Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 24 December 2006 at 21:32:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, Wigan vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    19   47  +31      90.79     5.21    64.31    80.06    99.19    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         19   45  +20      84.21     5.92    41.62    19.62    90.79    99.47    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       19   34  +13      68.25     6.50    25.61     0.13     3.58    58.87    89.85     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         19   33  +18      68.88     6.29    34.97     0.13     4.05    64.75    92.36     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          19   33   +7      64.44     6.32    15.06     0.01     0.94    31.89    75.48     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      19   32  +11      64.45     6.66    21.02     0.03     1.36    33.91    76.23     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       19   28   -2      54.04     6.65    -2.53     0.00     0.01     2.74    15.66     0.18R    0.01  
Everton         19   27   +4      57.11     6.48    10.54     0.01     0.07     6.54    31.39     0.03R    0.00  
Reading         19   26   -5      48.49     6.28   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.34     3.50     1.31R    0.04  
Aston_Villa     19   25   +0      50.14     6.58    -1.52     0.00     0.00     0.70     6.46     0.95R    0.01  
Newcastle       19   25   -1      49.63     6.56    -2.84     0.00     0.00     0.58     5.72     1.00R    0.03  
Fulham          19   24  -10      43.71     6.17   -20.92     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.59     7.81R    0.48  
Wigan           19   22   -4      45.70     6.42    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.68     4.09R    0.18  
Middlesbrough   19   20   -7      41.03     6.15   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26    14.59R    1.27  
Manchester_C    19   20   -9      39.96     6.20   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    19.36R    1.75  
Sheffield_U     19   20  -10      40.34     6.11   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    17.88R    1.64  
Blackburn       18   19  -10      41.18     6.53   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.41    16.52R    1.71  
West_Ham        19   18  -13      35.10     5.79   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01    50.19R    8.00  
Charlton        19   12  -20      27.59     5.68   -40.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    89.30R   53.68  
Watford         18   11  -13      30.02     6.31   -24.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.79R   31.20  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, Wolverhampton vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       24   49  +20      91.69     6.86    40.54    66.56    83.20    98.45    87.44P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          24   44  +14      80.61     7.24    23.87     8.22    25.14    76.06    37.59P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            24   44   +8      80.63     7.30    17.83     7.55    24.11    75.12    34.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            24   40  +13      79.21     6.96    26.97     5.44    19.52    71.65    35.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      24   40  +10      76.43     7.15    20.63     2.73    10.63    56.06    20.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          24   40   +8      76.48     7.17    18.22     2.79    10.52    55.73    21.20P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    24   37  +15      77.73     7.15    31.91     3.94    15.08    65.28    29.43P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       24   37  +12      75.30     7.26    24.85     2.31     8.66    51.20    20.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          24   37   +7      70.00     7.30    11.30     0.38     2.06    22.66     6.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    24   36   -4      61.47     7.07   -10.06     0.01     0.11     2.71     0.57P    0.88R    0.01  
Sunderland       24   34   +1      65.51     7.22     2.67     0.03     0.43     8.73     2.13P    0.19R    0.00  
Plymouth         24   34   +0      63.71     7.33    -0.71     0.02     0.23     5.89     1.28P    0.41R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      24   34   -1      62.18     7.16    -5.06     0.00     0.14     3.61     0.69P    0.73R    0.00  
Coventry         24   33   -4      61.94     7.17    -5.18     0.00     0.10     3.18     0.73P    0.71R    0.00  
Norwich          24   30   -7      57.83     7.18   -11.24     0.01     0.01     1.04     0.15P    3.03R    0.04  
Ipswich          24   29   +0      58.27     7.17    -1.79     0.01     0.02     1.10     0.21P    2.45R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   24   29   -3      55.86     7.18    -7.93     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.14P    4.83R    0.07  
Leicester        24   29   -5      54.75     6.98   -11.13     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P    6.21R    0.11  
Luton            24   29   -7      55.50     7.10   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.08P    5.84R    0.10  
Queens_PR        24   27   -6      52.94     7.30   -13.19     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.04P   10.80R    0.31  
Barnsley         24   23  -14      46.25     6.85   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    40.10R    2.51  
Hull             24   21  -13      44.85     6.88   -22.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    47.22R    4.13  
Leeds            24   21  -19      39.86     6.51   -39.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.81R   15.53  
Southend         24   16  -25      31.33     5.88   -50.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.75R   77.17  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, Bournemouth vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      23   44  +12      83.77     7.49    24.36    27.25    48.69    88.50    58.38P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      23   42  +16      84.41     7.45    32.14    33.11    54.27    90.66    65.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    23   41   +9      78.51     7.56    18.03     9.97    22.69    70.09    33.37P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          23   39  +15      79.75     7.50    28.63    13.81    29.59    77.52    43.60P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         23   36  +10      73.68     7.63    19.82     3.40     9.28    48.14    18.73P    0.04R    0.00  
Tranmere        22   36   +9      75.43     7.89    18.86     5.53    13.85    56.33    25.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool       23   35  +10      72.91     7.59    20.09     2.72     7.82    43.91    16.78P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil          22   35   +6      70.70     7.97    10.67     1.61     4.86    31.55    11.32P    0.10R    0.00  
Port_Vale       23   35   +2      67.23     7.67     3.10     0.47     1.75    17.14     4.62P    0.44R    0.00  
Doncaster       22   33   +7      69.94     7.80    13.35     1.22     3.72    29.23    10.67P    0.14R    0.00  
Rotherham       23   33   +4      67.82     7.65     9.25     0.60     2.16    20.21     5.71P    0.36R    0.00  
Carlisle        23   33   -3      62.05     7.54    -6.08     0.08     0.29     5.41     1.25P    2.17R    0.01  
Brighton        23   31   -3      60.80     7.66    -6.02     0.05     0.23     4.26     0.91P    3.34R    0.06  
Gillingham      23   31   -6      60.07     7.68   -10.54     0.02     0.18     3.46     0.68P    4.27R    0.13  
Bradford        23   30   +0      61.77     7.57     0.70     0.07     0.27     5.62     1.48P    2.00R    0.01  
Crewe           22   28   -1      59.81     7.95    -3.52     0.07     0.25     4.11     1.01P    4.71R    0.06  
Chesterfield    23   28   -1      58.91     7.60    -1.58     0.01     0.07     2.69     0.68P    5.28R    0.14  
Huddersfield    23   27   -6      55.50     7.48   -10.40     0.01     0.04     1.01     0.21P   11.46R    0.41  
Leyton_Orient   23   25  -11      49.24     7.37   -23.10     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   37.55R    3.21  
Northampton     23   24   -9      48.58     7.07   -17.10     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   38.85R    3.02  
Cheltenham      23   22  -12      45.79     7.11   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.70R    7.28  
Bournemouth     23   21  -13      43.27     7.01   -27.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    70.00R   13.01  
Millwall        23   21  -13      43.38     7.13   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.72R   12.76  
Brentford       23   18  -22      35.63     6.42   -43.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.81R   59.91  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, Wrexham vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          23   49  +22      96.04     6.85    45.19    72.84    95.84    99.92    97.26P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    23   45  +11      83.33     7.62    22.97     7.39    50.08    92.21    59.04P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        23   44  +16      85.27     7.61    32.43    11.38    62.42    95.22    70.47P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     23   43  +11      82.05     7.59    22.27     5.24    42.15    90.28    55.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          23   41   +9      77.90     7.58    17.15     1.89    21.93    78.03    36.72P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       23   38   +7      74.44     7.68    14.69     0.67    11.82    62.84    25.17P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     23   38   +4      71.37     7.68     6.78     0.28     5.72    45.65    13.74P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     23   34   +3      67.18     7.60     5.90     0.05     2.12    25.99     7.83P    0.02R    0.01  
Bury             23   32   +1      63.76     7.73     1.56     0.01     0.69    14.77     3.77P    0.26R    0.07  
Hereford         23   32   -2      62.38     7.51    -3.34     0.01     0.36    10.12     2.43P    0.26R    0.06  
Bristol_Rovers   23   31   -2      60.06     7.51    -4.69     0.01     0.18     5.74     1.44P    0.80R    0.18  
Chester          22   30   +4      66.18     8.07     9.12     0.07     1.95    24.49     8.34P    0.12R    0.01  
Darlington       23   30   -2      60.75     7.65    -2.80     0.00     0.27     7.75     1.67P    0.56R    0.11  
Shrewsbury       22   29   +9      69.09     7.90    20.18     0.17     4.29    37.66    14.81P    0.05R    0.03  
Stockport        23   29   -3      58.36     7.66    -6.10     0.00     0.10     4.32     0.92P    1.55R    0.41  
Grimsby          23   29  -10      53.57     7.36   -21.23     0.00     0.03     0.92     0.12P    5.65R    1.54  
Barnet           23   28   -7      55.64     7.56   -13.99     0.00     0.05     2.02     0.41P    3.52R    1.09  
Wrexham          22   27  -12      50.11     7.37   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P   14.02R    4.78  
Boston           23   24   -7      51.39     7.41   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.16P    9.66R    3.17  
Mansfield        22   24   -7      51.81     7.68   -15.62     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.22P    9.79R    3.48  
Accrington       23   22   -9      50.02     7.50   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P   14.12R    5.05  
Rochdale         23   20   -9      46.10     7.35   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   27.32R   11.85  
Torquay          23   20  -12      43.05     6.98   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.94R   21.92  
Macclesfield     23   17  -15      39.20     7.11   -31.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   67.37R   46.23  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, York vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      99.30     7.09    52.62    67.12    99.86    81.81P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      93.97     7.54    50.82    31.07    98.72    56.31P    0.00     0.00  
York               23   41   +3      75.07     7.77     6.98     0.31    45.90     8.43P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.50     7.93     5.60     0.32    41.91     7.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             22   37   +2      71.87     8.02     5.25     0.15    30.59     5.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.60     8.27    10.69     0.38    44.30     9.37P    0.03R    0.00  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.42     7.76    -0.43     0.01    12.12     1.78P    0.31R    0.02  
Exeter             21   33   +9      74.02     8.31    19.01     0.34    43.44    11.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.28     8.41    13.56     0.16    31.20     6.42P    0.14R    0.01  
Crawley            21   32   +3      67.74     8.35     5.25     0.06    17.53     3.33P    0.26R    0.03  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      63.99     8.07     4.50     0.01     8.12     1.32P    1.08R    0.12  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.69     8.03    21.66     0.07    17.72     5.28P    0.33R    0.02  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.75     7.89     0.72     0.00     3.50     0.77P    2.13R    0.28  
Halifax            23   28   -1      58.80     7.72    -2.44     0.00     1.90     0.39P    3.65R    0.51  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.34     7.90   -10.14     0.00     1.11     0.20P    7.64R    1.32  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.34     8.13   -17.84     0.00     0.94     0.14P   10.88R    2.13  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      51.98     7.43   -15.88     0.00     0.13     0.03P   17.05R    3.62  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.60     8.31   -19.89     0.00     0.68     0.06P   16.52R    4.29  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.92     7.58   -25.43     0.00     0.04     0.00    36.31R   11.76  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      46.19     7.30   -20.51     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.52R   14.80  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      47.90     7.77   -22.59     0.00     0.09     0.02P   36.80R   12.35  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.11     8.05   -14.03     0.00     0.12     0.04P   29.71R    9.39  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.90     7.65   -20.41     0.00     0.03     0.01P   45.15R   18.11  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      45.74     8.08   -27.07     0.00     0.05     0.00    48.45R   21.25