Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 20 December 2006 at 21:49:52 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 December 2006, Fulham vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    18   44  +28      88.80     5.68    59.86    74.98    98.44    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   42  +19      83.13     6.27    40.88    24.32    89.52    99.28    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   31  +11      67.08     6.80    24.47     0.22     4.33    59.15    87.85     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   30  +14      67.77     6.58    31.38     0.33     5.03    65.04    90.40     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          18   30   +5      61.43     6.81    10.96     0.03     0.80    24.01    61.80     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      18   29   +9      63.38     6.93    19.82     0.12     1.69    35.71    73.58     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       18   28   +0      55.86     6.89     0.47     0.00     0.10     6.96    28.00     0.10R    0.01  
Reading         18   26   -3      51.29     6.73    -7.75     0.00     0.01     1.87    10.85     0.76R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     18   25   +3      52.47     6.91     3.00     0.01     0.04     2.90    15.74     0.56R    0.01  
Everton         18   24   +2      53.74     6.78     5.80     0.00     0.04     4.05    20.67     0.35R    0.01  
Fulham          18   23  -10      45.23     6.53   -19.39     0.00     0.01     0.17     1.85     6.71R    0.43  
Wigan           18   22   -3      46.47     6.72    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.32     3.11     4.37R    0.34  
Newcastle       18   22   -3      46.68     6.77    -6.44     0.00     0.00     0.40     3.58     3.82R    0.17  
Manchester_C    18   20   -7      41.74     6.62   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.79    14.54R    1.52  
Sheffield_U     18   20   -8      40.92     6.37   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.39    17.55R    2.02  
Blackburn       17   19   -6      42.59     6.82   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.07    13.20R    1.49  
Middlesbrough   18   17   -9      39.56     6.56   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30    24.09R    3.72  
West_Ham        18   17  -13      34.91     6.12   -26.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    53.83R   11.46  
Charlton        18   12  -18      29.12     5.97   -37.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.64R   45.74  
Watford         17   11  -11      30.49     6.57   -24.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    75.47R   33.05  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, West_Bromwich vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       23   46  +16      89.47     7.28    35.18    54.84    73.32    96.32    79.40P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            23   43   +8      80.56     7.59    17.30    10.15    25.45    72.97    34.91P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          23   41  +13      78.98     7.51    22.77     7.87    20.60    66.83    32.22P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      23   39  +10      77.14     7.46    21.10     5.04    14.09    58.58    24.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          23   39   +8      77.22     7.38    18.80     4.41    13.85    58.36    24.34P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       23   37  +13      76.67     7.57    26.07     4.70    13.73    57.60    24.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            23   37  +12      77.20     7.33    25.37     4.83    14.22    60.35    28.66P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    23   36  +15      78.33     7.54    32.18     6.92    19.43    66.48    34.02P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          23   36   +7      70.56     7.61    11.52     0.81     3.10    25.12     8.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   35   -4      62.28     7.38    -9.18     0.04     0.18     3.79     0.83P    0.75R    0.01  
Sunderland       23   34   +2      66.98     7.51     4.00     0.23     1.02    12.39     3.29P    0.14R    0.00  
Plymouth         23   33   +0      63.77     7.64    -0.98     0.07     0.32     6.29     1.34P    0.61R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      23   33   -1      62.28     7.40    -5.18     0.03     0.21     4.27     0.81P    0.73R    0.03  
Coventry         23   33   -2      64.01     7.47    -2.01     0.07     0.36     6.11     1.66P    0.45R    0.01  
Ipswich          23   29   +1      59.93     7.57    -0.39     0.01     0.06     2.54     0.63P    1.84R    0.04  
Norwich          23   29   -7      57.18     7.34   -12.73     0.00     0.03     0.81     0.13P    4.08R    0.12  
Leicester        23   28   -5      54.91     7.29   -11.70     0.00     0.02     0.47     0.08P    6.96R    0.23  
Crystal_Palace   23   26   -4      53.97     7.46    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P    9.02R    0.43  
Luton            23   26   -9      53.12     7.39   -17.25     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.03P   11.71R    0.67  
Queens_PR        23   24   -7      51.68     7.62   -13.83     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P   16.40R    1.19  
Barnsley         23   23  -13      47.74     7.26   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    33.43R    3.23  
Hull             23   20  -13      45.47     7.32   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.38R    6.09  
Leeds            23   20  -19      40.53     6.83   -39.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.42R   18.34  
Southend         23   16  -21      33.24     6.29   -45.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.05R   69.62  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 December 2006, Northampton vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      22   44  +13      85.69     7.80    26.22    34.16    55.81    91.75    64.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    22   40   +9      79.66     7.92    19.12    11.53    25.38    73.86    36.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      22   39  +15      83.44     7.75    32.39    25.49    46.13    87.78    58.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          22   36  +12      77.05     7.82    23.98     6.96    16.89    64.77    30.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        21   36  +10      79.56     8.27    23.82    12.58    27.11    73.74    40.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         22   35  +10      74.79     7.93    21.04     4.03    11.36    53.66    21.41P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          21   34   +6      71.97     8.25    12.04     1.92     5.92    37.89    13.83P    0.15R    0.00  
Blackpool       22   32   +8      70.91     7.91    17.40     1.51     4.70    34.32    11.63P    0.14R    0.00  
Rotherham       22   32   +4      67.31     7.94     7.92     0.55     1.99    19.29     5.57P    0.47R    0.01  
Port_Vale       22   32   +1      65.41     8.07     1.82     0.23     0.99    13.32     3.62P    1.12R    0.00  
Brighton        22   31   -2      62.08     7.98    -5.20     0.10     0.41     6.45     1.45P    3.00R    0.07  
Doncaster       21   30   +6      67.65     8.08    11.58     0.69     2.31    21.52     7.63P    0.43R    0.01  
Carlisle        22   30   -5      60.51     7.76    -7.97     0.05     0.14     3.89     0.73P    4.21R    0.09  
Bradford        22   29   +0      61.34     7.85    -0.46     0.08     0.30     5.41     1.23P    3.27R    0.10  
Gillingham      22   28   -7      55.99     7.72   -15.44     0.03     0.05     1.19     0.21P   12.64R    0.62  
Crewe           21   27   -1      60.07     8.35    -3.80     0.07     0.29     5.12     1.16P    6.13R    0.31  
Chesterfield    22   27   -1      60.20     7.98    -0.26     0.03     0.17     4.46     1.27P    4.66R    0.17  
Huddersfield    22   26   -6      55.28     7.92   -11.67     0.01     0.04     1.17     0.23P   14.86R    0.93  
Northampton     22   24   -6      50.61     7.51   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   30.41R    2.60  
Leyton_Orient   22   24  -11      49.16     7.77   -24.15     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.03P   41.14R    5.28  
Bournemouth     22   21  -11      45.24     7.34   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   60.15R   10.80  
Cheltenham      22   21  -12      44.99     7.36   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   61.74R   11.78  
Millwall        22   21  -12      44.57     7.38   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.87R   13.11  
Brentford       22   18  -20      37.30     6.84   -41.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.55R   54.13  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, Wrexham vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          22   48  +22      98.27     7.20    48.15    78.31    96.96    99.92    97.97P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     22   43  +12      85.50     7.74    26.28     8.62    58.88    94.50    68.94P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    22   42  +10      82.56     7.85    23.33     4.95    43.47    88.73    53.45P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        22   41  +15      83.43     7.84    31.06     5.93    49.73    90.86    59.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          22   38   +7      75.80     7.90    14.60     0.65    14.80    65.09    28.21P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     22   38   +5      73.70     8.10     9.19     0.66    10.45    53.87    19.09P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       22   35   +6      72.08     7.93    12.66     0.26     7.08    47.11    17.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     22   34   +4      69.97     7.91     8.94     0.12     4.21    36.13    11.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             22   32   +2      65.90     8.11     3.57     0.05     1.74    20.23     5.90P    0.12R    0.03  
Chester          22   30   +4      66.03     7.95     8.90     0.02     1.58    21.05     6.78P    0.06R    0.01  
Darlington       22   30   -1      63.54     8.13     0.25     0.02     0.81    13.15     3.66P    0.29R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       21   29  +10      72.80     8.23    25.26     0.42     9.77    53.31    23.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport        22   29   -1      60.35     7.95    -3.16     0.00     0.32     6.58     1.70P    0.69R    0.10  
Hereford         22   29   -3      59.21     7.72    -6.72     0.00     0.14     4.54     0.92P    1.06R    0.17  
Bristol_Rovers   22   28   -6      55.45     7.73   -12.55     0.00     0.01     1.64     0.34P    2.88R    0.55  
Grimsby          22   26  -12      51.35     7.49   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P    9.41R    2.60  
Barnet           22   25   -8      52.40     7.75   -18.24     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.15P    7.41R    2.07  
Mansfield        22   24   -7      51.56     7.66   -16.14     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.15P    8.59R    2.40  
Wrexham          21   24  -13      47.59     7.51   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   20.38R    6.59  
Boston           22   23   -7      50.13     7.62   -17.57     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.07P   11.70R    3.74  
Accrington       22   22   -5      52.89     7.77   -10.09     0.00     0.02     0.86     0.19P    6.54R    1.83  
Rochdale         22   20   -8      46.39     7.52   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   23.46R    8.52  
Torquay          22   20  -10      45.06     7.39   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P   29.64R   10.84  
Macclesfield     22   14  -16      35.92     7.13   -34.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.77R   60.53  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Rushden_&_D vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      99.13     7.12    52.22    66.16    99.81    81.08P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.10     7.57    51.02    32.28    98.91    57.60P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.65     8.02     5.82     0.25    43.59     7.84P    0.00     0.00  
York               22   38   +1      72.58     8.03     3.55     0.20    34.20     5.88P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton             22   37   +2      72.04     8.03     5.46     0.09    32.27     5.93P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.54     8.57    10.50     0.47    44.98     9.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.38     7.80    -0.35     0.01    12.57     2.12P    0.28R    0.03  
Exeter             21   33   +9      73.67     8.33    18.42     0.29    43.12    10.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.45     8.48    13.78     0.14    32.49     6.70P    0.10R    0.01  
Crawley            21   32   +3      68.25     8.45     5.97     0.07    19.58     4.13P    0.28R    0.03  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      64.08     8.15     4.65     0.01     9.29     1.52P    1.02R    0.10  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.61     7.90    21.47     0.03    17.45     4.75P    0.20R    0.02  
Halifax            22   28   +1      61.06     8.11     1.00     0.00     4.86     0.89P    2.40R    0.28  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.44     7.90     0.23     0.01     3.60     0.75P    2.55R    0.39  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.55     7.85    -9.76     0.00     1.11     0.16P    7.16R    1.03  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.10     8.02   -18.11     0.00     0.86     0.13P   11.20R    2.15  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      51.57     7.32   -16.53     0.00     0.20     0.04P   18.57R    4.26  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.55     8.14   -19.86     0.00     0.70     0.10P   16.29R    4.05  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.90     7.55   -25.47     0.00     0.06     0.01P   36.60R   11.92  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      46.29     7.43   -20.37     0.00     0.04     0.01P   43.41R   15.51  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      47.99     7.72   -22.41     0.00     0.06     0.01P   36.29R   12.64  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.00     8.00   -14.24     0.00     0.14     0.04P   30.67R    9.92  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.96     7.68   -20.20     0.00     0.03     0.01P   45.27R   17.75  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      45.92     7.96   -26.82     0.00     0.07     0.00    47.59R   19.91