Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 23 December 2006 at 21:32:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, Wigan vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    19   47  +31      90.91     5.22    64.46    80.17    99.25    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         19   45  +20      84.27     5.99    41.84    19.52    90.81    99.36    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       19   34  +13      68.00     6.57    25.23     0.10     3.48    57.20    89.31     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         19   33  +18      68.80     6.28    34.85     0.18     4.16    64.53    92.23     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          19   33   +7      64.72     6.37    15.35     0.02     1.02    33.77    77.38     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      19   32  +11      64.43     6.63    20.97     0.01     1.17    34.35    76.14     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       19   28   -2      53.94     6.58    -2.68     0.00     0.03     2.52    15.46     0.20R    0.00  
Everton         19   27   +4      56.93     6.48    10.22     0.00     0.09     6.21    30.09     0.03R    0.00  
Reading         19   26   -5      48.56     6.23   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.31     3.42     1.32R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     19   25   +0      50.37     6.62    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.88     7.29     0.82R    0.04  
Newcastle       19   25   -1      49.55     6.52    -2.82     0.00     0.01     0.71     5.37     0.90R    0.04  
Fulham          19   24  -10      43.64     6.14   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.66     7.61R    0.46  
Wigan           19   22   -4      45.82     6.35    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.67     4.08R    0.17  
Middlesbrough   19   20   -7      41.28     6.28   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24    14.05R    1.28  
Manchester_C    19   20   -9      39.50     6.14   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    20.93R    1.98  
Sheffield_U     19   20  -10      40.42     6.21   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21    17.80R    1.65  
Blackburn       18   19  -10      41.52     6.49   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40    14.77R    1.55  
West_Ham        19   18  -13      34.92     5.85   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    51.60R    8.49  
Charlton        19   12  -20      27.47     5.63   -40.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.82R   53.96  
Watford         18   11  -13      30.01     6.37   -24.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.06R   30.38  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, Wolverhampton vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       24   49  +20      91.89     6.97    40.91    67.81    83.39    98.50    87.51P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          24   44  +14      80.68     7.27    23.97     8.04    25.57    76.48    38.12P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            24   44   +8      80.62     7.16    17.86     7.28    23.98    75.34    34.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            24   40  +13      79.04     7.06    26.68     5.24    19.07    70.42    34.94P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      24   40  +10      76.55     7.04    20.83     2.65    10.63    57.05    20.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          24   40   +8      76.39     7.06    18.04     2.27    10.15    55.16    19.78P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    24   37  +15      77.74     7.22    31.94     4.07    15.45    65.25    30.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       24   37  +12      75.38     7.26    25.05     2.12     8.86    51.95    20.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          24   37   +7      69.82     7.28    11.00     0.37     1.79    22.32     6.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    24   36   -4      61.34     6.97   -10.26     0.01     0.10     2.59     0.56P    0.80R    0.01  
Sunderland       24   34   +1      65.20     7.21     2.24     0.07     0.47     8.03     1.97P    0.19R    0.00  
Plymouth         24   34   +0      63.62     7.33    -0.85     0.04     0.25     5.79     1.47P    0.40R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      24   34   -1      62.19     7.13    -5.04     0.02     0.12     3.56     0.67P    0.58R    0.01  
Coventry         24   33   -4      62.13     7.25    -4.93     0.01     0.11     3.60     0.80P    0.78R    0.00  
Norwich          24   30   -7      58.21     7.23   -10.72     0.00     0.01     1.07     0.17P    2.90R    0.04  
Ipswich          24   29   +0      58.45     7.29    -1.55     0.01     0.04     1.47     0.31P    2.46R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   24   29   -3      56.09     7.10    -7.54     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.10P    4.49R    0.05  
Leicester        24   29   -5      54.66     6.99   -11.30     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.04P    6.26R    0.08  
Luton            24   29   -7      55.67     7.10   -13.82     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.05P    5.63R    0.10  
Queens_PR        24   27   -6      52.88     7.22   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.01P   11.43R    0.34  
Barnsley         24   23  -14      46.22     6.95   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   40.03R    2.48  
Hull             24   21  -13      45.04     6.93   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   45.94R    3.67  
Leeds            24   21  -19      39.57     6.37   -39.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.00R   14.92  
Southend         24   16  -25      31.07     5.75   -51.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.11R   78.25  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, Bournemouth vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      23   44  +12      84.06     7.57    24.74    28.21    49.35    89.08    58.95P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      23   42  +16      84.50     7.44    32.33    33.06    54.62    91.01    65.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    23   41   +9      78.40     7.60    17.85     9.52    21.49    68.96    32.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          23   39  +15      79.64     7.57    28.53    13.56    28.86    76.99    43.13P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         23   36  +10      73.68     7.69    19.88     3.21     9.34    47.99    19.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere        22   36   +9      75.48     8.00    18.99     5.52    14.19    55.60    25.39P    0.03R    0.00  
Blackpool       23   35  +10      73.02     7.59    20.32     2.83     8.31    44.26    17.17P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil          22   35   +6      70.87     7.85    11.03     1.54     4.88    32.24    11.79P    0.10R    0.00  
Port_Vale       23   35   +2      67.00     7.71     2.79     0.48     1.60    16.62     4.40P    0.49R    0.00  
Doncaster       22   33   +7      70.47     7.75    14.05     1.35     4.21    31.22    11.55P    0.10R    0.00  
Rotherham       23   33   +4      67.85     7.70     9.33     0.44     1.89    20.71     5.88P    0.28R    0.01  
Carlisle        23   33   -3      61.84     7.46    -6.42     0.04     0.26     4.80     0.94P    2.13R    0.01  
Brighton        23   31   -3      60.92     7.73    -5.83     0.04     0.21     4.14     0.86P    3.21R    0.04  
Gillingham      23   31   -6      59.85     7.63   -11.01     0.04     0.14     3.14     0.62P    4.54R    0.09  
Bradford        23   30   +0      61.43     7.57     0.24     0.04     0.25     5.03     1.27P    2.16R    0.07  
Crewe           22   28   -1      60.19     8.05    -2.83     0.08     0.32     4.56     1.00P    4.49R    0.15  
Chesterfield    23   28   -1      58.81     7.68    -1.74     0.01     0.06     2.75     0.69P    5.08R    0.17  
Huddersfield    23   27   -6      55.27     7.44   -10.84     0.00     0.03     0.74     0.16P   11.88R    0.43  
Leyton_Orient   23   25  -11      48.86     7.33   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00    39.28R    3.50  
Northampton     23   24   -9      48.40     6.99   -17.38     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.01P   39.58R    2.93  
Cheltenham      23   22  -12      45.47     7.21   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   57.02R    8.25  
Bournemouth     23   21  -13      43.33     6.91   -27.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.12R   12.54  
Millwall        23   21  -13      43.84     7.08   -25.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    66.06R   11.93  
Brentford       23   18  -22      35.73     6.43   -43.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.39R   59.89  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, Wrexham vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          23   49  +22      95.97     6.95    45.24    72.12    95.50    99.92    96.94P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    23   45  +11      83.53     7.57    23.17     7.55    50.31    92.79    59.60P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        23   44  +16      85.46     7.52    32.77    12.18    62.91    95.89    71.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     23   43  +11      81.85     7.57    22.01     5.04    40.90    90.00    54.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          23   41   +9      78.13     7.52    17.49     1.85    23.01    78.62    37.98P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       23   38   +7      74.44     7.68    14.67     0.70    11.84    62.52    24.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     23   38   +4      71.38     7.77     6.80     0.30     6.08    45.28    13.89P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     23   34   +3      66.99     7.72     5.71     0.05     1.95    25.42     7.38P    0.04R    0.00  
Bury             23   32   +1      63.66     7.64     1.40     0.02     0.62    14.33     3.82P    0.18R    0.04  
Hereford         23   32   -2      62.56     7.60    -3.05     0.01     0.47    10.81     2.65P    0.28R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   23   31   -2      59.93     7.59    -4.92     0.00     0.17     5.92     1.49P    0.82R    0.14  
Chester          22   30   +4      66.21     7.91     9.17     0.04     1.88    23.73     7.92P    0.07R    0.01  
Darlington       23   30   -2      60.72     7.75    -2.90     0.01     0.29     7.77     1.98P    0.74R    0.14  
Shrewsbury       22   29   +9      69.15     7.85    20.28     0.13     3.94    38.05    14.38P    0.04R    0.01  
Stockport        23   29   -3      58.25     7.54    -6.24     0.00     0.07     3.88     0.84P    1.45R    0.34  
Grimsby          23   29  -10      53.66     7.31   -21.00     0.00     0.03     0.81     0.17P    5.53R    1.54  
Barnet           23   28   -7      56.13     7.60   -13.16     0.00     0.01     2.17     0.38P    3.19R    0.77  
Wrexham          22   27  -12      50.29     7.39   -27.58     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.07P   13.54R    4.40  
Boston           23   24   -7      51.22     7.47   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P   10.10R    3.54  
Mansfield        22   24   -7      51.70     7.66   -15.85     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.17P    9.64R    2.99  
Accrington       23   22   -9      49.95     7.57   -17.02     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P   13.88R    5.33  
Rochdale         23   20   -9      45.75     7.28   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   28.39R   12.09  
Torquay          23   20  -12      42.78     7.08   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.25R   23.22  
Macclesfield     23   17  -15      39.28     7.25   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.86R   45.42  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 December 2006, York vs Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      99.08     7.18    52.35    64.81    99.81    80.54P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.57     7.48    51.90    33.62    99.00    58.89P    0.00     0.00  
York               23   41   +3      74.93     7.76     6.69     0.23    44.84     7.55P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.43     8.05     5.52     0.29    42.09     7.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             22   37   +2      72.08     7.99     5.54     0.12    32.09     5.94P    0.04R    0.01  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.25     8.55    10.20     0.38    43.19     8.99P    0.03R    0.00  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.31     7.76    -0.51     0.01    11.74     1.88P    0.25R    0.02  
Exeter             21   33   +9      73.79     8.41    18.66     0.35    42.71    10.55P    0.04R    0.00  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.20     8.41    13.42     0.10    30.70     6.34P    0.10R    0.01  
Crawley            21   32   +3      68.22     8.48     5.99     0.04    19.76     4.08P    0.29R    0.03  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      64.02     8.17     4.50     0.02     8.31     1.54P    1.18R    0.15  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.30     8.04    20.94     0.04    16.84     4.49P    0.30R    0.03  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.83     7.93     0.80     0.00     3.79     0.77P    2.15R    0.23  
Halifax            23   28   -1      58.65     7.77    -2.70     0.00     2.03     0.33P    3.74R    0.57  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.44     7.88   -10.10     0.00     1.13     0.16P    7.14R    1.16  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.50     8.07   -17.62     0.00     0.83     0.14P   10.31R    2.01  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      51.73     7.47   -16.37     0.00     0.21     0.01P   18.86R    4.50  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.85     8.06   -19.43     0.00     0.59     0.10P   15.16R    3.86  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.89     7.63   -25.44     0.00     0.06     0.01P   36.73R   12.20  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      46.08     7.25   -20.70     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.12R   15.76  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      47.98     7.75   -22.41     0.00     0.07     0.02P   36.39R   12.26  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.30     7.97   -13.73     0.00     0.12     0.03P   28.79R    9.15  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.66     7.76   -20.67     0.00     0.03     0.01P   47.16R   18.83  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      45.92     7.85   -26.83     0.00     0.06     0.01P   47.22R   19.25