Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 17 December 2006 at 21:32:26 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 December 2006, West_Ham vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    18   44  +28      88.52     5.70    59.33    72.95    98.25    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   42  +19      83.39     6.27    41.26    26.41    90.28    99.36    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   31  +11      66.83     6.80    24.09     0.23     3.99    57.91    86.81     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   30  +14      67.71     6.64    31.21     0.30     5.16    64.87    89.96     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          18   30   +5      61.49     6.78    11.12     0.01     0.71    24.42    61.94     0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth      18   29   +9      63.29     6.87    19.70     0.07     1.34    35.15    72.76     0.01R    0.01  
Tottenham       18   28   +0      55.97     6.87     0.55     0.01     0.14     7.35    28.44     0.10R    0.00  
Reading         18   26   -3      51.32     6.62    -7.69     0.00     0.01     1.75    10.91     0.63R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     18   25   +3      52.69     7.00     3.35     0.00     0.03     3.29    16.46     0.57R    0.01  
Everton         18   24   +2      53.77     6.94     5.85     0.01     0.07     4.66    21.18     0.31R    0.01  
Wigan           18   22   -3      46.54     6.59    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.32     3.05     3.94R    0.23  
Newcastle       18   22   -3      46.94     6.81    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.47     3.98     3.36R    0.23  
Manchester_C    18   20   -7      42.12     6.53   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.75    13.05R    1.21  
Sheffield_U     18   20   -8      40.86     6.46   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.47    17.98R    2.08  
Fulham          17   20  -11      43.25     6.98   -20.85     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.49    12.78R    1.48  
Blackburn       17   19   -6      42.44     6.87   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.07    13.80R    1.71  
Middlesbrough   17   17   -8      40.91     7.04   -16.40     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.73    20.02R    3.00  
West_Ham        18   17  -13      34.72     6.08   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    54.45R   12.38  
Charlton        18   12  -18      28.90     6.02   -37.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.94R   47.09  
Watford         17   11  -11      30.74     6.63   -23.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    74.06R   30.55  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, West_Bromwich vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       23   46  +16      89.26     7.29    34.84    53.40    72.34    96.17    78.30P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            23   43   +8      80.45     7.63    17.18    10.48    24.96    72.23    34.59P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          23   41  +13      79.05     7.62    22.92     8.34    21.21    67.36    33.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      23   39  +10      77.27     7.42    21.30     5.06    14.46    58.56    24.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          23   39   +8      76.93     7.39    18.43     4.16    12.72    56.84    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       23   37  +13      76.87     7.43    26.36     4.98    13.96    58.42    25.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            23   37  +12      77.42     7.40    25.78     5.23    15.31    60.92    29.41P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    23   36  +15      78.42     7.42    32.36     6.99    19.61    67.11    34.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          23   36   +7      70.88     7.58    12.04     0.99     3.42    26.38     8.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   35   -4      61.97     7.27    -9.60     0.03     0.16     3.17     0.76P    0.84R    0.02  
Sunderland       23   34   +2      66.89     7.41     3.88     0.18     0.81    11.59     3.02P    0.14R    0.00  
Plymouth         23   33   +0      63.45     7.57    -1.52     0.04     0.27     5.75     1.47P    0.50R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      23   33   -1      62.43     7.43    -4.99     0.04     0.23     4.25     0.90P    0.68R    0.01  
Coventry         23   33   -2      64.33     7.58    -1.55     0.06     0.38     6.62     1.64P    0.35R    0.02  
Ipswich          23   29   +1      60.10     7.54    -0.04     0.01     0.10     2.63     0.65P    1.67R    0.04  
Norwich          23   29   -7      57.22     7.37   -12.68     0.01     0.03     0.87     0.14P    3.94R    0.15  
Leicester        23   28   -5      54.81     7.28   -11.86     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.07P    7.36R    0.32  
Crystal_Palace   23   26   -4      53.95     7.34    -9.62     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.07P    8.73R    0.26  
Luton            23   26   -9      53.09     7.23   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   11.01R    0.61  
Queens_PR        23   24   -7      51.79     7.68   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   16.09R    1.27  
Barnsley         23   23  -13      47.52     7.29   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    33.80R    3.41  
Hull             23   20  -13      45.14     7.28   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   45.96R    6.53  
Leeds            23   20  -19      40.64     6.74   -38.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.90R   18.19  
Southend         23   16  -21      33.34     6.31   -44.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.00R   69.17  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, Nottingham vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      22   44  +13      85.57     7.78    26.12    34.28    55.33    91.23    63.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    22   40   +9      79.81     7.96    19.42    12.16    26.54    74.52    37.52P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      22   39  +15      83.26     7.68    32.06    24.61    45.36    87.64    57.94P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          22   36  +12      77.17     7.77    24.21     6.92    17.59    65.78    30.91P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        21   36  +10      79.35     8.22    23.50    12.13    26.30    73.17    39.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Swansea         22   35  +10      74.49     8.01    20.65     4.17    11.09    51.85    20.95P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil          21   34   +6      72.00     8.28    12.16     2.19     6.22    38.29    14.02P    0.10R    0.00  
Blackpool       22   32   +8      70.69     7.95    17.11     1.49     4.51    33.37    11.76P    0.10R    0.01  
Rotherham       22   32   +4      67.69     7.94     8.48     0.64     2.19    20.48     5.97P    0.45R    0.01  
Port_Vale       22   32   +1      65.61     8.03     2.16     0.34     1.11    13.49     3.39P    1.06R    0.01  
Brighton        22   31   -2      62.19     8.09    -4.89     0.14     0.46     7.12     1.57P    2.90R    0.04  
Doncaster       21   30   +6      67.58     8.09    11.49     0.67     2.29    21.05     7.42P    0.42R    0.01  
Carlisle        22   30   -5      60.45     7.90    -8.03     0.05     0.20     4.10     0.80P    4.46R    0.17  
Bradford        22   29   +0      61.06     7.94    -0.86     0.04     0.30     5.52     1.45P    3.44R    0.10  
Gillingham      22   28   -7      55.99     7.73   -15.42     0.00     0.03     1.37     0.22P   12.40R    0.63  
Crewe           21   27   -1      60.43     8.46    -3.14     0.10     0.34     5.62     1.24P    5.82R    0.24  
Chesterfield    22   27   -1      59.88     7.81    -0.74     0.04     0.12     3.60     0.80P    4.55R    0.12  
Huddersfield    22   26   -6      55.22     7.77   -11.69     0.01     0.04     0.99     0.23P   13.88R    0.75  
Northampton     21   24   -5      53.59     7.83    -9.85     0.01     0.03     0.60     0.12P   18.90R    1.27  
Bournemouth     22   21  -11      45.46     7.42   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    58.49R   10.15  
Leyton_Orient   21   21  -12      46.51     8.02   -26.94     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.03P   54.26R    9.66  
Cheltenham      22   21  -12      44.61     7.42   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    63.37R   12.18  
Millwall        22   21  -12      44.66     7.36   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   63.65R   12.18  
Brentford       22   18  -20      37.19     6.82   -41.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.69R   52.48  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, Wrexham vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          22   48  +22      98.10     7.17    48.02    78.31    97.02    99.89    97.95P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     22   43  +12      85.26     7.79    25.95     8.52    58.69    93.76    68.34P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    22   42  +10      82.57     7.83    23.34     5.02    43.89    88.94    53.73P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        22   41  +15      83.02     7.93    30.36     5.87    48.62    89.79    58.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          22   38   +7      75.85     7.93    14.58     0.92    14.96    65.22    27.98P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     22   38   +5      73.52     8.13     8.96     0.45    10.43    52.63    18.79P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       22   35   +6      72.22     7.95    12.76     0.33     7.70    47.76    17.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     22   34   +4      69.81     7.93     8.77     0.14     4.09    35.27    11.76P    0.01R    0.01  
Bury             22   32   +2      65.90     8.04     3.64     0.04     1.63    20.62     5.99P    0.12R    0.01  
Chester          22   30   +4      66.26     8.08     9.25     0.03     1.84    22.24     7.53P    0.07R    0.02  
Darlington       22   30   -1      63.50     8.06     0.20     0.03     0.88    12.90     3.50P    0.34R    0.07  
Shrewsbury       21   29  +10      72.78     8.25    25.13     0.36     9.67    53.54    23.73P    0.03R    0.01  
Stockport        22   29   -1      60.57     7.90    -2.84     0.00     0.30     7.00     1.78P    0.65R    0.09  
Hereford         22   29   -3      59.66     7.79    -6.02     0.00     0.20     5.28     1.34P    0.73R    0.10  
Bristol_Rovers   22   28   -6      55.26     7.75   -12.84     0.00     0.04     1.81     0.39P    2.96R    0.54  
Grimsby          22   26  -12      51.02     7.50   -24.73     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.04P   10.44R    2.81  
Barnet           22   25   -8      52.25     7.75   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.12P    7.39R    2.02  
Mansfield        22   24   -7      51.74     7.71   -15.81     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.12P    8.29R    2.29  
Wrexham          21   24  -13      47.54     7.69   -30.79     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   21.91R    7.70  
Boston           22   23   -7      50.08     7.59   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   12.01R    3.71  
Accrington       22   22   -5      53.04     7.80    -9.66     0.00     0.03     0.96     0.25P    5.85R    1.57  
Rochdale         22   20   -8      46.72     7.62   -17.05     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   22.61R    8.06  
Torquay          22   20  -10      45.17     7.44   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   29.93R   11.11  
Macclesfield     22   14  -16      35.99     7.35   -34.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.67R   59.90  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Rushden_&_D vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      99.39     7.24    52.79    67.12    99.84    82.37P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.19     7.55    51.18    31.25    98.99    57.19P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.27     8.11     5.24     0.31    42.78     7.75P    0.01R    0.00  
York               22   38   +1      72.43     8.11     3.37     0.24    34.10     5.78P    0.06R    0.01  
Burton             22   37   +2      71.91     8.08     5.22     0.15    32.33     6.04P    0.03R    0.01  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.35     8.50    10.22     0.41    44.45     9.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.58     7.65    -0.15     0.00    12.73     1.94P    0.30R    0.01  
Exeter             21   33   +9      73.76     8.42    18.59     0.28    43.67    10.92P    0.03R    0.00  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.53     8.45    14.01     0.15    33.51     6.92P    0.12R    0.00  
Crawley            21   32   +3      67.73     8.43     5.21     0.03    18.72     3.54P    0.28R    0.01  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      63.64     8.08     3.80     0.01     8.12     1.34P    1.34R    0.19  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.91     7.87    21.82     0.03    18.87     5.16P    0.23R    0.03  
Halifax            22   28   +1      61.25     8.09     1.26     0.00     4.79     0.76P    2.22R    0.24  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.58     7.87     0.59     0.01     3.82     0.69P    2.44R    0.27  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.64     7.89    -9.75     0.00     1.38     0.26P    7.12R    1.25  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.23     8.02   -18.02     0.00     0.77     0.10P   11.12R    2.14  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      51.98     7.35   -15.92     0.00     0.17     0.03P   17.33R    3.67  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.74     8.13   -19.66     0.00     0.58     0.05P   15.57R    3.82  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.96     7.70   -25.27     0.00     0.07     0.01P   36.77R   12.34  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      46.18     7.20   -20.52     0.00     0.02     0.01P   43.85R   15.12  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      47.90     7.79   -22.60     0.00     0.08     0.01P   37.45R   12.84  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.33     7.97   -13.65     0.00     0.15     0.02P   28.59R    8.99  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.85     7.74   -20.49     0.00     0.03     0.00    46.23R   18.02  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      45.55     7.77   -27.28     0.00     0.03     0.00    48.90R   21.04