Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 2 January 2007 at 21:32:37 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Newcastle vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    22   54  +34      88.81     4.93    58.10    88.42    99.31   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   47  +20      79.72     5.73    34.91    10.99    80.69    98.15    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +16      69.95     5.65    28.05     0.34    10.61    74.77    96.19     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          22   39   +6      65.23     5.60    12.15     0.07     2.21    36.67    82.66     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   36  +18      67.51     5.88    32.37     0.16     6.01    59.48    91.01     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   36  +11      62.27     5.92    17.77     0.01     1.08    22.60    68.30     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   32   -2      54.53     5.94    -1.44     0.00     0.01     2.23    15.35     0.06R    0.00  
Everton         22   31   +6      55.74     5.75    10.41     0.00     0.06     3.72    23.23     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         22   30   +0      53.71     5.83     2.45     0.00     0.01     1.67    13.70     0.03R    0.00  
Manchester_C    22   29   -6      46.76     5.60   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.26     1.25R    0.03  
Blackburn       21   28   -5      49.73     5.82    -8.61     0.00     0.01     0.41     4.03     0.46R    0.01  
Fulham          22   27  -10      43.86     5.53   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.42     4.12R    0.09  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      47.47     5.83    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.72     1.28R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     21   25   -2      46.77     5.93    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.71     1.61R    0.04  
Middlesbrough   22   24   -6      43.02     5.62   -11.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26     6.24R    0.29  
Sheffield_U     22   23  -12      39.39     5.28   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    17.70R    1.07  
Wigan           21   22   -9      42.23     5.84   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27     9.07R    0.52  
West_Ham        22   18  -21      29.81     4.79   -36.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.78R   31.71  
Charlton        21   16  -19      30.02     5.11   -37.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.66R   30.18  
Watford         20   12  -14      29.06     5.79   -24.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.71R   36.02  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Sheffield_W vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      87.83     6.41    33.85    56.90    76.03    97.45    81.77P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            27   50   +8      81.07     6.56    15.73    13.69    33.26    82.61    43.40P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   47  +12      78.76     6.53    20.72     8.02    22.36    74.20    35.35P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +12      76.23     6.46    20.67     4.36    13.72    61.00    24.66P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    27   43  +17      77.40     6.49    30.45     6.01    17.99    69.80    33.05P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43  +15      75.93     6.48    25.80     4.08    13.21    61.19    26.30P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43  +14      76.61     6.50    23.42     4.97    15.14    63.84    29.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   43   +8      73.46     6.36    15.05     1.58     6.04    42.90    14.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   42   -1      66.34     6.47    -2.79     0.08     0.46    10.04     2.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland       27   40   +4      66.72     6.41     4.63     0.14     0.64    11.31     2.99P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      27   40   +2      65.45     6.41     0.37     0.07     0.46     8.02     1.78P    0.09R    0.00  
Burnley          26   37   +4      65.12     6.81     5.12     0.07     0.48     8.76     2.27P    0.10R    0.00  
Plymouth         27   36   -1      62.49     6.51    -0.31     0.03     0.10     3.57     0.71P    0.38R    0.00  
Ipswich          27   35   +0      61.83     6.48     1.02     0.00     0.07     2.94     0.66P    0.60R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   27   34   -1      59.29     6.41    -1.98     0.01     0.03     1.14     0.25P    1.39R    0.02  
Coventry         27   34   -6      56.19     6.27   -11.14     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    3.75R    0.07  
Norwich          27   34   -8      56.02     6.43   -14.78     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.07P    4.74R    0.13  
Leicester        27   32   -8      53.95     6.22   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.04P    7.51R    0.31  
Luton            27   31  -10      55.23     6.54   -13.47     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P    6.34R    0.32  
Queens_PR        27   30   -7      53.88     6.67   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P    9.04R    0.52  
Hull             27   27  -11      48.73     6.29   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   27.86R    2.61  
Barnsley         27   26  -18      44.35     6.10   -31.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.17R   10.21  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.40     5.90   -39.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.14R   27.63  
Southend         27   21  -23      36.61     5.60   -40.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.83R   58.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Swansea vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe      26   49  +18      85.09     6.61    30.89    27.77    52.93    93.59    64.75P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          26   48  +24      87.16     6.48    41.93    43.98    68.13    96.77    77.56P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      26   48  +10      82.19     6.78    20.42    13.41    32.52    85.64    44.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    26   46  +10      77.23     6.70    15.91     4.35    12.38    63.17    23.43P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         26   42  +13      74.23     6.85    20.68     2.06     6.64    48.76    16.82P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          25   42   +9      74.10     7.00    14.41     1.72     6.07    45.90    15.87P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       26   41  +11      73.81     6.90    19.69     1.86     6.04    46.33    15.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        25   41  +10      76.15     7.14    19.67     3.68    10.83    58.38    23.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       25   39   +9      72.31     6.98    15.90     1.06     3.79    37.11    13.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Carlisle        26   39   -2      65.32     6.78    -2.96     0.06     0.29     8.30     1.77P    0.47R    0.00  
Port_Vale       26   36   -2      63.74     6.96    -1.56     0.03     0.14     5.71     1.15P    1.10R    0.02  
Rotherham       26   34   +2      63.70     6.86     5.57     0.03     0.20     6.13     1.40P    1.02R    0.01  
Gillingham      26   34  -11      56.98     6.72   -19.08     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.10P    9.11R    0.17  
Chesterfield    26   31   -1      58.18     6.86    -0.99     0.00     0.01     1.14     0.26P    6.27R    0.07  
Bradford        26   31   -2      56.66     6.77    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.18P    8.61R    0.21  
Brighton        26   31   -7      54.44     6.81   -13.62     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P   16.16R    0.42  
Huddersfield    26   31   -8      56.56     6.84   -11.20     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.10P   10.22R    0.29  
Crewe           24   28   -4      56.02     7.45    -8.43     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.15P   13.11R    0.51  
Northampton     25   28   -7      51.57     6.66   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   27.38R    1.26  
Millwall        25   27   -7      50.40     6.80   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   34.45R    1.73  
Leyton_Orient   26   27  -12      48.76     6.68   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    45.33R    4.08  
Bournemouth     26   25  -13      46.54     6.49   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   58.29R    6.47  
Cheltenham      25   23  -14      44.13     6.74   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.22R   12.86  
Brentford       26   21  -26      35.86     5.66   -46.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.24R   71.89  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Shrewsbury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      97.21     6.21    46.07    77.34    97.41    99.99    98.34P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    26   51  +15      86.03     6.75    28.33     8.29    61.51    98.09    70.36P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        26   50  +17      84.59     6.80    28.78     6.39    52.48    97.34    63.53P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     26   50  +13      85.08     6.74    24.50     6.43    54.65    97.57    66.42P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       26   47  +11      79.25     6.79    18.30     1.29    21.88    88.03    39.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          26   42   +7      73.94     6.85    13.83     0.15     5.92    66.76    21.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     26   38   +0      66.55     6.93     1.56     0.01     0.72    24.00     5.17P    0.02R    0.01  
Hereford         26   37   +0      63.94     6.90    -0.25     0.01     0.28    14.20     3.17P    0.10R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers   26   36   -1      62.42     6.86    -1.67     0.00     0.13    10.55     2.27P    0.21R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       25   35  +11      71.80     7.11    23.61     0.07     4.46    57.46    20.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport        26   35   +0      61.93     6.90    -0.70     0.00     0.14     9.41     1.90P    0.33R    0.04  
Notts_County     26   35   +0      62.68     6.89     0.81     0.00     0.17    11.36     2.79P    0.23R    0.04  
Barnet           26   34   -6      58.50     6.69   -10.98     0.01     0.01     3.27     0.53P    1.15R    0.20  
Bury             25   33   +0      61.81     7.11     0.26     0.01     0.17     9.97     2.34P    0.40R    0.06  
Chester          25   33   -1      60.81     7.12    -2.19     0.00     0.07     7.74     1.54P    0.54R    0.12  
Darlington       25   30   -5      55.99     6.95    -8.90     0.00     0.03     1.69     0.33P    2.90R    0.61  
Grimsby          26   29  -19      47.65     6.34   -33.71     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   26.45R    8.15  
Wrexham          25   28  -16      47.22     6.39   -32.07     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    28.34R   10.26  
Rochdale         26   27   -1      52.13     6.70    -4.14     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.12P    7.25R    1.85  
Mansfield        24   27   -6      53.90     7.19   -11.44     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.23P    6.41R    1.81  
Boston           26   27  -11      49.91     6.61   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   14.82R    4.42  
Accrington       25   26   -7      51.82     7.00   -13.85     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.10P   10.06R    2.92  
Macclesfield     26   26  -10      48.50     6.58   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   19.91R    5.86  
Torquay          26   20  -16      37.95     6.02   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.87R   63.60  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Stevenage vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          25   51  +26      93.29     6.75    48.06    49.05    99.11    68.16P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         25   50  +24      93.27     6.64    45.44    47.59    99.11    69.93P    0.00     0.00  
York               25   44   +4      75.88     7.32     8.76     0.85    47.17     9.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.27     7.11     6.58     0.41    37.92     7.51P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.18     7.06     2.76     0.18    26.80     4.53P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          24   42   +4      74.82     7.59     8.17     0.66    42.11     8.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend          25   41   +2      69.85     7.07     2.13     0.08    18.52     2.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.97     7.49    20.02     0.81    50.49    12.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.84     7.16     9.42     0.06    19.34     3.26P    0.06R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.32     7.13    -5.33     0.00     3.22     0.54P    0.53R    0.02  
Aldershot          23   35   +6      70.46     7.72    11.87     0.21    23.88     4.68P    0.05R    0.01  
Crawley            24   34   +2      66.91     7.66     6.28     0.01    12.31     2.54P    0.12R    0.01  
Woking             25   32   +1      61.33     7.09     2.00     0.00     2.33     0.50P    0.74R    0.05  
Grays              23   29  +11      68.00     7.74    22.50     0.09    16.27     4.83P    0.12R    0.01  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.20     7.33    -2.72     0.00     0.71     0.14P    3.91R    0.56  
Stafford_Rangers   23   28  -10      53.53     7.47   -18.66     0.00     0.28     0.04P   12.20R    2.19  
Northwich          23   28  -11      53.27     7.48   -21.92     0.00     0.30     0.04P   13.12R    2.17  
Altrincham         25   27   -8      50.70     6.94   -16.38     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.59R    3.40  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      48.18     6.68   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.68R    6.79  
Cambridge_U        26   26  -11      46.93     6.40   -20.29     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.68R    8.40  
St_Albans          26   26  -13      48.41     6.61   -23.12     0.00     0.01     0.00    28.55R    6.56  
Rushden_&_D        24   24   -6      49.03     7.09   -13.65     0.00     0.02     0.01P   25.27R    5.51  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      43.20     7.08   -27.83     0.00     0.01     0.01P   59.24R   25.53  
Southport          25   20  -14      40.46     6.59   -26.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.14R   38.81