Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 30 December 2006 at 21:32:34 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 December 2006, Sheffield_U vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    21   53  +34      90.53     5.17    60.00    92.27    99.60    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   47  +20      79.28     5.79    34.16     7.44    78.81    97.23    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          21   39   +9      67.30     5.78    16.46     0.04     5.09    49.24    88.17     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   37  +13      67.63     5.97    23.87     0.12     6.58    54.48    89.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   36  +18      67.73     5.82    32.47     0.11     7.10    57.41    90.75     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      21   35  +11      64.49     6.19    20.72     0.03     2.64    33.33    77.55     0.00     0.00  
Everton         21   31   +7      57.58     6.00    12.33     0.00     0.15     6.05    30.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   31   -2      53.59     6.02    -3.61     0.00     0.03     1.46    11.11     0.09R    0.01  
Reading         21   27   -6      50.59     6.08    -6.04     0.00     0.00     0.47     5.02     0.62R    0.00  
Manchester_C    21   26   -7      44.48     5.75   -13.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.60     4.47R    0.12  
Fulham          21   26  -10      45.21     5.82   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.71     4.30R    0.12  
Aston_Villa     21   25   -2      46.77     5.97    -4.64     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.49     2.27R    0.07  
Newcastle       21   25   -5      46.90     6.09    -7.06     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.41     2.67R    0.08  
Blackburn       20   25   -8      45.79     6.02   -15.71     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.07     3.99R    0.21  
Sheffield_U     21   23  -10      40.75     5.59   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    15.29R    0.99  
Wigan           20   22   -6      45.47     6.25    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.14     4.58R    0.23  
Middlesbrough   21   21   -8      40.66     5.73   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    15.29R    1.10  
West_Ham        21   18  -15      32.11     5.20   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.53R   19.31  
Charlton        21   16  -19      29.99     5.11   -37.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.48R   35.72  
Watford         19   11  -14      29.02     6.13   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.42R   42.05  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 December 2006, West_Bromwich vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       26   53  +21      89.86     6.53    35.99    60.74    78.98    98.20    83.97P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          26   47  +13      81.31     6.76    23.41    10.73    30.11    81.17    42.74P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            26   47   +7      78.53     6.73    13.24     5.17    16.02    67.65    26.25P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      26   44  +12      76.43     6.70    20.50     3.13    10.97    57.87    21.90P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    26   43  +19      80.65     6.60    35.44    10.21    28.61    81.64    44.51P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       26   43  +16      77.81     6.67    27.66     4.76    15.74    67.50    29.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            26   43  +14      76.95     6.61    23.95     3.65    12.52    62.02    27.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          26   42   +8      73.96     6.64    15.17     1.34     5.20    42.16    13.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      26   40   +3      68.67     6.72     4.48     0.15     1.06    16.23     3.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    26   39   -3      64.54     6.53    -5.09     0.01     0.14     5.22     1.03P    0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          26   37   +4      64.92     6.67     4.81     0.06     0.33     6.96     1.86P    0.11R    0.01  
Sunderland       26   37   +2      64.42     6.60     1.56     0.03     0.17     5.59     1.30P    0.13R    0.00  
Plymouth         26   35   -1      63.08     6.78    -0.12     0.02     0.10     3.94     0.91P    0.33R    0.00  
Coventry         26   34   -5      57.96     6.45    -9.40     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.13P    1.53R    0.01  
Norwich          26   34   -6      57.31     6.66   -12.81     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.17P    2.61R    0.01  
Ipswich          26   32   -1      59.66     6.73    -0.89     0.01     0.01     1.43     0.33P    1.16R    0.01  
Leicester        26   32   -6      56.60     6.59    -9.81     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.09P    2.88R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   26   31   -3      57.14     6.58    -4.60     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.10P    2.16R    0.03  
Luton            26   30  -10      55.83     6.81   -13.21     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.03P    4.79R    0.09  
Queens_PR        26   27   -8      51.43     6.86   -12.74     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.01P   13.64R    0.52  
Barnsley         26   26  -16      45.52     6.27   -29.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.64R    3.17  
Hull             26   24  -12      45.65     6.35   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.08R    3.10  
Leeds            26   21  -23      38.27     5.94   -40.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.53R   24.36  
Southend         26   18  -25      32.80     5.61   -46.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.28R   68.66  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 December 2006, Scunthorpe vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Scunthorpe      25   48  +18      85.81     7.03    31.54    30.20    53.09    93.30    64.37P    0.00     0.00  
Nottingham      25   48  +15      85.77     6.92    28.43    29.43    52.16    93.38    62.96P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          25   45  +19      84.09     6.88    34.41    23.27    44.58    90.37    58.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    25   45  +10      78.07     7.20    16.68     5.42    14.20    65.58    25.43P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       25   41  +13      76.62     7.03    24.00     4.12    11.29    60.60    23.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil          24   41   +9      75.61     7.33    15.98     2.95     8.92    52.53    19.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         25   39  +11      73.41     7.07    20.09     1.52     5.16    42.39    14.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        24   38   +9      75.18     7.42    19.57     2.40     7.79    52.16    19.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       24   36   +6      70.05     7.39    12.13     0.56     2.15    25.02     8.02P    0.06R    0.00  
Carlisle        25   36   -3      63.58     7.03    -4.20     0.03     0.20     5.11     1.12P    1.02R    0.01  
Port_Vale       25   35   -2      63.67     7.19    -2.28     0.03     0.15     5.71     1.14P    1.11R    0.01  
Rotherham       25   34   +3      64.53     7.18     5.69     0.08     0.24     7.96     1.91P    0.69R    0.00  
Gillingham      25   34   -8      59.07     6.93   -14.55     0.00     0.01     1.46     0.20P    4.50R    0.11  
Bradford        25   31   -1      58.19     7.02    -2.96     0.00     0.02     1.16     0.20P    5.33R    0.11  
Huddersfield    25   31   -5      58.60     6.94    -6.83     0.00     0.01     1.24     0.18P    4.78R    0.08  
Brighton        25   31   -6      56.35     7.08   -11.91     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.12P    9.71R    0.24  
Chesterfield    25   28   -3      54.98     7.08    -5.37     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.10P   12.43R    0.43  
Crewe           24   28   -4      56.26     7.42    -8.01     0.00     0.03     0.90     0.17P   10.67R    0.43  
Northampton     24   27   -7      50.96     6.87   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   27.73R    1.47  
Leyton_Orient   25   26  -12      48.16     6.78   -22.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   44.89R    4.37  
Millwall        24   24  -10      47.54     6.99   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    47.53R    4.76  
Cheltenham      25   23  -14      43.80     6.70   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.41R   13.41  
Bournemouth     25   22  -14      44.66     6.83   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.49R   10.98  
Brentford       25   21  -24      36.39     5.91   -46.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.63R   63.59  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 December 2006, Walsall vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          25   53  +23      95.34     6.47    43.66    63.41    94.89    99.97    96.77P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    25   51  +16      88.03     6.99    30.59    16.36    70.72    98.74    77.47P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        25   50  +18      87.23     6.98    31.80    14.36    67.61    98.72    75.36P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     25   47  +12      82.47     7.05    22.15     4.27    36.98    94.08    51.91P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       25   44  +10      77.87     7.12    17.69     1.11    16.40    81.97    34.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          25   41   +7      74.89     7.07    14.73     0.38     7.74    69.44    23.52P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     25   38   +2      68.13     7.23     4.01     0.04     1.40    31.86     7.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Hereford         25   36   +0      64.08     6.98    -0.53     0.01     0.31    14.51     3.25P    0.07R    0.02  
Stockport        25   35   +2      63.48     7.16     1.65     0.01     0.35    13.81     3.34P    0.15R    0.01  
Notts_County     25   35   +1      65.08     7.07     3.34     0.00     0.32    18.90     4.66P    0.07R    0.01  
Barnet           25   34   -5      59.71     6.99   -10.37     0.00     0.04     4.88     0.73P    0.79R    0.15  
Bury             25   33   +0      61.46     7.07    -0.10     0.00     0.10     8.89     2.03P    0.35R    0.07  
Bristol_Rovers   25   33   -2      61.39     7.13    -2.01     0.01     0.11     8.56     1.91P    0.41R    0.10  
Shrewsbury       24   32   +9      70.00     7.40    21.15     0.06     2.98    46.16    15.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester          24   30   -2      58.07     7.23    -4.64     0.00     0.04     3.93     0.89P    1.46R    0.33  
Darlington       25   30   -5      56.15     7.00    -8.74     0.00     0.01     1.97     0.40P    2.62R    0.66  
Grimsby          25   29  -15      50.44     6.79   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.07P   13.38R    4.43  
Wrexham          24   28  -14      49.33     6.91   -28.74     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   17.20R    6.20  
Mansfield        23   27   -5      55.78     7.58    -9.75     0.00     0.01     2.56     0.55P    3.92R    1.25  
Rochdale         25   24   -5      48.64     6.84   -11.06     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   16.57R    5.86  
Boston           25   24  -12      48.17     6.86   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   20.52R    7.95  
Accrington       24   23   -9      49.16     7.18   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P   17.36R    7.07  
Macclesfield     25   23  -11      45.58     6.83   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   33.12R   14.02  
Torquay          25   20  -15      39.13     6.33   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.98R   51.88  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 30 December 2006, Tamworth vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Dag_&_Red          24   50  +26      93.82     6.98    48.68    40.98    99.03    62.63P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd         24   50  +25      95.96     6.82    48.36    56.08    99.47    75.51P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             24   43   +4      75.59     7.42     7.90     0.54    44.47     8.46P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           24   43   +3      74.48     7.54     5.26     0.45    38.13     6.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe          23   42   +6      77.59     7.73    12.34     1.11    55.30    12.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          25   41   +2      69.86     7.14     2.22     0.04    18.09     3.08P    0.02R    0.00  
York               24   41   +2      72.56     7.32     4.34     0.17    28.71     5.04P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter             23   36   +9      72.70     7.81    16.64     0.21    33.12     8.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          22   35   +7      72.33     8.13    13.72     0.28    31.70     6.88P    0.03R    0.01  
Stevenage          24   35   +4      67.89     7.40     7.91     0.06    13.33     2.19P    0.10R    0.01  
Crawley            23   33   +2      66.85     7.86     5.63     0.02    12.31     2.35P    0.17R    0.02  
Kidderminster      24   33   -3      61.19     7.30    -5.79     0.01     2.42     0.41P    0.84R    0.04  
Woking             24   32   +2      64.30     7.33     5.50     0.01     5.82     1.11P    0.29R    0.01  
Grays              23   29  +11      68.37     7.67    23.20     0.04    16.50     4.87P    0.09R    0.01  
Halifax            24   28   -2      58.26     7.59    -1.79     0.00     1.12     0.24P    2.86R    0.42  
Stafford_Rangers   22   27  -10      53.22     7.58   -19.99     0.00     0.23     0.05P   11.43R    2.03  
Altrincham         24   26   -8      50.42     7.19   -17.53     0.00     0.06     0.01P   18.25R    3.91  
Cambridge_U        25   26  -10      48.32     6.74   -19.35     0.00     0.01     0.01P   25.92R    5.80  
Northwich          22   25  -13      50.47     7.70   -25.68     0.00     0.11     0.01P   21.46R    5.53  
Rushden_&_D        23   23   -6      50.13     7.46   -12.59     0.00     0.07     0.03P   19.23R    4.58  
Forest_Green       25   23  -10      45.37     6.75   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.07R   12.46  
St_Albans          25   23  -14      45.13     6.86   -27.21     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.99R   14.87  
Southport          24   20  -12      42.54     6.96   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.23R   25.48  
Tamworth           23   20  -15      43.16     7.23   -28.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.00R   24.80