Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 10 December 2006 at 21:32:17 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 December 2006, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    17   44  +29      92.24     5.69    66.47    88.84    99.55   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   36  +17      81.30     6.81    41.34    10.88    85.42    98.47    99.75     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      17   28   +9      62.91     7.08    18.50     0.02     2.44    38.00    70.32     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       17   28   +8      64.32     7.17    19.80     0.03     3.44    46.83    76.06     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          17   27   +4      58.51     6.99     7.94     0.00     0.64    16.59    44.31     0.03R    0.00  
Arsenal         16   26  +13      67.32     7.30    31.99     0.21     7.76    65.39    86.42     0.00     0.00  
Reading         17   26   -2      54.86     7.01    -3.29     0.00     0.14     7.31    24.68     0.18R    0.01  
Tottenham       17   25   -1      53.08     7.03    -2.24     0.01     0.04     4.39    17.69     0.27R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     16   24   +4      55.67     7.60     6.27     0.01     0.27    10.47    30.98     0.23R    0.01  
Everton         17   24   +3      54.88     7.06     6.68     0.01     0.23     7.74    26.59     0.15R    0.01  
Wigan           16   22   -1      51.86     7.25    -3.27     0.00     0.09     3.52    14.65     0.83R    0.04  
Manchester_C    17   20   -6      44.75     7.11   -11.04     0.00     0.01     0.39     2.57     6.14R    0.74  
Fulham          17   20  -11      43.78     6.83   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.49     8.37R    1.05  
Newcastle       16   19   -3      45.48     7.23    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.56     3.37     4.96R    0.46  
Middlesbrough   17   17   -8      40.70     6.77   -17.14     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.60    16.30R    2.50  
Blackburn       16   16   -7      38.33     6.77   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.22    26.93R    5.08  
Sheffield_U     16   16   -9      36.89     6.87   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.24    34.61R    7.46  
West_Ham        17   14  -14      30.56     6.08   -33.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    73.47R   31.84  
Charlton        17   12  -15      31.51     6.42   -32.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    66.95R   26.94  
Watford         16   11  -10      32.10     6.95   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    60.57R   23.88  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 December 2006, Barnsley vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       22   43  +13      86.06     7.72    29.31    37.27    57.13    90.80    65.57P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            22   40   +7      78.95     7.92    16.53    10.01    21.94    65.70    30.70P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          22   39  +11      81.19     7.64    25.97    15.53    32.09    77.73    44.20P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          22   38  +10      76.60     7.94    18.88     6.43    15.12    55.42    24.76P    0.00     0.00  
Stoke            22   37  +15      80.87     7.49    32.07    15.38    31.56    77.93    46.85P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      22   36   +9      76.16     7.92    21.40     5.69    13.93    54.76    23.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          22   35   +7      71.98     7.87    13.23     1.90     5.72    32.63    12.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       22   34  +10      73.36     7.87    20.35     2.96     8.22    40.47    15.96P    0.02R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    22   33  +10      74.00     7.99    22.64     3.37     9.10    44.72    18.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         22   33   +3      65.93     7.90     3.34     0.28     1.03    11.70     3.47P    0.24R    0.00  
Coventry         22   33   +3      68.37     7.76     7.38     0.53     1.76    18.16     5.82P    0.06R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      22   33   +2      65.17     7.89     0.62     0.26     0.89    10.12     2.71P    0.32R    0.01  
Sunderland       22   33   +2      66.14     7.79     2.33     0.32     1.20    11.77     3.29P    0.18R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    22   32   -5      59.09     7.53   -12.60     0.03     0.07     1.82     0.33P    2.10R    0.03  
Norwich          22   29   -6      58.02     7.67   -12.77     0.01     0.06     1.49     0.33P    3.20R    0.06  
Ipswich          22   26   +0      59.46     7.78     0.77     0.04     0.14     2.67     0.69P    2.25R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   22   26   -3      55.03     7.66    -9.06     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.12P    6.73R    0.23  
Leicester        22   25   -7      52.72     7.57   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P   11.62R    0.63  
Luton            22   25   -9      54.82     7.70   -14.97     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.07P    7.91R    0.41  
Queens_PR        22   24   -6      54.13     8.03   -11.00     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.14P    9.28R    0.57  
Barnsley         22   23  -11      49.18     7.61   -23.27     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.03P   23.57R    1.87  
Leeds            22   20  -18      41.22     7.07   -39.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.54R   14.69  
Hull             22   17  -16      40.55     7.32   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    69.70R   15.93  
Southend         22   15  -21      32.79     6.61   -47.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.25R   65.52  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Yeovil vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      21   44  +15      90.88     7.98    34.11    48.53    72.27    97.18    79.03P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      21   39  +17      87.47     7.72    38.15    30.11    59.40    94.96    71.18P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    21   37   +8      79.30     8.10    20.25     6.00    17.96    72.44    30.87P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        21   36  +10      79.50     8.05    23.77     6.23    18.89    73.78    34.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          21   35  +12      78.78     8.20    26.27     6.11    17.75    71.69    32.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          21   34   +6      71.56     8.16    11.59     0.83     3.37    35.72    10.86P    0.09R    0.00  
Rotherham       21   32   +6      71.01     8.21    13.94     0.70     3.33    34.53     9.61P    0.16R    0.01  
Swansea         21   32   +5      70.23     8.28    11.57     0.64     2.80    31.20     9.03P    0.17R    0.00  
Doncaster       21   30   +6      67.51     8.06    11.38     0.26     1.21    20.14     6.04P    0.29R    0.01  
Carlisle        21   30   +0      64.65     8.17     1.32     0.07     0.46    11.73     2.87P    1.12R    0.04  
Brighton        21   30   -2      61.01     8.28    -7.41     0.02     0.20     5.77     1.06P    3.29R    0.04  
Blackpool       21   29   +6      66.56     8.19    11.45     0.26     1.10    17.73     4.96P    0.54R    0.01  
Port_Vale       21   29   +0      64.72     8.25     2.33     0.12     0.57    12.31     2.71P    1.19R    0.01  
Chesterfield    21   27   +0      62.01     8.31     1.46     0.06     0.34     7.47     1.75P    2.51R    0.04  
Crewe           21   27   -1      60.42     8.14    -3.01     0.02     0.14     4.88     0.83P    3.81R    0.12  
Gillingham      21   27   -7      57.47     8.12   -13.68     0.01     0.07     2.10     0.38P    7.93R    0.32  
Bradford        21   26   -1      59.26     8.30    -2.24     0.03     0.12     4.17     0.83P    4.88R    0.13  
Huddersfield    21   25   -6      56.44     7.93   -10.44     0.00     0.01     1.53     0.28P    8.94R    0.41  
Northampton     20   23   -5      53.46     8.00   -10.31     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.17P   15.94R    0.78  
Millwall        21   21  -11      44.96     7.46   -26.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    55.98R    8.12  
Bournemouth     21   20  -11      44.88     7.59   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00    56.55R    8.71  
Leyton_Orient   20   18  -14      41.28     7.86   -35.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   73.50R   21.23  
Cheltenham      21   18  -14      41.10     7.51   -30.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   74.70R   19.85  
Brentford       21   18  -19      37.42     7.00   -42.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.41R   40.19  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Wycombe vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          21   47  +22     100.45     7.28    51.22    85.40    98.50    99.98    99.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     21   40  +11      83.95     8.18    25.24     5.53    53.46    91.51    64.44P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    21   39   +8      79.64     8.23    19.08     2.00    31.90    80.85    42.48P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        21   38  +13      82.04     8.26    29.82     3.88    46.10    87.85    56.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          21   38   +9      78.65     8.13    18.53     1.60    27.57    77.89    41.93P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     21   38   +7      76.79     8.50    14.01     1.12    21.25    69.03    31.30P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       21   32   +5      70.91     8.31    12.29     0.20     6.78    43.99    16.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     21   31   +3      67.11     8.11     6.19     0.05     2.62    26.39     8.32P    0.04R    0.01  
Darlington       21   30   +0      65.82     8.50     2.64     0.05     2.20    22.46     6.63P    0.17R    0.03  
Stockport        21   29   +1      62.58     8.27     0.21     0.01     0.74    12.54     3.37P    0.39R    0.04  
Bury             21   29   +0      63.47     8.21     0.39     0.01     1.06    14.62     3.90P    0.30R    0.06  
Hereford         21   29   +0      61.75     8.11    -1.89     0.00     0.58    10.25     2.67P    0.56R    0.11  
Bristol_Rovers   21   28   -5      56.02     7.91   -12.23     0.00     0.06     2.54     0.54P    2.68R    0.50  
Chester          21   27   +2      62.10     8.36     3.65     0.01     0.70    11.99     3.45P    0.69R    0.17  
Shrewsbury       20   26   +7      70.16     8.49    20.43     0.13     6.31    42.63    17.78P    0.06R    0.01  
Grimsby          21   26  -10      51.83     7.78   -24.42     0.00     0.02     0.76     0.14P    8.76R    2.32  
Mansfield        21   24   -6      53.72     8.15   -13.89     0.00     0.04     1.54     0.32P    5.79R    1.53  
Wrexham          20   23  -13      46.15     7.79   -33.77     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.03P   28.16R   10.21  
Barnet           21   22   -9      50.61     8.04   -19.51     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.16P   11.95R    3.83  
Accrington       21   21   -5      53.68     8.27    -8.86     0.01     0.06     1.65     0.41P    6.14R    1.98  
Rochdale         21   20   -7      47.83     8.02   -16.48     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P   19.48R    6.45  
Boston           21   20   -8      47.68     7.83   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   19.54R    6.85  
Torquay          21   20   -9      47.92     7.90   -17.55     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P   19.00R    6.71  
Macclesfield     21   13  -16      36.01     7.58   -34.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.28R   59.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 December 2006, Rushden_&_D vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         22   48  +25      98.97     7.21    52.19    65.39    99.81    80.81P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          22   46  +25      94.37     7.50    51.68    33.16    99.11    58.40P    0.00     0.00  
Weymouth           22   40   +3      74.54     8.00     5.62     0.29    44.00     7.93P    0.01R    0.00  
York               22   38   +1      72.19     8.04     2.95     0.17    32.98     5.25P    0.06R    0.00  
Burton             22   37   +2      71.91     8.14     5.28     0.14    32.23     6.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe          21   36   +4      74.91     8.36    11.11     0.35    47.17     9.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Gravesend          23   35   +0      66.47     7.77    -0.26     0.01    12.53     2.07P    0.28R    0.01  
Exeter             21   33   +9      73.46     8.38    18.10     0.24    41.95    10.14P    0.04R    0.00  
Aldershot          21   32   +6      71.52     8.36    13.85     0.16    32.99     6.87P    0.09R    0.00  
Crawley            21   32   +3      67.93     8.41     5.53     0.07    18.84     3.78P    0.30R    0.01  
Stevenage          22   29   +2      63.62     8.11     3.82     0.01     8.26     1.43P    1.11R    0.17  
Grays              22   28  +11      67.76     7.98    21.64     0.04    18.66     5.17P    0.29R    0.03  
Halifax            22   28   +1      61.15     8.01     1.05     0.00     4.64     0.94P    2.07R    0.25  
Woking             22   28   +1      60.40     7.93     0.16     0.00     3.62     0.71P    2.48R    0.33  
Kidderminster      22   27   -5      56.72     7.89    -9.61     0.00     1.20     0.21P    6.74R    1.24  
Stafford_Rangers   21   27   -9      55.10     8.11   -18.23     0.00     0.89     0.09P   11.69R    2.46  
Cambridge_U        23   26   -8      51.98     7.29   -15.89     0.00     0.15     0.01P   17.54R    3.63  
Northwich          21   25  -10      53.71     8.15   -19.64     0.00     0.60     0.10P   15.51R    3.75  
St_Albans          23   23  -12      47.78     7.57   -25.68     0.00     0.04     0.01P   37.60R   12.71  
Forest_Green       23   22   -9      46.25     7.38   -20.41     0.00     0.03     0.00    43.69R   15.29  
Altrincham         22   22  -11      47.78     7.77   -22.77     0.00     0.04     0.00    37.88R   13.20  
Rushden_&_D        21   20   -6      49.42     8.05   -13.62     0.00     0.11     0.02P   28.91R    8.95  
Southport          22   20  -10      45.67     7.68   -20.68     0.00     0.04     0.00    47.28R   19.05  
Tamworth           21   20  -13      46.21     7.89   -26.19     0.00     0.09     0.03P   46.39R   18.95