Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 25 December 2006 at 21:32:29 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, Wigan vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    19   47  +31      90.87     5.15    64.32    80.27    99.24   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         19   45  +20      84.18     5.99    41.60    19.45    90.77    99.39    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       19   34  +13      67.81     6.56    25.01     0.14     3.49    56.31    88.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         19   33  +18      68.89     6.30    34.93     0.12     4.24    65.45    92.60     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          19   33   +7      64.65     6.36    15.28     0.01     1.04    34.01    76.71     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      19   32  +11      64.34     6.60    20.82     0.03     1.12    34.28    76.55     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       19   28   -2      53.65     6.56    -3.16     0.00     0.03     2.30    14.93     0.12R    0.00  
Everton         19   27   +4      56.88     6.47    10.26     0.00     0.07     6.21    30.42     0.04R    0.00  
Reading         19   26   -5      48.54     6.21   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.34     3.33     1.39R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     19   25   +0      50.66     6.59    -0.78     0.00     0.01     0.92     7.49     0.71R    0.03  
Newcastle       19   25   -1      49.72     6.49    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.61     5.70     0.98R    0.01  
Fulham          19   24  -10      43.68     6.13   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.65     7.70R    0.47  
Wigan           19   22   -4      45.91     6.37    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.54     3.86R    0.23  
Middlesbrough   19   20   -7      41.06     6.33   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34    15.13R    1.28  
Manchester_C    19   20   -9      39.93     6.15   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    19.18R    1.98  
Sheffield_U     19   20  -10      40.29     6.22   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    18.36R    1.66  
Blackburn       18   19  -10      41.24     6.45   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.33    16.06R    1.57  
West_Ham        19   18  -13      34.88     5.85   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    51.24R    8.98  
Charlton        19   12  -20      27.59     5.63   -39.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.59R   54.68  
Watford         18   11  -13      30.32     6.27   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.63R   29.09  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, Wolverhampton vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       24   49  +20      91.61     6.92    40.46    65.79    82.47    98.58    86.72P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          24   44  +14      80.59     7.26    23.85     8.29    25.34    75.38    37.87P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            24   44   +8      80.57     7.14    17.79     7.34    23.55    75.33    34.23P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            24   40  +13      79.05     7.09    26.66     5.67    19.05    70.30    34.28P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      24   40  +10      76.59     7.15    20.89     2.96    10.91    56.89    21.11P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          24   40   +8      76.59     7.22    18.38     2.78    10.96    55.95    21.34P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    24   37  +15      77.80     7.15    32.10     4.32    15.52    65.64    30.65P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       24   37  +12      75.40     7.32    25.09     2.31     9.13    51.80    20.58P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          24   37   +7      70.20     7.27    11.52     0.39     2.10    23.52     7.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    24   36   -4      61.33     7.00   -10.28     0.01     0.06     2.60     0.56P    0.80R    0.00  
Sunderland       24   34   +1      65.21     7.18     2.25     0.09     0.42     8.07     1.99P    0.21R    0.01  
Plymouth         24   34   +0      63.32     7.33    -1.21     0.03     0.23     5.26     1.17P    0.39R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      24   34   -1      62.28     7.10    -4.91     0.01     0.12     3.68     0.80P    0.56R    0.01  
Coventry         24   33   -4      61.80     7.13    -5.36     0.00     0.07     3.17     0.62P    0.64R    0.01  
Norwich          24   30   -7      57.96     7.24   -11.13     0.00     0.02     1.15     0.18P    2.96R    0.03  
Ipswich          24   29   +0      58.39     7.22    -1.59     0.00     0.03     1.16     0.28P    2.44R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   24   29   -3      56.05     7.03    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P    4.09R    0.07  
Leicester        24   29   -5      54.98     7.06   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.08P    6.36R    0.15  
Luton            24   29   -7      55.68     7.22   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.09P    5.95R    0.14  
Queens_PR        24   27   -6      52.81     7.30   -13.53     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P   11.38R    0.49  
Barnsley         24   23  -14      46.20     7.07   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   40.59R    2.69  
Hull             24   21  -13      44.89     6.90   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    47.13R    4.15  
Leeds            24   21  -19      39.81     6.44   -39.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.67R   15.13  
Southend         24   16  -25      31.33     5.84   -50.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.81R   77.08  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, Bournemouth vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      23   44  +12      83.84     7.51    24.46    27.95    48.80    88.86    58.45P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      23   42  +16      84.33     7.44    32.11    32.59    54.13    90.56    64.86P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    23   41   +9      78.58     7.61    18.06     9.96    22.59    70.22    33.46P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          23   39  +15      79.49     7.61    28.30    13.04    29.05    76.32    42.77P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         23   36  +10      73.45     7.70    19.46     3.26     9.31    46.87    18.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        22   36   +9      75.55     7.96    19.05     5.82    14.12    57.16    25.68P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackpool       23   35  +10      72.89     7.63    20.09     2.83     7.91    44.58    17.10P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil          22   35   +6      71.05     7.83    11.20     1.68     4.97    33.20    11.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Port_Vale       23   35   +2      67.19     7.58     3.04     0.48     1.59    16.95     4.49P    0.30R    0.01  
Doncaster       22   33   +7      70.18     7.76    13.64     1.43     4.25    29.91    11.31P    0.09R    0.00  
Rotherham       23   33   +4      67.74     7.68     9.21     0.69     2.04    19.89     5.83P    0.34R    0.00  
Carlisle        23   33   -3      61.64     7.55    -6.62     0.08     0.30     5.00     1.11P    2.35R    0.05  
Brighton        23   31   -3      60.74     7.78    -6.10     0.05     0.20     4.41     1.01P    3.88R    0.09  
Gillingham      23   31   -6      59.75     7.54   -11.06     0.03     0.14     3.14     0.58P    4.61R    0.10  
Bradford        23   30   +0      61.55     7.49     0.43     0.05     0.24     4.98     1.21P    2.19R    0.02  
Crewe           22   28   -1      59.91     7.97    -3.33     0.04     0.23     4.39     1.05P    4.84R    0.11  
Chesterfield    23   28   -1      58.76     7.61    -1.82     0.02     0.10     2.60     0.61P    5.01R    0.10  
Huddersfield    23   27   -6      55.52     7.46   -10.47     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.14P   11.88R    0.47  
Leyton_Orient   23   25  -11      48.98     7.31   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   39.87R    3.60  
Northampton     23   24   -9      48.54     7.02   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   39.45R    2.96  
Cheltenham      23   22  -12      45.92     7.15   -23.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    55.50R    7.32  
Bournemouth     23   21  -13      43.61     7.01   -26.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.14R   12.69  
Millwall        23   21  -13      43.80     7.21   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   66.65R   12.78  
Brentford       23   18  -22      35.83     6.43   -43.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.75R   59.70  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, Wrexham vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          23   49  +22      95.98     6.89    45.17    71.95    95.76    99.92    97.22P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    23   45  +11      83.64     7.53    23.50     7.69    50.40    93.19    59.75P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        23   44  +16      85.43     7.51    32.60    12.17    62.42    95.69    70.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     23   43  +11      82.03     7.55    22.28     5.01    41.83    90.19    54.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          23   41   +9      78.28     7.61    17.71     2.04    23.86    79.46    39.09P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       23   38   +7      74.31     7.64    14.46     0.56    11.12    62.25    23.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     23   38   +4      71.41     7.59     6.87     0.26     5.63    45.83    13.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     23   34   +3      67.19     7.60     5.92     0.10     1.78    26.14     7.71P    0.03R    0.01  
Bury             23   32   +1      63.27     7.68     0.86     0.02     0.60    12.90     3.33P    0.23R    0.05  
Hereford         23   32   -2      62.53     7.45    -3.14     0.01     0.32    10.07     2.46P    0.26R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   23   31   -2      60.27     7.59    -4.36     0.01     0.23     6.63     1.73P    0.72R    0.14  
Chester          22   30   +4      66.14     7.92     9.09     0.08     1.79    23.78     7.77P    0.16R    0.03  
Darlington       23   30   -2      60.69     7.64    -2.88     0.01     0.33     7.56     1.92P    0.71R    0.15  
Shrewsbury       22   29   +9      68.84     7.93    19.90     0.10     3.81    37.17    13.91P    0.04R    0.00  
Stockport        23   29   -3      58.21     7.58    -6.37     0.01     0.07     4.07     0.89P    1.50R    0.37  
Grimsby          23   29  -10      53.55     7.22   -21.04     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.14P    5.39R    1.50  
Barnet           23   28   -7      56.13     7.53   -13.10     0.00     0.04     2.20     0.48P    2.96R    0.82  
Wrexham          22   27  -12      50.23     7.23   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P   13.04R    4.30  
Boston           23   24   -7      51.47     7.52   -14.66     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.08P   10.01R    3.46  
Mansfield        22   24   -7      51.57     7.62   -16.13     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.12P   10.02R    3.38  
Accrington       23   22   -9      49.93     7.60   -17.11     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.06P   14.36R    5.25  
Rochdale         23   20   -9      45.84     7.30   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.04P   27.99R   11.86  
Torquay          23   20  -12      42.92     6.94   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   45.29R   22.00  
Macclesfield     23   17  -15      39.07     7.07   -31.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.28R   46.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, York vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      99.31     7.18    52.72    66.02    99.81    81.06P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.29     7.57    51.43    32.12    98.83    57.21P    0.00     0.00  
York               23   41   +3      74.97     7.66     6.77     0.35    44.35     7.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.52     8.00     5.66     0.34    42.15     7.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton             22   37   +2      71.84     8.00     5.13     0.13    30.53     5.63P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.76     8.47    10.87     0.46    45.59     9.81P    0.01R    0.01  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.27     7.65    -0.67     0.03    11.20     1.78P    0.26R    0.04  
Exeter             21   33   +9      73.74     8.40    18.55     0.31    42.20    10.82P    0.07R    0.01  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.52     8.51    13.97     0.15    32.48     6.91P    0.08R    0.01  
Crawley            21   32   +3      68.20     8.42     5.91     0.05    19.07     3.83P    0.23R    0.01  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      64.05     8.21     4.61     0.03     8.56     1.43P    1.17R    0.17  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.71     8.03    21.61     0.01    17.21     4.58P    0.27R    0.01  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.57     7.85     0.43     0.01     3.30     0.65P    2.27R    0.26  
Halifax            23   28   -1      58.62     7.66    -2.74     0.00     1.81     0.37P    3.54R    0.48  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.65     7.82    -9.69     0.00     1.11     0.23P    6.74R    1.08  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.22     8.10   -18.05     0.00     0.79     0.10P   10.88R    2.12  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      51.52     7.36   -16.68     0.00     0.14     0.03P   19.32R    4.38  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.79     8.22   -19.48     0.00     0.60     0.10P   15.37R    3.98  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.97     7.64   -25.30     0.00     0.06     0.01P   35.87R   11.69  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      46.15     7.31   -20.68     0.00     0.01     0.01P   43.67R   15.59  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      47.78     7.68   -22.79     0.00     0.04     0.01P   37.05R   12.44  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.27     8.05   -13.87     0.00     0.10     0.01P   29.01R    8.62  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.54     7.72   -20.89     0.00     0.01     0.00    47.17R   19.30  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      45.94     7.91   -26.80     0.00     0.04     0.01P   46.98R   19.82