Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 4 January 2007 at 21:32:46 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Aston_Villa vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    22   54  +34      88.89     4.89    58.45    91.11    99.39   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   48  +20      78.88     5.40    34.08     8.35    77.27    97.80    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +16      69.83     5.63    27.97     0.29    11.41    72.83    95.86     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   39  +22      68.47     5.64    34.79     0.20     8.61    65.24    93.57     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          22   39   +6      65.35     5.62    12.30     0.05     2.17    36.13    82.81     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   36  +11      62.30     5.92    17.93     0.01     1.05    21.05    67.78     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   32   -2      54.49     5.94    -1.45     0.00     0.03     1.78    15.32     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         22   31   +6      55.70     5.76    10.52     0.00     0.06     3.31    22.89     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         22   30   +0      53.64     5.74     2.27     0.00     0.01     1.39    12.99     0.04R    0.00  
Manchester_C    22   29   -6      46.69     5.53   -11.85     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.11     1.20R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   28   -5      49.73     5.77    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.30     3.92     0.47R    0.01  
Fulham          22   27  -10      43.94     5.52   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41     3.96R    0.06  
Aston_Villa     22   26   -2      46.66     5.59    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.20     1.37R    0.03  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      47.35     5.86    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.73     1.31R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   22   24   -6      42.81     5.59   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     5.73R    0.26  
Sheffield_U     22   23  -12      39.33     5.18   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    17.11R    1.03  
Wigan           21   22   -9      42.38     5.90   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26     8.62R    0.43  
West_Ham        22   18  -21      29.92     4.78   -36.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.06R   29.43  
Charlton        22   16  -23      29.38     4.96   -39.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.54R   34.83  
Watford         20   12  -14      29.21     5.72   -24.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.55R   33.91  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Sheffield_W vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.81     6.34    33.85    56.78    75.78    97.61    81.77P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            27   50   +8      81.13     6.49    15.74    13.98    33.95    82.98    44.11P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   47  +12      78.66     6.60    20.61     7.84    22.09    73.22    34.71P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +12      76.32     6.48    20.74     4.55    14.10    61.68    25.20P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    27   43  +17      77.19     6.45    30.24     5.66    17.17    69.03    31.98P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43  +15      75.94     6.45    25.85     4.17    13.08    60.67    26.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43  +14      76.63     6.57    23.50     5.02    15.34    63.48    29.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   43   +8      73.66     6.31    15.30     1.58     6.20    43.80    15.39P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   42   -1      66.13     6.46    -3.15     0.13     0.42     9.39     1.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland       27   40   +4      66.80     6.37     4.76     0.10     0.63    11.52     2.74P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      27   40   +2      65.66     6.51     0.71     0.07     0.47     8.85     1.90P    0.07R    0.00  
Burnley          26   37   +4      65.21     6.76     5.30     0.09     0.50     9.26     2.43P    0.11R    0.00  
Plymouth         27   36   -1      62.73     6.51    -0.02     0.01     0.10     3.54     0.84P    0.39R    0.00  
Ipswich          27   35   +0      61.70     6.51     0.87     0.01     0.13     2.98     0.65P    0.57R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   27   34   -1      59.22     6.46    -2.07     0.00     0.04     0.99     0.20P    1.35R    0.04  
Coventry         27   34   -6      56.27     6.20   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P    3.62R    0.05  
Norwich          27   34   -8      55.92     6.38   -15.02     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.06P    4.75R    0.13  
Leicester        27   32   -8      53.88     6.26   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    7.88R    0.27  
Luton            27   31  -10      55.09     6.54   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    6.77R    0.33  
Queens_PR        27   30   -7      53.76     6.56   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    8.99R    0.42  
Hull             27   27  -11      49.06     6.26   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    25.86R    2.23  
Barnsley         27   26  -18      44.28     6.05   -31.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.84R   10.12  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.39     5.85   -39.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.55R   27.64  
Southend         27   21  -23      36.47     5.59   -40.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.19R   58.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Cheltenham vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe      26   49  +18      85.29     6.60    31.14    29.45    54.65    93.83    66.14P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          26   48  +24      87.04     6.49    41.72    42.73    67.89    96.80    77.40P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      26   48  +10      82.04     6.88    20.12    13.48    31.78    84.58    43.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    26   46  +10      77.15     6.78    15.81     4.17    12.01    62.88    23.24P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         26   42  +13      74.12     6.72    20.56     1.86     6.25    47.80    16.19P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          25   42   +9      74.12     7.03    14.50     1.95     6.38    46.20    16.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool       26   41  +11      73.91     6.72    19.74     1.70     6.01    46.44    15.53P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        25   41  +10      76.00     7.09    19.41     3.42    10.12    58.13    22.57P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       25   39   +9      72.58     7.05    16.26     1.14     4.27    38.65    13.91P    0.03R    0.00  
Carlisle        26   39   -2      65.26     6.77    -3.08     0.06     0.27     8.19     1.55P    0.35R    0.00  
Port_Vale       26   36   -2      63.74     6.93    -1.62     0.02     0.14     5.83     1.16P    1.24R    0.01  
Rotherham       26   34   +2      64.01     6.92     6.16     0.04     0.20     7.12     1.63P    0.99R    0.01  
Gillingham      26   34  -11      56.96     6.67   -18.96     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.07P    8.79R    0.19  
Chesterfield    26   31   -1      58.04     6.81    -1.22     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.24P    5.93R    0.06  
Bradford        26   31   -2      56.57     6.82    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.11P    8.96R    0.20  
Brighton        26   31   -7      54.62     6.82   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.10P   15.70R    0.42  
Huddersfield    26   31   -8      56.54     6.76   -11.22     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.09P    9.90R    0.28  
Crewe           25   29   -4      55.40     7.11    -8.72     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.08P   13.57R    0.45  
Northampton     25   28   -7      51.59     6.82   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.04P   27.19R    1.37  
Millwall        25   27   -7      50.05     6.75   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   35.20R    1.93  
Leyton_Orient   26   27  -12      48.71     6.53   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.60R    3.59  
Bournemouth     26   25  -13      46.68     6.42   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   57.15R    6.39  
Cheltenham      26   24  -14      43.88     6.37   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.33R   12.89  
Brentford       26   21  -26      35.91     5.73   -46.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.06R   72.19  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Shrewsbury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      97.46     6.12    46.42    78.20    97.71   100.00    98.59P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    26   51  +15      86.05     6.79    28.47     8.29    61.18    98.13    70.02P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        26   50  +17      84.70     6.77    28.89     6.33    53.62    97.27    64.52P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     26   50  +13      84.93     6.73    24.28     5.69    53.52    97.50    65.73P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       26   47  +11      79.16     6.85    18.14     1.22    21.50    88.06    39.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          26   42   +7      73.87     6.89    13.77     0.19     5.95    66.20    21.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     26   38   +0      66.68     6.95     1.85     0.01     0.78    25.09     5.42P    0.05R    0.01  
Hereford         26   37   +0      63.86     6.83    -0.32     0.00     0.26    13.76     3.15P    0.11R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   26   36   -1      62.69     6.87    -1.39     0.01     0.15    11.10     2.46P    0.21R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       25   35  +11      71.76     7.12    23.56     0.06     4.75    57.06    19.64P    0.01R    0.01  
Stockport        26   35   +0      61.85     6.96    -0.78     0.00     0.17     9.37     2.23P    0.31R    0.04  
Notts_County     26   35   +0      63.13     6.81     1.49     0.00     0.14    11.89     2.64P    0.17R    0.03  
Barnet           26   34   -6      58.26     6.67   -11.45     0.00     0.03     2.98     0.51P    1.24R    0.20  
Bury             25   33   +0      61.56     7.11    -0.11     0.00     0.14     9.61     2.31P    0.44R    0.12  
Chester          25   33   -1      60.71     7.08    -2.31     0.00     0.10     7.38     1.51P    0.56R    0.07  
Darlington       25   30   -5      55.82     7.06    -9.15     0.00     0.00     1.81     0.37P    3.58R    0.89  
Grimsby          26   29  -19      47.57     6.30   -33.78     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   26.02R    8.57  
Wrexham          25   28  -16      47.24     6.41   -32.12     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   27.86R    9.62  
Rochdale         26   27   -1      52.12     6.78    -4.21     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P    7.62R    2.05  
Mansfield        24   27   -6      53.67     7.31   -11.78     0.00     0.01     1.30     0.21P    6.89R    2.00  
Boston           26   27  -11      50.16     6.65   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   14.38R    4.47  
Accrington       25   26   -7      51.67     6.96   -14.03     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.10P   10.16R    3.07  
Macclesfield     26   26  -10      48.39     6.58   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.04P   20.52R    6.18  
Torquay          26   20  -16      38.18     6.01   -28.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.88R   62.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 January 2007, Grays vs Gravesend; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          25   51  +26      93.39     6.79    48.24    49.90    98.97    69.06P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         25   50  +24      93.20     6.60    45.19    46.81    99.08    69.55P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          26   44   +4      73.37     6.94     7.02     0.29    32.77     5.88P    0.00     0.00  
York               25   44   +4      75.69     7.13     8.49     0.70    44.80     8.59P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.27     7.19     6.59     0.42    37.31     7.58P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.36     7.10     2.99     0.22    27.45     4.96P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          24   42   +4      74.45     7.41     7.61     0.53    38.94     7.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      76.00     7.38    20.07     0.78    50.16    12.40P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.90     7.20     9.68     0.10    19.35     3.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.46     7.07    -5.16     0.01     3.04     0.52P    0.56R    0.03  
Aldershot          23   35   +6      70.57     7.73    12.11     0.18    23.91     4.91P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley            24   34   +2      67.54     7.58     7.19     0.05    13.11     2.74P    0.10R    0.01  
Woking             25   32   +1      61.30     7.11     1.98     0.00     2.31     0.45P    0.81R    0.06  
Grays              24   29   +9      65.00     7.43    18.02     0.02     7.41     1.96P    0.27R    0.01  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.05     7.31    -3.00     0.00     0.84     0.14P    3.75R    0.36  
Stafford_Rangers   23   28  -10      53.35     7.50   -19.09     0.00     0.24     0.07P   12.46R    2.18  
Northwich          23   28  -11      53.11     7.53   -22.10     0.00     0.23     0.03P   13.62R    2.50  
Altrincham         25   27   -8      50.57     6.82   -16.59     0.00     0.04     0.01P   18.38R    3.23  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      47.93     6.62   -17.97     0.00     0.01     0.01P   28.67R    6.75  
Cambridge_U        26   26  -11      47.19     6.42   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.73R    8.07  
St_Albans          26   26  -13      48.22     6.73   -23.35     0.00     0.01     0.00    29.85R    6.83  
Rushden_&_D        24   24   -6      49.16     7.13   -13.33     0.00     0.02     0.01P   24.47R    5.31  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.73     6.95   -28.49     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.80R   27.21  
Southport          25   20  -14      40.65     6.64   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.48R   37.45