Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 11 December 2006 at 21:32:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 December 2006, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    17   44  +29      92.22     5.65    66.57    89.22    99.59    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   36  +17      81.11     6.87    41.02    10.45    84.88    98.51    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      17   28   +9      62.84     7.10    18.43     0.04     2.26    38.18    69.89     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       17   28   +8      63.82     7.09    19.05     0.04     2.99    44.44    74.50     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          17   27   +4      58.46     6.88     7.81     0.01     0.48    15.94    43.90     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         16   26  +13      67.67     7.12    32.47     0.24     8.91    67.42    88.15     0.00     0.00  
Reading         17   26   -2      54.87     6.93    -3.22     0.00     0.14     7.12    23.98     0.12R    0.01  
Tottenham       17   25   -1      53.25     7.23    -2.00     0.00     0.10     5.25    18.84     0.35R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     16   24   +4      55.40     7.49     5.87     0.00     0.26     9.88    29.50     0.15R    0.01  
Everton         17   24   +3      55.03     7.17     6.95     0.00     0.24     8.53    27.74     0.17R    0.01  
Wigan           16   22   -1      51.78     7.19    -3.40     0.00     0.10     3.38    14.46     0.81R    0.01  
Manchester_C    17   20   -6      44.56     6.91   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.33     2.28     5.66R    0.41  
Fulham          17   20  -11      43.91     6.73   -20.22     0.00     0.01     0.20     1.58     7.68R    0.81  
Newcastle       16   19   -3      45.79     7.33    -7.66     0.00     0.01     0.73     4.17     4.68R    0.53  
Middlesbrough   17   17   -8      40.89     6.83   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.67    15.88R    2.47  
Blackburn       16   16   -7      38.67     6.91   -20.73     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.43    25.15R    4.84  
Sheffield_U     16   16   -9      36.85     6.73   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    34.90R    7.24  
West_Ham        17   14  -14      30.29     5.96   -33.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01    75.45R   33.21  
Charlton        17   12  -15      31.74     6.50   -32.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    65.56R   25.60  
Watford         16   11  -10      31.69     6.78   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03    63.41R   24.82  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 December 2006, Barnsley vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       22   43  +13      86.02     7.76    29.29    37.15    57.02    90.30    64.78P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            22   40   +7      79.15     7.88    16.90    10.11    22.20    66.74    31.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          22   39  +11      81.05     7.66    25.74    15.07    30.77    76.67    42.44P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          22   38  +10      76.85     7.80    19.22     6.39    14.88    56.57    25.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            22   37  +15      81.06     7.56    32.37    15.89    32.78    78.17    47.92P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      22   36   +9      76.30     7.87    21.66     5.67    14.38    54.94    24.27P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          22   35   +7      72.03     7.94    13.32     1.90     5.58    32.89    12.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       22   34  +10      73.48     7.88    20.60     2.92     8.13    41.16    16.37P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    22   33  +10      74.05     7.89    22.76     3.40     9.06    43.82    18.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   33   +3      65.85     7.79     3.24     0.26     1.03    11.22     3.20P    0.16R    0.00  
Coventry         22   33   +3      68.47     7.78     7.46     0.61     1.94    17.95     5.97P    0.08R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      22   33   +2      64.97     7.85     0.17     0.24     0.85     9.55     2.48P    0.32R    0.00  
Sunderland       22   33   +2      66.44     7.72     2.85     0.34     1.12    12.12     3.40P    0.17R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    22   32   -5      58.86     7.63   -12.85     0.01     0.06     1.81     0.41P    2.38R    0.04  
Norwich          22   29   -6      58.28     7.75   -12.40     0.01     0.07     1.61     0.33P    3.02R    0.08  
Ipswich          22   26   +0      59.60     7.77     1.08     0.01     0.07     2.52     0.66P    2.15R    0.05  
Crystal_Palace   22   26   -3      55.03     7.71    -9.02     0.01     0.01     0.66     0.12P    6.58R    0.28  
Leicester        22   25   -7      52.64     7.55   -14.67     0.01     0.01     0.20     0.05P   11.12R    0.49  
Luton            22   25   -9      54.31     7.70   -15.99     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.08P    8.73R    0.57  
Queens_PR        22   24   -6      54.31     8.00   -10.64     0.01     0.01     0.60     0.14P    8.69R    0.55  
Barnsley         22   23  -11      48.99     7.54   -23.61     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.01P   23.91R    1.87  
Leeds            22   20  -18      41.27     7.05   -39.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.15R   14.26  
Hull             22   17  -16      40.19     7.15   -30.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.33R   16.71  
Southend         22   15  -21      32.72     6.72   -47.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.17R   65.09  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Yeovil vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      21   44  +15      91.08     7.77    34.36    50.23    74.33    97.77    80.80P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      21   39  +17      87.11     7.88    37.69    28.84    57.10    94.31    68.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    21   37   +8      78.79     8.24    19.43     5.29    16.66    70.13    29.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        21   36  +10      79.17     8.23    23.35     5.95    18.25    72.39    33.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          21   35  +12      79.06     8.12    26.80     6.24    18.40    72.81    33.90P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          21   34   +6      71.96     8.08    12.05     0.99     3.85    37.55    11.56P    0.04R    0.00  
Rotherham       21   32   +6      70.93     8.31    13.73     0.77     3.56    34.47     9.87P    0.12R    0.00  
Swansea         21   32   +5      70.00     8.52    11.25     0.70     3.10    30.43     8.91P    0.17R    0.00  
Doncaster       21   30   +6      67.82     8.11    11.93     0.31     1.50    21.34     6.83P    0.29R    0.00  
Carlisle        21   30   +0      64.45     8.19     1.03     0.13     0.51    11.24     2.73P    1.07R    0.02  
Brighton        21   30   -2      60.87     8.22    -7.73     0.04     0.23     5.24     0.99P    3.42R    0.07  
Blackpool       21   29   +6      66.69     8.20    11.58     0.25     1.19    17.91     5.18P    0.61R    0.01  
Port_Vale       21   29   +0      65.16     8.22     3.09     0.13     0.62    13.19     2.96P    0.94R    0.01  
Chesterfield    21   27   +0      61.61     8.35     0.79     0.06     0.24     6.94     1.61P    2.74R    0.10  
Crewe           21   27   -1      60.83     8.35    -2.20     0.07     0.30     5.99     1.20P    3.58R    0.07  
Gillingham      21   27   -7      57.61     8.09   -13.50     0.00     0.01     2.37     0.39P    7.55R    0.25  
Bradford        21   26   -1      58.78     8.07    -2.90     0.01     0.11     3.21     0.73P    5.09R    0.20  
Huddersfield    21   25   -6      56.12     8.04   -10.87     0.00     0.02     1.65     0.30P    9.71R    0.28  
Northampton     20   23   -5      53.58     8.41   -10.20     0.01     0.03     1.03     0.26P   17.03R    1.22  
Millwall        21   21  -11      45.28     7.57   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   54.55R    8.00  
Bournemouth     21   20  -11      45.00     7.68   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   55.54R    8.66  
Leyton_Orient   20   18  -14      41.26     7.74   -35.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    74.16R   21.09  
Cheltenham      21   18  -14      40.99     7.41   -30.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.35R   20.30  
Brentford       21   18  -19      37.67     7.05   -42.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.03R   39.73  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Wycombe vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          21   47  +22     100.10     7.35    50.72    84.47    98.26    99.96    98.80P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     21   40  +11      84.05     8.02    25.30     5.45    53.17    92.02    63.81P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    21   39   +8      80.09     8.26    19.71     2.56    33.51    82.24    44.16P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        21   38  +13      82.22     8.23    29.97     4.38    45.73    88.58    57.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          21   38   +9      78.85     8.24    18.79     1.71    28.00    78.48    42.20P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     21   38   +7      76.91     8.36    14.25     1.07    20.69    70.15    31.28P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       21   32   +5      70.67     8.30    11.92     0.13     6.33    42.71    15.53P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     21   31   +3      67.35     8.23     6.55     0.05     3.12    27.21     9.02P    0.04R    0.01  
Darlington       21   30   +0      65.67     8.29     2.40     0.02     1.88    21.18     6.16P    0.20R    0.04  
Stockport        21   29   +1      62.69     8.19     0.29     0.01     0.84    12.74     3.48P    0.30R    0.06  
Bury             21   29   +0      63.52     8.29     0.47     0.03     1.09    14.45     4.07P    0.35R    0.07  
Hereford         21   29   +0      61.62     8.11    -2.13     0.00     0.48     9.96     2.57P    0.55R    0.07  
Bristol_Rovers   21   28   -5      55.81     7.88   -12.54     0.00     0.07     2.33     0.61P    2.91R    0.65  
Chester          21   27   +2      62.14     8.24     3.70     0.01     0.73    11.72     3.58P    0.48R    0.07  
Shrewsbury       20   26   +7      69.81     8.60    19.96     0.12     6.00    40.88    16.45P    0.05R    0.01  
Grimsby          21   26  -10      52.27     7.86   -23.55     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.12P    8.14R    2.19  
Mansfield        21   24   -6      53.37     8.00   -14.31     0.00     0.04     1.33     0.26P    6.08R    1.51  
Wrexham          20   23  -13      46.88     7.73   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P   24.41R    8.47  
Barnet           21   22   -9      50.44     8.13   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.12P   12.72R    3.94  
Accrington       21   21   -5      53.90     8.24    -8.58     0.00     0.04     1.68     0.47P    5.78R    1.81  
Rochdale         21   20   -7      47.46     7.83   -17.02     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P   20.02R    6.80  
Boston           21   20   -8      47.64     7.94   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   20.91R    7.31  
Torquay          21   20   -9      47.71     7.97   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P   20.04R    6.88  
Macclesfield     21   13  -16      35.70     7.58   -35.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.02R   60.11  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Rushden_&_D vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      99.16     7.21    52.55    65.11    99.86    80.25P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.43     7.59    51.61    33.35    98.91    57.94P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.53     7.94     5.63     0.28    43.62     7.83P    0.01R    0.00  
York               22   38   +1      72.30     8.11     3.19     0.19    33.14     5.46P    0.07R    0.00  
Burton             22   37   +2      72.15     7.99     5.54     0.12    32.59     6.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.16     8.46     9.96     0.39    43.24     9.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.59     7.76    -0.15     0.01    12.91     2.06P    0.34R    0.04  
Exeter             21   33   +9      74.01     8.40    18.95     0.30    44.77    11.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.62     8.54    14.09     0.11    33.66     7.07P    0.20R    0.01  
Crawley            21   32   +3      67.98     8.41     5.63     0.06    19.32     3.83P    0.28R    0.04  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      63.65     8.02     3.86     0.00     8.11     1.40P    1.12R    0.13  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.68     8.01    21.52     0.08    18.47     5.32P    0.26R    0.01  
Halifax            22   28   +1      61.08     8.08     0.93     0.01     4.41     0.74P    2.35R    0.30  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.77     7.80     0.79     0.00     3.87     0.83P    2.00R    0.28  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.39     7.90   -10.07     0.00     1.15     0.14P    7.33R    1.24  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.49     7.93   -17.58     0.00     0.88     0.16P    9.90R    1.89  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      52.06     7.32   -15.73     0.00     0.17     0.01P   16.98R    3.65  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.27     8.11   -20.41     0.00     0.57     0.07P   16.63R    4.22  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.78     7.56   -25.65     0.00     0.03     0.00    37.33R   12.28  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      45.97     7.35   -20.87     0.00     0.03     0.00    45.16R   16.13  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      47.76     7.64   -22.73     0.00     0.06     0.01P   37.49R   12.68  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.15     7.94   -14.07     0.00     0.19     0.03P   29.39R    9.60  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.79     7.74   -20.41     0.00     0.03     0.00    46.70R   18.59  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      46.04     7.90   -26.57     0.00     0.02     0.01P   46.39R   18.94