Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 22 December 2006 at 21:40:32 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 December 2006, Fulham vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    18   44  +28      88.77     5.65    60.07    74.26    98.53    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   42  +19      83.31     6.30    41.25    25.17    90.08    99.35    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   31  +11      66.97     6.68    24.29     0.21     4.08    58.69    87.45     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   30  +14      67.72     6.56    31.24     0.30     4.75    64.26    89.80     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          18   30   +5      61.84     6.72    11.61     0.03     0.78    25.23    63.97     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      18   29   +9      63.44     6.88    19.91     0.03     1.57    35.70    73.63     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       18   28   +0      55.77     6.88     0.25     0.01     0.10     6.61    27.14     0.11R    0.00  
Reading         18   26   -3      51.31     6.71    -7.76     0.00     0.01     1.84    10.66     0.83R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     18   25   +3      52.55     6.95     3.10     0.00     0.05     2.98    16.10     0.45R    0.01  
Everton         18   24   +2      53.69     6.90     5.79     0.00     0.06     4.22    20.32     0.41R    0.01  
Fulham          18   23  -10      44.92     6.58   -19.97     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.59     7.16R    0.55  
Wigan           18   22   -3      46.44     6.68    -9.15     0.00     0.00     0.28     3.10     4.23R    0.30  
Newcastle       18   22   -3      46.65     6.77    -6.42     0.00     0.01     0.47     3.54     3.77R    0.25  
Manchester_C    18   20   -7      42.13     6.52   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.81    12.86R    1.10  
Sheffield_U     18   20   -8      40.51     6.41   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.46    19.64R    2.16  
Blackburn       17   19   -6      42.72     6.87   -15.12     0.00     0.01     0.15     1.22    13.18R    1.50  
Middlesbrough   18   17   -9      39.34     6.45   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    24.77R    3.79  
West_Ham        18   17  -13      34.94     6.22   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    53.48R   12.12  
Charlton        18   12  -18      29.09     5.95   -37.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    84.50R   46.05  
Watford         17   11  -11      30.61     6.65   -23.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.61R   32.15  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, West_Bromwich vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       23   46  +16      89.45     7.30    35.20    54.69    73.37    96.28    79.25P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            23   43   +8      80.24     7.50    16.89     9.79    24.46    71.59    33.77P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          23   41  +13      79.00     7.58    22.87     7.88    20.95    66.83    32.70P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      23   39  +10      77.24     7.58    21.24     5.30    14.96    58.59    25.13P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          23   39   +8      77.24     7.35    18.85     4.93    13.76    58.61    24.09P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       23   37  +13      76.77     7.48    26.21     4.71    13.78    58.20    25.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            23   37  +12      77.08     7.37    25.25     4.74    14.06    59.26    27.82P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    23   36  +15      78.28     7.39    32.03     6.60    19.07    66.66    33.48P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          23   36   +7      70.79     7.68    11.87     0.95     3.38    26.59     8.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   35   -4      62.08     7.32    -9.43     0.02     0.13     3.67     0.74P    0.69R    0.00  
Sunderland       23   34   +2      67.02     7.47     4.04     0.19     1.01    12.46     3.33P    0.12R    0.00  
Plymouth         23   33   +0      63.66     7.59    -1.21     0.07     0.38     6.07     1.59P    0.54R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      23   33   -1      62.33     7.47    -5.11     0.04     0.20     4.38     0.99P    0.64R    0.01  
Coventry         23   33   -2      64.02     7.44    -1.99     0.06     0.34     5.96     1.61P    0.51R    0.01  
Ipswich          23   29   +1      60.18     7.59     0.10     0.02     0.07     2.71     0.68P    1.75R    0.02  
Norwich          23   29   -7      57.72     7.47   -11.90     0.01     0.05     1.10     0.21P    3.69R    0.14  
Leicester        23   28   -5      54.84     7.25   -11.82     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.08P    6.93R    0.28  
Crystal_Palace   23   26   -4      53.78     7.30    -9.83     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P    8.88R    0.43  
Luton            23   26   -9      53.05     7.32   -17.49     0.01     0.01     0.16     0.04P   11.81R    0.73  
Queens_PR        23   24   -7      51.45     7.64   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.04P   17.11R    1.50  
Barnsley         23   23  -13      47.42     7.29   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   35.30R    3.58  
Hull             23   20  -13      45.50     7.26   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.97R    6.02  
Leeds            23   20  -19      40.72     6.93   -38.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.07R   19.18  
Southend         23   16  -21      33.42     6.32   -44.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.95R   68.09  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 December 2006, Northampton vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      22   44  +13      85.64     7.85    26.21    35.10    56.03    91.56    64.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    22   40   +9      79.41     7.81    18.81    11.08    24.79    73.66    35.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      22   39  +15      83.05     7.81    31.74    23.93    44.48    87.06    57.12P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          22   36  +12      77.24     7.86    24.23     7.50    18.39    66.14    32.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        21   36  +10      79.19     8.31    23.24    12.05    26.02    72.91    39.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         22   35  +10      75.05     8.00    21.46     4.78    12.50    55.16    22.58P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          21   34   +6      71.95     8.15    11.97     2.32     6.42    37.92    13.97P    0.13R    0.00  
Blackpool       22   32   +8      70.68     7.82    17.07     1.39     4.63    33.26    11.97P    0.10R    0.00  
Rotherham       22   32   +4      67.18     7.96     7.61     0.49     1.81    19.14     5.22P    0.71R    0.00  
Port_Vale       22   32   +1      65.30     8.09     1.54     0.30     1.12    13.06     3.47P    1.40R    0.01  
Brighton        22   31   -2      62.32     8.01    -4.80     0.07     0.43     7.07     1.50P    2.96R    0.07  
Doncaster       21   30   +6      67.49     8.18    11.37     0.77     2.38    20.99     7.47P    0.66R    0.00  
Carlisle        22   30   -5      60.41     7.83    -8.07     0.05     0.22     4.07     0.89P    4.30R    0.15  
Bradford        22   29   +0      61.05     7.91    -0.88     0.07     0.28     5.57     1.38P    3.78R    0.09  
Gillingham      22   28   -7      56.35     7.82   -14.92     0.00     0.04     1.35     0.28P   12.11R    0.69  
Crewe           21   27   -1      60.43     8.38    -3.18     0.08     0.34     5.59     1.12P    5.75R    0.25  
Chesterfield    22   27   -1      59.71     7.87    -1.04     0.01     0.11     3.81     0.90P    5.21R    0.22  
Huddersfield    22   26   -6      55.42     7.83   -11.45     0.01     0.03     1.26     0.28P   14.32R    0.84  
Northampton     22   24   -6      50.97     7.46   -12.31     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P   29.43R    2.37  
Leyton_Orient   22   24  -11      49.52     7.72   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   40.11R    4.35  
Bournemouth     22   21  -11      45.67     7.53   -23.14     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   58.73R   10.71  
Cheltenham      22   21  -12      44.95     7.46   -24.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   62.88R   12.46  
Millwall        22   21  -12      44.51     7.32   -25.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.27R   13.05  
Brentford       22   18  -20      37.14     6.79   -41.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.09R   54.76  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, Wrexham vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          22   48  +22      97.52     7.22    47.05    75.61    96.55    99.92    97.80P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     22   43  +12      85.54     7.88    26.32     9.79    59.30    94.17    68.85P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    22   42  +10      82.63     7.92    23.46     5.75    44.40    88.68    54.09P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        22   41  +15      83.19     7.92    30.69     6.56    49.09    90.43    59.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          22   38   +7      75.92     7.89    14.71     0.83    15.20    65.64    28.64P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     22   38   +5      73.28     8.04     8.66     0.56     9.57    51.81    17.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool       22   35   +6      71.99     7.91    12.44     0.20     6.79    47.02    16.68P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     22   34   +4      69.92     7.99     8.82     0.12     4.46    36.35    11.91P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury             22   32   +2      66.06     8.03     3.90     0.04     1.61    20.71     5.95P    0.09R    0.01  
Chester          22   30   +4      66.02     7.86     8.93     0.05     1.52    20.70     6.82P    0.10R    0.01  
Darlington       22   30   -1      63.27     7.95    -0.09     0.01     0.63    12.21     3.27P    0.33R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       21   29  +10      73.09     8.14    25.64     0.45    10.17    55.19    24.70P    0.03R    0.00  
Stockport        22   29   -1      60.20     7.94    -3.39     0.01     0.35     6.36     1.74P    0.78R    0.12  
Hereford         22   29   -3      59.49     7.78    -6.33     0.01     0.19     5.26     1.38P    0.83R    0.16  
Bristol_Rovers   22   28   -6      55.54     7.72   -12.44     0.00     0.07     1.88     0.47P    2.85R    0.54  
Grimsby          22   26  -12      51.14     7.49   -24.64     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.06P    9.74R    2.52  
Barnet           22   25   -8      52.17     7.75   -18.62     0.00     0.03     0.70     0.12P    7.96R    2.15  
Mansfield        22   24   -7      51.83     7.70   -15.69     0.00     0.04     0.68     0.18P    8.03R    2.11  
Wrexham          21   24  -13      47.65     7.60   -30.65     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   21.29R    7.25  
Boston           22   23   -7      50.40     7.59   -17.12     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.10P   11.19R    3.46  
Accrington       22   22   -5      53.33     7.93    -9.25     0.00     0.03     1.14     0.30P    5.74R    1.58  
Rochdale         22   20   -8      46.27     7.58   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   24.70R    8.89  
Torquay          22   20  -10      45.37     7.56   -19.99     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   29.09R   10.75  
Macclesfield     22   14  -16      36.06     7.28   -34.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.25R   60.39  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Rushden_&_D vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      99.31     7.23    52.72    65.95    99.80    81.31P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.44     7.46    51.59    32.51    99.09    58.12P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.53     7.95     5.65     0.32    44.34     7.71P    0.01R    0.00  
York               22   38   +1      72.22     8.00     3.10     0.12    32.86     5.34P    0.06R    0.00  
Burton             22   37   +2      71.91     7.99     5.23     0.15    32.45     5.92P    0.08R    0.01  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.03     8.46     9.83     0.40    43.34     8.73P    0.04R    0.01  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.41     7.73    -0.44     0.02    12.68     1.95P    0.30R    0.01  
Exeter             21   33   +9      73.96     8.44    18.82     0.30    45.06    11.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.50     8.51    13.92     0.14    33.57     6.99P    0.10R    0.01  
Crawley            21   32   +3      68.03     8.42     5.57     0.03    19.34     3.92P    0.27R    0.02  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      63.62     8.03     3.83     0.01     8.12     1.24P    1.13R    0.17  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.26     8.05    20.85     0.04    17.24     4.93P    0.27R    0.01  
Halifax            22   28   +1      61.18     8.08     1.13     0.00     4.66     0.80P    2.25R    0.30  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.57     7.95     0.48     0.00     3.92     0.83P    2.50R    0.34  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.45     7.96    -9.98     0.00     1.18     0.18P    7.71R    1.48  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.49     8.01   -17.57     0.00     1.06     0.14P   10.74R    2.27  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      52.00     7.46   -15.88     0.00     0.18     0.03P   17.98R    4.07  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.68     8.14   -19.55     0.01     0.69     0.08P   15.67R    4.08  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.89     7.63   -25.37     0.00     0.09     0.01P   37.31R   11.96  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      46.23     7.33   -20.53     0.00     0.03     0.01P   43.92R   15.74  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      47.79     7.69   -22.78     0.00     0.08     0.01P   37.79R   12.46  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.12     8.01   -14.05     0.00     0.16     0.04P   30.36R    9.51  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.90     7.69   -20.26     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.79R   18.50  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      46.20     7.90   -26.31     0.00     0.06     0.01P   45.70R   19.07