Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 1 January 2007 at 21:32:49 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Newcastle vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    22   54  +34      88.84     4.98    58.18    88.58    99.36    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   47  +20      79.40     5.84    34.40    10.78    79.18    97.66    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   40  +16      69.98     5.64    28.15     0.42    11.57    74.62    96.10     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          22   39   +6      65.15     5.63    12.06     0.03     2.12    35.98    81.79     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   36  +18      67.56     5.81    32.42     0.20     6.46    60.11    91.25     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      22   36  +11      62.52     5.92    18.19     0.01     1.22    23.52    69.66     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   32   -2      54.57     5.90    -1.37     0.00     0.03     1.92    15.00     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         22   31   +6      55.91     5.75    10.75     0.00     0.06     4.02    24.04     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         22   30   +0      53.54     5.78     2.13     0.00     0.00     1.47    12.73     0.09R    0.00  
Manchester_C    22   29   -6      46.59     5.52   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.13     1.28R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   28   -5      49.57     5.82    -8.82     0.00     0.00     0.33     3.83     0.58R    0.02  
Fulham          22   27  -10      43.79     5.51   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.38     4.34R    0.04  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      47.69     5.87    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.87     1.27R    0.05  
Aston_Villa     21   25   -2      46.74     5.95    -4.73     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.79     1.74R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   22   24   -6      43.12     5.56   -11.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     5.29R    0.27  
Sheffield_U     22   23  -12      39.39     5.29   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    18.22R    1.17  
Wigan           21   22   -9      42.27     5.92   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34     9.38R    0.53  
West_Ham        22   18  -21      29.62     4.65   -36.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.81R   32.61  
Charlton        21   16  -19      30.07     5.15   -37.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.83R   30.77  
Watford         20   12  -14      29.23     5.75   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.11R   34.51  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Sheffield_W vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       27   53  +20      88.01     6.36    34.19    58.66    77.17    97.78    82.48P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            27   50   +8      80.99     6.47    15.52    12.84    32.77    82.86    43.23P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   47  +12      78.71     6.51    20.65     7.37    21.93    74.19    34.78P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      27   45  +12      76.17     6.44    20.55     4.26    13.45    60.85    24.22P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    27   43  +17      77.21     6.54    30.18     5.88    17.72    68.75    32.02P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       27   43  +15      75.81     6.51    25.70     3.84    12.81    60.12    26.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43  +14      76.72     6.62    23.60     5.32    15.88    64.50    30.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          27   43   +8      73.41     6.31    14.93     1.37     5.80    42.85    14.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    27   42   -1      66.07     6.39    -3.24     0.08     0.45     8.91     2.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland       27   40   +4      66.92     6.40     4.97     0.13     0.67    11.85     3.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      27   40   +2      65.58     6.55     0.58     0.13     0.48     8.80     2.12P    0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          26   37   +4      65.29     6.77     5.42     0.10     0.58     9.20     2.65P    0.09R    0.00  
Plymouth         27   36   -1      62.48     6.55    -0.31     0.01     0.11     3.58     0.82P    0.39R    0.00  
Ipswich          27   35   +0      62.07     6.55     1.40     0.01     0.12     3.58     0.89P    0.44R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   34   -1      59.22     6.39    -2.09     0.00     0.01     0.99     0.22P    1.26R    0.03  
Coventry         27   34   -6      56.27     6.26   -10.95     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.13P    3.60R    0.07  
Norwich          27   34   -8      56.10     6.44   -14.73     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.07P    4.38R    0.12  
Leicester        27   32   -8      53.84     6.27   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.04P    8.09R    0.33  
Luton            27   31  -10      55.31     6.56   -13.32     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P    6.19R    0.33  
Queens_PR        27   30   -7      53.85     6.61   -10.38     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.06P    8.75R    0.43  
Hull             27   27  -11      48.83     6.38   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   26.89R    2.57  
Barnsley         27   26  -18      44.08     6.05   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.24R   10.54  
Leeds            27   24  -22      40.16     5.85   -39.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.12R   29.10  
Southend         27   21  -23      36.71     5.59   -40.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.38R   56.49  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Swansea vs Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe      26   49  +18      85.14     6.64    30.98    27.86    53.45    93.92    65.59P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          26   48  +24      87.27     6.44    42.05    44.51    68.56    97.08    78.46P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      26   48  +10      82.11     6.76    20.39    13.14    32.27    85.06    44.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    26   46  +10      77.12     6.58    15.79     3.57    11.01    63.34    22.54P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         26   42  +13      74.05     6.82    20.48     1.82     6.55    47.56    16.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          25   42   +9      74.08     7.08    14.33     2.06     6.41    46.20    15.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool       26   41  +11      73.96     6.89    19.84     2.01     6.42    46.88    15.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        25   41  +10      76.18     7.11    19.68     3.81    10.94    58.66    23.57P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       25   39   +9      72.34     6.90    15.94     1.08     3.79    36.98    12.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle        26   39   -2      65.48     6.77    -2.79     0.09     0.28     8.04     1.60P    0.45R    0.00  
Port_Vale       26   36   -2      63.82     6.92    -1.42     0.02     0.14     5.79     1.09P    1.07R    0.00  
Rotherham       26   34   +2      63.83     6.92     5.81     0.02     0.15     6.47     1.45P    0.99R    0.01  
Gillingham      26   34  -11      56.81     6.64   -19.29     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.07P    8.96R    0.20  
Chesterfield    26   31   -1      58.31     6.80    -0.85     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.27P    5.79R    0.06  
Bradford        26   31   -2      56.48     6.74    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.12P    9.05R    0.18  
Brighton        26   31   -7      54.52     6.74   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   15.96R    0.42  
Huddersfield    26   31   -8      56.64     6.73   -11.01     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.07P    9.70R    0.22  
Crewe           24   28   -4      56.23     7.40    -8.09     0.01     0.01     0.92     0.17P   12.27R    0.47  
Northampton     25   28   -7      51.51     6.50   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   27.42R    1.11  
Millwall        25   27   -7      50.28     6.86   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   34.99R    1.83  
Leyton_Orient   26   27  -12      48.56     6.59   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    46.11R    3.67  
Bournemouth     26   25  -13      46.60     6.51   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   58.02R    6.42  
Cheltenham      25   23  -14      44.14     6.67   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.82R   12.61  
Brentford       26   21  -26      35.64     5.69   -46.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.36R   72.80  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Shrewsbury vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          26   56  +25      97.20     6.20    45.98    77.58    97.38   100.00    98.31P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    26   51  +15      86.14     6.74    28.60     8.92    61.80    98.12    70.44P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        26   50  +17      84.50     6.72    28.60     6.07    52.43    97.14    63.47P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     26   50  +13      84.97     6.71    24.34     5.99    53.87    97.47    65.87P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       26   47  +11      79.34     6.73    18.45     1.25    22.14    88.61    39.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          26   42   +7      73.96     6.79    13.90     0.13     5.99    66.48    21.55P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     26   38   +0      66.70     6.92     1.87     0.00     0.68    24.72     5.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         26   37   +0      63.94     6.81    -0.20     0.01     0.20    14.10     3.23P    0.13R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   26   36   -1      62.75     6.84    -1.28     0.00     0.20    10.92     2.53P    0.17R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       25   35  +11      71.75     7.08    23.62     0.06     4.68    56.67    20.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport        26   35   +0      61.67     6.91    -1.00     0.00     0.16     8.61     1.89P    0.34R    0.07  
Notts_County     26   35   +0      62.89     6.88     1.05     0.00     0.19    11.64     2.54P    0.18R    0.04  
Barnet           26   34   -6      58.45     6.72   -11.20     0.00     0.01     3.21     0.57P    1.12R    0.19  
Bury             25   33   +0      61.70     7.05     0.10     0.01     0.15     9.47     2.06P    0.41R    0.06  
Chester          25   33   -1      61.04     7.11    -1.87     0.00     0.12     8.23     1.81P    0.53R    0.10  
Darlington       25   30   -5      55.94     7.04    -8.99     0.00     0.01     1.92     0.43P    3.28R    0.74  
Grimsby          26   29  -19      47.59     6.25   -33.78     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   26.36R    8.89  
Wrexham          25   28  -16      46.96     6.39   -32.47     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   29.57R   10.40  
Rochdale         26   27   -1      52.10     6.72    -4.25     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.18P    7.14R    1.81  
Mansfield        24   27   -6      53.91     7.28   -11.48     0.00     0.01     1.33     0.23P    6.25R    1.71  
Boston           26   27  -11      49.91     6.56   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   14.64R    4.55  
Accrington       25   26   -7      51.54     6.99   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.07P   10.50R    3.08  
Macclesfield     26   26  -10      48.52     6.59   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   19.70R    6.01  
Torquay          26   20  -16      38.14     5.98   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.66R   62.33  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 1 January 2007, Stevenage vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          25   51  +26      93.39     6.70    48.37    49.67    99.02    68.20P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         25   50  +24      93.18     6.62    45.23    46.91    99.03    69.14P    0.00     0.00  
York               25   44   +4      75.76     7.27     8.58     0.81    46.24     8.81P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             25   44   +4      74.14     7.14     6.39     0.39    37.10     7.14P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           25   43   +2      72.25     7.16     2.91     0.25    27.32     4.63P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          24   42   +4      75.32     7.53     8.91     0.66    44.66     9.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend          25   41   +2      69.87     7.06     2.28     0.09    18.44     3.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter             24   39  +10      75.75     7.50    19.65     0.80    49.15    12.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage          25   38   +5      69.84     7.16     9.44     0.10    19.50     3.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      25   36   -2      62.71     7.09    -4.76     0.00     3.43     0.62P    0.46R    0.00  
Aldershot          23   35   +6      70.66     7.82    12.29     0.24    24.59     5.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley            24   34   +2      66.91     7.63     6.25     0.01    12.03     2.47P    0.14R    0.01  
Woking             25   32   +1      61.34     7.07     2.04     0.01     2.42     0.53P    0.75R    0.09  
Grays              23   29  +11      67.99     7.66    22.52     0.06    15.72     4.38P    0.17R    0.03  
Halifax            25   29   -2      57.13     7.21    -2.90     0.00     0.60     0.10P    3.63R    0.38  
Stafford_Rangers   23   28  -10      53.57     7.36   -18.70     0.00     0.31     0.03P   11.41R    2.01  
Northwich          23   28  -11      52.95     7.56   -22.41     0.00     0.26     0.02P   14.02R    2.29  
Altrincham         25   27   -8      50.81     7.00   -16.20     0.00     0.09     0.01P   17.93R    3.63  
Forest_Green       26   26   -9      48.06     6.66   -17.71     0.00     0.02     0.00    29.36R    6.58  
Cambridge_U        26   26  -11      46.90     6.50   -20.34     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.08R    8.89  
St_Albans          26   26  -13      48.08     6.74   -23.75     0.00     0.02     0.00    30.06R    7.25  
Rushden_&_D        24   24   -6      49.04     7.07   -13.62     0.00     0.01     0.01P   24.73R    5.28  
Tamworth           24   21  -15      43.04     7.03   -28.07     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.27R   25.20  
Southport          25   20  -14      40.57     6.68   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.94R   38.37