Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 28 December 2006 at 21:33:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 December 2006, Charlton vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    20   50  +33      90.88     5.19    62.64    87.46    99.39    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   46  +20      81.68     5.84    37.86    12.01    84.41    98.66    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   36  +19      70.14     6.06    35.53     0.33     8.97    71.64    95.14     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          20   36   +8      65.92     6.07    15.81     0.10     2.02    39.66    83.12     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      20   35  +12      65.98     6.41    21.98     0.08     2.88    42.57    83.78     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   34  +12      65.48     6.30    22.33     0.04     2.23    39.69    82.11     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       20   31   -1      55.26     6.37    -2.16     0.00     0.05     3.12    18.88     0.07R    0.00  
Everton         20   28   +4      55.44     6.30     8.43     0.00     0.03     3.50    21.77     0.07R    0.00  
Reading         20   27   -5      50.21     6.18    -8.59     0.00     0.01     0.49     5.00     0.63R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     20   25   -1      49.03     6.32    -2.18     0.00     0.00     0.34     3.86     0.99R    0.04  
Newcastle       20   25   -2      48.61     6.23    -3.43     0.00     0.01     0.20     3.40     1.25R    0.05  
Fulham          20   25  -10      43.51     5.87   -20.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.44     6.66R    0.19  
Manchester_C    20   23   -8      42.18     5.90   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.29     9.72R    0.49  
Wigan           20   22   -6      45.53     6.28    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.25     4.09R    0.16  
Blackburn       19   22   -9      44.10     6.32   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.73     7.68R    0.38  
Middlesbrough   20   21   -7      41.69     6.02   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26    11.26R    0.57  
Sheffield_U     20   20  -11      37.91     5.83   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    29.27R    3.11  
West_Ham        20   18  -14      34.33     5.61   -26.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.82R    9.13  
Charlton        20   13  -20      27.42     5.35   -39.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.27R   52.28  
Watford         19   11  -14      29.23     6.12   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.22R   33.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, West_Bromwich vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       25   52  +21      92.12     6.81    39.20    73.60    87.41    99.17    90.47P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          25   44  +12      78.99     7.09    21.47     5.91    22.56    72.98    35.12P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            25   44   +6      77.34     7.05    12.91     3.25    15.10    63.02    24.90P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      25   41  +10      74.79     7.02    18.21     1.96     9.39    51.18    18.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          25   41   +8      75.06     6.93    16.41     1.92     8.99    52.16    18.94P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    25   40  +17      79.54     6.88    34.43     7.01    26.38    78.25    42.06P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       25   40  +15      77.00     6.98    27.91     3.57    15.89    65.00    29.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            25   40  +12      75.71     6.76    22.60     2.33    10.87    57.39    24.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    25   39   -2      65.21     6.79    -5.09     0.04     0.41     7.71     1.73P    0.12R    0.00  
Burnley          25   37   +6      67.99     7.04     9.34     0.17     1.36    17.57     5.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland       25   37   +3      65.91     7.01     2.73     0.10     0.62    11.05     2.75P    0.10R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      25   37   +0      65.61     6.95    -0.98     0.07     0.47     9.71     2.09P    0.12R    0.00  
Plymouth         25   35   +0      64.23     7.12     0.55     0.06     0.36     7.21     1.56P    0.32R    0.00  
Coventry         25   33   -5      59.65     6.80    -7.62     0.01     0.04     1.77     0.35P    1.28R    0.02  
Ipswich          25   32   +1      60.86     7.12     0.58     0.01     0.10     3.13     0.72P    1.00R    0.01  
Leicester        25   32   -4      57.51     6.88    -8.56     0.00     0.01     0.93     0.21P    2.40R    0.03  
Norwich          25   31   -7      55.69     6.96   -14.06     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.12P    4.96R    0.10  
Crystal_Palace   25   30   -3      56.77     6.80    -5.85     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.14P    3.01R    0.06  
Luton            25   29  -10      54.51     6.91   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P    7.37R    0.14  
Queens_PR        25   27   -7      52.95     7.02   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   10.04R    0.34  
Barnsley         25   26  -13      48.40     6.76   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    27.30R    1.30  
Hull             25   21  -14      43.05     6.72   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.37R    6.66  
Leeds            25   21  -21      38.92     6.21   -39.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.99R   19.27  
Southend         25   17  -25      32.10     5.77   -48.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.59R   72.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, Rotherham vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      24   47  +15      86.13     7.14    28.48    33.61    56.96    93.47    66.23P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      24   45  +17      85.88     7.16    32.82    33.97    56.91    93.24    67.70P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          24   42  +16      81.45     7.32    29.97    14.70    32.87    82.19    46.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    24   42   +9      76.75     7.38    16.11     4.63    12.65    59.38    22.88P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         24   39  +12      75.86     7.29    22.78     3.73    11.32    57.43    22.69P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       24   38  +11      74.30     7.34    20.82     2.46     7.64    48.53    17.34P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          23   38   +8      73.68     7.47    14.59     2.10     6.46    43.30    15.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere        23   37   +9      74.50     7.58    18.25     2.98     8.62    48.91    18.91P    0.03R    0.00  
Doncaster       23   36   +8      72.32     7.63    15.41     1.54     5.04    37.27    13.97P    0.04R    0.00  
Port_Vale       24   35   -1      65.02     7.45    -1.22     0.09     0.47     9.41     2.15P    0.79R    0.01  
Gillingham      24   34   -5      61.07     7.30   -10.48     0.01     0.11     3.25     0.58P    2.64R    0.01  
Rotherham       24   33   +3      65.83     7.48     7.29     0.15     0.68    11.88     2.83P    0.70R    0.01  
Carlisle        24   33   -4      61.08     7.41    -6.50     0.02     0.10     3.50     0.73P    2.89R    0.04  
Brighton        24   31   -5      58.45     7.47    -9.71     0.01     0.05     1.71     0.34P    6.36R    0.12  
Bradford        24   30   -1      59.66     7.37    -1.32     0.00     0.06     2.48     0.64P    3.95R    0.06  
Chesterfield    24   28   -2      57.63     7.38    -2.38     0.00     0.01     1.41     0.28P    6.58R    0.08  
Crewe           23   28   -3      58.01     7.67    -6.15     0.01     0.06     1.82     0.33P    7.26R    0.20  
Huddersfield    24   28   -6      55.65     7.25    -9.82     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.12P   11.68R    0.21  
Northampton     24   27   -7      51.12     6.98   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   26.98R    0.81  
Leyton_Orient   24   25  -12      47.87     7.04   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.65R    3.28  
Millwall        24   24  -10      46.86     7.05   -20.61     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   51.57R    3.44  
Bournemouth     24   22  -13      44.61     6.95   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.33R    7.60  
Cheltenham      24   22  -14      43.58     6.90   -27.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.81R    9.91  
Brentford       24   18  -25      33.49     6.08   -49.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.73R   74.22  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, Torquay vs Milton_Keynes; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          24   52  +23      97.09     6.68    45.16    73.86    96.83    99.97    97.97P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    24   48  +13      85.17     7.31    25.30     8.29    56.33    96.75    65.22P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        24   47  +17      85.95     7.30    31.47    10.25    62.63    97.48    71.47P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     24   46  +12      83.93     7.23    23.69     5.79    48.71    95.53    61.84P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       24   41   +9      76.09     7.38    16.57     0.77    13.66    75.17    29.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          24   41   +8      76.88     7.34    16.55     0.91    15.20    78.70    32.07P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     24   38   +3      69.47     7.40     5.02     0.10     2.75    39.98    10.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     24   34   +1      64.50     7.30     1.95     0.01     0.65    17.87     4.26P    0.09R    0.03  
Bury             24   33   +1      63.49     7.34     1.73     0.00     0.34    14.89     3.51P    0.17R    0.05  
Hereford         24   33   -2      61.52     7.31    -3.94     0.00     0.19     9.40     2.06P    0.41R    0.10  
Stockport        24   32   -1      61.35     7.41    -2.10     0.01     0.15     9.62     2.16P    0.54R    0.09  
Bristol_Rovers   24   32   -2      59.90     7.21    -4.28     0.00     0.09     6.40     1.73P    0.76R    0.18  
Barnet           24   31   -6      57.93     7.32   -11.64     0.00     0.05     3.83     0.66P    1.83R    0.43  
Chester          23   30   +1      61.09     7.54     0.71     0.00     0.24     9.54     2.45P    0.62R    0.09  
Darlington       24   30   -4      57.80     7.31    -7.31     0.00     0.06     3.96     0.91P    1.79R    0.52  
Shrewsbury       23   29   +8      68.10     7.68    19.70     0.02     2.10    36.84    12.86P    0.06R    0.01  
Grimsby          24   29  -12      52.81     7.07   -22.24     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.17P    7.50R    2.37  
Wrexham          23   28  -12      50.44     7.08   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P   13.77R    4.83  
Mansfield        23   27   -5      55.21     7.48   -10.68     0.00     0.03     2.08     0.41P    4.25R    1.30  
Boston           24   24   -8      51.05     7.32   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.11P   11.53R    4.29  
Accrington       24   23   -9      49.24     7.22   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P   17.25R    6.91  
Rochdale         24   21   -9      45.32     7.06   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   32.95R   15.89  
Macclesfield     24   20  -12      43.25     7.01   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   46.19R   24.85  
Torquay          24   20  -14      41.01     6.78   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   60.30R   38.05  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, Dag_&_Red vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         23   49  +25      97.30     6.94    49.80    62.75    99.72    79.28P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          23   47  +25      93.15     7.22    49.68    34.31    98.53    58.83P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           23   43   +4      76.65     7.64     7.35     0.81    50.65     9.37P    0.00     0.00  
York               23   41   +3      74.82     7.74     6.69     0.49    41.62     7.28P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             23   40   +3      73.49     7.78     6.27     0.21    35.79     7.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe          22   39   +5      76.46     8.06    12.02     0.87    51.59    11.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend          24   38   +1      68.56     7.47     1.67     0.04    15.51     2.67P    0.04R    0.01  
Aldershot          22   35   +7      72.41     8.13    13.71     0.29    33.17     7.12P    0.06R    0.01  
Exeter             22   33   +8      71.37     8.07    16.10     0.17    28.88     7.18P    0.04R    0.00  
Stevenage          23   32   +3      65.54     7.75     5.55     0.01     9.39     1.51P    0.36R    0.02  
Crawley            22   32   +2      65.67     8.09     3.32     0.01    10.34     2.03P    0.42R    0.02  
Kidderminster      23   30   -4      59.19     7.73    -7.46     0.00     1.98     0.32P    2.81R    0.40  
Grays              23   29  +11      67.89     7.78    22.57     0.04    16.23     4.74P    0.14R    0.01  
Woking             23   29   +1      61.88     7.69     3.25     0.00     3.88     0.72P    1.21R    0.17  
Halifax            23   28   -1      58.63     7.86    -2.70     0.00     1.82     0.42P    3.54R    0.55  
Stafford_Rangers   22   27  -10      53.45     7.77   -19.79     0.00     0.33     0.07P   13.84R    2.95  
Cambridge_U        24   26   -9      49.79     6.99   -17.99     0.00     0.02     0.00    23.38R    4.99  
Altrincham         23   25   -8      51.28     7.48   -16.66     0.00     0.10     0.01P   19.23R    4.24  
Northwich          22   25  -13      50.37     7.73   -26.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   24.88R    7.00  
Rushden_&_D        22   23   -5      52.06     7.78   -10.82     0.00     0.27     0.06P   16.84R    3.65  
St_Albans          24   23  -13      46.26     7.24   -26.74     0.00     0.02     0.01P   43.07R   14.41  
Forest_Green       24   22  -10      45.51     6.97   -20.19     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.71R   15.40  
Southport          23   20  -11      44.15     7.43   -22.01     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.14R   22.80  
Tamworth           22   20  -14      44.56     7.71   -27.62     0.00     0.01     0.01P   52.28R   23.39