Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 3 January 2007 at 21:32:47 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Aston_Villa vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    22   54  +34      88.70     4.95    58.04    90.30    99.30    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   48  +20      78.87     5.45    33.99     8.97    77.18    97.89    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +16      69.91     5.62    28.14     0.42    11.73    73.20    96.23     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   39  +22      68.49     5.62    34.83     0.24     8.39    65.15    93.44     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          22   39   +6      65.23     5.63    12.15     0.04     2.25    34.69    81.98     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   36  +11      62.44     5.90    18.12     0.01     1.02    21.81    68.69     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   32   -2      54.71     5.87    -1.09     0.00     0.02     1.93    15.46     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         22   31   +6      55.74     5.84    10.58     0.00     0.09     3.38    22.70     0.03R    0.00  
Reading         22   30   +0      53.66     5.76     2.30     0.00     0.01     1.41    12.85     0.07R    0.01  
Manchester_C    22   29   -6      46.68     5.53   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.06     1.25R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   28   -5      49.72     5.86    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.34     4.07     0.54R    0.01  
Fulham          22   27  -10      43.76     5.56   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33     4.12R    0.06  
Aston_Villa     22   26   -2      46.52     5.63    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.15     1.39R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      47.51     5.87    -5.58     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.74     1.27R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   22   24   -6      42.92     5.54   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     5.55R    0.23  
Sheffield_U     22   23  -12      39.32     5.27   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    17.66R    1.14  
Wigan           21   22   -9      42.28     5.84   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17     8.70R    0.41  
West_Ham        22   18  -21      29.81     4.76   -36.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.77R   29.83  
Charlton        22   16  -23      29.32     4.94   -39.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.72R   35.09  
Watford         20   12  -14      29.36     5.86   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.95R   33.20  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Sheffield_W vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.60     6.33    33.46    56.26    75.10    97.52    81.16P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            27   50   +8      81.08     6.46    15.66    13.33    33.24    82.76    42.84P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   47  +12      78.55     6.57    20.38     7.84    21.73    72.53    33.74P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +12      76.35     6.44    20.89     4.63    14.10    61.27    24.91P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    27   43  +17      77.32     6.47    30.35     6.08    17.66    69.58    32.67P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43  +15      75.91     6.42    25.87     4.21    13.11    60.30    26.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43  +14      76.91     6.57    23.88     5.43    16.45    64.86    31.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   43   +8      73.63     6.37    15.30     1.73     6.20    44.19    15.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   42   -1      66.36     6.34    -2.75     0.12     0.47     9.38     2.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland       27   40   +4      66.76     6.39     4.63     0.13     0.69    11.28     2.75P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      27   40   +2      65.57     6.56     0.61     0.12     0.52     8.69     2.08P    0.06R    0.00  
Burnley          26   37   +4      65.26     6.75     5.33     0.09     0.49     9.03     2.73P    0.13R    0.01  
Plymouth         27   36   -1      62.55     6.51    -0.29     0.01     0.10     3.60     0.84P    0.39R    0.00  
Ipswich          27   35   +0      61.81     6.54     0.94     0.01     0.10     2.95     0.69P    0.48R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   27   34   -1      59.37     6.47    -1.86     0.01     0.04     1.16     0.27P    1.36R    0.04  
Coventry         27   34   -6      56.15     6.29   -11.07     0.01     0.01     0.28     0.05P    3.90R    0.09  
Norwich          27   34   -8      55.95     6.38   -14.99     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.06P    4.83R    0.12  
Leicester        27   32   -8      53.82     6.26   -13.84     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.04P    7.94R    0.32  
Luton            27   31  -10      55.12     6.45   -13.65     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P    6.32R    0.27  
Queens_PR        27   30   -7      53.63     6.55   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    9.18R    0.51  
Hull             27   27  -11      48.90     6.30   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    27.02R    2.59  
Barnsley         27   26  -18      44.26     6.02   -31.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.67R   10.33  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.47     5.90   -38.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.71R   27.55  
Southend         27   21  -23      36.61     5.53   -40.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.94R   58.19  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Cheltenham vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe      26   49  +18      85.14     6.60    31.01    28.04    53.16    93.81    64.86P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          26   48  +24      87.08     6.50    41.76    43.59    67.78    96.69    77.39P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      26   48  +10      82.11     6.78    20.29    13.46    32.48    84.94    44.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    26   46  +10      77.01     6.72    15.61     4.00    11.53    62.09    22.83P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         26   42  +13      74.16     6.80    20.59     2.02     6.79    48.51    16.59P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          25   42   +9      74.35     7.01    14.78     2.23     6.79    47.09    16.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool       26   41  +11      74.14     6.84    20.18     1.55     6.25    48.03    16.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        25   41  +10      76.02     7.10    19.42     3.67    10.40    57.59    22.98P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       25   39   +9      72.48     7.08    16.19     1.39     4.22    37.88    13.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Carlisle        26   39   -2      65.49     6.82    -2.75     0.04     0.30     8.60     1.78P    0.41R    0.00  
Port_Vale       26   36   -2      63.49     6.84    -2.01     0.02     0.15     5.24     1.05P    1.07R    0.01  
Rotherham       26   34   +2      63.81     6.86     5.85     0.01     0.11     6.17     1.31P    0.92R    0.01  
Gillingham      26   34  -11      56.98     6.57   -19.00     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.06P    8.15R    0.17  
Chesterfield    26   31   -1      57.85     6.80    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.15P    6.18R    0.09  
Bradford        26   31   -2      56.38     6.76    -4.63     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.14P    9.10R    0.19  
Brighton        26   31   -7      54.66     6.88   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P   15.52R    0.49  
Huddersfield    26   31   -8      56.61     6.76   -11.07     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.09P    9.88R    0.27  
Crewe           25   29   -4      55.72     7.11    -8.16     0.01     0.01     0.57     0.12P   12.58R    0.38  
Northampton     25   28   -7      51.76     6.71   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   26.17R    1.13  
Millwall        25   27   -7      50.14     6.76   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   35.32R    1.97  
Leyton_Orient   26   27  -12      48.54     6.61   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.44R    4.01  
Bournemouth     26   25  -13      46.46     6.50   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.63R    6.92  
Cheltenham      26   24  -14      43.94     6.34   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.78R   12.52  
Brentford       26   21  -26      35.87     5.82   -46.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.80R   71.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Shrewsbury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      97.24     6.15    46.08    76.92    97.35    99.98    98.25P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    26   51  +15      85.93     6.80    28.27     8.54    60.06    98.14    69.14P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        26   50  +17      84.85     6.78    29.14     6.66    54.55    97.37    65.33P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     26   50  +13      85.15     6.73    24.56     6.52    54.24    97.59    66.27P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       26   47  +11      79.23     6.77    18.31     1.11    21.32    88.08    38.66P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          26   42   +7      73.90     6.83    13.81     0.14     6.03    66.48    21.25P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     26   38   +0      66.64     6.97     1.74     0.01     0.81    25.17     5.41P    0.03R    0.00  
Hereford         26   37   +0      63.71     6.87    -0.47     0.01     0.29    13.14     3.05P    0.10R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers   26   36   -1      62.82     6.89    -1.13     0.00     0.18    10.94     2.48P    0.18R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       25   35  +11      72.05     7.06    24.03     0.10     4.59    58.64    20.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stockport        26   35   +0      62.02     6.93    -0.58     0.00     0.17     9.24     1.92P    0.24R    0.03  
Notts_County     26   35   +0      63.07     6.83     1.33     0.00     0.20    11.88     2.77P    0.17R    0.03  
Barnet           26   34   -6      58.56     6.80   -10.96     0.00     0.01     3.59     0.60P    1.11R    0.20  
Bury             25   33   +0      61.34     6.97    -0.40     0.00     0.07     8.35     1.79P    0.33R    0.07  
Chester          25   33   -1      60.78     7.03    -2.24     0.00     0.10     7.25     1.66P    0.55R    0.12  
Darlington       25   30   -5      55.83     7.05    -9.23     0.00     0.01     1.83     0.41P    3.21R    0.81  
Grimsby          26   29  -19      47.59     6.27   -33.77     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   25.89R    8.51  
Wrexham          25   28  -16      46.93     6.38   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   29.37R   10.65  
Rochdale         26   27   -1      51.88     6.74    -4.57     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.09P    7.83R    2.15  
Mansfield        24   27   -6      53.51     7.32   -11.98     0.00     0.01     1.17     0.23P    7.55R    2.17  
Boston           26   27  -11      50.15     6.62   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   14.43R    4.27  
Accrington       25   26   -7      51.41     6.95   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.10P   10.76R    3.46  
Macclesfield     26   26  -10      48.73     6.67   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   19.27R    5.87  
Torquay          26   20  -16      38.24     6.11   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.99R   61.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Stevenage vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          25   51  +26      93.50     6.78    48.34    49.66    99.09    68.31P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         25   50  +24      93.32     6.62    45.48    47.28    99.06    70.05P    0.00     0.00  
York               25   44   +4      75.41     7.12     8.12     0.58    44.35     8.08P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.43     7.04     6.80     0.36    38.99     7.55P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.25     7.10     2.89     0.21    27.77     5.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe          24   42   +4      74.83     7.49     8.20     0.65    42.01     8.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          25   41   +2      70.04     7.19     2.43     0.16    19.34     3.24P    0.04R    0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.76     7.53    19.73     0.68    49.84    12.40P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.78     7.21     9.39     0.10    19.29     3.36P    0.05R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.69     7.13    -4.78     0.01     3.43     0.60P    0.39R    0.01  
Aldershot          23   35   +6      70.49     7.79    12.01     0.19    24.39     4.97P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley            24   34   +2      66.81     7.58     6.16     0.03    11.76     2.52P    0.14R    0.01  
Woking             25   32   +1      61.47     7.11     2.22     0.01     2.59     0.56P    0.77R    0.06  
Grays              23   29  +11      68.26     7.72    22.92     0.09    16.85     5.14P    0.17R    0.01  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.36     7.25    -2.54     0.00     0.77     0.10P    3.62R    0.38  
Stafford_Rangers   23   28  -10      53.65     7.41   -18.57     0.00     0.19     0.04P   11.72R    2.04  
Northwich          23   28  -11      52.97     7.52   -22.34     0.00     0.19     0.02P   13.80R    2.34  
Altrincham         25   27   -8      50.62     6.92   -16.49     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.57R    3.64  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      48.01     6.62   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.81R    6.58  
Cambridge_U        26   26  -11      46.82     6.42   -20.38     0.00     0.01     0.01P   35.65R    8.73  
St_Albans          26   26  -13      48.02     6.71   -23.82     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.98R    6.99  
Rushden_&_D        24   24   -6      49.31     7.17   -13.37     0.00     0.04     0.01P   23.66R    5.14  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.95     7.07   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.82R   26.04  
Southport          25   20  -14      40.57     6.71   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.77R   38.05