Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 26 December 2006 at 21:32:30 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, Watford vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    20   50  +33      91.22     5.15    63.25    88.33    99.48    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   46  +20      81.64     5.91    37.71    11.20    84.23    98.56    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   36  +19      70.05     6.12    35.31     0.36     9.01    72.21    94.89     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          20   36   +8      65.51     6.13    15.16     0.04     2.04    37.88    81.33     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      20   35  +12      65.91     6.38    21.75     0.05     2.81    43.31    83.28     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   34  +12      65.22     6.30    21.86     0.04     2.31    39.06    80.73     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       20   31   -1      55.53     6.37    -1.77     0.00     0.06     3.73    20.46     0.07R    0.00  
Everton         20   28   +4      55.43     6.39     8.50     0.00     0.05     3.83    22.23     0.04R    0.00  
Reading         20   27   -5      50.26     6.15    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.50     5.43     0.57R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     20   25   -1      49.21     6.30    -2.02     0.00     0.00     0.35     4.29     0.83R    0.02  
Newcastle       20   25   -2      48.80     6.39    -3.24     0.00     0.00     0.41     3.94     1.07R    0.06  
Fulham          19   24  -10      43.75     6.25   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.70     7.72R    0.46  
Manchester_C    20   23   -8      42.06     5.97   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29    10.14R    0.58  
Wigan           20   22   -6      45.96     6.27    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.51     3.36R    0.16  
Blackburn       19   22   -9      44.26     6.31   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.76     6.89R    0.45  
Middlesbrough   20   21   -7      41.82     6.02   -13.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    10.88R    0.66  
Sheffield_U     20   20  -11      37.67     5.77   -22.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02    29.98R    3.11  
West_Ham        20   18  -14      34.06     5.50   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.00R    9.29  
Charlton        19   12  -20      27.45     5.72   -39.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.86R   52.08  
Watford         19   11  -14      29.34     6.11   -24.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.56R   33.13  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, West_Bromwich vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       25   52  +21      91.92     6.74    38.96    73.78    87.58    98.97    90.36P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          25   44  +12      78.46     6.95    20.71     4.87    19.84    70.28    31.95P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            25   44   +6      77.44     6.99    13.08     3.65    15.57    62.95    25.08P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      25   41  +10      75.17     6.96    18.80     2.09    10.05    52.95    19.89P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   41   +8      75.31     6.87    16.82     2.08     9.62    53.28    20.19P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    25   40  +17      79.32     6.89    34.05     6.67    25.69    76.91    41.12P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       25   40  +15      76.94     6.94    27.78     3.71    15.71    64.69    29.27P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            25   40  +12      76.16     6.90    23.28     2.83    12.72    59.87    27.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    25   39   -2      65.23     6.88    -5.05     0.04     0.41     8.14     1.83P    0.17R    0.00  
Burnley          25   37   +6      67.82     6.91     9.11     0.12     1.09    16.04     4.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland       25   37   +3      66.26     6.99     3.27     0.04     0.69    11.72     3.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      25   37   +0      65.87     7.00    -0.63     0.10     0.61    10.05     2.50P    0.15R    0.00  
Plymouth         25   35   +0      64.19     7.02     0.47     0.01     0.28     6.96     1.47P    0.24R    0.00  
Coventry         25   33   -5      59.38     6.89    -7.91     0.01     0.01     1.59     0.32P    1.50R    0.01  
Ipswich          25   32   +1      60.91     7.01     0.66     0.01     0.07     3.06     0.74P    0.99R    0.01  
Leicester        25   32   -4      57.46     6.84    -8.69     0.00     0.01     0.91     0.19P    2.27R    0.01  
Norwich          25   31   -7      55.72     6.91   -13.99     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.09P    5.13R    0.06  
Crystal_Palace   25   30   -3      57.00     6.80    -5.48     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.14P    2.96R    0.06  
Luton            25   29  -10      54.41     6.84   -16.57     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P    7.04R    0.14  
Queens_PR        25   27   -7      52.92     7.09   -11.67     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   10.54R    0.34  
Barnsley         25   26  -13      48.28     6.74   -24.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   27.79R    1.21  
Hull             25   21  -14      43.05     6.68   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.22R    6.54  
Leeds            25   21  -21      38.91     6.26   -40.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.81R   18.06  
Southend         25   17  -25      31.73     5.69   -48.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.08R   73.57  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, Rotherham vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      24   47  +15      86.27     7.13    28.65    34.25    57.94    93.76    67.44P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      24   45  +17      85.81     7.06    32.71    33.34    56.95    93.59    68.12P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          24   42  +16      81.24     7.28    29.71    14.18    31.84    81.84    45.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    24   42   +9      76.42     7.42    15.69     4.42    12.11    57.52    21.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         24   39  +12      76.05     7.21    23.03     3.96    11.46    58.55    23.14P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       24   38  +11      74.11     7.37    20.58     2.65     7.55    47.95    17.11P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          23   38   +8      73.65     7.55    14.57     2.17     6.55    43.20    15.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        23   37   +9      74.52     7.76    18.29     3.25     8.88    49.16    19.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster       23   36   +8      72.56     7.55    15.68     1.52     5.21    38.31    14.44P    0.04R    0.00  
Port_Vale       24   35   -1      64.86     7.39    -1.53     0.05     0.40     8.84     1.80P    0.90R    0.00  
Gillingham      24   34   -5      60.97     7.35   -10.67     0.03     0.14     3.31     0.59P    2.88R    0.03  
Rotherham       24   33   +3      65.92     7.41     7.49     0.12     0.66    12.43     2.83P    0.64R    0.00  
Carlisle        24   33   -4      61.13     7.39    -6.36     0.03     0.09     3.48     0.80P    2.80R    0.03  
Brighton        24   31   -5      58.63     7.32    -9.33     0.01     0.06     1.68     0.34P    5.88R    0.10  
Bradford        24   30   -1      59.51     7.41    -1.59     0.02     0.07     2.42     0.56P    4.22R    0.03  
Chesterfield    24   28   -2      57.97     7.43    -1.87     0.01     0.04     1.44     0.33P    6.67R    0.12  
Crewe           23   28   -3      57.72     7.66    -6.74     0.01     0.04     1.71     0.28P    8.27R    0.17  
Huddersfield    24   28   -6      55.65     7.35    -9.79     0.01     0.01     0.62     0.13P   11.90R    0.26  
Northampton     24   27   -7      51.20     6.90   -13.75     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.04P   25.55R    0.96  
Leyton_Orient   24   25  -12      47.82     7.03   -23.78     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    46.85R    3.25  
Millwall        24   24  -10      46.81     6.82   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   51.30R    3.46  
Bournemouth     24   22  -13      44.77     6.84   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   63.55R    7.09  
Cheltenham      24   22  -14      43.49     6.86   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    70.67R   10.13  
Brentford       24   18  -25      33.64     6.03   -48.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.83R   74.38  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, Torquay vs Milton_Keynes; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          24   52  +23      97.21     6.59    45.32    74.29    96.81    99.98    97.94P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    24   48  +13      85.53     7.33    25.92     8.46    58.18    96.93    67.14P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        24   47  +17      85.93     7.27    31.45     9.93    61.53    97.42    70.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     24   46  +12      83.96     7.27    23.76     5.80    48.38    95.73    61.33P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       24   41   +9      76.29     7.43    16.81     0.69    14.35    75.45    30.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          24   41   +8      76.48     7.41    16.00     0.77    14.05    76.58    30.07P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     24   38   +3      69.39     7.39     4.87     0.03     2.67    39.73     9.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     24   34   +1      64.52     7.39     1.96     0.00     0.58    18.76     4.66P    0.12R    0.02  
Bury             24   33   +1      63.56     7.38     1.93     0.01     0.39    15.61     4.00P    0.21R    0.03  
Hereford         24   33   -2      61.68     7.31    -3.78     0.00     0.23     9.74     2.21P    0.43R    0.07  
Stockport        24   32   -1      61.09     7.31    -2.44     0.00     0.17     9.24     2.20P    0.47R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers   24   32   -2      60.18     7.22    -3.95     0.00     0.12     6.71     1.64P    0.72R    0.17  
Barnet           24   31   -6      57.91     7.17   -11.66     0.00     0.03     3.54     0.62P    1.72R    0.42  
Chester          23   30   +1      60.87     7.56     0.36     0.00     0.24     9.23     2.31P    0.60R    0.14  
Darlington       24   30   -4      57.26     7.24    -8.00     0.00     0.04     3.21     0.67P    2.23R    0.52  
Shrewsbury       23   29   +8      68.27     7.66    19.83     0.04     2.19    38.05    13.12P    0.03R    0.01  
Grimsby          24   29  -12      52.56     7.10   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.10P    8.41R    2.85  
Wrexham          23   28  -12      50.49     7.09   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.04P   13.44R    4.69  
Mansfield        23   27   -5      55.17     7.49   -10.75     0.00     0.04     2.10     0.52P    4.54R    1.40  
Boston           24   24   -8      50.95     7.31   -13.62     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.07P   11.92R    4.28  
Accrington       24   23   -9      49.22     7.27   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P   17.76R    7.34  
Rochdale         24   21   -9      45.19     7.06   -17.61     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   33.97R   16.45  
Macclesfield     24   20  -12      43.69     7.14   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   44.20R   24.38  
Torquay          24   20  -14      41.16     6.65   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.22R   37.12  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 December 2006, Dag_&_Red vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         23   49  +25      97.35     6.97    49.84    63.28    99.59    79.31P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          23   47  +25      93.20     7.23    49.67    33.87    98.51    58.62P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           23   43   +4      76.90     7.71     7.76     0.80    52.53     9.53P    0.00     0.00  
York               23   41   +3      74.81     7.71     6.60     0.41    41.81     7.31P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             23   40   +3      73.78     7.67     6.65     0.28    36.84     7.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe          22   39   +5      76.08     8.17    11.51     0.82    48.63    10.71P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          24   38   +1      68.30     7.49     1.26     0.04    14.79     2.52P    0.09R    0.00  
Aldershot          22   35   +7      72.43     8.15    13.90     0.28    32.83     7.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Exeter             22   33   +8      71.17     8.08    15.81     0.15    28.22     6.83P    0.07R    0.00  
Stevenage          23   32   +3      65.65     7.72     5.72     0.01     9.62     1.59P    0.43R    0.05  
Crawley            22   32   +2      65.97     8.03     3.75     0.03    10.65     2.21P    0.45R    0.04  
Kidderminster      23   30   -4      59.13     7.66    -7.50     0.00     1.77     0.34P    3.10R    0.47  
Grays              23   29  +11      68.41     7.73    23.25     0.05    17.43     5.30P    0.10R    0.01  
Woking             23   29   +1      61.87     7.68     3.23     0.00     3.99     0.79P    1.23R    0.14  
Halifax            23   28   -1      58.76     7.77    -2.41     0.00     1.82     0.33P    3.25R    0.41  
Stafford_Rangers   22   27  -10      53.19     7.65   -20.08     0.00     0.37     0.06P   14.21R    2.71  
Cambridge_U        24   26   -9      49.45     6.95   -18.44     0.00     0.04     0.00    24.43R    5.75  
Altrincham         23   25   -8      50.95     7.52   -17.20     0.00     0.14     0.03P   20.58R    4.91  
Northwich          22   25  -13      50.73     7.67   -25.36     0.00     0.12     0.01P   23.18R    6.40  
Rushden_&_D        22   23   -5      51.71     7.82   -11.39     0.00     0.26     0.07P   17.62R    4.22  
St_Albans          24   23  -13      46.21     7.07   -26.90     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.96R   14.70  
Forest_Green       24   22  -10      45.62     6.98   -20.22     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.67R   14.88  
Southport          23   20  -11      44.71     7.36   -21.23     0.00     0.01     0.00    49.41R   20.54  
Tamworth           22   20  -14      44.16     7.54   -28.23     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.19R   24.79