Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 3 January 2007 at 01:09:35 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Aston_Villa vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    22   54  +34      88.77     4.87    58.24    90.97    99.33   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         22   48  +20      78.86     5.41    33.99     8.42    77.18    97.80    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +16      69.85     5.64    28.03     0.41    11.66    73.43    96.23     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   39  +22      68.50     5.65    34.74     0.17     8.53    65.75    93.62     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          22   39   +6      65.18     5.62    12.13     0.03     2.15    34.59    81.92     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   36  +11      62.33     5.92    17.96     0.01     1.04    21.32    68.30     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   32   -2      54.54     5.82    -1.45     0.00     0.04     1.72    14.64     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         22   31   +6      55.75     5.78    10.60     0.00     0.07     3.33    22.78     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         22   30   +0      53.71     5.78     2.39     0.00     0.01     1.61    13.37     0.08R    0.00  
Manchester_C    22   29   -6      46.64     5.56   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.03     1.28R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   28   -5      49.84     5.80    -8.48     0.00     0.00     0.28     3.92     0.52R    0.01  
Fulham          22   27  -10      43.76     5.52   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.43     4.11R    0.09  
Aston_Villa     22   26   -2      46.58     5.65    -4.30     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.26     1.44R    0.02  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      47.57     5.86    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.96     1.23R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   22   24   -6      42.73     5.51   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24     6.19R    0.25  
Sheffield_U     22   23  -12      39.34     5.32   -21.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    17.77R    1.13  
Wigan           21   22   -9      42.48     5.97   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34     8.15R    0.51  
West_Ham        22   18  -21      30.10     4.85   -36.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.87R   28.12  
Charlton        22   16  -23      29.32     4.95   -39.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.85R   35.41  
Watford         20   12  -14      29.19     5.74   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.48R   34.45  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Sheffield_W vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.48     6.30    33.30    54.62    74.01    97.40    80.09P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            27   50   +8      81.31     6.53    16.02    14.01    34.67    83.58    44.57P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   47  +12      78.79     6.52    20.77     8.38    22.41    73.81    34.84P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +12      76.36     6.45    20.84     4.76    13.73    61.38    24.91P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    27   43  +17      77.19     6.47    30.13     5.97    17.03    68.29    31.74P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43  +15      75.94     6.56    25.87     4.48    13.44    60.46    26.55P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43  +14      76.94     6.58    23.96     5.71    16.66    65.11    31.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   43   +8      73.38     6.43    14.83     1.68     5.71    42.77    14.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   42   -1      66.56     6.44    -2.56     0.10     0.53     9.92     2.25P    0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland       27   40   +4      66.74     6.49     4.69     0.07     0.65    11.44     2.88P    0.06R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      27   40   +2      65.68     6.48     0.78     0.09     0.47     8.61     2.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Burnley          26   37   +4      65.18     6.69     5.22     0.10     0.49     8.60     2.40P    0.12R    0.00  
Plymouth         27   36   -1      62.57     6.51    -0.22     0.01     0.10     3.52     0.80P    0.37R    0.01  
Ipswich          27   35   +0      61.67     6.52     0.74     0.00     0.04     2.83     0.65P    0.67R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   27   34   -1      59.44     6.40    -1.75     0.00     0.03     1.18     0.28P    1.31R    0.05  
Coventry         27   34   -6      56.14     6.26   -11.15     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.05P    4.00R    0.07  
Norwich          27   34   -8      55.95     6.40   -14.95     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.06P    4.57R    0.12  
Leicester        27   32   -8      53.79     6.25   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.08R    0.34  
Luton            27   31  -10      55.26     6.53   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    6.37R    0.23  
Queens_PR        27   30   -7      53.57     6.57   -10.73     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    9.81R    0.51  
Hull             27   27  -11      48.95     6.22   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    25.95R    1.96  
Barnsley         27   26  -18      44.32     6.09   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.93R    9.63  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.39     5.86   -39.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.48R   27.30  
Southend         27   21  -23      36.37     5.61   -40.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.19R   59.76  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 January 2007, Cheltenham vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe      26   49  +18      85.29     6.74    31.16    28.83    54.16    93.35    65.53P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          26   48  +24      87.39     6.43    42.22    44.37    69.24    97.12    78.34P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      26   48  +10      81.97     6.88    20.08    12.74    31.06    84.55    43.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    26   46  +10      76.99     6.77    15.59     3.71    11.31    61.81    22.39P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         26   42  +13      74.03     6.84    20.44     1.89     6.29    47.65    16.46P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          25   42   +9      74.26     7.15    14.64     1.96     6.71    47.12    16.98P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       26   41  +11      74.43     6.74    20.60     2.04     6.49    49.89    17.02P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        25   41  +10      75.97     7.08    19.38     3.22    10.06    57.19    22.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       25   39   +9      72.43     6.94    16.05     1.13     4.02    37.44    12.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle        26   39   -2      65.43     6.74    -2.77     0.06     0.28     8.18     1.64P    0.46R    0.00  
Port_Vale       26   36   -2      63.87     6.86    -1.40     0.03     0.19     5.39     1.03P    0.94R    0.00  
Rotherham       26   34   +2      63.88     6.96     5.85     0.04     0.18     6.70     1.65P    1.00R    0.01  
Gillingham      26   34  -11      56.87     6.65   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.07P    8.62R    0.20  
Chesterfield    26   31   -1      58.20     6.81    -0.97     0.00     0.01     1.05     0.22P    5.64R    0.09  
Bradford        26   31   -2      56.59     6.75    -4.37     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.10P    8.59R    0.18  
Brighton        26   31   -7      54.66     6.78   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P   14.79R    0.44  
Huddersfield    26   31   -8      56.49     6.72   -11.27     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.10P    9.49R    0.21  
Crewe           25   29   -4      55.56     7.02    -8.50     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.10P   12.51R    0.28  
Northampton     25   28   -7      51.18     6.65   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   28.71R    1.38  
Millwall        25   27   -7      50.30     6.74   -15.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   33.80R    1.80  
Leyton_Orient   26   27  -12      48.45     6.55   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.74R    3.96  
Bournemouth     26   25  -13      46.53     6.57   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.34R    6.62  
Cheltenham      26   24  -14      43.67     6.26   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.02R   13.05  
Brentford       26   21  -26      35.85     5.65   -46.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.36R   71.77  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Shrewsbury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      97.22     6.22    46.09    77.23    97.31    99.98    98.28P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    26   51  +15      85.77     6.82    28.07     7.99    59.51    97.73    68.34P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        26   50  +17      84.62     6.73    28.84     6.29    52.66    97.22    63.74P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     26   50  +13      85.25     6.75    24.78     6.82    55.38    97.61    66.85P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       26   47  +11      79.42     6.81    18.53     1.40    22.38    88.47    39.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          26   42   +7      74.19     6.81    14.22     0.20     6.60    67.61    22.43P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     26   38   +0      66.66     7.01     1.73     0.00     0.76    24.44     5.27P    0.04R    0.01  
Hereford         26   37   +0      63.77     6.82    -0.46     0.00     0.20    13.16     2.73P    0.12R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   26   36   -1      62.83     6.96    -1.16     0.00     0.19    11.46     2.65P    0.12R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       25   35  +11      71.94     7.09    23.86     0.07     4.50    57.15    19.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport        26   35   +0      62.11     6.94    -0.40     0.00     0.14     9.63     2.08P    0.28R    0.03  
Notts_County     26   35   +0      63.19     6.87     1.51     0.00     0.15    11.99     2.86P    0.15R    0.03  
Barnet           26   34   -6      58.40     6.72   -11.20     0.00     0.03     3.07     0.52P    1.20R    0.21  
Bury             25   33   +0      61.51     7.09    -0.19     0.00     0.10     9.15     2.15P    0.38R    0.06  
Chester          25   33   -1      60.70     6.98    -2.30     0.00     0.08     6.99     1.41P    0.40R    0.07  
Darlington       25   30   -5      55.79     7.03    -9.22     0.00     0.01     1.83     0.38P    3.19R    0.76  
Grimsby          26   29  -19      47.57     6.26   -33.86     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    25.55R    8.67  
Wrexham          25   28  -16      46.95     6.43   -32.62     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   29.33R   10.54  
Rochdale         26   27   -1      52.02     6.64    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.10P    7.24R    1.94  
Mansfield        24   27   -6      53.91     7.27   -11.39     0.00     0.01     1.30     0.26P    6.43R    1.85  
Boston           26   27  -11      49.79     6.62   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P   15.12R    4.50  
Accrington       25   26   -7      51.61     6.90   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.09P   10.00R    2.87  
Macclesfield     26   26  -10      48.34     6.69   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   20.57R    6.50  
Torquay          26   20  -16      38.06     6.04   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.87R   61.93  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Stevenage vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          25   51  +26      93.28     6.69    48.09    48.53    99.09    68.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         25   50  +24      93.38     6.47    45.63    48.05    99.42    70.39P    0.00     0.00  
York               25   44   +4      75.52     7.26     8.23     0.77    45.44     8.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.03     7.23     6.21     0.45    36.72     6.96P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.21     7.04     2.79     0.20    27.27     4.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe          24   42   +4      74.70     7.50     8.09     0.69    40.48     8.26P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          25   41   +2      70.15     7.15     2.62     0.09    19.81     3.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      76.05     7.34    20.16     0.83    51.02    12.82P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.70     7.15     9.18     0.06    19.09     3.18P    0.04R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.77     7.17    -4.73     0.00     3.60     0.55P    0.54R    0.02  
Aldershot          23   35   +6      70.71     7.75    12.33     0.23    25.23     5.13P    0.02R    0.01  
Crawley            24   34   +2      67.32     7.51     6.80     0.04    12.76     2.69P    0.08R    0.00  
Woking             25   32   +1      61.30     6.96     1.92     0.00     2.00     0.42P    0.65R    0.06  
Grays              23   29  +11      68.33     7.64    23.02     0.08    16.82     5.09P    0.10R    0.01  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.17     7.28    -2.83     0.00     0.73     0.12P    3.56R    0.47  
Stafford_Rangers   23   28  -10      53.87     7.48   -18.28     0.00     0.23     0.03P   11.38R    1.81  
Northwich          23   28  -11      53.04     7.38   -22.17     0.00     0.19     0.03P   13.09R    2.15  
Altrincham         25   27   -8      50.72     6.92   -16.33     0.00     0.03     0.01P   17.70R    3.31  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      48.22     6.61   -17.39     0.00     0.01     0.00    27.43R    5.83  
Cambridge_U        26   26  -11      46.76     6.42   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.23R    8.64  
St_Albans          26   26  -13      47.91     6.70   -23.99     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.18R    7.50  
Rushden_&_D        24   24   -6      48.99     7.09   -13.69     0.00     0.04     0.01P   24.96R    5.17  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      42.74     7.05   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.92R   26.66  
Southport          25   20  -14      40.49     6.63   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.11R   38.36