Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 29 December 2006 at 21:32:31 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 December 2006, Charlton vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    20   50  +33      91.05     5.14    63.04    88.54    99.46   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   46  +20      81.70     5.84    37.92    10.98    84.42    98.75    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   36  +19      70.16     6.08    35.50     0.30     8.79    72.50    95.23     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          20   36   +8      65.32     6.15    14.95     0.04     2.00    36.26    81.08     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      20   35  +12      65.90     6.38    21.80     0.09     2.69    43.55    83.54     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   34  +12      65.52     6.37    22.40     0.06     2.59    40.91    82.56     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       20   31   -1      55.39     6.25    -2.00     0.00     0.04     3.33    20.02     0.04R    0.00  
Everton         20   28   +4      55.13     6.27     8.08     0.00     0.01     3.17    20.60     0.04R    0.00  
Reading         20   27   -5      50.40     6.11    -8.24     0.00     0.01     0.56     5.38     0.67R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     20   25   -1      49.03     6.34    -2.21     0.00     0.00     0.45     4.48     1.09R    0.03  
Newcastle       20   25   -2      48.58     6.37    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.35     3.79     1.21R    0.03  
Fulham          20   25  -10      43.40     5.90   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.48     7.29R    0.24  
Manchester_C    20   23   -8      42.41     5.90   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.31     9.02R    0.47  
Wigan           20   22   -6      45.89     6.28    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.59     3.40R    0.17  
Blackburn       19   22   -9      44.14     6.29   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.79     7.25R    0.45  
Middlesbrough   20   21   -7      41.80     5.93   -13.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.18    10.79R    0.69  
Sheffield_U     20   20  -11      37.73     5.82   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    30.61R    3.11  
West_Ham        20   18  -14      34.14     5.65   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    56.85R    9.46  
Charlton        20   13  -20      27.48     5.41   -39.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.19R   51.66  
Watford         19   11  -14      29.28     6.13   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.53R   33.67  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, West_Bromwich vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       25   52  +21      91.82     6.71    38.65    72.47    87.06    99.12    90.17P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          25   44  +12      78.87     7.07    21.29     5.62    21.70    71.79    34.03P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            25   44   +6      77.30     7.14    12.84     3.56    15.14    62.72    25.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      25   41  +10      74.98     7.01    18.48     2.17     9.96    52.17    19.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   41   +8      75.07     6.83    16.43     1.68     8.77    52.26    18.95P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    25   40  +17      79.63     6.96    34.66     7.62    27.07    77.89    42.23P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       25   40  +15      76.92     7.01    27.75     3.88    15.65    64.39    29.38P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            25   40  +12      75.62     6.90    22.52     2.46    11.04    56.80    25.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    25   39   -2      65.14     6.87    -5.16     0.04     0.40     8.12     1.64P    0.14R    0.00  
Burnley          25   37   +6      68.12     6.95     9.51     0.28     1.41    17.73     5.39P    0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland       25   37   +3      66.32     7.00     3.37     0.10     0.78    11.97     2.92P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      25   37   +0      65.69     6.96    -0.90     0.09     0.46     9.57     2.10P    0.16R    0.00  
Plymouth         25   35   +0      64.52     7.08     0.98     0.03     0.39     7.87     1.82P    0.19R    0.00  
Coventry         25   33   -5      59.63     6.92    -7.66     0.00     0.03     1.64     0.34P    1.26R    0.01  
Ipswich          25   32   +1      60.76     7.17     0.33     0.01     0.14     3.21     0.70P    1.15R    0.00  
Leicester        25   32   -4      57.39     6.88    -8.73     0.00     0.01     0.94     0.15P    2.51R    0.02  
Norwich          25   31   -7      55.77     6.97   -13.95     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.12P    4.99R    0.10  
Crystal_Palace   25   30   -3      56.67     6.87    -6.05     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.18P    3.15R    0.04  
Luton            25   29  -10      54.44     6.91   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P    7.38R    0.17  
Queens_PR        25   27   -7      52.92     7.16   -11.65     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.04P   10.40R    0.32  
Barnsley         25   26  -13      48.33     6.71   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   27.50R    1.47  
Hull             25   21  -14      42.89     6.66   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.53R    7.32  
Leeds            25   21  -21      38.99     6.27   -39.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.38R   19.30  
Southend         25   17  -25      32.15     5.79   -47.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.17R   71.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, Rotherham vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      24   47  +15      86.23     7.11    28.59    33.61    57.06    93.87    66.72P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      24   45  +17      85.70     7.11    32.65    32.63    55.84    93.12    66.51P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          24   42  +16      81.85     7.19    30.60    15.57    34.55    84.62    49.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    24   42   +9      76.66     7.34    16.00     4.46    11.89    59.02    21.98P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         24   39  +12      76.07     7.23    23.04     4.07    11.44    58.87    23.21P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       24   38  +11      74.00     7.32    20.35     2.48     7.28    46.75    16.43P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          23   38   +8      73.60     7.53    14.51     2.08     6.38    43.05    15.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        23   37   +9      74.76     7.63    18.57     3.15     9.28    49.85    19.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Doncaster       23   36   +8      72.10     7.55    15.08     1.61     4.72    35.70    13.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Port_Vale       24   35   -1      64.73     7.54    -1.70     0.07     0.44     8.94     1.96P    1.16R    0.00  
Gillingham      24   34   -5      60.84     7.22   -10.94     0.01     0.06     3.19     0.58P    2.87R    0.01  
Rotherham       24   33   +3      65.76     7.46     7.17     0.20     0.81    11.71     3.02P    0.55R    0.00  
Carlisle        24   33   -4      61.22     7.31    -6.29     0.04     0.12     3.30     0.60P    2.58R    0.01  
Brighton        24   31   -5      58.61     7.45    -9.49     0.01     0.04     1.86     0.35P    6.04R    0.06  
Bradford        24   30   -1      59.50     7.33    -1.65     0.01     0.04     2.17     0.44P    4.28R    0.08  
Chesterfield    24   28   -2      57.70     7.45    -2.32     0.00     0.03     1.31     0.24P    7.26R    0.14  
Crewe           23   28   -3      58.02     7.67    -6.18     0.01     0.02     1.90     0.41P    7.62R    0.13  
Huddersfield    24   28   -6      55.53     7.30   -10.01     0.01     0.01     0.59     0.10P   12.01R    0.30  
Northampton     24   27   -7      50.98     6.91   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   27.69R    0.79  
Leyton_Orient   24   25  -12      47.89     7.01   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   46.81R    3.12  
Millwall        24   24  -10      47.26     6.98   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   49.09R    3.02  
Bournemouth     24   22  -13      44.81     6.92   -24.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   63.41R    7.76  
Cheltenham      24   22  -14      43.41     6.83   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.97R   10.24  
Brentford       24   18  -25      33.63     6.04   -48.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.62R   74.32  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, Torquay vs Milton_Keynes; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          24   52  +23      97.30     6.66    45.48    75.42    96.92    99.96    98.09P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    24   48  +13      85.33     7.33    25.47     8.36    57.40    96.66    66.12P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        24   47  +17      85.84     7.31    31.28     9.59    61.87    97.19    70.95P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     24   46  +12      83.66     7.29    23.33     5.16    47.31    95.47    60.38P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       24   41   +9      76.51     7.35    17.09     0.71    14.86    77.31    31.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          24   41   +8      76.39     7.36    15.87     0.68    14.23    76.22    30.95P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     24   38   +3      69.45     7.43     4.94     0.06     2.81    39.55    10.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     24   34   +1      64.26     7.36     1.61     0.02     0.67    17.36     4.43P    0.17R    0.04  
Bury             24   33   +1      63.33     7.37     1.58     0.00     0.46    14.77     3.50P    0.21R    0.04  
Hereford         24   33   -2      61.53     7.24    -3.90     0.00     0.16     9.20     1.89P    0.41R    0.10  
Stockport        24   32   -1      61.04     7.44    -2.54     0.00     0.22     8.94     1.98P    0.56R    0.11  
Bristol_Rovers   24   32   -2      60.25     7.32    -3.80     0.00     0.17     7.05     1.75P    0.61R    0.12  
Barnet           24   31   -6      58.04     7.31   -11.41     0.00     0.05     4.08     0.67P    1.77R    0.54  
Chester          23   30   +1      61.33     7.77     1.05     0.00     0.34    11.07     2.85P    0.69R    0.17  
Darlington       24   30   -4      57.49     7.29    -7.61     0.00     0.04     3.54     0.74P    1.96R    0.56  
Shrewsbury       23   29   +8      68.28     7.67    19.96     0.01     2.46    37.32    12.96P    0.04R    0.01  
Grimsby          24   29  -12      52.35     7.07   -22.99     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.10P    8.79R    2.96  
Wrexham          23   28  -12      50.47     7.07   -27.03     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.05P   13.17R    4.66  
Mansfield        23   27   -5      55.63     7.49    -9.87     0.00     0.01     2.44     0.52P    4.12R    1.31  
Boston           24   24   -8      50.90     7.31   -13.84     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.15P   11.88R    4.29  
Accrington       24   23   -9      49.38     7.22   -17.34     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P   16.78R    6.68  
Rochdale         24   21   -9      45.04     7.05   -17.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   35.13R   16.83  
Macclesfield     24   20  -12      43.79     7.01   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    43.16R   23.14  
Torquay          24   20  -14      41.01     6.66   -26.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.52R   38.44  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, Dag_&_Red vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         23   49  +25      97.44     7.03    50.04    62.73    99.56    79.27P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          23   47  +25      93.32     7.20    50.07    34.24    98.72    58.22P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           23   43   +4      76.97     7.75     7.88     0.85    52.01     9.80P    0.00     0.00  
York               23   41   +3      74.85     7.83     6.69     0.38    41.73     7.65P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             23   40   +3      73.69     7.67     6.49     0.30    36.19     6.96P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe          22   39   +5      76.64     8.12    12.34     0.95    51.41    11.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend          24   38   +1      68.57     7.47     1.61     0.01    15.31     2.51P    0.10R    0.01  
Aldershot          22   35   +7      72.29     8.18    13.60     0.26    32.23     6.54P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter             22   33   +8      71.33     8.03    16.12     0.19    27.92     6.87P    0.06R    0.01  
Stevenage          23   32   +3      65.16     7.75     4.82     0.01     8.44     1.47P    0.52R    0.01  
Crawley            22   32   +2      65.90     8.14     3.64     0.02    10.95     2.27P    0.38R    0.04  
Kidderminster      23   30   -4      58.99     7.72    -7.69     0.00     1.77     0.34P    2.94R    0.34  
Grays              23   29  +11      68.51     7.69    23.38     0.06    17.61     5.34P    0.10R    0.01  
Woking             23   29   +1      61.78     7.63     3.15     0.00     3.58     0.69P    1.12R    0.06  
Halifax            23   28   -1      58.73     7.81    -2.55     0.00     1.76     0.31P    3.52R    0.56  
Stafford_Rangers   22   27  -10      53.49     7.67   -19.71     0.00     0.30     0.05P   13.40R    2.57  
Cambridge_U        24   26   -9      49.52     6.98   -18.28     0.00     0.03     0.00    23.82R    5.64  
Altrincham         23   25   -8      51.06     7.53   -17.01     0.00     0.15     0.01P   19.82R    4.84  
Northwich          22   25  -13      50.87     7.76   -25.06     0.00     0.17     0.01P   22.73R    5.78  
Rushden_&_D        22   23   -5      51.66     7.70   -11.55     0.00     0.15     0.04P   16.95R    3.98  
St_Albans          24   23  -13      46.06     7.12   -27.18     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.73R   14.39  
Forest_Green       24   22  -10      45.32     6.96   -20.61     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.33R   15.83  
Southport          23   20  -11      44.25     7.42   -21.93     0.00     0.01     0.01P   51.80R   21.84  
Tamworth           22   20  -14      44.15     7.54   -28.23     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.67R   24.09