Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 6 January 2007 at 21:33:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Aston_Villa vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    22   54  +34      88.91     4.87    58.56    91.09    99.46   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   48  +20      78.88     5.48    34.04     8.37    77.44    97.77    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +16      69.76     5.66    27.90     0.30    11.15    72.61    95.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   39  +22      68.53     5.59    34.96     0.20     8.48    65.97    93.96     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          22   39   +6      65.19     5.63    12.08     0.04     2.19    35.16    81.70     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   36  +11      62.32     5.83    17.94     0.00     1.20    21.07    68.36     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   32   -2      54.67     5.88    -1.22     0.00     0.03     2.02    15.52     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         22   31   +6      55.67     5.74    10.46     0.00     0.06     3.29    22.14     0.02R    0.00  
Reading         22   30   +0      53.65     5.75     2.31     0.00     0.00     1.54    13.04     0.04R    0.00  
Manchester_C    22   29   -6      46.86     5.51   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.21     1.08R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   28   -5      49.62     5.83    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.26     4.03     0.62R    0.01  
Fulham          22   27  -10      43.67     5.54   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.32     4.11R    0.05  
Aston_Villa     22   26   -2      46.79     5.64    -3.97     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.42     1.23R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      47.62     5.90    -5.42     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.95     1.10R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   22   24   -6      42.70     5.48   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     5.83R    0.24  
Sheffield_U     22   23  -12      39.41     5.30   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    17.33R    1.01  
Wigan           21   22   -9      42.26     5.89   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.34     8.30R    0.52  
West_Ham        22   18  -21      30.00     4.79   -36.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.62R   28.68  
Charlton        22   16  -23      29.19     4.92   -39.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.41R   35.77  
Watford         20   12  -14      29.21     5.80   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.29R   33.68  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Sheffield_W vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.76     6.36    33.85    56.53    75.59    97.52    81.22P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            27   50   +8      81.17     6.55    15.80    13.87    34.02    82.92    43.92P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   47  +12      78.71     6.46    20.58     7.49    21.52    73.94    33.87P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +12      76.28     6.44    20.71     4.46    13.45    61.26    24.50P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    27   43  +17      77.25     6.50    30.29     5.75    17.75    69.05    32.86P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43  +15      75.93     6.54    25.90     4.29    13.41    60.70    26.66P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43  +14      76.83     6.65    23.77     5.63    16.25    65.06    31.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   43   +8      73.40     6.30    14.87     1.56     5.70    42.62    14.46P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   42   -1      66.34     6.37    -2.78     0.10     0.46     9.43     2.03P    0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland       27   40   +4      66.82     6.48     4.78     0.18     0.72    11.78     3.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      27   40   +2      65.85     6.47     1.10     0.06     0.47     8.98     2.01P    0.07R    0.00  
Burnley          26   37   +4      65.03     6.66     4.97     0.06     0.41     8.04     2.13P    0.10R    0.01  
Plymouth         27   36   -1      62.57     6.58    -0.22     0.01     0.12     3.72     0.83P    0.42R    0.00  
Ipswich          27   35   +0      61.79     6.43     0.97     0.01     0.09     2.79     0.65P    0.57R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   27   34   -1      59.39     6.36    -1.84     0.00     0.02     1.05     0.26P    1.24R    0.03  
Coventry         27   34   -6      56.02     6.24   -11.38     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.05P    3.74R    0.06  
Norwich          27   34   -8      55.98     6.39   -14.94     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.07P    4.59R    0.10  
Leicester        27   32   -8      53.88     6.28   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    8.06R    0.34  
Luton            27   31  -10      55.35     6.48   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P    5.94R    0.27  
Queens_PR        27   30   -7      53.49     6.65   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    9.69R    0.55  
Hull             27   27  -11      48.91     6.23   -16.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.62R    2.50  
Barnsley         27   26  -18      44.28     6.06   -31.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.20R   10.02  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.23     5.87   -39.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.80R   28.69  
Southend         27   21  -23      36.66     5.57   -40.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.88R   57.44  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Tranmere vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                   -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team               Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe          26   49  +18      85.36     6.64    31.31    29.95    55.49    94.02    66.99P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham              26   48  +24      87.03     6.52    41.73    42.92    67.48    96.75    77.32P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham_Forest   26   48  +10      81.88     6.80    20.01    13.07    31.50    84.56    43.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City        26   46  +10      76.98     6.82    15.57     4.22    12.00    62.10    23.01P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil              26   45  +11      75.80     6.75    16.44     2.73     9.20    55.88    20.44P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea             26   42  +13      73.98     6.79    20.33     1.75     6.17    47.78    16.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere            26   42  +10      74.75     6.81    18.17     2.22     7.09    50.94    18.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool           26   41  +11      74.12     6.83    20.08     1.95     6.51    48.77    16.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster           25   39   +9      72.46     6.92    16.02     1.10     3.94    38.09    13.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle            26   39   -2      65.46     6.67    -2.81     0.04     0.31     7.95     1.71P    0.47R    0.00  
Port_Vale           27   36   -3      61.45     6.54    -4.00     0.00     0.01     2.31     0.42P    1.91R    0.01  
Rotherham           26   34   +2      63.90     6.92     5.94     0.04     0.24     6.64     1.66P    1.03R    0.01  
Bradford            27   34   -1      59.36     6.55    -1.62     0.01     0.01     1.29     0.26P    3.71R    0.01  
Gillingham          26   34  -11      56.90     6.60   -19.11     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.10P    9.24R    0.12  
Chesterfield        26   31   -1      58.25     6.82    -0.93     0.00     0.01     1.11     0.26P    6.01R    0.04  
Brighton            26   31   -7      54.66     6.81   -13.35     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.07P   16.11R    0.44  
Huddersfield        27   31  -10      55.14     6.47   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.06P   13.84R    0.30  
Crewe               25   29   -4      55.52     7.14    -8.49     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.10P   14.04R    0.36  
Northampton         26   29   -7      52.19     6.45   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   24.37R    0.57  
Bournemouth         27   28  -12      47.57     6.14   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.26R    3.01  
Millwall            25   27   -7      50.22     6.82   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   36.79R    1.75  
Leyton_Orient       26   27  -12      48.69     6.68   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.36R    3.44  
Cheltenham          26   24  -14      43.93     6.43   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.19R   11.70  
Brentford           27   21  -27      34.79     5.39   -46.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.64R   78.21  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Boston vs Accrington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      97.29     6.21    46.11    77.95    97.53   100.00    98.43P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    26   51  +15      86.06     6.69    28.38     8.57    62.08    98.34    70.78P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        26   50  +17      84.69     6.72    28.95     6.31    53.98    97.44    64.49P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     26   50  +13      85.00     6.69    24.41     5.96    54.60    97.69    66.16P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       27   48  +11      79.50     6.46    19.10     1.08    22.15    90.36    40.62P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          27   43   +7      72.95     6.61    13.00     0.10     4.33    62.69    19.34P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     26   38   +0      66.83     7.01     2.06     0.00     0.83    26.56     5.78P    0.04R    0.01  
Hereford         26   37   +0      63.54     6.78    -0.78     0.00     0.24    12.93     2.82P    0.13R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       26   36  +11      71.45     6.81    23.75     0.03     3.54    56.16    19.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   26   36   -1      62.67     6.91    -1.42     0.00     0.17    11.22     2.49P    0.23R    0.01  
Stockport        26   35   +0      62.15     6.86    -0.31     0.00     0.11     9.99     2.15P    0.24R    0.04  
Notts_County     26   35   +0      62.78     6.86     0.95     0.00     0.17    11.96     2.63P    0.21R    0.03  
Barnet           26   34   -6      58.13     6.69   -11.68     0.00     0.04     3.14     0.60P    1.29R    0.22  
Bury             25   33   +0      61.68     7.02     0.05     0.00     0.14     9.79     2.17P    0.36R    0.07  
Chester          25   33   -1      60.71     7.01    -2.32     0.00     0.06     7.52     1.50P    0.58R    0.07  
Darlington       25   30   -5      56.02     7.08    -8.88     0.00     0.01     2.00     0.43P    3.12R    0.77  
Boston           27   30  -10      51.32     6.29   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    9.53R    2.49  
Grimsby          26   29  -19      47.70     6.29   -33.64     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.01P   26.14R    8.64  
Rochdale         27   28   -1      52.48     6.49    -3.29     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.09P    6.18R    1.55  
Wrexham          25   28  -16      46.85     6.41   -32.76     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   30.52R   11.13  
Mansfield        24   27   -6      53.92     7.27   -11.48     0.00     0.01     1.26     0.29P    6.63R    1.83  
Accrington       26   26   -8      49.97     6.65   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   14.40R    4.66  
Macclesfield     26   26  -10      48.40     6.61   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   20.55R    6.32  
Torquay          26   20  -16      38.19     6.06   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.83R   62.13  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 January 2007, Southport vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          26   54  +27      93.87     6.54    47.51    56.34    99.24    71.97P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         26   51  +24      91.73     6.41    43.35    38.70    98.80    64.21P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   47   +9      79.37     6.97    16.68     1.94    65.50    15.17P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.27     6.85     6.90     0.35    30.45     5.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.19     7.19     6.50     0.47    35.06     6.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe          25   43   +4      75.87     7.32    10.20     0.77    44.48     9.53P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.41     7.08     3.12     0.27    25.66     4.46P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.36     7.42    19.09     0.79    44.98    11.12P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.88     7.21     9.67     0.10    18.04     3.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.62     7.11    -4.88     0.01     3.10     0.59P    0.43R    0.03  
Aldershot          23   35   +6      70.94     7.85    12.62     0.27    24.59     5.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley            25   34   -3      63.44     7.36    -1.82     0.00     4.29     0.81P    0.59R    0.07  
Woking             26   32   +0      60.82     6.93     2.31     0.00     1.56     0.30P    0.98R    0.04  
Northwich          24   31   -9      55.97     7.23   -17.89     0.01     0.51     0.07P    6.13R    0.95  
Altrincham         26   30   -7      52.52     6.68   -15.04     0.00     0.04     0.01P   12.25R    1.95  
Grays              25   29   +7      61.83     7.27    13.32     0.00     2.81     0.69P    0.86R    0.08  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.10     7.21    -2.85     0.00     0.58     0.09P    4.00R    0.53  
Stafford_Rangers   23   28  -10      53.57     7.42   -18.62     0.00     0.29     0.03P   12.56R    2.66  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      48.01     6.52   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.25R    7.65  
Cambridge_U        26   26  -11      46.90     6.47   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.42R   10.19  
St_Albans          27   26  -15      45.75     6.31   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.58R   14.54  
Rushden_&_D        25   24   -7      47.83     6.90   -14.46     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.29R    8.38  
Southport          26   23  -12      43.84     6.56   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.47R   22.66  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.92     7.08   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.10R   30.27