Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 21 December 2006 at 21:32:56 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 December 2006, Fulham vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    18   44  +28      88.66     5.74    59.83    73.42    98.27    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   42  +19      83.36     6.31    41.30    25.89    90.17    99.17    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   31  +11      67.11     6.78    24.46     0.27     4.32    58.83    87.73     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   30  +14      67.70     6.54    31.15     0.29     4.80    63.83    90.25     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          18   30   +5      61.43     6.82    10.96     0.04     0.80    24.21    61.81     0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth      18   29   +9      63.48     6.89    19.96     0.10     1.50    36.80    73.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       18   28   +0      55.60     6.92     0.04     0.00     0.07     6.58    27.25     0.14R    0.00  
Reading         18   26   -3      51.52     6.73    -7.36     0.00     0.01     1.91    11.43     0.69R    0.04  
Aston_Villa     18   25   +3      52.33     6.90     2.87     0.00     0.02     2.84    14.94     0.54R    0.01  
Everton         18   24   +2      53.74     6.96     5.78     0.00     0.04     4.57    20.84     0.38R    0.01  
Fulham          18   23  -10      45.23     6.64   -19.50     0.00     0.00     0.26     2.09     6.79R    0.43  
Wigan           18   22   -3      46.61     6.68    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.36     3.56     3.75R    0.23  
Newcastle       18   22   -3      46.76     6.76    -6.30     0.00     0.00     0.47     3.69     3.72R    0.19  
Manchester_C    18   20   -7      42.23     6.55   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.82    12.51R    1.22  
Sheffield_U     18   20   -8      40.72     6.43   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.49    18.45R    2.15  
Blackburn       17   19   -6      42.06     6.78   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.94    14.97R    1.82  
Middlesbrough   18   17   -9      39.62     6.66   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.37    23.87R    3.90  
West_Ham        18   17  -13      34.71     6.11   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    55.19R   12.36  
Charlton        18   12  -18      29.17     6.01   -37.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.25R   45.30  
Watford         17   11  -11      30.64     6.57   -23.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.73R   32.34  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, West_Bromwich vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       23   46  +16      89.27     7.25    34.94    53.76    72.28    96.39    78.31P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            23   43   +8      80.45     7.57    17.14    10.21    25.52    72.86    35.23P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          23   41  +13      79.23     7.62    23.21     8.34    21.86    67.97    33.53P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      23   39  +10      77.02     7.47    20.80     5.08    14.09    57.35    23.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          23   39   +8      77.41     7.38    19.16     5.05    14.40    59.19    24.77P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       23   37  +13      76.87     7.46    26.42     5.05    14.38    58.03    25.73P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            23   37  +12      76.97     7.23    25.20     4.50    13.18    58.67    27.09P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    23   36  +15      78.26     7.49    32.05     6.68    18.77    66.64    33.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          23   36   +7      70.75     7.58    11.82     0.91     3.33    26.24     8.69P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   35   -4      62.23     7.31    -9.24     0.01     0.17     3.73     0.88P    0.72R    0.01  
Sunderland       23   34   +2      66.76     7.57     3.62     0.17     0.99    12.48     3.40P    0.16R    0.00  
Plymouth         23   33   +0      63.32     7.47    -1.70     0.08     0.29     5.57     1.45P    0.49R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      23   33   -1      62.19     7.50    -5.33     0.03     0.17     4.28     0.94P    0.91R    0.00  
Coventry         23   33   -2      63.87     7.45    -2.23     0.08     0.35     5.54     1.50P    0.54R    0.01  
Ipswich          23   29   +1      60.61     7.49     0.77     0.03     0.14     2.95     0.68P    1.49R    0.04  
Norwich          23   29   -7      57.88     7.40   -11.70     0.01     0.07     1.04     0.27P    3.52R    0.12  
Leicester        23   28   -5      54.76     7.20   -11.88     0.01     0.01     0.30     0.07P    7.13R    0.23  
Crystal_Palace   23   26   -4      54.02     7.33    -9.53     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.11P    8.71R    0.47  
Luton            23   26   -9      52.90     7.34   -17.63     0.01     0.01     0.17     0.03P   12.23R    0.71  
Queens_PR        23   24   -7      51.60     7.60   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   16.64R    1.25  
Barnsley         23   23  -13      47.45     7.29   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   34.55R    3.43  
Hull             23   20  -13      45.41     7.24   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.68R    6.48  
Leeds            23   20  -19      40.74     6.92   -38.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.06R   18.27  
Southend         23   16  -21      33.19     6.32   -45.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.16R   68.98  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 December 2006, Northampton vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      22   44  +13      86.16     7.83    27.01    36.41    57.61    92.39    66.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    22   40   +9      79.40     8.03    18.73    10.91    24.53    72.54    35.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      22   39  +15      83.33     7.79    32.19    24.54    45.64    87.59    57.90P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          22   36  +12      77.07     7.94    24.00     6.99    17.46    64.59    30.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        21   36  +10      79.66     8.12    23.91    11.84    26.50    74.66    40.29P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         22   35  +10      74.71     7.98    20.99     3.96    11.31    53.43    21.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil          21   34   +6      71.60     8.16    11.51     2.03     5.68    35.73    12.85P    0.10R    0.00  
Blackpool       22   32   +8      70.70     8.07    17.10     1.45     4.54    33.92    11.68P    0.21R    0.01  
Rotherham       22   32   +4      67.54     8.13     8.23     0.69     2.19    20.53     6.01P    0.63R    0.01  
Port_Vale       22   32   +1      65.63     7.99     2.11     0.22     1.04    14.15     3.65P    1.01R    0.01  
Brighton        22   31   -2      62.01     7.97    -5.27     0.09     0.41     6.54     1.28P    3.15R    0.09  
Doncaster       21   30   +6      67.57     8.09    11.47     0.66     2.06    21.52     7.21P    0.52R    0.00  
Carlisle        22   30   -5      60.48     7.85    -8.01     0.04     0.17     4.01     0.85P    4.62R    0.15  
Bradford        22   29   +0      61.28     7.92    -0.50     0.04     0.26     5.69     1.27P    3.40R    0.10  
Gillingham      22   28   -7      55.88     7.77   -15.76     0.00     0.04     1.20     0.23P   13.03R    0.74  
Crewe           21   27   -1      60.45     8.43    -3.16     0.06     0.34     5.66     1.23P    5.58R    0.24  
Chesterfield    22   27   -1      60.01     8.02    -0.60     0.05     0.19     4.41     1.21P    4.99R    0.19  
Huddersfield    22   26   -6      55.10     7.82   -11.92     0.01     0.04     1.03     0.20P   15.02R    0.88  
Northampton     22   24   -6      50.56     7.49   -12.94     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.05P   30.89R    2.48  
Leyton_Orient   22   24  -11      49.39     7.80   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   39.91R    4.79  
Bournemouth     22   21  -11      45.29     7.46   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   60.12R   11.57  
Cheltenham      22   21  -12      44.89     7.45   -24.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   62.20R   12.40  
Millwall        22   21  -12      44.75     7.33   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   62.98R   12.48  
Brentford       22   18  -20      37.29     6.83   -41.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.61R   53.85  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, Wrexham vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          22   48  +22      97.87     7.13    47.64    77.66    96.90    99.90    98.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     22   43  +12      85.28     7.74    25.87     8.71    58.16    94.22    68.39P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    22   42  +10      82.48     7.82    23.10     4.89    43.70    88.50    53.69P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        22   41  +15      83.21     7.89    30.73     6.34    49.35    90.67    59.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          22   38   +7      75.69     7.99    14.40     0.90    15.25    64.33    27.84P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     22   38   +5      73.50     7.93     8.94     0.51    10.04    52.81    18.45P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       22   35   +6      72.31     7.95    12.90     0.32     7.73    48.23    18.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     22   34   +4      69.81     8.00     8.76     0.14     4.21    36.02    11.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             22   32   +2      65.88     8.03     3.67     0.06     1.56    20.11     5.99P    0.12R    0.03  
Chester          22   30   +4      66.13     7.95     9.07     0.03     1.66    21.05     6.99P    0.10R    0.03  
Darlington       22   30   -1      63.28     8.16    -0.17     0.01     0.78    12.86     3.53P    0.41R    0.10  
Shrewsbury       21   29  +10      72.92     8.20    25.49     0.43    10.09    54.48    23.55P    0.02R    0.01  
Stockport        22   29   -1      60.18     7.90    -3.44     0.00     0.30     6.52     1.70P    0.67R    0.12  
Hereford         22   29   -3      59.30     7.76    -6.56     0.01     0.16     5.01     1.16P    0.98R    0.20  
Bristol_Rovers   22   28   -6      55.75     7.75   -12.13     0.00     0.04     1.96     0.47P    2.92R    0.53  
Grimsby          22   26  -12      50.75     7.46   -25.20     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   10.93R    3.02  
Barnet           22   25   -8      52.40     7.72   -18.17     0.00     0.02     0.69     0.15P    7.54R    2.08  
Mansfield        22   24   -7      51.78     7.61   -15.80     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.09P    8.27R    2.27  
Wrexham          21   24  -13      47.42     7.55   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   22.02R    7.54  
Boston           22   23   -7      50.46     7.70   -17.04     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.10P   11.31R    3.67  
Accrington       22   22   -5      53.27     7.83    -9.26     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.23P    5.98R    1.67  
Rochdale         22   20   -8      46.56     7.65   -17.29     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   23.09R    8.37  
Torquay          22   20  -10      45.29     7.46   -20.22     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P   29.25R   11.03  
Macclesfield     22   14  -16      36.24     7.25   -34.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    76.39R   59.36  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Rushden_&_D vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      98.95     7.31    52.18    65.16    99.75    80.53P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.27     7.49    51.26    32.97    98.98    58.18P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.67     8.17     5.87     0.43    44.27     8.46P    0.02R    0.00  
York               22   38   +1      72.63     8.04     3.67     0.21    34.18     5.84P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton             22   37   +2      72.29     7.98     5.75     0.16    32.92     6.18P    0.06R    0.01  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.26     8.51    10.09     0.49    43.57     9.09P    0.03R    0.00  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.34     7.78    -0.52     0.03    12.46     1.95P    0.27R    0.01  
Exeter             21   33   +9      73.84     8.43    18.72     0.29    43.66    10.85P    0.07R    0.00  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.69     8.39    14.14     0.18    33.34     6.85P    0.07R    0.01  
Crawley            21   32   +3      67.82     8.47     5.34     0.04    18.63     3.50P    0.26R    0.01  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      63.83     8.13     4.18     0.01     8.49     1.52P    1.09R    0.11  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.59     8.12    21.39     0.03    18.12     4.91P    0.35R    0.04  
Halifax            22   28   +1      60.67     8.14     0.38     0.00     4.32     0.81P    2.48R    0.33  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.48     8.09     0.28     0.00     3.78     0.79P    2.79R    0.39  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.79     7.93    -9.45     0.00     1.35     0.21P    7.00R    1.05  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.46     8.00   -17.64     0.00     0.89     0.14P   10.04R    1.89  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      51.79     7.38   -16.15     0.00     0.15     0.04P   18.30R    4.20  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.79     8.19   -19.45     0.00     0.68     0.10P   14.84R    3.56  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.93     7.64   -25.33     0.00     0.07     0.01P   36.46R   11.74  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      46.31     7.47   -20.36     0.00     0.03     0.01P   43.28R   15.04  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      47.66     7.78   -22.93     0.00     0.07     0.01P   37.76R   13.18  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.36     8.21   -13.74     0.00     0.18     0.04P   29.07R    9.62  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.78     7.63   -20.49     0.00     0.03     0.00    46.76R   17.98  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      45.67     7.98   -27.18     0.00     0.04     0.00    48.98R   20.83