Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 14 December 2006 at 21:32:16 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 December 2006, Chelsea vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    17   44  +29      92.34     5.75    66.91    89.21    99.50   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   39  +18      81.54     6.50    39.58    10.53    84.68    98.64    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   29  +14      69.31     6.69    33.30     0.19     9.89    75.61    93.14     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      17   28   +9      62.59     7.15    18.05     0.02     2.13    35.90    68.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       17   28   +8      63.99     7.14    19.32     0.04     2.83    44.03    75.57     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          17   27   +4      58.75     6.97     8.43     0.01     0.46    16.59    46.62     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         17   26   -2      54.94     6.96    -3.05     0.00     0.10     6.71    25.16     0.10R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     17   25   +4      54.85     7.13     5.46     0.01     0.15     7.53    26.79     0.12R    0.01  
Tottenham       17   25   -1      53.02     7.20    -2.26     0.00     0.06     4.28    18.04     0.39R    0.01  
Everton         17   24   +3      55.01     6.97     6.87     0.00     0.19     7.37    27.06     0.14R    0.00  
Wigan           17   22   -2      50.22     7.00    -4.45     0.00     0.01     1.97     9.83     1.15R    0.07  
Manchester_C    17   20   -6      44.33     7.05   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.38     2.39     6.61R    0.59  
Fulham          17   20  -11      44.22     6.90   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.29     1.75     7.58R    0.79  
Newcastle       17   19   -4      45.75     7.10    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.59     3.54     4.03R    0.41  
Middlesbrough   17   17   -8      40.67     6.93   -17.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.68    16.73R    2.67  
Sheffield_U     17   17   -9      37.16     6.55   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13    32.41R    6.30  
Blackburn       16   16   -7      38.64     7.02   -20.58     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.44    25.54R    5.18  
West_Ham        17   14  -14      30.46     6.11   -33.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.91R   32.34  
Charlton        17   12  -15      31.59     6.48   -32.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03    65.94R   25.93  
Watford         16   11  -10      31.34     6.64   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    65.35R   25.70  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 December 2006, Barnsley vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       22   43  +13      86.02     7.70    29.27    37.78    57.38    90.53    65.25P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            22   40   +7      78.69     7.92    16.28     9.60    21.15    64.86    29.76P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          22   39  +11      81.12     7.63    25.86    15.52    32.12    77.16    43.73P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          22   38  +10      76.36     7.91    18.53     5.95    14.65    54.33    24.43P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            22   37  +15      80.88     7.60    31.98    15.76    32.30    77.28    47.10P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      22   36   +9      76.21     7.71    21.50     5.47    13.70    54.74    23.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          22   35   +7      72.08     7.94    13.36     2.06     5.64    33.35    12.08P    0.03R    0.00  
Colchester       22   34  +10      73.54     7.85    20.66     3.04     8.42    42.02    16.93P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    22   33  +10      73.87     7.91    22.46     3.19     8.87    44.02    18.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   33   +3      66.48     7.96     4.19     0.43     1.37    13.07     3.87P    0.20R    0.00  
Coventry         22   33   +3      68.42     8.02     7.41     0.62     2.22    18.93     6.99P    0.07R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      22   33   +2      64.92     7.79     0.19     0.21     0.81     9.19     2.29P    0.28R    0.01  
Sunderland       22   33   +2      66.25     7.74     2.57     0.26     1.03    11.89     3.33P    0.18R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    22   32   -5      59.28     7.54   -12.21     0.01     0.09     1.95     0.41P    1.92R    0.04  
Norwich          22   29   -6      57.74     7.74   -13.23     0.02     0.07     1.43     0.31P    3.60R    0.06  
Ipswich          22   26   +0      59.85     7.82     1.50     0.03     0.09     2.98     0.78P    2.08R    0.08  
Crystal_Palace   22   26   -3      55.29     7.66    -8.67     0.01     0.01     0.76     0.21P    5.84R    0.28  
Leicester        22   25   -7      52.60     7.56   -14.72     0.00     0.01     0.25     0.06P   11.30R    0.56  
Luton            22   25   -9      54.68     7.69   -15.18     0.01     0.02     0.56     0.13P    7.79R    0.49  
Queens_PR        22   24   -6      54.06     7.96   -11.14     0.00     0.04     0.62     0.13P    9.07R    0.61  
Barnsley         22   23  -11      48.99     7.66   -23.71     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   24.84R    1.99  
Leeds            22   20  -18      41.25     7.06   -39.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   68.65R   14.62  
Hull             22   17  -16      40.33     7.33   -30.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.95R   16.60  
Southend         22   15  -21      32.89     6.60   -47.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.17R   64.66  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Yeovil vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      21   44  +15      91.13     7.83    34.56    50.61    74.50    97.72    81.09P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      21   39  +17      86.88     7.87    37.35    27.61    56.83    93.80    68.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    21   37   +8      78.85     8.14    19.55     5.64    17.00    70.24    29.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        21   36  +10      79.64     8.20    23.93     6.92    20.11    74.58    36.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          21   35  +12      78.58     8.13    25.99     5.85    16.75    70.78    31.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          21   34   +6      72.08     8.12    12.31     0.99     3.96    38.63    11.95P    0.04R    0.00  
Rotherham       21   32   +6      71.21     8.12    14.17     0.78     3.37    35.62     9.83P    0.16R    0.00  
Swansea         21   32   +5      70.08     8.29    11.30     0.60     2.71    30.34     8.47P    0.16R    0.00  
Doncaster       21   30   +6      67.33     8.15    11.26     0.29     1.34    20.07     6.45P    0.29R    0.00  
Carlisle        21   30   +0      64.38     8.24     0.91     0.12     0.57    11.14     2.73P    1.21R    0.03  
Brighton        21   30   -2      60.93     8.18    -7.56     0.02     0.23     5.29     1.03P    3.23R    0.05  
Blackpool       21   29   +6      66.73     8.28    11.68     0.29     1.33    18.73     5.62P    0.55R    0.01  
Port_Vale       21   29   +0      64.84     8.29     2.59     0.19     0.70    12.23     2.85P    1.27R    0.03  
Chesterfield    21   27   +0      61.89     8.30     1.19     0.05     0.21     7.08     1.61P    2.56R    0.04  
Crewe           21   27   -1      60.51     8.24    -3.01     0.04     0.20     5.30     1.02P    4.02R    0.14  
Gillingham      21   27   -7      57.55     8.06   -13.68     0.00     0.04     2.19     0.36P    7.79R    0.21  
Bradford        21   26   -1      59.30     8.16    -2.09     0.01     0.11     3.83     0.83P    4.48R    0.10  
Huddersfield    21   25   -6      56.02     8.18   -11.13     0.00     0.01     1.56     0.27P   10.56R    0.47  
Northampton     20   23   -5      53.64     8.22   -10.18     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.15P   16.48R    1.02  
Millwall        21   21  -11      44.77     7.40   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.01R    8.74  
Bournemouth     21   20  -11      45.27     7.74   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    54.10R    8.70  
Leyton_Orient   20   18  -14      41.36     7.82   -35.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    73.40R   20.86  
Cheltenham      21   18  -14      41.14     7.49   -30.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    74.72R   20.06  
Brentford       21   18  -19      37.66     6.97   -42.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.94R   39.52  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Wycombe vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          21   47  +22      99.86     7.30    50.41    84.06    97.91    99.94    98.51P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     21   40  +11      84.12     8.17    25.46     5.93    53.84    91.88    64.31P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    21   39   +8      79.76     8.20    19.18     2.24    32.02    81.19    42.51P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        21   38  +13      82.26     8.13    30.20     4.66    46.10    88.89    56.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          21   38   +9      78.63     8.12    18.44     1.49    27.70    77.52    42.00P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     21   38   +7      76.92     8.42    14.28     1.20    21.45    69.60    32.05P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       21   32   +5      70.92     8.28    12.30     0.20     6.58    43.75    16.59P    0.01R    0.01  
Notts_County     21   31   +3      67.20     8.40     6.33     0.04     2.92    27.18     8.70P    0.07R    0.00  
Darlington       21   30   +0      65.71     8.44     2.41     0.03     2.10    21.27     6.43P    0.15R    0.02  
Stockport        21   29   +1      62.72     8.24     0.41     0.01     0.79    12.99     3.50P    0.34R    0.05  
Bury             21   29   +0      63.42     8.37     0.35     0.01     1.04    14.64     3.98P    0.29R    0.04  
Hereford         21   29   +0      61.79     8.14    -1.85     0.00     0.56    10.47     2.88P    0.44R    0.09  
Bristol_Rovers   21   28   -5      56.04     7.95   -12.18     0.00     0.07     2.61     0.64P    2.62R    0.49  
Chester          21   27   +2      61.83     8.30     3.12     0.00     0.69    11.41     3.52P    0.41R    0.07  
Shrewsbury       20   26   +7      69.90     8.52    20.03     0.14     6.08    40.87    16.19P    0.06R    0.01  
Grimsby          21   26  -10      51.83     7.77   -24.21     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.10P    8.95R    2.33  
Mansfield        21   24   -6      53.96     8.23   -13.50     0.00     0.03     1.78     0.39P    5.92R    1.62  
Wrexham          20   23  -13      46.58     7.77   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.05P   25.96R    8.88  
Barnet           21   22   -9      50.53     8.03   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.12P   11.88R    3.58  
Accrington       21   21   -5      53.83     8.25    -8.76     0.00     0.06     1.90     0.47P    5.88R    1.75  
Rochdale         21   20   -7      47.64     7.91   -16.69     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.10P   19.66R    6.68  
Boston           21   20   -8      47.71     7.78   -20.29     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.05P   19.93R    7.08  
Torquay          21   20   -9      47.69     7.95   -17.74     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.04P   20.30R    6.96  
Macclesfield     21   13  -16      35.83     7.45   -35.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.11R   60.34  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Rushden_&_D vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      99.26     7.18    52.58    65.25    99.82    80.63P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.42     7.57    51.58    33.18    98.99    58.41P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.46     8.03     5.55     0.23    43.48     7.79P    0.01R    0.00  
York               22   38   +1      72.47     8.17     3.39     0.18    34.27     5.88P    0.06R    0.01  
Burton             22   37   +2      72.06     8.04     5.41     0.12    33.08     6.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.15     8.36     9.93     0.41    42.98     8.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.36     7.76    -0.58     0.01    12.47     2.04P    0.32R    0.03  
Exeter             21   33   +9      73.81     8.35    18.71     0.33    44.13    10.97P    0.04R    0.01  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.55     8.36    13.95     0.15    33.59     7.16P    0.09R    0.01  
Crawley            21   32   +3      68.07     8.41     5.73     0.08    19.02     3.90P    0.35R    0.04  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      63.89     8.16     4.34     0.01     8.66     1.36P    1.19R    0.12  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.43     8.00    21.15     0.04    17.36     4.97P    0.29R    0.01  
Halifax            22   28   +1      60.88     8.04     0.61     0.00     4.43     0.92P    2.13R    0.23  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.96     7.99     1.08     0.00     4.15     0.75P    2.16R    0.28  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.69     7.90    -9.65     0.00     1.30     0.23P    6.95R    1.10  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.33     7.99   -17.85     0.00     1.06     0.12P   10.52R    1.92  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      51.88     7.42   -16.05     0.00     0.17     0.03P   18.08R    4.02  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.79     8.11   -19.63     0.00     0.58     0.06P   14.87R    3.83  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.61     7.49   -25.91     0.00     0.07     0.01P   38.30R   12.59  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      45.91     7.24   -20.91     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.22R   16.18  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      48.04     7.75   -22.27     0.00     0.08     0.01P   35.60R   11.85  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.27     8.12   -13.84     0.00     0.19     0.04P   29.53R    9.21  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.96     7.64   -20.13     0.00     0.06     0.00    45.29R   17.55  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      45.61     7.93   -27.20     0.00     0.06     0.01P   48.95R   21.02