Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 27 December 2006 at 21:32:52 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, Watford vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    20   50  +33      90.87     5.13    62.68    87.66    99.39    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   46  +20      81.95     5.78    38.23    11.89    85.31    98.91    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   36  +19      70.36     6.03    35.82     0.32     8.92    73.50    95.58     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          20   36   +8      65.54     6.08    15.15     0.06     1.80    37.27    81.90     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      20   35  +12      65.96     6.40    21.85     0.04     2.50    42.59    83.59     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   34  +12      65.38     6.33    22.24     0.04     2.00    39.51    81.58     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       20   31   -1      55.24     6.35    -2.17     0.00     0.04     3.43    19.27     0.06R    0.00  
Everton         20   28   +4      55.18     6.26     8.10     0.00     0.03     3.31    20.86     0.04R    0.01  
Reading         20   27   -5      50.45     6.21    -8.26     0.00     0.00     0.52     5.66     0.74R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     20   25   -1      49.20     6.37    -2.02     0.00     0.01     0.45     4.68     0.94R    0.01  
Newcastle       20   25   -2      48.70     6.42    -3.36     0.00     0.01     0.36     3.81     1.19R    0.01  
Fulham          19   24  -10      43.83     6.27   -20.61     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.72     7.34R    0.34  
Manchester_C    20   23   -8      42.34     5.99   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29     9.24R    0.43  
Wigan           20   22   -6      45.89     6.31    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.29     3.68R    0.18  
Blackburn       19   22   -9      43.90     6.22   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.57     7.44R    0.42  
Middlesbrough   20   21   -7      41.71     6.03   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22    11.52R    0.68  
Sheffield_U     20   20  -11      37.94     5.86   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    29.02R    3.04  
West_Ham        20   18  -14      33.93     5.59   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.55R   10.09  
Charlton        19   12  -20      27.43     5.64   -39.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.33R   52.59  
Watford         19   11  -14      29.40     6.13   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.91R   32.20  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, West_Bromwich vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       25   52  +21      91.99     6.77    39.00    73.52    87.44    99.20    90.52P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          25   44  +12      79.13     7.03    21.65     5.86    22.54    73.78    34.77P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            25   44   +6      77.18     7.06    12.71     3.40    14.51    62.23    24.43P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      25   41  +10      74.81     7.07    18.22     2.02     9.12    50.89    18.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   41   +8      75.08     6.91    16.34     1.82     9.22    51.88    18.86P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    25   40  +17      79.53     6.95    34.53     7.02    26.23    77.89    41.73P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       25   40  +15      76.92     7.02    27.78     3.58    15.29    64.28    29.13P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            25   40  +12      76.12     6.89    23.19     2.40    12.34    59.47    27.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    25   39   -2      65.18     6.94    -5.09     0.05     0.45     8.37     1.82P    0.12R    0.00  
Burnley          25   37   +6      67.91     6.96     9.25     0.14     1.13    16.93     4.91P    0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland       25   37   +3      66.00     6.94     2.81     0.07     0.62    10.98     2.73P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      25   37   +0      65.53     7.06    -1.15     0.08     0.59     9.64     2.25P    0.17R    0.00  
Plymouth         25   35   +0      64.07     7.08     0.36     0.02     0.29     6.91     1.69P    0.24R    0.00  
Coventry         25   33   -5      59.63     6.96    -7.60     0.01     0.05     1.82     0.41P    1.57R    0.01  
Ipswich          25   32   +1      60.99     7.03     0.80     0.01     0.10     3.04     0.74P    0.95R    0.01  
Leicester        25   32   -4      57.52     6.87    -8.60     0.00     0.04     0.93     0.20P    2.67R    0.04  
Norwich          25   31   -7      55.75     6.92   -14.02     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.07P    4.97R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   25   30   -3      56.47     6.85    -6.34     0.00     0.02     0.62     0.17P    3.60R    0.02  
Luton            25   29  -10      54.34     6.91   -16.73     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.07P    7.67R    0.18  
Queens_PR        25   27   -7      52.99     7.10   -11.52     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P   10.38R    0.36  
Barnsley         25   26  -13      48.47     6.74   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   26.98R    1.32  
Hull             25   21  -14      43.20     6.65   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.81R    6.50  
Leeds            25   21  -21      38.95     6.14   -39.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.41R   19.10  
Southend         25   17  -25      32.15     5.74   -47.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.36R   72.41  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, Rotherham vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      24   47  +15      86.41     7.19    28.96    35.73    58.92    93.47    67.67P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      24   45  +17      85.43     7.13    32.21    30.93    54.49    92.69    65.73P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          24   42  +16      81.38     7.21    29.88    15.11    32.34    82.41    46.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    24   42   +9      76.70     7.34    16.08     4.62    12.52    58.78    22.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         24   39  +12      75.83     7.23    22.69     3.79    10.97    56.21    21.91P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       24   38  +11      74.29     7.39    20.80     2.75     8.20    48.84    17.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil          23   38   +8      73.57     7.58    14.49     2.36     7.08    42.29    15.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        23   37   +9      74.91     7.48    18.80     2.88     8.97    50.72    20.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       23   36   +8      72.60     7.57    15.68     1.50     5.07    38.44    14.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Port_Vale       24   35   -1      65.16     7.37    -1.08     0.10     0.41     9.20     2.02P    0.69R    0.01  
Gillingham      24   34   -5      61.11     7.34   -10.45     0.01     0.08     3.26     0.55P    3.01R    0.03  
Rotherham       24   33   +3      66.30     7.42     8.05     0.18     0.71    12.89     3.19P    0.47R    0.00  
Carlisle        24   33   -4      60.89     7.23    -6.82     0.01     0.06     2.83     0.44P    2.92R    0.01  
Brighton        24   31   -5      58.70     7.41    -9.28     0.01     0.04     1.76     0.28P    5.70R    0.07  
Bradford        24   30   -1      59.49     7.26    -1.53     0.01     0.06     2.19     0.51P    3.79R    0.04  
Chesterfield    24   28   -2      57.88     7.37    -2.08     0.01     0.03     1.50     0.36P    6.58R    0.13  
Crewe           23   28   -3      57.72     7.64    -6.74     0.01     0.04     1.75     0.34P    8.04R    0.12  
Huddersfield    24   28   -6      55.50     7.25   -10.10     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.12P   11.66R    0.22  
Northampton     24   27   -7      51.03     6.88   -14.03     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.03P   26.88R    0.81  
Leyton_Orient   24   25  -12      47.83     7.02   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   46.92R    3.32  
Millwall        24   24  -10      47.03     7.04   -20.42     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.01P   50.22R    3.04  
Bournemouth     24   22  -13      44.59     7.01   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    63.97R    7.45  
Cheltenham      24   22  -14      43.41     6.89   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.97R    9.54  
Brentford       24   18  -25      33.23     5.94   -49.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.09R   75.22  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, Torquay vs Milton_Keynes; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          24   52  +23      97.12     6.71    45.18    74.14    96.65    99.97    97.88P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    24   48  +13      85.28     7.33    25.38     8.07    56.66    96.58    65.87P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        24   47  +17      86.00     7.16    31.55    10.24    62.78    97.61    71.70P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     24   46  +12      83.94     7.22    23.69     5.86    48.76    95.50    61.80P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       24   41   +9      75.96     7.39    16.44     0.68    13.33    74.72    29.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          24   41   +8      76.53     7.51    16.07     0.82    14.61    76.59    31.18P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     24   38   +3      69.29     7.47     4.72     0.09     2.69    39.49     9.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County     24   34   +1      64.83     7.35     2.42     0.01     0.69    19.66     5.03P    0.09R    0.00  
Bury             24   33   +1      63.24     7.35     1.48     0.01     0.47    14.38     3.58P    0.17R    0.04  
Hereford         24   33   -2      61.51     7.31    -3.97     0.02     0.31     9.29     2.27P    0.51R    0.09  
Stockport        24   32   -1      61.60     7.44    -1.64     0.01     0.23    10.49     2.39P    0.47R    0.09  
Bristol_Rovers   24   32   -2      59.75     7.20    -4.47     0.00     0.10     6.09     1.37P    0.84R    0.20  
Barnet           24   31   -6      57.94     7.30   -11.58     0.00     0.09     4.02     0.69P    1.93R    0.53  
Chester          23   30   +1      61.12     7.63     0.79     0.01     0.26    10.13     2.46P    0.59R    0.13  
Darlington       24   30   -4      57.35     7.43    -7.95     0.01     0.05     3.64     0.70P    2.26R    0.68  
Shrewsbury       23   29   +8      68.04     7.80    19.48     0.04     2.27    37.18    13.04P    0.08R    0.01  
Grimsby          24   29  -12      52.57     7.01   -22.67     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.07P    8.12R    2.61  
Wrexham          23   28  -12      50.67     7.15   -26.66     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.05P   12.88R    4.42  
Mansfield        23   27   -5      55.74     7.46    -9.90     0.00     0.04     2.71     0.54P    3.81R    1.17  
Boston           24   24   -8      51.04     7.20   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.12P   11.64R    4.32  
Accrington       24   23   -9      49.19     7.22   -17.61     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P   17.59R    7.26  
Rochdale         24   21   -9      45.13     7.15   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   34.73R   16.67  
Macclesfield     24   20  -12      43.63     7.16   -23.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   44.25R   24.51  
Torquay          24   20  -14      41.12     6.68   -26.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.03R   37.29  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, Dag_&_Red vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         23   49  +25      97.45     6.92    49.97    63.13    99.66    79.80P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          23   47  +25      93.18     7.25    49.70    33.99    98.56    59.03P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           23   43   +4      76.72     7.77     7.46     0.82    51.08     9.51P    0.00     0.00  
York               23   41   +3      74.69     7.75     6.40     0.38    41.34     7.36P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             23   40   +3      73.82     7.64     6.63     0.31    36.55     7.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe          22   39   +5      76.19     8.09    11.63     0.89    49.58    10.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend          24   38   +1      68.60     7.39     1.72     0.04    15.44     2.42P    0.06R    0.01  
Aldershot          22   35   +7      72.62     8.08    14.15     0.18    34.31     7.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter             22   33   +8      71.41     8.16    16.15     0.18    29.12     6.55P    0.05R    0.00  
Stevenage          23   32   +3      65.43     7.73     5.32     0.00     9.48     1.61P    0.37R    0.03  
Crawley            22   32   +2      65.97     8.04     3.75     0.03    10.91     2.20P    0.34R    0.03  
Kidderminster      23   30   -4      59.28     7.68    -7.33     0.00     1.72     0.28P    2.81R    0.41  
Grays              23   29  +11      67.96     7.72    22.59     0.04    16.02     4.71P    0.20R    0.01  
Woking             23   29   +1      61.73     7.67     3.01     0.00     3.92     0.85P    1.30R    0.17  
Halifax            23   28   -1      58.40     7.73    -3.06     0.00     1.55     0.35P    3.75R    0.60  
Stafford_Rangers   22   27  -10      53.46     7.60   -19.61     0.00     0.28     0.03P   13.21R    2.60  
Cambridge_U        24   26   -9      49.87     7.05   -17.85     0.00     0.04     0.01P   23.27R    5.38  
Altrincham         23   25   -8      50.99     7.55   -17.06     0.00     0.09     0.01P   20.43R    4.87  
Northwich          22   25  -13      50.57     7.64   -25.56     0.00     0.09     0.01P   23.45R    6.41  
Rushden_&_D        22   23   -5      51.57     7.83   -11.62     0.00     0.20     0.02P   18.25R    4.46  
St_Albans          24   23  -13      46.42     7.04   -26.50     0.00     0.03     0.01P   41.50R   13.74  
Forest_Green       24   22  -10      45.46     7.04   -20.29     0.00     0.02     0.01P   45.73R   15.76  
Southport          23   20  -11      44.27     7.29   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.41R   21.82  
Tamworth           22   20  -14      44.44     7.66   -27.73     0.00     0.03     0.00    52.83R   23.71