Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 13 December 2006 at 21:32:17 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 December 2006, Sheffield_U vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    17   44  +29      92.31     5.68    66.77    89.72    99.64   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   36  +17      81.19     6.73    41.06    10.01    85.39    98.70    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      17   28   +9      62.97     7.29    18.65     0.04     2.52    40.08    70.72     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       17   28   +8      64.05     7.18    19.36     0.04     3.25    45.70    75.72     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          17   27   +4      58.46     6.99     7.88     0.00     0.60    16.85    44.74     0.03R    0.00  
Arsenal         16   26  +13      67.04     7.28    31.35     0.18     7.76    64.33    86.10     0.00     0.00  
Reading         17   26   -2      55.09     6.94    -2.83     0.00     0.15     7.67    26.05     0.12R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     17   25   +4      54.80     7.25     5.27     0.01     0.18     8.29    27.20     0.14R    0.01  
Tottenham       17   25   -1      53.21     7.14    -2.09     0.00     0.09     5.07    18.58     0.35R    0.01  
Everton         17   24   +3      54.96     7.05     6.77     0.00     0.28     8.05    27.27     0.10R    0.01  
Wigan           16   22   -1      51.87     7.30    -3.13     0.00     0.12     3.94    15.51     0.82R    0.04  
Manchester_C    17   20   -6      44.78     6.92   -10.99     0.00     0.01     0.39     2.25     5.54R    0.48  
Fulham          17   20  -11      43.75     6.86   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.23     1.32     8.79R    1.06  
Newcastle       16   19   -3      45.67     7.25    -7.78     0.00     0.01     0.57     3.56     5.00R    0.39  
Middlesbrough   17   17   -8      40.44     6.88   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.59    17.73R    2.88  
Sheffield_U     17   17   -9      37.59     6.50   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16    30.02R    5.72  
Blackburn       16   16   -7      38.69     6.95   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.38    25.66R    5.08  
West_Ham        17   14  -14      30.56     6.10   -33.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.12R   32.44  
Charlton        17   12  -15      31.55     6.46   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.98R   26.92  
Watford         16   11  -10      31.65     6.69   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.58R   24.96  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 December 2006, Barnsley vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       22   43  +13      85.97     7.91    29.15    36.95    56.17    90.00    64.05P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            22   40   +7      79.04     8.00    16.73    10.12    21.91    65.85    31.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          22   39  +11      81.20     7.66    26.09    15.69    32.22    77.11    43.45P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          22   38  +10      76.72     7.92    19.03     6.56    15.17    55.90    25.23P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            22   37  +15      81.04     7.62    32.31    15.91    32.35    77.61    47.91P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      22   36   +9      76.03     7.89    21.11     4.97    13.26    54.08    22.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          22   35   +7      71.93     7.95    13.08     1.97     5.63    32.25    11.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Colchester       22   34  +10      73.78     7.88    20.95     3.22     8.64    42.48    17.40P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    22   33  +10      74.14     7.87    22.90     3.17     9.28    45.00    18.94P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth         22   33   +3      65.74     7.79     3.10     0.21     0.90    11.17     3.00P    0.17R    0.00  
Coventry         22   33   +3      68.14     7.83     7.06     0.55     1.91    17.50     5.87P    0.09R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      22   33   +2      65.33     7.89     0.89     0.28     1.09    10.25     2.90P    0.33R    0.00  
Sunderland       22   33   +2      66.54     7.75     2.97     0.31     1.07    12.51     3.17P    0.15R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    22   32   -5      58.55     7.45   -13.43     0.01     0.06     1.55     0.34P    2.26R    0.03  
Norwich          22   29   -6      57.97     7.68   -12.86     0.01     0.06     1.55     0.33P    3.18R    0.12  
Ipswich          22   26   +0      59.70     7.98     1.16     0.04     0.20     3.00     0.93P    2.23R    0.09  
Crystal_Palace   22   26   -3      55.23     7.76    -8.72     0.01     0.03     0.69     0.14P    6.37R    0.28  
Leicester        22   25   -7      52.92     7.58   -14.24     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.04P   10.95R    0.48  
Luton            22   25   -9      54.59     7.67   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.07P    7.88R    0.53  
Queens_PR        22   24   -6      54.29     8.06   -10.84     0.01     0.03     0.68     0.15P    8.96R    0.53  
Barnsley         22   23  -11      49.06     7.57   -23.51     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.01P   24.20R    1.95  
Leeds            22   20  -18      41.19     7.09   -39.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.72R   14.62  
Hull             22   17  -16      40.31     7.30   -30.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.75R   16.02  
Southend         22   15  -21      32.59     6.57   -47.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.73R   65.34  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Yeovil vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      21   44  +15      91.11     7.86    34.60    50.17    74.24    97.68    80.70P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      21   39  +17      87.34     7.74    37.95    28.89    58.16    94.74    70.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    21   37   +8      78.63     8.06    19.23     5.10    15.75    69.42    28.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        21   36  +10      79.13     8.29    23.27     6.03    18.30    71.98    34.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          21   35  +12      79.12     8.19    26.69     6.42    18.84    73.13    34.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          21   34   +6      72.04     8.14    12.19     0.93     3.92    37.92    11.57P    0.05R    0.00  
Rotherham       21   32   +6      71.17     8.18    14.13     0.85     3.58    35.31     9.71P    0.15R    0.00  
Swansea         21   32   +5      70.20     8.36    11.53     0.78     2.89    30.83     8.96P    0.20R    0.00  
Doncaster       21   30   +6      67.35     8.12    11.26     0.29     1.16    19.68     6.25P    0.34R    0.00  
Carlisle        21   30   +0      64.68     8.21     1.33     0.06     0.54    11.79     2.67P    1.12R    0.02  
Brighton        21   30   -2      60.82     8.34    -7.75     0.04     0.23     5.50     1.02P    3.60R    0.07  
Blackpool       21   29   +6      66.72     8.25    11.57     0.23     1.24    18.39     5.18P    0.58R    0.00  
Port_Vale       21   29   +0      64.76     8.36     2.36     0.13     0.55    12.63     3.02P    1.27R    0.03  
Chesterfield    21   27   +0      61.52     8.32     0.59     0.03     0.23     6.62     1.36P    2.98R    0.08  
Crewe           21   27   -1      60.45     8.29    -2.90     0.01     0.16     5.46     1.02P    4.00R    0.12  
Gillingham      21   27   -7      57.52     8.18   -13.69     0.01     0.07     2.33     0.48P    8.11R    0.28  
Bradford        21   26   -1      59.42     8.23    -1.93     0.03     0.12     4.07     0.91P    4.51R    0.14  
Huddersfield    21   25   -6      56.16     8.06   -10.79     0.01     0.01     1.52     0.29P   10.06R    0.43  
Northampton     20   23   -5      53.47     8.33   -10.35     0.00     0.01     0.92     0.23P   17.20R    1.02  
Millwall        21   21  -11      45.26     7.56   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    54.64R    7.92  
Bournemouth     21   20  -11      45.05     7.67   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   55.01R    8.89  
Leyton_Orient   20   18  -14      41.38     7.76   -35.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.31R   20.48  
Cheltenham      21   18  -14      41.06     7.56   -30.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.45R   20.81  
Brentford       21   18  -19      37.60     6.91   -42.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.39R   39.71  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Wycombe vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          21   47  +22     100.12     7.42    50.89    84.72    98.06    99.94    98.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     21   40  +11      84.17     8.08    25.48     5.92    54.25    92.01    64.80P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    21   39   +8      79.80     8.20    19.25     2.01    32.39    81.09    42.53P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        21   38  +13      82.11     8.28    29.86     4.16    45.36    87.86    56.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          21   38   +9      78.66     8.11    18.52     1.56    27.09    77.71    41.16P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     21   38   +7      76.66     8.37    13.89     1.14    20.30    68.69    30.12P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       21   32   +5      71.15     8.37    12.65     0.23     7.42    45.07    17.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     21   31   +3      67.15     8.36     6.22     0.03     2.92    26.41     8.54P    0.06R    0.01  
Darlington       21   30   +0      66.15     8.27     3.11     0.01     2.10    22.84     6.88P    0.11R    0.01  
Stockport        21   29   +1      62.43     8.29    -0.02     0.00     0.83    12.20     3.46P    0.57R    0.14  
Bury             21   29   +0      63.35     8.35     0.25     0.01     1.16    14.24     4.14P    0.34R    0.06  
Hereford         21   29   +0      61.81     8.03    -1.89     0.00     0.61    10.12     2.89P    0.41R    0.07  
Bristol_Rovers   21   28   -5      56.08     7.91   -12.19     0.00     0.09     2.48     0.48P    2.42R    0.50  
Chester          21   27   +2      61.89     8.18     3.34     0.01     0.61    11.03     3.67P    0.54R    0.12  
Shrewsbury       20   26   +7      70.32     8.58    20.77     0.20     6.67    42.91    17.94P    0.03R    0.01  
Grimsby          21   26  -10      51.92     7.70   -24.20     0.00     0.02     0.62     0.10P    8.12R    2.05  
Mansfield        21   24   -6      53.90     8.11   -13.59     0.00     0.06     1.73     0.36P    5.30R    1.34  
Wrexham          20   23  -13      46.11     7.69   -33.95     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   27.80R    9.99  
Barnet           21   22   -9      50.29     8.07   -19.97     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.10P   12.79R    3.77  
Accrington       21   21   -5      53.93     8.27    -8.54     0.00     0.03     1.76     0.44P    5.63R    1.88  
Rochdale         21   20   -7      47.30     7.81   -17.20     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   20.34R    6.88  
Boston           21   20   -8      47.75     7.82   -20.18     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.07P   19.25R    6.92  
Torquay          21   20   -9      47.71     8.05   -17.79     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.09P   20.12R    7.27  
Macclesfield     21   13  -16      36.04     7.54   -34.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   76.15R   58.98  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Rushden_&_D vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      99.28     7.14    52.61    66.48    99.81    81.17P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.30     7.50    51.40    31.87    99.03    57.68P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.50     8.10     5.56     0.37    43.64     7.67P    0.01R    0.00  
York               22   38   +1      72.37     8.13     3.29     0.17    33.52     5.59P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton             22   37   +2      71.81     8.04     5.05     0.17    31.81     5.79P    0.04R    0.01  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.53     8.39    10.57     0.32    45.41     9.59P    0.05R    0.00  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.62     7.69     0.03     0.01    12.70     2.11P    0.26R    0.01  
Exeter             21   33   +9      74.14     8.42    19.17     0.36    44.97    11.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.12     8.56    13.29     0.17    31.59     6.59P    0.12R    0.01  
Crawley            21   32   +3      67.97     8.36     5.56     0.04    19.30     3.65P    0.26R    0.01  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      63.83     8.04     4.18     0.01     8.20     1.33P    1.06R    0.13  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.68     8.00    21.47     0.03    18.35     5.17P    0.33R    0.03  
Halifax            22   28   +1      61.07     8.05     0.87     0.00     4.70     0.83P    2.03R    0.26  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.34     7.81     0.15     0.00     3.42     0.68P    2.15R    0.27  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.40     7.88   -10.04     0.00     1.25     0.22P    7.55R    1.29  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.89     8.12   -17.04     0.00     1.21     0.18P    9.64R    1.79  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      51.71     7.28   -16.34     0.00     0.17     0.04P   18.23R    3.82  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.58     8.22   -19.90     0.00     0.62     0.09P   16.27R    4.17  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.90     7.50   -25.43     0.00     0.03     0.00    36.22R   11.98  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      46.39     7.29   -20.24     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.98R   14.66  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      47.80     7.71   -22.71     0.00     0.07     0.01P   37.56R   12.71  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.11     7.85   -14.09     0.00     0.12     0.02P   29.88R    9.26  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.61     7.73   -20.72     0.00     0.03     0.01P   47.47R   19.59  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      45.92     7.99   -26.69     0.00     0.06     0.01P   47.81R   20.00