Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 19 December 2006 at 21:32:31 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 December 2006, Fulham vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    18   44  +28      88.80     5.65    60.19    73.94    98.49    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   42  +19      83.44     6.34    41.51    25.51    90.09    99.35    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   31  +11      67.11     6.72    24.53     0.20     4.12    58.91    87.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   30  +14      67.69     6.62    31.16     0.27     4.80    64.55    90.04     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          18   30   +5      61.56     6.77    11.13     0.03     0.77    24.34    63.10     0.01R    0.01  
Portsmouth      18   29   +9      63.45     7.01    19.89     0.04     1.59    36.63    73.51     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham       18   28   +0      55.58     6.86    -0.03     0.01     0.06     6.33    26.93     0.17R    0.01  
Reading         18   26   -3      51.39     6.68    -7.54     0.00     0.01     1.80    11.32     0.74R    0.04  
Aston_Villa     18   25   +3      52.41     6.87     2.94     0.00     0.04     2.87    15.54     0.43R    0.02  
Everton         18   24   +2      53.57     6.87     5.48     0.00     0.03     3.96    20.13     0.45R    0.01  
Fulham          18   23  -10      44.82     6.61   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.23     1.77     7.46R    0.55  
Wigan           18   22   -3      46.42     6.60    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.34     2.98     4.03R    0.24  
Newcastle       18   22   -3      47.05     6.77    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.49     4.11     3.03R    0.15  
Manchester_C    18   20   -7      41.95     6.62   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.90    13.72R    1.42  
Sheffield_U     18   20   -8      41.06     6.38   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.37    17.09R    1.86  
Blackburn       17   19   -6      42.49     6.80   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.10    13.34R    1.48  
Middlesbrough   18   17   -9      39.63     6.55   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27    23.69R    3.81  
West_Ham        18   17  -13      34.70     6.20   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    55.35R   12.77  
Charlton        18   12  -18      29.24     5.98   -37.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.78R   44.23  
Watford         17   11  -11      30.31     6.45   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    76.70R   33.41  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, West_Bromwich vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       23   46  +16      89.00     7.35    34.52    52.52    70.88    95.56    77.11P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            23   43   +8      80.46     7.53    17.20    10.21    24.98    72.89    34.65P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          23   41  +13      78.81     7.58    22.55     7.72    20.41    66.20    32.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      23   39  +10      77.18     7.51    21.13     5.30    14.67    58.59    24.77P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          23   39   +8      77.11     7.47    18.66     5.00    13.86    58.11    24.03P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       23   37  +13      76.85     7.59    26.36     5.31    14.88    58.16    26.43P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            23   37  +12      77.16     7.42    25.39     5.09    14.69    59.67    28.39P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    23   36  +15      78.40     7.53    32.30     7.42    19.86    66.73    34.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          23   36   +7      70.78     7.72    11.86     0.97     3.52    26.77     8.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   35   -4      61.98     7.26    -9.65     0.03     0.15     3.54     0.75P    0.69R    0.00  
Sunderland       23   34   +2      67.08     7.46     4.07     0.26     1.10    12.52     3.38P    0.15R    0.00  
Plymouth         23   33   +0      63.78     7.60    -1.03     0.05     0.34     6.42     1.59P    0.51R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      23   33   -1      62.22     7.38    -5.31     0.02     0.16     4.07     0.75P    0.75R    0.01  
Coventry         23   33   -2      64.02     7.54    -2.01     0.07     0.34     6.21     1.61P    0.47R    0.00  
Ipswich          23   29   +1      60.07     7.50    -0.13     0.01     0.07     2.42     0.58P    1.80R    0.07  
Norwich          23   29   -7      57.39     7.46   -12.44     0.01     0.04     0.88     0.17P    4.18R    0.13  
Leicester        23   28   -5      55.03     7.41   -11.58     0.01     0.03     0.47     0.10P    7.00R    0.31  
Crystal_Palace   23   26   -4      54.19     7.44    -9.13     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.07P    8.39R    0.42  
Luton            23   26   -9      53.00     7.42   -17.51     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P   12.11R    0.66  
Queens_PR        23   24   -7      51.53     7.60   -14.00     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.06P   16.85R    1.30  
Barnsley         23   23  -13      47.45     7.26   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   34.81R    3.62  
Hull             23   20  -13      45.45     7.32   -22.03     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.01P   44.72R    6.68  
Leeds            23   20  -19      40.85     6.76   -38.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.95R   18.46  
Southend         23   16  -21      33.40     6.43   -44.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.56R   68.34  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, Nottingham vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      22   44  +13      86.18     7.73    27.02    36.99    58.51    92.61    67.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    22   40   +9      79.50     7.93    18.93    10.89    25.29    73.52    36.59P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      22   39  +15      83.43     7.76    32.35    24.80    46.37    87.94    58.80P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          22   36  +12      76.83     7.80    23.74     6.47    16.26    64.08    29.55P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        21   36  +10      79.13     8.32    23.22    11.57    25.44    72.34    38.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         22   35  +10      74.51     8.03    20.58     4.03    11.06    52.56    21.37P    0.06R    0.00  
Yeovil          21   34   +6      71.59     8.23    11.46     1.96     5.75    36.83    13.04P    0.12R    0.00  
Blackpool       22   32   +8      70.84     7.95    17.32     1.50     4.71    34.71    11.78P    0.23R    0.01  
Rotherham       22   32   +4      67.46     7.94     8.26     0.55     1.86    20.49     5.61P    0.53R    0.01  
Port_Vale       22   32   +1      65.48     8.07     1.93     0.22     0.99    13.94     3.33P    1.09R    0.02  
Brighton        22   31   -2      62.07     8.02    -5.19     0.13     0.36     6.59     1.29P    3.02R    0.08  
Doncaster       21   30   +6      67.51     8.18    11.43     0.67     2.40    20.93     7.46P    0.48R    0.01  
Carlisle        22   30   -5      59.69     7.89    -9.17     0.01     0.09     3.54     0.66P    5.36R    0.20  
Bradford        22   29   +0      61.45     7.93    -0.28     0.08     0.30     5.91     1.47P    3.36R    0.08  
Gillingham      22   28   -7      56.09     7.72   -15.36     0.01     0.04     1.50     0.28P   11.90R    0.65  
Crewe           21   27   -1      60.65     8.36    -2.69     0.07     0.29     6.00     1.38P    5.29R    0.20  
Chesterfield    22   27   -1      60.10     7.91    -0.40     0.06     0.21     4.29     0.94P    4.44R    0.13  
Huddersfield    22   26   -6      55.65     7.83   -11.00     0.01     0.04     1.17     0.17P   13.17R    0.71  
Northampton     21   24   -5      54.04     7.91    -9.33     0.00     0.02     0.86     0.20P   17.66R    1.06  
Bournemouth     22   21  -11      45.15     7.42   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.39R   11.47  
Leyton_Orient   21   21  -12      46.41     7.94   -27.22     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   55.23R   10.00  
Cheltenham      22   21  -12      44.82     7.42   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    62.46R   11.85  
Millwall        22   21  -12      44.44     7.34   -25.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    64.48R   13.02  
Brentford       22   18  -20      37.60     6.85   -40.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.73R   50.49  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, Wrexham vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          22   48  +22      97.93     7.22    47.75    77.48    96.64    99.86    97.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     22   43  +12      85.14     7.83    25.76     8.35    57.82    94.07    67.57P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    22   42  +10      82.68     7.88    23.53     5.38    45.02    89.06    54.49P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        22   41  +15      83.18     8.00    30.62     6.68    49.48    90.02    59.23P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          22   38   +7      75.92     7.86    14.67     0.86    14.99    66.16    28.52P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     22   38   +5      73.37     8.15     8.77     0.44    10.37    52.91    19.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool       22   35   +6      72.13     7.87    12.69     0.23     7.21    47.76    17.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     22   34   +4      69.92     7.90     8.90     0.17     4.43    36.76    12.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             22   32   +2      65.55     7.92     3.17     0.02     1.33    18.82     5.41P    0.12R    0.01  
Chester          22   30   +4      66.14     7.96     9.05     0.04     1.70    21.83     7.10P    0.07R    0.02  
Darlington       22   30   -1      62.96     8.00    -0.64     0.00     0.73    11.68     3.08P    0.36R    0.06  
Shrewsbury       21   29  +10      72.81     8.14    25.20     0.35     9.70    53.91    23.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Stockport        22   29   -1      60.07     8.02    -3.61     0.01     0.34     6.62     1.80P    0.84R    0.14  
Hereford         22   29   -3      59.36     7.73    -6.48     0.00     0.16     5.03     1.17P    0.96R    0.22  
Bristol_Rovers   22   28   -6      55.81     7.75   -12.03     0.00     0.04     1.80     0.40P    2.92R    0.60  
Grimsby          22   26  -12      51.35     7.52   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.07P    9.61R    2.52  
Barnet           22   25   -8      52.22     7.66   -18.44     0.00     0.03     0.73     0.17P    7.81R    2.02  
Mansfield        22   24   -7      51.57     7.63   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.09P    8.52R    2.41  
Wrexham          21   24  -13      47.67     7.58   -30.74     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.04P   21.56R    7.18  
Boston           22   23   -7      50.59     7.65   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.10P   10.93R    3.41  
Accrington       22   22   -5      53.16     7.88    -9.46     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.21P    6.33R    1.86  
Rochdale         22   20   -8      46.58     7.59   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   23.55R    8.26  
Torquay          22   20  -10      45.51     7.48   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   28.75R   10.31  
Macclesfield     22   14  -16      36.11     7.33   -34.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.64R   60.98  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Rushden_&_D vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      98.93     7.34    52.22    64.91    99.78    80.30P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.22     7.68    51.24    33.33    98.78    57.48P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.38     8.02     5.38     0.34    43.09     7.82P    0.01R    0.00  
York               22   38   +1      72.30     8.03     3.19     0.20    33.06     5.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             22   37   +2      72.33     8.10     5.92     0.15    33.92     6.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.32     8.43    10.26     0.43    44.42     9.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.55     7.61    -0.19     0.03    12.81     1.94P    0.20R    0.01  
Exeter             21   33   +9      73.96     8.31    18.93     0.32    44.52    11.39P    0.02R    0.01  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.39     8.34    13.69     0.13    32.20     6.82P    0.08R    0.01  
Crawley            21   32   +3      67.92     8.41     5.46     0.07    18.79     3.76P    0.32R    0.06  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      63.80     8.12     4.13     0.03     8.19     1.36P    1.09R    0.13  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.57     8.06    21.37     0.06    18.00     5.00P    0.30R    0.03  
Halifax            22   28   +1      61.33     8.02     1.32     0.01     5.03     0.95P    1.90R    0.29  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.65     7.96     0.59     0.01     3.70     0.74P    2.42R    0.39  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.39     7.97   -10.13     0.00     1.31     0.22P    7.57R    1.38  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.52     8.13   -17.61     0.00     1.20     0.14P   10.22R    1.95  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      52.23     7.30   -15.57     0.00     0.18     0.03P   16.38R    3.08  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.71     8.25   -19.70     0.00     0.71     0.08P   15.88R    3.88  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.80     7.55   -25.53     0.00     0.04     0.00    36.94R   12.44  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      46.09     7.25   -20.75     0.00     0.02     0.01P   43.95R   15.63  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      47.84     7.62   -22.70     0.00     0.06     0.01P   37.40R   12.26  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.32     7.97   -13.68     0.00     0.12     0.03P   28.82R    8.90  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.61     7.68   -20.72     0.00     0.03     0.01P   47.64R   18.74  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      45.66     7.80   -27.11     0.00     0.03     0.00    48.82R   20.82