Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 4 January 2007 at 21:32:46 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Aston_Villa vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Manchester_U 22 54 +34 88.89 4.89 58.45 91.11 99.39 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 22 48 +20 78.88 5.40 34.08 8.35 77.27 97.80 99.94 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 40 +16 69.83 5.63 27.97 0.29 11.41 72.83 95.86 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 22 39 +22 68.47 5.64 34.79 0.20 8.61 65.24 93.57 0.00 0.00 Bolton 22 39 +6 65.35 5.62 12.30 0.05 2.17 36.13 82.81 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 22 36 +11 62.30 5.92 17.93 0.01 1.05 21.05 67.78 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 32 -2 54.49 5.94 -1.45 0.00 0.03 1.78 15.32 0.03R 0.00 Everton 22 31 +6 55.70 5.76 10.52 0.00 0.06 3.31 22.89 0.01R 0.00 Reading 22 30 +0 53.64 5.74 2.27 0.00 0.01 1.39 12.99 0.04R 0.00 Manchester_C 22 29 -6 46.69 5.53 -11.85 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.11 1.20R 0.01 Blackburn 21 28 -5 49.73 5.77 -8.70 0.00 0.00 0.30 3.92 0.47R 0.01 Fulham 22 27 -10 43.94 5.52 -18.35 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.41 3.96R 0.06 Aston_Villa 22 26 -2 46.66 5.59 -4.17 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.20 1.37R 0.03 Newcastle 22 26 -5 47.35 5.86 -5.79 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.73 1.31R 0.01 Middlesbrough 22 24 -6 42.81 5.59 -11.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23 5.73R 0.26 Sheffield_U 22 23 -12 39.33 5.18 -21.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 17.11R 1.03 Wigan 21 22 -9 42.38 5.90 -14.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26 8.62R 0.43 West_Ham 22 18 -21 29.92 4.78 -36.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.06R 29.43 Charlton 22 16 -23 29.38 4.96 -39.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.54R 34.83 Watford 20 12 -14 29.21 5.72 -24.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.55R 33.91Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Sheffield_W vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Birmingham 27 53 +20 87.81 6.34 33.85 56.78 75.78 97.61 81.77P 0.00 0.00 Derby 27 50 +8 81.13 6.49 15.74 13.98 33.95 82.98 44.11P 0.00 0.00 Preston 27 47 +12 78.66 6.60 20.61 7.84 22.09 73.22 34.71P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 27 45 +12 76.32 6.48 20.74 4.55 14.10 61.68 25.20P 0.00 0.00 West_Bromwich 27 43 +17 77.19 6.45 30.24 5.66 17.17 69.03 31.98P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 27 43 +15 75.94 6.45 25.85 4.17 13.08 60.67 26.00P 0.00 0.00 Stoke 26 43 +14 76.63 6.57 23.50 5.02 15.34 63.48 29.97P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 27 43 +8 73.66 6.31 15.30 1.58 6.20 43.80 15.39P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 27 42 -1 66.13 6.46 -3.15 0.13 0.42 9.39 1.94P 0.02R 0.00 Sunderland 27 40 +4 66.80 6.37 4.76 0.10 0.63 11.52 2.74P 0.03R 0.00 Sheffield_W 27 40 +2 65.66 6.51 0.71 0.07 0.47 8.85 1.90P 0.07R 0.00 Burnley 26 37 +4 65.21 6.76 5.30 0.09 0.50 9.26 2.43P 0.11R 0.00 Plymouth 27 36 -1 62.73 6.51 -0.02 0.01 0.10 3.54 0.84P 0.39R 0.00 Ipswich 27 35 +0 61.70 6.51 0.87 0.01 0.13 2.98 0.65P 0.57R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 27 34 -1 59.22 6.46 -2.07 0.00 0.04 0.99 0.20P 1.35R 0.04 Coventry 27 34 -6 56.27 6.20 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.05P 3.62R 0.05 Norwich 27 34 -8 55.92 6.38 -15.02 0.00 0.01 0.29 0.06P 4.75R 0.13 Leicester 27 32 -8 53.88 6.26 -13.72 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 7.88R 0.27 Luton 27 31 -10 55.09 6.54 -13.71 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 6.77R 0.33 Queens_PR 27 30 -7 53.76 6.56 -10.46 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.01P 8.99R 0.42 Hull 27 27 -11 49.06 6.26 -16.69 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 25.86R 2.23 Barnsley 27 26 -18 44.28 6.05 -31.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.84R 10.12 Leeds 27 24 -22 40.39 5.85 -39.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.55R 27.64 Southend 27 21 -23 36.47 5.59 -40.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.19R 58.77League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Cheltenham vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Scunthorpe 26 49 +18 85.29 6.60 31.14 29.45 54.65 93.83 66.14P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 26 48 +24 87.04 6.49 41.72 42.73 67.89 96.80 77.40P 0.00 0.00 Nottingham 26 48 +10 82.04 6.88 20.12 13.48 31.78 84.58 43.80P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 26 46 +10 77.15 6.78 15.81 4.17 12.01 62.88 23.24P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 26 42 +13 74.12 6.72 20.56 1.86 6.25 47.80 16.19P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 25 42 +9 74.12 7.03 14.50 1.95 6.38 46.20 16.15P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 26 41 +11 73.91 6.72 19.74 1.70 6.01 46.44 15.53P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 25 41 +10 76.00 7.09 19.41 3.42 10.12 58.13 22.57P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 25 39 +9 72.58 7.05 16.26 1.14 4.27 38.65 13.91P 0.03R 0.00 Carlisle 26 39 -2 65.26 6.77 -3.08 0.06 0.27 8.19 1.55P 0.35R 0.00 Port_Vale 26 36 -2 63.74 6.93 -1.62 0.02 0.14 5.83 1.16P 1.24R 0.01 Rotherham 26 34 +2 64.01 6.92 6.16 0.04 0.20 7.12 1.63P 0.99R 0.01 Gillingham 26 34 -11 56.96 6.67 -18.96 0.00 0.01 0.65 0.07P 8.79R 0.19 Chesterfield 26 31 -1 58.04 6.81 -1.22 0.00 0.01 0.98 0.24P 5.93R 0.06 Bradford 26 31 -2 56.57 6.82 -4.39 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.11P 8.96R 0.20 Brighton 26 31 -7 54.62 6.82 -13.38 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.10P 15.70R 0.42 Huddersfield 26 31 -8 56.54 6.76 -11.22 0.00 0.01 0.47 0.09P 9.90R 0.28 Crewe 25 29 -4 55.40 7.11 -8.72 0.00 0.01 0.47 0.08P 13.57R 0.45 Northampton 25 28 -7 51.59 6.82 -12.62 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.04P 27.19R 1.37 Millwall 25 27 -7 50.05 6.75 -15.49 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 35.20R 1.93 Leyton_Orient 26 27 -12 48.71 6.53 -21.17 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 44.60R 3.59 Bournemouth 26 25 -13 46.68 6.42 -22.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 57.15R 6.39 Cheltenham 26 24 -14 43.88 6.37 -25.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.33R 12.89 Brentford 26 21 -26 35.91 5.73 -46.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.06R 72.19League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Shrewsbury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Walsall 26 56 +25 97.46 6.12 46.42 78.20 97.71 100.00 98.59P 0.00 0.00 Milton_Keynes 26 51 +15 86.05 6.79 28.47 8.29 61.18 98.13 70.02P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_C 26 50 +17 84.70 6.77 28.89 6.33 53.62 97.27 64.52P 0.00 0.00 Swindon_Town 26 50 +13 84.93 6.73 24.28 5.69 53.52 97.50 65.73P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 26 47 +11 79.16 6.85 18.14 1.22 21.50 88.06 39.12P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 26 42 +7 73.87 6.89 13.77 0.19 5.95 66.20 21.29P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 26 38 +0 66.68 6.95 1.85 0.01 0.78 25.09 5.42P 0.05R 0.01 Hereford 26 37 +0 63.86 6.83 -0.32 0.00 0.26 13.76 3.15P 0.11R 0.01 Bristol_Rovers 26 36 -1 62.69 6.87 -1.39 0.01 0.15 11.10 2.46P 0.21R 0.03 Shrewsbury 25 35 +11 71.76 7.12 23.56 0.06 4.75 57.06 19.64P 0.01R 0.01 Stockport 26 35 +0 61.85 6.96 -0.78 0.00 0.17 9.37 2.23P 0.31R 0.04 Notts_County 26 35 +0 63.13 6.81 1.49 0.00 0.14 11.89 2.64P 0.17R 0.03 Barnet 26 34 -6 58.26 6.67 -11.45 0.00 0.03 2.98 0.51P 1.24R 0.20 Bury 25 33 +0 61.56 7.11 -0.11 0.00 0.14 9.61 2.31P 0.44R 0.12 Chester 25 33 -1 60.71 7.08 -2.31 0.00 0.10 7.38 1.51P 0.56R 0.07 Darlington 25 30 -5 55.82 7.06 -9.15 0.00 0.00 1.81 0.37P 3.58R 0.89 Grimsby 26 29 -19 47.57 6.30 -33.78 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 26.02R 8.57 Wrexham 25 28 -16 47.24 6.41 -32.12 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 27.86R 9.62 Rochdale 26 27 -1 52.12 6.78 -4.21 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.10P 7.62R 2.05 Mansfield 24 27 -6 53.67 7.31 -11.78 0.00 0.01 1.30 0.21P 6.89R 2.00 Boston 26 27 -11 50.16 6.65 -18.63 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 14.38R 4.47 Accrington 25 26 -7 51.67 6.96 -14.03 0.00 0.01 0.51 0.10P 10.16R 3.07 Macclesfield 26 26 -10 48.39 6.58 -18.57 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.04P 20.52R 6.18 Torquay 26 20 -16 38.18 6.01 -28.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.88R 62.62Conference (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 3 January 2007, Grays vs Gravesend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Dag_&_Red 25 51 +26 93.39 6.79 48.24 49.90 98.97 69.06P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 25 50 +24 93.20 6.60 45.19 46.81 99.08 69.55P 0.00 0.00 Gravesend 26 44 +4 73.37 6.94 7.02 0.29 32.77 5.88P 0.00 0.00 York 25 44 +4 75.69 7.13 8.49 0.70 44.80 8.59P 0.00 0.00 Burton 25 44 +4 74.27 7.19 6.59 0.42 37.31 7.58P 0.00 0.00 Weymouth 25 43 +2 72.36 7.10 2.99 0.22 27.45 4.96P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 24 42 +4 74.45 7.41 7.61 0.53 38.94 7.68P 0.01R 0.00 Exeter 24 39 +10 76.00 7.38 20.07 0.78 50.16 12.40P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 25 38 +5 69.90 7.20 9.68 0.10 19.35 3.48P 0.03R 0.00 Kidderminster 25 36 -2 62.46 7.07 -5.16 0.01 3.04 0.52P 0.56R 0.03 Aldershot 23 35 +6 70.57 7.73 12.11 0.18 23.91 4.91P 0.03R 0.00 Crawley 24 34 +2 67.54 7.58 7.19 0.05 13.11 2.74P 0.10R 0.01 Woking 25 32 +1 61.30 7.11 1.98 0.00 2.31 0.45P 0.81R 0.06 Grays 24 29 +9 65.00 7.43 18.02 0.02 7.41 1.96P 0.27R 0.01 Halifax 25 29 -2 57.05 7.31 -3.00 0.00 0.84 0.14P 3.75R 0.36 Stafford_Rangers 23 28 -10 53.35 7.50 -19.09 0.00 0.24 0.07P 12.46R 2.18 Northwich 23 28 -11 53.11 7.53 -22.10 0.00 0.23 0.03P 13.62R 2.50 Altrincham 25 27 -8 50.57 6.82 -16.59 0.00 0.04 0.01P 18.38R 3.23 Forest_Green 26 26 -9 47.93 6.62 -17.97 0.00 0.01 0.01P 28.67R 6.75 Cambridge_U 26 26 -11 47.19 6.42 -19.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.73R 8.07 St_Albans 26 26 -13 48.22 6.73 -23.35 0.00 0.01 0.00 29.85R 6.83 Rushden_&_D 24 24 -6 49.16 7.13 -13.33 0.00 0.02 0.01P 24.47R 5.31 Tamworth 24 21 -15 42.73 6.95 -28.49 0.00 0.01 0.00 61.80R 27.21 Southport 25 20 -14 40.65 6.64 -26.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.48R 37.45