Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 31 December 2006 at 21:32:42 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 December 2006, Sheffield_U vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    21   53  +34      90.23     5.22    59.36    92.00    99.53   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   47  +20      79.34     5.79    34.31     7.62    79.07    97.19    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          21   39   +9      67.28     5.84    16.37     0.12     5.12    49.80    88.31     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   37  +13      67.52     6.03    23.70     0.12     6.37    53.53    89.33     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   36  +18      67.70     5.92    32.39     0.10     7.01    57.60    90.25     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      21   35  +11      64.43     6.18    20.71     0.03     2.69    33.17    77.38     0.00     0.00  
Everton         21   31   +7      57.48     6.03    12.08     0.00     0.20     6.34    30.89     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham       21   31   -2      53.58     6.07    -3.63     0.00     0.01     1.49    11.62     0.08R    0.00  
Reading         21   27   -6      50.73     6.13    -5.83     0.00     0.01     0.54     5.55     0.60R    0.03  
Manchester_C    21   26   -7      44.70     5.77   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.69     4.04R    0.14  
Fulham          21   26  -10      45.36     5.90   -16.93     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.80     4.04R    0.14  
Aston_Villa     21   25   -2      46.82     5.94    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.59     1.97R    0.04  
Newcastle       21   25   -5      46.81     6.04    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.31     2.49R    0.07  
Blackburn       20   25   -8      45.86     6.03   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.99     4.10R    0.21  
Sheffield_U     21   23  -10      40.73     5.61   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    15.09R    1.11  
Wigan           20   22   -6      45.74     6.30    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.26     4.22R    0.26  
Middlesbrough   21   21   -8      40.70     5.83   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    14.98R    1.40  
West_Ham        21   18  -15      31.88     5.09   -28.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.18R   20.13  
Charlton        21   16  -19      29.85     5.10   -37.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.12R   35.97  
Watford         19   11  -14      29.11     6.11   -24.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.06R   40.51  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 December 2006, West_Bromwich vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       26   53  +21      89.74     6.55    35.79    59.83    78.36    98.11    83.41P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          26   47  +13      81.42     6.78    23.59    11.29    29.90    81.70    42.67P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            26   47   +7      78.66     6.73    13.53     5.19    16.38    68.13    26.75P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      26   44  +12      76.43     6.71    20.36     3.08    11.29    57.81    21.94P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    26   43  +19      80.94     6.69    35.98    11.16    29.98    82.33    46.31P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       26   43  +16      77.88     6.65    27.76     4.87    15.77    68.28    29.82P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43  +14      76.69     6.60    23.65     3.22    11.58    60.52    26.15P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          26   42   +8      73.69     6.67    14.87     1.15     4.91    40.65    12.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_W      26   40   +3      68.50     6.74     4.14     0.17     1.00    15.26     3.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    26   39   -3      64.25     6.77    -5.39     0.01     0.14     5.34     1.04P    0.13R    0.00  
Burnley          26   37   +4      65.30     6.75     5.34     0.03     0.30     7.64     2.15P    0.06R    0.00  
Sunderland       26   37   +2      64.49     6.70     1.62     0.01     0.23     6.17     1.47P    0.15R    0.00  
Plymouth         26   35   -1      63.07     6.85    -0.11     0.00     0.14     4.04     0.92P    0.33R    0.00  
Coventry         26   34   -5      57.91     6.59    -9.47     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.12P    2.04R    0.01  
Norwich          26   34   -6      57.08     6.63   -13.27     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.05P    2.78R    0.03  
Ipswich          26   32   -1      59.84     6.85    -0.63     0.00     0.03     1.61     0.31P    1.17R    0.01  
Leicester        26   32   -6      56.41     6.48   -10.13     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.06P    3.02R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   26   31   -3      57.28     6.70    -4.49     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.15P    2.27R    0.01  
Luton            26   30  -10      55.78     6.78   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    4.88R    0.09  
Queens_PR        26   27   -8      51.25     6.87   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.51R    0.67  
Barnsley         26   26  -16      45.55     6.30   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.99R    3.21  
Hull             26   24  -12      46.01     6.38   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   39.27R    2.67  
Leeds            26   21  -23      38.24     6.07   -40.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.53R   24.31  
Southend         26   18  -25      32.89     5.65   -46.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.86R   68.94  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 December 2006, Scunthorpe vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe      25   48  +18      85.79     7.00    31.49    30.71    53.63    93.19    64.58P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      25   48  +15      85.82     6.97    28.58    29.66    52.74    93.11    63.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          25   45  +19      84.04     6.93    34.39    22.84    44.51    90.45    58.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    25   45  +10      78.16     7.09    16.73     4.98    14.12    66.22    25.41P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       25   41  +13      76.65     7.05    24.09     4.19    11.47    61.20    23.34P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          24   41   +9      75.66     7.21    16.06     2.90     8.29    53.27    18.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         25   39  +11      73.42     7.05    20.12     1.65     5.22    42.16    13.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere        24   38   +9      75.02     7.38    19.36     2.46     7.62    51.24    19.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       24   36   +6      69.91     7.28    11.97     0.47     1.79    23.92     7.70P    0.14R    0.00  
Carlisle        25   36   -3      63.70     7.20    -4.10     0.04     0.18     5.76     1.07P    1.12R    0.01  
Port_Vale       25   35   -2      63.71     7.11    -2.22     0.01     0.10     5.72     0.99P    1.04R    0.01  
Rotherham       25   34   +3      64.58     7.09     5.83     0.07     0.21     7.82     1.73P    0.65R    0.01  
Gillingham      25   34   -8      59.19     6.93   -14.42     0.01     0.02     1.44     0.18P    4.49R    0.04  
Bradford        25   31   -1      58.22     7.13    -2.97     0.00     0.01     1.20     0.21P    5.41R    0.14  
Huddersfield    25   31   -5      58.15     7.03    -7.51     0.00     0.02     1.14     0.23P    5.71R    0.18  
Brighton        25   31   -6      56.54     7.09   -11.61     0.00     0.01     0.75     0.12P    9.40R    0.26  
Chesterfield    25   28   -3      55.00     7.10    -5.33     0.01     0.01     0.43     0.10P   12.11R    0.28  
Crewe           24   28   -4      56.29     7.38    -8.03     0.01     0.04     0.88     0.16P   10.20R    0.34  
Northampton     24   27   -7      51.20     6.90   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   26.30R    1.40  
Leyton_Orient   25   26  -12      48.55     6.85   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   42.66R    3.75  
Millwall        24   24  -10      46.95     7.00   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.37R    5.43  
Cheltenham      25   23  -14      44.18     6.78   -25.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    67.52R   12.21  
Bournemouth     25   22  -14      44.43     6.80   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.78R   11.33  
Brentford       25   21  -24      36.10     5.89   -46.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.07R   64.61  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 December 2006, Walsall vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          25   53  +23      95.27     6.57    43.50    62.26    94.18    99.97    96.16P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    25   51  +16      88.11     6.90    30.70    16.86    70.88    98.92    77.76P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        25   50  +18      87.48     6.99    32.29    14.83    68.41    98.52    76.27P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     25   47  +12      82.68     7.02    22.45     4.54    37.30    94.14    52.54P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       25   44  +10      77.44     7.11    17.13     0.98    15.22    80.55    31.77P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          25   41   +7      75.02     7.17    14.94     0.43     8.30    70.09    24.51P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     25   38   +2      68.27     7.19     4.23     0.04     1.40    32.38     7.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         25   36   +0      63.89     7.02    -0.80     0.00     0.30    14.46     3.48P    0.12R    0.01  
Stockport        25   35   +2      63.52     7.17     1.73     0.01     0.39    14.36     3.31P    0.08R    0.01  
Notts_County     25   35   +1      65.01     7.14     3.27     0.01     0.44    18.54     4.30P    0.12R    0.03  
Barnet           25   34   -5      60.03     7.05    -9.94     0.00     0.06     5.50     1.05P    0.63R    0.10  
Bury             25   33   +0      61.62     7.00     0.03     0.00     0.10     8.93     1.98P    0.29R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   25   33   -2      61.24     7.11    -2.24     0.01     0.10     8.07     1.75P    0.41R    0.07  
Shrewsbury       24   32   +9      70.05     7.42    21.13     0.04     2.86    46.22    15.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester          24   30   -2      58.32     7.31    -4.36     0.00     0.03     4.54     1.04P    1.28R    0.26  
Darlington       25   30   -5      55.93     6.97    -9.06     0.00     0.02     1.65     0.32P    2.60R    0.69  
Grimsby          25   29  -15      50.69     6.78   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   12.14R    3.88  
Wrexham          24   28  -14      49.29     6.82   -28.76     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   17.11R    5.94  
Mansfield        23   27   -5      55.24     7.45   -10.62     0.00     0.03     2.18     0.42P    4.12R    1.26  
Rochdale         25   24   -5      48.57     6.91   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   17.14R    6.17  
Boston           25   24  -12      48.18     6.86   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   20.46R    8.36  
Accrington       24   23   -9      49.22     7.28   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P   17.48R    7.03  
Macclesfield     25   23  -11      45.42     6.87   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   34.26R   14.75  
Torquay          25   20  -15      39.16     6.32   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.74R   51.40  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 December 2006, Tamworth vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          24   50  +26      93.98     6.98    49.03    42.05    98.99    63.05P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         24   50  +25      95.80     6.78    48.13    55.01    99.46    74.74P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             24   43   +4      75.35     7.49     7.50     0.55    42.91     8.07P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           24   43   +3      74.45     7.33     5.20     0.28    37.53     6.69P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          23   42   +6      77.64     7.83    12.40     1.21    55.56    12.57P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          25   41   +2      70.27     7.16     2.81     0.06    19.45     3.29P    0.01R    0.00  
York               24   41   +2      72.62     7.50     4.36     0.20    29.20     5.25P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             23   36   +9      72.89     7.71    16.97     0.27    33.45     7.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          22   35   +7      72.47     8.11    13.91     0.28    32.19     6.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage          24   35   +4      68.16     7.49     8.33     0.02    14.27     2.48P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley            23   33   +2      66.87     7.73     5.60     0.04    11.60     2.35P    0.16R    0.01  
Kidderminster      24   33   -3      61.10     7.45    -5.84     0.00     2.58     0.47P    0.88R    0.07  
Woking             24   32   +2      64.03     7.50     5.05     0.01     5.79     1.29P    0.38R    0.03  
Grays              23   29  +11      68.15     7.70    22.81     0.04    15.52     4.56P    0.06R    0.00  
Halifax            24   28   -2      58.17     7.60    -1.85     0.00     1.12     0.24P    2.81R    0.41  
Stafford_Rangers   22   27  -10      53.11     7.69   -20.15     0.00     0.20     0.03P   12.48R    2.10  
Altrincham         24   26   -8      50.27     7.22   -17.74     0.00     0.04     0.01P   18.64R    4.05  
Cambridge_U        25   26  -10      48.39     6.74   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.26R    5.71  
Northwich          22   25  -13      50.68     7.76   -25.41     0.00     0.12     0.03P   20.91R    5.31  
Rushden_&_D        23   23   -6      50.36     7.41   -12.21     0.00     0.04     0.01P   18.41R    4.01  
Forest_Green       25   23  -10      45.36     6.72   -20.10     0.00     0.01     0.01P   40.91R   12.04  
St_Albans          25   23  -14      45.15     6.87   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.45R   14.51  
Southport          24   20  -12      42.57     7.11   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.16R   25.61  
Tamworth           23   20  -15      42.80     7.20   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.44R   26.14