Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 15 December 2006 at 21:32:27 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 December 2006, Chelsea vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    17   44  +29      92.18     5.70    66.79    88.28    99.61   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   39  +18      81.81     6.52    40.12    11.38    85.67    98.86    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   29  +14      69.10     6.78    32.87     0.25     8.99    74.37    92.47     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      17   28   +9      62.47     7.18    17.93     0.01     1.91    35.34    68.31     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       17   28   +8      64.10     7.10    19.50     0.04     2.79    45.31    76.16     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          17   27   +4      58.59     7.03     8.08     0.02     0.49    16.15    45.47     0.02R    0.00  
Reading         17   26   -2      55.17     7.03    -2.71     0.00     0.12     7.18    26.30     0.14R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     17   25   +4      55.03     7.24     5.66     0.00     0.17     7.94    28.20     0.20R    0.01  
Tottenham       17   25   -1      52.84     7.20    -2.57     0.00     0.07     4.36    17.68     0.43R    0.01  
Everton         17   24   +3      54.87     7.09     6.70     0.01     0.16     7.54    27.13     0.12R    0.00  
Wigan           17   22   -2      50.18     6.88    -4.56     0.00     0.03     1.74     9.53     1.01R    0.05  
Manchester_C    17   20   -6      44.61     7.02   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.42     2.56     5.92R    0.51  
Fulham          17   20  -11      43.96     6.88   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.24     1.71     8.19R    0.99  
Newcastle       17   19   -4      45.62     7.12    -6.45     0.00     0.01     0.47     3.41     4.49R    0.38  
Middlesbrough   17   17   -8      40.48     6.91   -17.49     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.57    17.91R    2.71  
Sheffield_U     17   17   -9      37.49     6.55   -23.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    30.41R    5.67  
Blackburn       16   16   -7      38.57     6.99   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.34    26.39R    5.38  
West_Ham        17   14  -14      30.46     6.13   -33.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.45R   32.42  
Charlton        17   12  -15      31.67     6.53   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    66.42R   26.18  
Watford         16   11  -10      31.60     6.80   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04    63.88R   25.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 December 2006, Barnsley vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       22   43  +13      85.93     7.73    29.15    36.97    56.65    90.34    64.64P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            22   40   +7      78.60     7.82    16.01     8.95    20.42    64.41    29.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          22   39  +11      81.24     7.66    25.99    15.81    32.39    77.53    44.03P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          22   38  +10      76.72     7.92    19.05     6.13    15.05    56.76    25.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            22   37  +15      81.15     7.61    32.42    16.92    33.58    78.28    48.50P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      22   36   +9      76.20     7.79    21.45     5.68    14.24    54.62    23.79P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          22   35   +7      72.07     8.01    13.43     2.07     5.81    34.12    12.56P    0.04R    0.00  
Colchester       22   34  +10      73.52     7.87    20.62     3.05     8.20    41.73    17.00P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    22   33  +10      73.67     7.95    22.21     3.18     8.53    42.84    17.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   33   +3      66.00     7.97     3.46     0.25     1.08    12.32     3.48P    0.23R    0.00  
Coventry         22   33   +3      68.15     7.85     7.06     0.46     1.72    17.41     5.81P    0.09R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      22   33   +2      65.21     7.73     0.67     0.23     0.82     9.77     2.72P    0.32R    0.01  
Sunderland       22   33   +2      66.37     7.72     2.77     0.26     1.14    11.88     3.31P    0.27R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    22   32   -5      58.81     7.49   -12.96     0.01     0.06     1.71     0.34P    2.31R    0.01  
Norwich          22   29   -6      58.13     7.80   -12.59     0.01     0.10     1.68     0.33P    3.04R    0.10  
Ipswich          22   26   +0      59.66     7.82     1.19     0.01     0.18     2.46     0.73P    2.20R    0.07  
Crystal_Palace   22   26   -3      55.24     7.74    -8.76     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.12P    6.43R    0.28  
Leicester        22   25   -7      52.88     7.65   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P   11.31R    0.64  
Luton            22   25   -9      54.51     7.71   -15.69     0.01     0.01     0.60     0.08P    8.27R    0.60  
Queens_PR        22   24   -6      54.17     7.97   -11.03     0.01     0.01     0.52     0.10P    9.22R    0.43  
Barnsley         22   23  -11      49.08     7.60   -23.43     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.02P   23.68R    1.96  
Leeds            22   20  -18      41.43     7.06   -39.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.41R   14.07  
Hull             22   17  -16      40.23     7.29   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    71.03R   17.20  
Southend         22   15  -21      32.89     6.67   -47.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.12R   64.61  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Yeovil vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      21   44  +15      91.20     7.79    34.60    49.95    74.48    97.62    81.01P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      21   39  +17      87.48     7.80    38.21    29.63    59.05    94.80    70.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    21   37   +8      78.93     8.15    19.69     5.21    16.41    70.63    29.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        21   36  +10      79.51     8.06    23.82     6.20    18.88    74.18    34.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          21   35  +12      78.77     8.19    26.26     5.81    16.86    71.46    33.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          21   34   +6      71.88     8.27    12.02     0.96     4.10    37.38    11.72P    0.10R    0.00  
Rotherham       21   32   +6      71.74     8.21    15.04     0.92     3.69    38.45    10.64P    0.12R    0.00  
Swansea         21   32   +5      69.63     8.33    10.63     0.54     2.46    28.00     7.67P    0.20R    0.00  
Doncaster       21   30   +6      67.28     8.05    11.15     0.24     1.21    19.77     6.17P    0.34R    0.01  
Carlisle        21   30   +0      64.35     8.11     0.83     0.09     0.41    10.94     2.35P    1.02R    0.03  
Brighton        21   30   -2      60.90     8.22    -7.68     0.02     0.14     5.49     0.98P    3.41R    0.06  
Blackpool       21   29   +6      66.44     8.19    11.18     0.21     1.04    17.32     4.79P    0.60R    0.01  
Port_Vale       21   29   +0      64.93     8.26     2.72     0.14     0.65    12.97     2.94P    1.10R    0.03  
Chesterfield    21   27   +0      61.92     8.32     1.31     0.04     0.28     7.26     1.62P    2.52R    0.06  
Crewe           21   27   -1      60.56     8.31    -2.93     0.02     0.17     5.54     1.02P    3.94R    0.07  
Gillingham      21   27   -7      57.31     8.00   -14.00     0.01     0.04     2.12     0.36P    8.20R    0.21  
Bradford        21   26   -1      58.87     8.25    -2.89     0.02     0.10     3.63     0.74P    5.51R    0.18  
Huddersfield    21   25   -6      56.13     8.03   -10.93     0.00     0.01     1.32     0.23P    9.95R    0.42  
Northampton     20   23   -5      53.99     8.27    -9.71     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.29P   15.16R    0.95  
Millwall        21   21  -11      44.73     7.51   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   57.28R    8.97  
Bournemouth     21   20  -11      45.27     7.81   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   54.09R    8.34  
Leyton_Orient   20   18  -14      41.24     7.89   -35.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.69R   21.72  
Cheltenham      21   18  -14      41.22     7.38   -30.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    74.53R   19.52  
Brentford       21   18  -19      37.68     6.96   -42.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.19R   39.42  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Wycombe vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          21   47  +22     100.30     7.29    51.06    85.52    98.32    99.96    98.88P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     21   40  +11      84.02     8.09    25.36     5.58    53.84    92.00    64.69P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    21   39   +8      79.84     8.19    19.36     2.18    33.10    81.48    43.59P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        21   38  +13      81.90     8.13    29.46     3.83    44.80    88.14    55.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          21   38   +9      78.35     8.10    18.07     1.34    25.98    76.86    40.59P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     21   38   +7      76.75     8.44    14.03     1.07    21.36    68.80    31.71P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       21   32   +5      70.87     8.39    12.21     0.17     7.29    43.56    16.48P    0.04R    0.01  
Notts_County     21   31   +3      66.78     8.38     5.66     0.04     2.83    25.41     8.02P    0.14R    0.02  
Darlington       21   30   +0      65.70     8.39     2.37     0.04     2.02    21.48     6.20P    0.18R    0.03  
Stockport        21   29   +1      62.30     8.28    -0.27     0.01     0.79    12.01     3.21P    0.51R    0.10  
Bury             21   29   +0      63.49     8.33     0.44     0.03     1.13    15.02     4.30P    0.34R    0.05  
Hereford         21   29   +0      62.09     8.19    -1.31     0.01     0.66    11.33     3.04P    0.46R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers   21   28   -5      56.41     7.91   -11.85     0.00     0.07     2.62     0.69P    2.56R    0.54  
Chester          21   27   +2      62.31     8.32     3.93     0.02     0.91    12.62     4.08P    0.50R    0.07  
Shrewsbury       20   26   +7      70.20     8.58    20.50     0.16     6.77    42.98    17.61P    0.04R    0.01  
Grimsby          21   26  -10      52.32     7.91   -23.48     0.00     0.04     0.96     0.20P    7.84R    2.12  
Mansfield        21   24   -6      53.35     8.16   -14.39     0.00     0.05     1.46     0.38P    6.37R    1.57  
Wrexham          20   23  -13      46.26     7.79   -33.66     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   27.55R    9.59  
Barnet           21   22   -9      50.58     8.08   -19.58     0.00     0.03     0.62     0.17P   11.84R    3.71  
Accrington       21   21   -5      53.92     8.23    -8.52     0.00     0.05     1.80     0.46P    5.71R    1.75  
Rochdale         21   20   -7      47.49     7.84   -17.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.03P   19.93R    6.78  
Boston           21   20   -8      47.81     7.88   -20.02     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P   19.57R    6.60  
Torquay          21   20   -9      47.99     7.97   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   18.68R    6.32  
Macclesfield     21   13  -16      35.73     7.43   -35.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.75R   60.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Rushden_&_D vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      99.37     7.32    52.94    66.88    99.78    81.80P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.19     7.54    51.26    31.45    98.97    56.83P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.56     8.00     5.66     0.29    44.12     7.80P    0.01R    0.00  
York               22   38   +1      72.43     8.11     3.41     0.21    33.73     5.82P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton             22   37   +2      72.08     7.97     5.47     0.14    32.42     5.96P    0.07R    0.01  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.33     8.36    10.25     0.38    43.91     8.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.53     7.78    -0.22     0.04    12.96     2.08P    0.25R    0.02  
Exeter             21   33   +9      73.91     8.39    18.82     0.34    44.42    11.38P    0.04R    0.01  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.59     8.39    13.95     0.18    32.98     6.99P    0.09R    0.01  
Crawley            21   32   +3      67.75     8.40     5.23     0.05    18.00     3.69P    0.35R    0.06  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      63.84     8.14     4.18     0.01     8.54     1.60P    1.23R    0.10  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.81     7.99    21.71     0.04    18.70     5.17P    0.24R    0.03  
Halifax            22   28   +1      60.56     8.06     0.17     0.01     4.11     0.75P    2.62R    0.36  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.66     7.87     0.63     0.00     3.85     0.73P    2.19R    0.24  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.43     7.82   -10.04     0.00     1.19     0.15P    7.11R    1.08  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.25     8.08   -18.12     0.00     0.88     0.15P   11.13R    2.24  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      51.94     7.41   -16.05     0.00     0.22     0.04P   17.80R    4.17  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.69     8.20   -19.67     0.00     0.72     0.12P   15.74R    4.00  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.97     7.51   -25.28     0.00     0.11     0.01P   36.14R   11.60  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      46.26     7.33   -20.50     0.00     0.03     0.01P   43.70R   15.37  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      47.93     7.61   -22.55     0.00     0.06     0.00    36.50R   11.96  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.48     8.09   -13.52     0.00     0.23     0.03P   28.68R    9.03  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.62     7.61   -20.73     0.00     0.03     0.00    47.30R   19.03  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      45.69     7.91   -27.01     0.00     0.05     0.01P   48.77R   20.70