.91     4.19    13.22    61.88    24.78P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    27   43  +17      77.26     6.52    30.27     5.83    17.74    68.98    32.33P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43  +15      75.95     6.48    25.92     4.11    13.08    60.61    26.06P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43  +14      76.63     6.61    23.46     4.94    15.18    64.08    30.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   43   +8      73.24     6.39    14.63     1.51     5.54    41.45    14.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   42   -1      65.96     6.38    -3.25     0.04     0.45     8.54     1.98P    0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland       27   40   +4      66.96     6.43     5.02     0.14     0.70    11.82     2.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      27   40   +2      65.41     6.46     0.39     0.04     0.42     8.12     1.97P    0.06R    0.00  
Burnley          26   37   +4      65.23     6.81     5.33     0.10     0.62     9.20     2.61P    0.11R    0.01  
Plymouth         27   36   -1      62.66     6.60    -0.12     0.03     0.10     3.87     0.95P    0.49R    0.03  
Ipswich          27   35   +0      61.90     6.54     1.10     0.00     0.09     3.28     0.73P    0.60R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   27   34   -1      59.12     6.41    -2.20     0.00     0.01     1.12     0.23P    1.31R    0.03  
Coventry         27   34   -6      56.13     6.25   -11.17     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P    3.73R    0.06  
Norwich          27   34   -8      55.83     6.39   -15.19     0.01     0.01     0.29     0.05P    4.95R    0.10  
Leicester        27   32   -8      54.01     6.20   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    7.52R    0.33  
Luton            27   31  -10      55.17     6.47   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    6.34R    0.31  
Queens_PR        27   30   -7      53.78     6.64   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    9.16R    0.47  
Hull             27   27  -11      49.05     6.36   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.08R    2.48  
Barnsley         27   26  -18      44.21     5.98   -31.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.08R   10.21  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.48     5.89   -38.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.04R   26.43  
Southend         27   21  -23      36.50     5.53   -40.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.46R   59.56  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Tranmere vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          26   49  +18      85.08     6.65    30.91    28.84    54.01    93.66    65.48P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              26   48  +24      87.09     6.46    41.77    44.00    68.61    97.00    77.86P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   26   48  +10      81.78     6.79    19.89    13.19    31.41    84.16    43.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        26   46  +10      76.78     6.87    15.28     3.92    11.61    60.58    22.09P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              26   45  +11      76.19     6.68    17.03     2.98     9.76    58.23    21.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             26   42  +13      74.04     6.81    20.35     1.89     6.55    48.02    16.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            26   42  +10      74.89     6.81    18.39     2.12     7.15    51.60    18.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           26   41  +11      74.10     6.79    20.06     1.92     6.46    48.19    16.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           25   39   +9      72.47     6.86    16.10     1.07     3.91    37.46    13.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            26   39   -2      65.44     6.72    -2.75     0.06     0.29     8.25     1.77P    0.49R    0.00  
Port_Vale           27   36   -3      61.43     6.57    -3.98     0.00     0.03     2.57     0.54P    2.27R    0.01  
Rotherham           26   34   +2      63.63     6.90     5.46     0.02     0.16     6.20     1.44P    1.15R    0.01  
Bradford            27   34   -1      59.24     6.51    -1.76     0.01     0.02     1.28     0.29P    3.63R    0.01  
Gillingham          26   34  -11      56.77     6.69   -19.32     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.12P    9.85R    0.22  
Chesterfield        26   31   -1      58.10     6.83    -1.15     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.23P    6.39R    0.07  
Brighton            26   31   -7      54.84     6.83   -13.09     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   15.57R    0.38  
Huddersfield        27   31  -10      55.19     6.47   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   13.54R    0.27  
Crewe               25   29   -4      55.56     7.07    -8.48     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.09P   13.62R    0.34  
Northampton         26   29   -7      52.50     6.55   -11.08     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.03P   22.98R    0.65  
Bournemouth         27   28  -12      47.52     6.16   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.34R    3.15  
Millwall            25   27   -7      50.33     6.83   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   36.02R    1.69  
Leyton_Orient       26   27  -12      48.52     6.58   -21.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   47.91R    3.25  
Cheltenham          26   24  -14      44.05     6.44   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    73.69R   11.02  
Brentford           27   21  -27      34.81     5.43   -46.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.52R   78.97  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Boston vs Accrington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      97.24     6.21    46.13    77.40    97.48    99.99    98.37P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    26   51  +15      85.96     6.80    28.22     8.45    61.71    98.09    70.74P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        26   50  +17      84.72     6.79    28.87     6.54    54.33    97.66    64.95P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     26   50  +13      85.08     6.72    24.45     6.49    55.20    97.77    66.86P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       27   48  +11      79.19     6.55    18.67     0.95    21.38    89.69    39.83P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          27   43   +7      73.03     6.65    13.11     0.09     4.66    63.31    19.48P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     26   38   +0      66.64     6.93     1.70     0.01     0.73    25.61     5.45P    0.04R    0.01  
Hereford         26   37   +0      63.68     6.83    -0.58     0.00     0.23    14.01     3.16P    0.09R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       26   36  +11      71.21     6.87    23.25     0.07     3.56    55.38    18.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   26   36   -1      62.42     6.91    -1.70     0.00     0.18    10.80     2.60P    0.23R    0.02  
Stockport        26   35   +0      61.83     6.84    -0.80     0.00     0.12     9.38     2.06P    0.25R    0.01  
Notts_County     26   35   +0      62.82     6.85     0.96     0.00     0.14    12.05     2.53P    0.24R    0.03  
Barnet           26   34   -6      58.42     6.74   -11.25     0.00     0.04     3.45     0.60P    1.20R    0.20  
Bury             25   33   +0      61.58     7.05    -0.06     0.00     0.12     9.83     2.04P    0.43R    0.09  
Chester          25   33   -1      60.99     7.00    -1.96     0.00     0.07     8.12     1.62P    0.49R    0.07  
Darlington       25   30   -5      55.90     6.92    -9.10     0.00     0.02     1.91     0.30P    2.92R    0.69  
Boston           27   30  -10      51.65     6.28   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    8.71R    2.23  
Grimsby          26   29  -19      47.51     6.29   -33.90     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   27.16R    8.70  
Rochdale         27   28   -1      52.58     6.62    -3.07     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.16P    6.43R    1.59  
Wrexham          25   28  -16      47.20     6.40   -32.07     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   28.91R    9.82  
Mansfield        24   27   -6      53.97     7.31   -11.31     0.00     0.01     1.56     0.27P    6.66R    1.71  
Accrington       26   26   -8      50.14     6.66   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P   14.13R    4.39  
Macclesfield     26   26  -10      48.57     6.63   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   20.43R    5.88  
Torquay          26   20  -16      37.92     6.02   -28.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.68R   64.56  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Southport vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          26   54  +27      93.81     6.56    47.40    55.56    99.23    70.89P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   51  +24      91.92     6.39    43.70    39.26    98.83    65.44P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   47   +9      79.46     6.93    16.81     2.12    65.71    15.06P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.42     7.01     7.18     0.27    31.62     5.75P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.34     7.13     6.70     0.46    36.10     6.79P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          25   43   +4      75.70     7.40     9.88     0.81    43.83     9.23P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.27     7.09     2.91     0.28    25.10     4.22P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.80     7.52    19.73     0.84    47.36    12.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.66     7.15     9.16     0.10    16.82     2.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.58     7.10    -4.93     0.00     2.92     0.47P    0.56R    0.04  
Aldershot          23   35   +6      70.83     7.74    12.50     0.29    23.45     5.06P    0.04R    0.01  
Crawley            25   34   -3      63.21     7.17    -2.07     0.00     3.62     0.65P    0.47R    0.02  
Woking             26   32   +0      60.83     6.85     2.37     0.00     1.56     0.34P    0.81R    0.07  
Northwich          24   31   -9      56.14     7.22   -17.57     0.01     0.52     0.08P    5.92R    0.79  
Altrincham         26   30   -7      52.47     6.67   -15.13     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.29R    2.05  
Grays              25   29   +7      61.46     7.28    12.75     0.01     2.36     0.65P    1.13R    0.07  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.33     7.28    -2.56     0.00     0.73     0.10P    3.89R    0.43  
Stafford_Rangers   23   28  -10      53.54     7.52   -18.73     0.00     0.16     0.04P   13.07R    2.59  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      47.96     6.64   -17.89     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.28R    8.16  
Cambridge_U        26   26  -11      47.21     6.44   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.29R    9.63  
St_Albans          27   26  -15      45.85     6.35   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.25R   14.11  
Rushden_&_D        25   24   -7      47.75     6.83   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.17R    8.28  
Southport          26   23  -12      44.02     6.57   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.03R   21.14  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.47     6.97   -28.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.76R   32.62