Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 12 December 2006 at 21:32:16 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 December 2006, Sheffield_U vs Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    17   44  +29      92.24     5.72    66.34    89.00    99.62   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   36  +17      81.28     6.79    40.97    10.72    85.73    98.62    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      17   28   +9      62.82     7.12    18.38     0.04     2.44    38.84    70.30     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       17   28   +8      64.45     7.13    19.98     0.07     3.65    48.27    77.39     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          17   27   +4      58.68     6.95     8.24     0.02     0.56    17.43    46.38     0.02R    0.00  
Arsenal         16   26  +13      66.93     7.21    31.21     0.15     7.22    63.74    86.11     0.00     0.00  
Reading         17   26   -2      54.78     6.93    -3.32     0.00     0.17     7.12    24.48     0.11R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     17   25   +4      54.86     7.13     5.38     0.00     0.17     8.25    26.95     0.12R    0.01  
Tottenham       17   25   -1      53.18     7.19    -2.10     0.00     0.13     5.09    19.00     0.41R    0.01  
Everton         17   24   +3      54.62     7.04     6.27     0.00     0.17     7.50    26.07     0.20R    0.00  
Wigan           16   22   -1      51.79     7.21    -3.15     0.01     0.14     3.82    14.76     0.78R    0.07  
Manchester_C    17   20   -6      44.44     6.96   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.27     2.15     6.40R    0.70  
Fulham          17   20  -11      43.81     6.92   -20.28     0.00     0.00     0.21     1.59     8.65R    1.10  
Newcastle       16   19   -3      45.49     7.27    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.69     3.77     5.42R    0.47  
Middlesbrough   17   17   -8      41.09     6.87   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.59    15.21R    2.41  
Sheffield_U     17   17   -9      37.58     6.56   -23.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    30.14R    5.95  
Blackburn       16   16   -7      39.18     6.90   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.46    23.25R    4.00  
West_Ham        17   14  -14      30.45     6.01   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    74.79R   32.41  
Charlton        17   12  -15      31.33     6.37   -32.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    68.72R   27.34  
Watford         16   11  -10      31.50     6.77   -23.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    65.78R   25.53  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 December 2006, Barnsley vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       22   43  +13      85.84     7.84    28.96    37.03    56.28    89.98    64.23P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            22   40   +7      78.97     7.91    16.49    10.00    22.26    66.02    31.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          22   39  +11      80.98     7.53    25.72    15.06    30.74    76.78    42.45P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          22   38  +10      76.45     7.86    18.63     5.96    14.49    55.13    24.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            22   37  +15      81.06     7.58    32.25    16.32    33.33    78.20    48.87P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      22   36   +9      75.98     7.81    21.02     5.51    13.51    54.01    23.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          22   35   +7      71.90     7.93    13.12     1.91     5.56    32.58    12.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Colchester       22   34  +10      73.73     7.76    20.93     3.27     8.66    42.41    16.91P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    22   33  +10      74.05     7.85    22.72     3.31     9.14    45.15    19.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   33   +3      65.79     7.86     3.15     0.28     1.02    11.42     3.15P    0.24R    0.01  
Coventry         22   33   +3      68.49     7.82     7.47     0.65     2.21    18.12     6.25P    0.09R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      22   33   +2      65.01     7.95     0.35     0.28     1.05     9.61     2.71P    0.33R    0.00  
Sunderland       22   33   +2      66.53     7.80     3.00     0.35     1.39    12.71     3.69P    0.20R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    22   32   -5      58.99     7.54   -12.71     0.03     0.09     1.71     0.42P    2.25R    0.04  
Norwich          22   29   -6      58.00     7.66   -12.83     0.00     0.06     1.44     0.26P    3.25R    0.09  
Ipswich          22   26   +0      59.60     7.86     1.07     0.04     0.15     2.90     0.80P    2.24R    0.09  
Crystal_Palace   22   26   -3      55.10     7.70    -9.00     0.00     0.03     0.69     0.18P    6.54R    0.31  
Leicester        22   25   -7      52.68     7.62   -14.56     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.09P   12.12R    0.57  
Luton            22   25   -9      54.71     7.62   -15.07     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.07P    7.88R    0.52  
Queens_PR        22   24   -6      53.84     7.83   -11.48     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.10P    9.30R    0.48  
Barnsley         22   23  -11      49.81     7.63   -22.26     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P   21.61R    1.52  
Leeds            22   20  -18      41.51     7.10   -39.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.48R   13.95  
Hull             22   17  -16      40.25     7.27   -30.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   71.34R   16.38  
Southend         22   15  -21      32.61     6.59   -47.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.06R   66.04  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Yeovil vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      21   44  +15      91.09     7.68    34.41    49.59    73.67    97.76    80.67P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      21   39  +17      87.26     7.83    37.97    28.88    57.93    94.55    69.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    21   37   +8      79.22     8.21    20.11     6.15    17.83    71.88    30.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        21   36  +10      79.37     8.15    23.55     5.89    18.17    73.47    33.71P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          21   35  +12      79.02     8.17    26.58     6.30    18.33    72.31    33.80P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          21   34   +6      71.58     8.14    11.52     0.90     3.66    35.87    10.60P    0.06R    0.00  
Rotherham       21   32   +6      71.25     8.22    14.32     0.80     3.56    35.73    10.27P    0.10R    0.00  
Swansea         21   32   +5      69.87     8.15    10.94     0.49     2.33    29.27     8.06P    0.17R    0.00  
Doncaster       21   30   +6      67.46     8.07    11.37     0.32     1.34    19.94     6.48P    0.34R    0.01  
Carlisle        21   30   +0      64.42     8.28     1.03     0.10     0.62    11.63     2.90P    1.17R    0.03  
Brighton        21   30   -2      61.12     8.19    -7.35     0.03     0.18     5.61     0.96P    3.13R    0.06  
Blackpool       21   29   +6      66.51     8.29    11.33     0.27     1.05    17.76     4.88P    0.68R    0.01  
Port_Vale       21   29   +0      65.25     8.30     3.25     0.14     0.75    13.36     3.31P    1.08R    0.02  
Chesterfield    21   27   +0      61.60     8.22     0.78     0.04     0.17     6.33     1.47P    2.67R    0.07  
Crewe           21   27   -1      60.86     8.25    -2.27     0.07     0.19     5.92     1.26P    3.27R    0.07  
Gillingham      21   27   -7      57.51     8.01   -13.52     0.01     0.04     2.13     0.30P    7.66R    0.21  
Bradford        21   26   -1      59.34     8.17    -2.12     0.03     0.14     4.07     0.88P    4.41R    0.14  
Huddersfield    21   25   -6      56.19     8.02   -10.78     0.00     0.04     1.55     0.34P    9.73R    0.41  
Northampton     20   23   -5      53.17     8.17   -10.73     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.17P   17.73R    1.02  
Millwall        21   21  -11      45.32     7.63   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   54.05R    8.10  
Bournemouth     21   20  -11      44.99     7.62   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   55.14R    8.55  
Leyton_Orient   20   18  -14      41.13     7.87   -35.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.42R   21.77  
Cheltenham      21   18  -14      40.81     7.38   -31.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    76.06R   20.09  
Brentford       21   18  -19      37.55     7.07   -42.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.12R   39.44  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Wycombe vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          21   47  +22      99.57     7.43    49.92    83.22    97.78    99.95    98.48P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     21   40  +11      84.06     8.08    25.29     6.18    53.88    92.21    64.98P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    21   39   +8      79.75     8.22    19.17     2.48    32.81    80.82    43.19P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        21   38  +13      82.18     8.13    30.01     4.63    45.74    88.78    56.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          21   38   +9      78.43     8.15    18.23     1.52    26.88    76.78    40.98P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     21   38   +7      76.63     8.42    13.83     1.47    20.79    68.95    30.84P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       21   32   +5      70.92     8.30    12.28     0.21     6.91    43.84    16.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     21   31   +3      66.98     8.33     5.99     0.06     2.88    25.84     8.30P    0.08R    0.02  
Darlington       21   30   +0      65.76     8.31     2.58     0.04     1.92    21.57     6.30P    0.18R    0.02  
Stockport        21   29   +1      62.56     8.29     0.19     0.03     0.83    12.51     3.42P    0.43R    0.06  
Bury             21   29   +0      63.39     8.25     0.33     0.02     1.01    14.45     3.94P    0.38R    0.07  
Hereford         21   29   +0      62.11     8.22    -1.37     0.01     0.61    11.09     3.02P    0.56R    0.10  
Bristol_Rovers   21   28   -5      56.37     7.91   -11.80     0.00     0.12     2.71     0.65P    2.28R    0.42  
Chester          21   27   +2      62.10     8.36     3.68     0.00     0.94    11.73     3.68P    0.48R    0.06  
Shrewsbury       20   26   +7      70.31     8.47    20.63     0.12     6.71    43.16    17.74P    0.04R    0.01  
Grimsby          21   26  -10      52.10     7.93   -23.89     0.00     0.03     0.95     0.18P    8.74R    2.41  
Mansfield        21   24   -6      53.89     8.00   -13.58     0.00     0.07     1.50     0.38P    5.45R    1.40  
Wrexham          20   23  -13      46.42     7.75   -33.34     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   26.85R    9.28  
Barnet           21   22   -9      50.38     8.04   -19.86     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.12P   12.34R    3.79  
Accrington       21   21   -5      53.69     8.23    -9.09     0.00     0.06     1.75     0.41P    6.13R    2.04  
Rochdale         21   20   -7      47.82     7.91   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P   18.96R    6.39  
Boston           21   20   -8      48.03     7.86   -19.78     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P   19.17R    6.45  
Torquay          21   20   -9      47.50     7.95   -18.08     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   21.09R    7.39  
Macclesfield     21   13  -16      35.90     7.60   -34.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.84R   60.09  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Rushden_&_D vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      99.04     7.17    52.21    64.92    99.83    80.42P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.51     7.51    51.91    33.42    98.97    58.46P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.59     7.98     5.82     0.38    43.64     7.76P    0.01R    0.00  
York               22   38   +1      72.52     8.04     3.44     0.17    34.10     5.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton             22   37   +2      72.05     8.12     5.44     0.17    32.62     6.25P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.56     8.56    10.59     0.46    44.97     9.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.42     7.77    -0.40     0.01    12.55     2.17P    0.23R    0.02  
Exeter             21   33   +9      73.62     8.38    18.38     0.27    42.17    10.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.65     8.49    14.16     0.17    33.51     6.71P    0.15R    0.03  
Crawley            21   32   +3      67.81     8.46     5.35     0.01    18.73     3.77P    0.33R    0.03  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      63.90     8.24     4.39     0.00     8.67     1.44P    1.18R    0.14  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.50     8.10    21.27     0.03    17.80     5.08P    0.25R    0.01  
Halifax            22   28   +1      61.09     8.18     1.04     0.01     4.71     0.93P    2.31R    0.32  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.76     8.03     0.84     0.00     4.20     0.77P    2.37R    0.34  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.74     7.93    -9.61     0.00     1.39     0.17P    6.53R    1.19  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.01     8.01   -18.35     0.00     0.85     0.15P   11.13R    2.17  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      51.95     7.45   -16.01     0.00     0.17     0.03P   17.93R    3.82  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.53     8.18   -19.97     0.00     0.66     0.11P   15.79R    3.96  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.71     7.56   -25.78     0.00     0.07     0.01P   37.69R   12.15  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      45.86     7.28   -21.04     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.09R   16.26  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      47.84     7.65   -22.68     0.00     0.09     0.03P   36.91R   12.67  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.09     8.11   -14.19     0.00     0.19     0.03P   30.18R    9.88  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.83     7.75   -20.44     0.00     0.04     0.01P   46.35R   18.55  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      46.25     7.99   -26.34     0.00     0.05     0.01P   45.45R   18.48