Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 16 December 2006 at 21:32:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, Aston_Villa vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    17   44  +29      92.47     5.75    66.47    88.39    99.55   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   39  +18      81.98     6.58    39.84    11.40    86.92    98.72    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   31  +11      66.66     6.75    23.93     0.05     4.91    56.88    86.41     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   30  +14      67.54     6.53    31.08     0.12     5.66    64.47    90.31     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          18   30   +5      61.83     6.66    11.49     0.01     0.94    26.27    64.36     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      18   29   +9      63.18     6.83    19.51     0.01     1.63    35.31    72.67     0.00     0.00  
Reading         18   26   -3      51.49     6.70    -7.48     0.00     0.04     2.10    11.53     0.54R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     18   25   +3      52.43     6.82     2.95     0.00     0.02     2.98    15.31     0.34R    0.01  
Tottenham       17   25   -1      53.29     7.27    -1.89     0.00     0.09     4.50    18.77     0.39R    0.01  
Everton         17   24   +3      55.27     7.14     7.29     0.01     0.24     7.43    28.09     0.16R    0.01  
Wigan           18   22   -3      46.30     6.59    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.27     2.81     3.48R    0.20  
Newcastle       18   22   -3      46.90     6.81    -6.05     0.00     0.01     0.51     4.17     2.82R    0.10  
Manchester_C    17   20   -6      43.95     7.05   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.23     2.07     7.83R    0.55  
Sheffield_U     18   20   -8      40.84     6.37   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.43    14.52R    1.30  
Fulham          17   20  -11      44.05     6.83   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.44     8.29R    0.59  
Blackburn       17   19   -6      42.95     6.78   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.17     9.96R    0.90  
Middlesbrough   17   17   -8      40.80     6.88   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.56    16.88R    1.90  
West_Ham        17   14  -14      30.11     6.04   -33.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    78.48R   29.50  
Charlton        18   12  -18      28.99     5.98   -37.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.32R   38.03  
Watford         17   11  -11      30.49     6.56   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.00R   26.91  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, West_Bromwich vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       23   46  +16      89.41     7.34    35.12    53.77    72.92    96.09    78.94P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            23   43   +8      80.49     7.58    17.23    10.01    25.29    72.56    34.83P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          23   41  +13      79.21     7.68    23.19     8.62    21.88    67.83    33.45P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      23   39  +10      77.18     7.54    21.07     5.18    14.33    58.81    24.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          23   39   +8      76.96     7.51    18.48     4.55    13.04    57.42    23.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       23   37  +13      76.44     7.59    25.69     4.58    13.09    55.85    24.48P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            23   37  +12      77.38     7.34    25.71     5.04    14.90    61.09    29.34P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    23   36  +15      78.40     7.52    32.28     6.88    19.20    67.18    33.84P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          23   36   +7      70.70     7.55    11.73     0.86     3.19    25.69     8.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    23   35   -4      62.03     7.38    -9.47     0.01     0.14     3.98     0.86P    0.66R    0.01  
Sunderland       23   34   +2      66.89     7.58     3.92     0.27     1.02    12.71     3.45P    0.12R    0.00  
Plymouth         23   33   +0      63.42     7.44    -1.62     0.05     0.26     5.52     1.27P    0.49R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      23   33   -1      62.36     7.51    -5.12     0.07     0.28     4.40     0.96P    0.84R    0.01  
Coventry         23   33   -2      63.96     7.49    -2.08     0.07     0.32     5.96     1.45P    0.53R    0.00  
Ipswich          23   29   +1      60.16     7.48     0.05     0.04     0.09     2.62     0.65P    1.71R    0.04  
Norwich          23   29   -7      57.58     7.40   -12.11     0.01     0.05     1.18     0.25P    3.83R    0.10  
Leicester        23   28   -5      55.09     7.32   -11.41     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.10P    6.77R    0.24  
Crystal_Palace   23   26   -4      54.03     7.39    -9.44     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P    8.78R    0.40  
Luton            23   26   -9      52.88     7.28   -17.77     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.06P   12.15R    0.65  
Queens_PR        23   24   -7      51.41     7.62   -14.24     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   17.27R    1.44  
Barnsley         23   23  -13      47.56     7.39   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   34.53R    3.70  
Hull             23   20  -13      45.44     7.27   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.07R    6.46  
Leeds            23   20  -19      40.82     6.86   -38.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.20R   18.20  
Southend         23   16  -21      33.41     6.27   -44.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.03R   68.75  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, Nottingham vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      22   44  +13      85.79     7.77    26.44    35.59    56.57    92.01    65.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    22   40   +9      79.58     7.75    19.05    11.52    25.32    73.75    36.73P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      22   39  +15      83.03     7.73    31.70    23.85    45.23    87.06    57.44P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          22   36  +12      77.03     7.86    23.93     7.03    17.42    64.44    30.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        21   36  +10      79.19     8.27    23.25    12.04    26.07    72.93    38.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         22   35  +10      74.55     7.96    20.71     4.15    10.93    52.63    20.93P    0.06R    0.00  
Yeovil          21   34   +6      71.89     8.17    11.94     2.16     6.36    37.55    13.97P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool       22   32   +8      70.88     8.03    17.45     1.60     5.07    34.73    12.61P    0.17R    0.00  
Rotherham       22   32   +4      67.79     7.99     8.60     0.68     2.12    20.98     5.97P    0.46R    0.01  
Port_Vale       22   32   +1      65.29     7.91     1.62     0.20     0.94    12.54     3.02P    1.02R    0.01  
Brighton        22   31   -2      62.28     8.11    -4.87     0.15     0.46     7.24     1.64P    2.77R    0.06  
Doncaster       21   30   +6      67.71     8.23    11.69     0.78     2.46    21.57     7.66P    0.51R    0.01  
Carlisle        22   30   -5      60.08     7.92    -8.57     0.07     0.16     3.56     0.72P    5.14R    0.20  
Bradford        22   29   +0      61.10     7.99    -0.77     0.04     0.26     5.41     1.43P    3.64R    0.08  
Gillingham      22   28   -7      56.13     7.71   -15.29     0.01     0.06     1.24     0.21P   12.24R    0.52  
Crewe           21   27   -1      60.51     8.45    -2.95     0.09     0.39     5.86     1.41P    5.41R    0.20  
Chesterfield    22   27   -1      60.17     7.96    -0.34     0.01     0.16     4.44     1.02P    4.62R    0.10  
Huddersfield    22   26   -6      55.37     7.90   -11.47     0.00     0.01     1.10     0.26P   13.96R    0.73  
Northampton     21   24   -5      53.58     8.00    -9.87     0.01     0.04     0.84     0.20P   19.95R    1.24  
Bournemouth     22   21  -11      45.35     7.47   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    59.62R    9.79  
Leyton_Orient   21   21  -12      46.89     7.98   -26.41     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   52.34R    8.98  
Cheltenham      22   21  -12      44.94     7.33   -24.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.85R   11.71  
Millwall        22   21  -12      44.58     7.34   -25.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.14R   11.73  
Brentford       22   18  -20      36.93     6.87   -41.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.02R   54.64  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 December 2006, Wrexham vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          22   48  +22      97.91     7.13    47.74    77.48    96.82    99.92    97.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     22   43  +12      85.52     7.85    26.27     9.23    59.56    94.22    69.19P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    22   42  +10      82.69     7.84    23.53     5.13    44.62    89.34    54.33P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        22   41  +15      83.22     7.91    30.67     6.12    49.14    90.61    59.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          22   38   +7      75.27     7.91    13.78     0.69    13.60    62.63    25.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     22   38   +5      73.58     8.13     9.02     0.55    10.32    53.74    19.30P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       22   35   +6      72.11     8.07    12.66     0.24     7.33    47.78    18.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     22   34   +4      69.78     7.94     8.73     0.12     4.01    36.25    11.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             22   32   +2      65.94     7.97     3.71     0.03     1.49    20.41     5.79P    0.07R    0.01  
Chester          22   30   +4      66.08     7.98     8.96     0.03     1.66    21.59     7.02P    0.09R    0.01  
Darlington       22   30   -1      63.17     8.10    -0.30     0.00     0.83    12.49     3.46P    0.34R    0.07  
Shrewsbury       21   29  +10      72.75     8.25    25.10     0.37    10.04    53.80    23.81P    0.01R    0.01  
Stockport        22   29   -1      60.29     7.90    -3.25     0.00     0.26     6.96     1.72P    0.73R    0.10  
Hereford         22   29   -3      59.27     7.75    -6.64     0.01     0.20     5.08     1.18P    0.85R    0.21  
Bristol_Rovers   22   28   -6      55.44     7.62   -12.54     0.00     0.07     1.66     0.43P    2.88R    0.61  
Grimsby          22   26  -12      51.22     7.49   -24.54     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.10P    9.96R    2.69  
Barnet           22   25   -8      52.43     7.71   -18.11     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.17P    7.24R    2.07  
Mansfield        22   24   -7      51.89     7.76   -15.51     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.18P    8.05R    2.21  
Wrexham          21   24  -13      47.51     7.60   -30.93     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.01P   21.89R    7.41  
Boston           22   23   -7      50.38     7.70   -17.19     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.09P   11.73R    3.39  
Accrington       22   22   -5      53.34     7.81    -9.09     0.00     0.03     0.92     0.20P    5.97R    1.60  
Rochdale         22   20   -8      46.46     7.48   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   23.64R    8.55  
Torquay          22   20  -10      45.38     7.51   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   29.02R   10.75  
Macclesfield     22   14  -16      36.10     7.20   -34.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.50R   60.31  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Rushden_&_D vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      99.48     7.20    52.90    66.53    99.84    81.88P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.30     7.54    51.42    31.99    99.01    57.56P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.26     8.03     5.21     0.30    42.65     7.43P    0.01R    0.00  
York               22   38   +1      72.46     8.03     3.36     0.19    34.47     5.37P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton             22   37   +2      72.22     8.03     5.66     0.14    33.88     6.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.21     8.43    10.10     0.34    44.49     9.21P    0.03R    0.01  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.55     7.69    -0.12     0.03    12.79     1.99P    0.32R    0.01  
Exeter             21   33   +9      73.43     8.40    18.09     0.28    42.35    10.56P    0.04R    0.01  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.57     8.51    14.02     0.12    34.05     7.30P    0.09R    0.01  
Crawley            21   32   +3      67.59     8.46     5.00     0.04    18.45     3.69P    0.39R    0.05  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      63.85     8.15     4.26     0.01     8.65     1.48P    1.15R    0.13  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.44     7.96    21.15     0.03    17.27     4.83P    0.33R    0.04  
Halifax            22   28   +1      61.11     8.10     1.01     0.00     4.82     0.90P    2.33R    0.26  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.72     7.92     0.60     0.00     3.87     0.77P    2.39R    0.28  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.64     7.86    -9.74     0.01     1.20     0.23P    7.46R    1.27  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      54.81     7.93   -18.64     0.00     0.87     0.12P   11.86R    2.37  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      52.05     7.35   -15.81     0.00     0.20     0.03P   17.71R    3.96  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.62     8.22   -19.84     0.00     0.69     0.11P   16.21R    4.25  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.96     7.51   -25.37     0.00     0.08     0.01P   36.23R   11.93  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      46.03     7.22   -20.79     0.00     0.04     0.00    45.24R   16.45  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      48.35     7.84   -21.89     0.00     0.12     0.01P   35.33R   12.19  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.17     8.02   -13.92     0.00     0.15     0.03P   29.95R    9.57  
Southport          22   20  -10      46.15     7.74   -19.94     0.00     0.05     0.01P   45.27R   17.27  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      45.91     7.91   -26.71     0.00     0.03     0.01P   47.63R   19.96