Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 18 December 2006 at 21:32:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 December 2006, West_Ham vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    18   44  +28      88.77     5.72    60.07    73.87    98.67    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   42  +19      83.57     6.27    41.66    25.59    90.59    99.36    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   31  +11      66.63     6.90    23.81     0.21     3.66    56.72    85.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   30  +14      67.65     6.54    31.07     0.23     4.73    64.50    90.36     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          18   30   +5      61.64     6.70    11.25     0.03     0.69    25.29    63.09     0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth      18   29   +9      63.46     6.88    19.93     0.07     1.48    36.85    73.68     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       18   28   +0      55.70     6.98     0.14     0.01     0.11     6.69    27.89     0.16R    0.00  
Reading         18   26   -3      51.51     6.78    -7.46     0.00     0.03     2.04    11.76     0.80R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     18   25   +3      52.37     6.91     2.91     0.00     0.01     2.98    15.61     0.51R    0.00  
Everton         18   24   +2      53.62     6.88     5.60     0.00     0.04     4.30    20.59     0.36R    0.01  
Wigan           18   22   -3      46.26     6.63    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.30     2.79     4.38R    0.24  
Newcastle       18   22   -3      46.65     6.84    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.56     3.75     3.96R    0.25  
Manchester_C    18   20   -7      42.07     6.54   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.73    13.23R    1.30  
Sheffield_U     18   20   -8      41.03     6.49   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.59    17.32R    1.95  
Fulham          17   20  -11      43.51     6.93   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.34    12.27R    1.33  
Blackburn       17   19   -6      42.47     6.86   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.13    13.89R    1.70  
Middlesbrough   17   17   -8      40.71     6.91   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.69    20.45R    3.11  
West_Ham        18   17  -13      34.81     6.15   -26.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03    54.91R   11.66  
Charlton        18   12  -18      28.80     5.96   -37.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.64R   48.31  
Watford         17   11  -11      31.09     6.73   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01    72.11R   30.11  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, West_Bromwich vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       23   46  +16      89.05     7.27    34.51    52.27    71.22    96.25    77.34P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            23   43   +8      80.67     7.51    17.54    10.85    26.09    73.77    35.85P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          23   41  +13      78.82     7.62    22.70     8.12    20.59    66.28    32.27P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      23   39  +10      77.16     7.45    21.00     5.25    14.39    58.20    24.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          23   39   +8      76.90     7.34    18.35     4.14    12.64    57.33    22.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       23   37  +13      76.87     7.53    26.39     5.08    14.38    58.53    26.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            23   37  +12      77.32     7.52    25.63     5.37    15.71    60.53    30.11P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    23   36  +15      78.38     7.47    32.23     7.47    19.34    66.61    33.36P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          23   36   +7      70.64     7.64    11.60     0.94     3.45    25.38     8.21P    0.04R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   35   -4      62.08     7.37    -9.48     0.04     0.20     3.50     0.73P    0.83R    0.00  
Sunderland       23   34   +2      66.88     7.58     3.84     0.23     0.96    12.63     3.51P    0.20R    0.01  
Plymouth         23   33   +0      63.38     7.47    -1.58     0.04     0.26     5.42     1.33P    0.55R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      23   33   -1      62.14     7.59    -5.49     0.07     0.26     4.35     1.01P    0.97R    0.02  
Coventry         23   33   -2      64.35     7.45    -1.53     0.09     0.37     6.54     1.60P    0.30R    0.01  
Ipswich          23   29   +1      60.19     7.49     0.07     0.02     0.10     2.50     0.57P    1.63R    0.03  
Norwich          23   29   -7      57.64     7.36   -12.06     0.01     0.04     0.99     0.18P    4.00R    0.10  
Leicester        23   28   -5      55.29     7.27   -11.14     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.13P    6.43R    0.26  
Crystal_Palace   23   26   -4      54.04     7.31    -9.48     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.06P    8.35R    0.42  
Luton            23   26   -9      53.07     7.32   -17.30     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   11.94R    0.62  
Queens_PR        23   24   -7      51.50     7.68   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   17.10R    1.18  
Barnsley         23   23  -13      47.47     7.33   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   35.14R    3.52  
Hull             23   20  -13      45.79     7.30   -21.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   42.48R    5.75  
Leeds            23   20  -19      40.43     6.76   -39.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.91R   19.10  
Southend         23   16  -21      33.24     6.39   -44.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.12R   69.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, Nottingham vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      22   44  +13      85.57     7.76    26.09    33.99    55.02    91.45    63.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    22   40   +9      79.47     7.92    18.91    11.08    24.67    73.19    35.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Scunthorpe      22   39  +15      83.31     7.72    32.18    24.41    45.31    87.84    57.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          22   36  +12      77.03     7.89    24.04     6.93    17.14    64.47    30.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere        21   36  +10      79.99     8.39    24.49    14.17    29.05    75.59    42.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         22   35  +10      74.84     8.05    21.29     4.35    11.79    54.06    21.89P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil          21   34   +6      72.12     8.10    12.21     1.83     5.80    38.65    13.72P    0.09R    0.00  
Blackpool       22   32   +8      70.92     7.97    17.47     1.57     4.93    34.75    12.46P    0.16R    0.00  
Rotherham       22   32   +4      67.11     7.99     7.59     0.54     1.81    18.95     5.33P    0.55R    0.00  
Port_Vale       22   32   +1      65.18     8.00     1.41     0.28     1.01    12.55     3.25P    1.08R    0.02  
Brighton        22   31   -2      62.18     8.02    -4.92     0.09     0.38     6.70     1.33P    2.77R    0.06  
Doncaster       21   30   +6      67.43     8.15    11.30     0.55     2.10    20.20     7.12P    0.54R    0.01  
Carlisle        22   30   -5      60.24     7.82    -8.32     0.01     0.16     3.77     0.84P    4.77R    0.12  
Bradford        22   29   +0      61.09     7.93    -0.77     0.07     0.27     5.20     1.27P    3.47R    0.12  
Gillingham      22   28   -7      55.77     7.80   -15.94     0.01     0.01     1.28     0.23P   13.46R    0.65  
Crewe           21   27   -1      60.16     8.36    -3.67     0.07     0.33     4.98     1.12P    5.89R    0.20  
Chesterfield    22   27   -1      60.25     8.05    -0.22     0.04     0.18     4.72     1.24P    4.75R    0.20  
Huddersfield    22   26   -6      55.60     7.72   -11.11     0.01     0.01     0.97     0.19P   13.26R    0.60  
Northampton     21   24   -5      53.24     7.90   -10.28     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.10P   20.48R    1.37  
Bournemouth     22   21  -11      45.38     7.45   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   59.44R   10.83  
Leyton_Orient   21   21  -12      46.63     7.91   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   53.43R    9.43  
Cheltenham      22   21  -12      45.20     7.40   -24.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   60.66R   10.93  
Millwall        22   21  -12      44.59     7.42   -25.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   63.30R   12.95  
Brentford       22   18  -20      37.23     6.74   -41.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.83R   52.52  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, Wrexham vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          22   48  +22      97.55     7.24    47.14    76.64    96.53    99.89    97.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     22   43  +12      85.04     7.98    25.64     9.03    57.39    93.14    67.06P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    22   42  +10      82.49     7.80    23.19     5.07    43.21    88.91    53.47P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        22   41  +15      83.06     7.91    30.35     6.67    48.67    90.09    58.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          22   38   +7      76.08     7.90    14.85     0.95    16.07    66.22    29.64P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     22   38   +5      73.36     8.14     8.70     0.65    10.05    51.84    18.32P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       22   35   +6      72.29     7.96    12.87     0.24     7.95    48.61    18.43P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     22   34   +4      69.92     7.96     8.88     0.15     4.42    36.25    12.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             22   32   +2      66.00     8.05     3.79     0.04     1.84    20.71     6.28P    0.08R    0.01  
Chester          22   30   +4      65.99     7.94     8.94     0.06     1.57    20.62     6.83P    0.10R    0.01  
Darlington       22   30   -1      63.14     7.95    -0.40     0.03     0.76    11.73     2.88P    0.41R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       21   29  +10      73.10     8.38    25.71     0.47    10.99    55.03    25.11P    0.04R    0.01  
Stockport        22   29   -1      59.97     7.92    -3.68     0.01     0.27     6.17     1.42P    0.88R    0.19  
Hereford         22   29   -3      59.45     7.75    -6.29     0.01     0.17     5.13     1.24P    0.90R    0.17  
Bristol_Rovers   22   28   -6      55.61     7.68   -12.37     0.00     0.04     1.98     0.45P    2.94R    0.63  
Grimsby          22   26  -12      51.27     7.51   -24.41     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.07P    9.98R    2.74  
Barnet           22   25   -8      52.48     7.74   -18.05     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.17P    7.16R    1.97  
Mansfield        22   24   -7      52.03     7.68   -15.32     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.15P    8.19R    2.23  
Wrexham          21   24  -13      47.76     7.53   -30.41     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   20.52R    7.08  
Boston           22   23   -7      50.34     7.61   -17.14     0.00     0.01     0.43     0.10P   11.40R    3.46  
Accrington       22   22   -5      52.85     7.90   -10.04     0.00     0.03     0.97     0.20P    6.75R    2.08  
Rochdale         22   20   -8      46.43     7.70   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   24.13R    8.96  
Torquay          22   20  -10      45.10     7.47   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.03P   30.58R   11.95  
Macclesfield     22   14  -16      36.41     7.33   -34.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.94R   58.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Rushden_&_D vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      99.13     7.14    52.35    65.06    99.83    80.91P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.31     7.61    51.44    33.27    99.02    57.73P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.84     7.95     6.08     0.34    45.60     8.37P    0.01R    0.00  
York               22   38   +1      72.24     8.12     3.13     0.19    33.03     5.33P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton             22   37   +2      71.81     7.96     5.12     0.10    31.49     5.54P    0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.33     8.43    10.24     0.48    44.55     9.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.49     7.69    -0.27     0.01    12.66     2.17P    0.18R    0.01  
Exeter             21   33   +9      73.85     8.39    18.73     0.32    44.37    11.49P    0.04R    0.00  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.57     8.40    13.99     0.17    33.16     7.24P    0.10R    0.00  
Crawley            21   32   +3      67.78     8.27     5.35     0.06    18.29     3.43P    0.28R    0.01  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      63.54     8.17     3.68     0.00     8.21     1.32P    1.21R    0.18  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.67     7.99    21.41     0.01    18.46     5.00P    0.21R    0.01  
Halifax            22   28   +1      61.07     8.01     0.95     0.00     4.46     0.78P    2.28R    0.33  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.82     7.88     0.84     0.01     3.52     0.58P    2.06R    0.30  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.53     7.94    -9.85     0.00     1.19     0.20P    7.62R    1.21  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.16     8.03   -18.15     0.00     0.86     0.10P   11.22R    2.34  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      51.94     7.36   -15.98     0.00     0.20     0.04P   17.84R    3.73  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.86     8.29   -19.45     0.00     0.79     0.14P   15.53R    3.88  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      48.08     7.65   -25.08     0.00     0.06     0.01P   35.86R   11.46  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      46.27     7.39   -20.39     0.00     0.03     0.01P   44.17R   16.05  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      47.65     7.67   -23.01     0.00     0.07     0.01P   38.10R   12.93  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.21     7.84   -13.91     0.00     0.13     0.02P   29.05R    8.93  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.63     7.57   -20.61     0.00     0.03     0.01P   47.26R   18.89  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      45.99     7.89   -26.62     0.00     0.02     0.01P   46.89R   19.77