Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 8 December 2006 at 21:32:12 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 December 2006, Newcastle vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    16   41  +27      92.50     5.83    66.96    85.20    99.56   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   35  +17      82.98     7.15    43.37    14.52    89.73    99.08    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   25  +13      66.41     7.73    29.42     0.24     6.88    65.54    85.45     0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth      16   25   +7      60.29     7.48    14.85     0.01     1.07    31.89    60.51     0.03R    0.00  
Liverpool       16   25   +4      60.97     7.67    13.21     0.03     1.30    35.02    63.74     0.04R    0.00  
Reading         16   25   -2      55.44     7.39    -3.12     0.01     0.24    11.66    32.58     0.34R    0.03  
Everton         16   24   +5      57.09     7.61     9.81     0.01     0.61    18.77    43.95     0.17R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     16   24   +4      55.88     7.51     6.56     0.00     0.24    14.09    36.53     0.26R    0.03  
Bolton          16   24   +0      55.04     7.35     1.17     0.00     0.15    11.36    31.33     0.33R    0.03  
Tottenham       16   22   -5      49.90     7.36    -8.33     0.00     0.03     3.13    11.71     2.20R    0.19  
Wigan           15   21   -1      52.12     7.67    -3.84     0.00     0.15     6.74    19.85     1.43R    0.15  
Manchester_C    16   20   -4      44.52     7.17   -11.79     0.00     0.01     0.61     3.51     8.73R    1.14  
Fulham          16   20   -7      45.95     7.31   -15.07     0.00     0.00     1.08     5.07     6.92R    1.00  
Blackburn       15   16   -5      42.28     7.41   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.42     2.27    15.96R    2.97  
Newcastle       15   16   -5      41.40     7.47   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.33     1.70    19.04R    3.75  
Middlesbrough   16   16   -8      41.18     7.32   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.43    20.06R    4.19  
Sheffield_U     16   16   -9      36.84     6.72   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.27    40.55R   10.58  
West_Ham        16   14  -10      32.81     6.55   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    64.92R   26.43  
Charlton        16   12  -11      33.77     6.89   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    57.65R   22.09  
Watford         15   10  -10      32.93     7.45   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.10    61.36R   27.41  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Sunderland vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       21   40  +11      84.05     8.05    26.71    26.07    43.92    84.17    53.48P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          21   38  +12      78.98     8.17    22.36    10.65    22.29    65.64    33.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   38  +11      82.69     7.81    27.86    20.18    37.31    81.42    48.56P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            21   37   +6      77.63     8.14    16.15     7.42    16.28    58.51    24.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      21   36  +10      79.51     8.15    25.89    11.50    24.02    68.88    34.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          21   35   +8      73.64     8.17    14.79     2.96     7.96    40.12    15.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            21   34  +14      80.70     7.80    33.74    14.31    29.55    75.60    45.12P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    21   32  +10      75.01     8.19    23.72     4.59    10.91    48.85    20.71P    0.02R    0.01  
Wolverhampton    21   32   -4      61.57     7.96    -9.73     0.07     0.23     3.94     0.94P    1.29R    0.00  
Colchester       21   31   +8      69.84     8.28    15.20     1.18     3.65    24.98     8.93P    0.12R    0.00  
Plymouth         21   30   +2      64.97     8.22     3.32     0.26     0.89    10.29     3.00P    0.53R    0.01  
Coventry         21   30   +2      66.32     8.28     5.81     0.37     1.33    13.02     4.48P    0.23R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      21   30   +1      62.11     8.21    -2.82     0.13     0.39     5.55     1.49P    1.21R    0.02  
Sunderland       21   30   +1      65.18     8.10     2.60     0.22     0.85    10.17     2.67P    0.51R    0.00  
Norwich          21   29   -5      60.49     8.05    -9.84     0.06     0.18     3.40     0.81P    1.98R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   21   26   -1      57.86     7.99    -4.62     0.01     0.08     1.74     0.41P    3.63R    0.06  
Ipswich          21   25   +0      58.34     8.08    -1.84     0.02     0.10     2.08     0.54P    3.60R    0.07  
Luton            21   25   -8      55.74     7.97   -14.81     0.01     0.03     0.81     0.14P    6.93R    0.25  
Queens_PR        21   24   -5      54.22     8.10   -12.36     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.15P    9.96R    0.34  
Leicester        21   22   -8      49.79     7.85   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.04P   22.41R    1.18  
Barnsley         21   22  -11      49.01     7.87   -24.45     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.01P   26.16R    1.51  
Leeds            21   20  -17      42.69     7.44   -39.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.92R    7.45  
Hull             21   17  -15      41.57     7.51   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.99R    8.95  
Southend         21   12  -22      29.24     6.73   -51.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.47R   80.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 December 2006, Chesterfield vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      20   41  +12      87.96     8.37    29.08    37.42    58.91    93.42    67.94P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      20   36  +15      84.82     8.26    34.76    24.19    45.97    89.28    59.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    20   36   +8      79.32     8.48    19.74     8.41    20.26    71.23    32.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          20   35  +13      81.57     8.31    29.42    13.00    29.69    80.52    44.51P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        20   35  +10      81.28     8.44    25.74    12.34    28.27    78.75    43.47P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       20   31   +6      71.84     8.41    14.81     1.59     5.00    37.95    11.52P    0.15R    0.00  
Swansea         20   31   +5      69.80     8.61    10.32     0.77     3.08    29.69     8.52P    0.28R    0.00  
Yeovil          20   31   +4      69.87     8.66     9.58     0.86     2.98    29.18     9.14P    0.29R    0.00  
Carlisle        20   30   +2      66.80     8.38     4.48     0.38     1.30    17.32     4.47P    0.67R    0.00  
Blackpool       20   28   +6      67.17     8.58    11.78     0.47     1.94    20.52     6.25P    0.68R    0.00  
Doncaster       20   27   +4      64.30     8.22     7.54     0.14     0.61    11.34     3.52P    1.16R    0.02  
Crewe           20   27   +2      62.96     8.58     2.35     0.14     0.62     9.29     2.21P    2.43R    0.05  
Brighton        20   27   -3      60.10     8.51    -7.27     0.05     0.21     4.75     0.89P    5.11R    0.14  
Gillingham      20   27   -5      58.96     8.54   -11.51     0.03     0.11     3.81     0.69P    6.65R    0.19  
Bradford        20   26   +1      62.47     8.52     2.57     0.09     0.39     8.32     2.10P    2.69R    0.06  
Port_Vale       20   26   -4      60.15     8.53    -6.19     0.06     0.28     4.91     1.05P    4.93R    0.14  
Huddersfield    20   25   -5      58.64     8.40    -8.13     0.01     0.14     3.35     0.61P    6.39R    0.18  
Chesterfield    20   24   -1      58.56     8.69    -2.38     0.02     0.14     3.85     0.94P    6.98R    0.24  
Northampton     19   23   -3      56.48     8.66    -5.97     0.03     0.09     2.21     0.46P   10.56R    0.36  
Bournemouth     20   20   -7      49.31     8.32   -16.15     0.01     0.01     0.27     0.06P   33.63R    2.80  
Millwall        20   18  -13      41.47     7.75   -31.32     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.01P   73.87R   15.64  
Cheltenham      20   18  -13      41.96     7.89   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.64R   14.34  
Brentford       20   17  -19      36.86     7.23   -44.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.59R   37.53  
Leyton_Orient   19   15  -15      38.75     8.18   -38.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    82.25R   28.30  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 December 2006, Wycombe vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          20   47  +24     104.05     7.30    56.89    90.48    99.23    99.99    99.50P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        20   38  +16      86.16     8.35    37.82     5.55    64.76    94.33    72.83P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     20   37   +9      79.57     8.49    19.36     1.32    30.89    79.39    43.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          20   37   +9      80.91     8.50    21.31     1.42    36.94    83.42    50.13P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    20   36   +7      77.34     8.49    16.78     0.52    22.95    71.39    33.78P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     20   35   +6      74.82     8.70    12.45     0.33    15.16    60.13    24.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     20   31   +4      71.02     8.63    11.18     0.09     7.28    43.42    16.07P    0.01R    0.01  
Darlington       20   30   +3      69.12     8.71     8.77     0.04     4.79    35.22    12.17P    0.03R    0.01  
Hartlepool       20   29   +3      67.61     8.44     7.94     0.02     3.14    28.61     9.36P    0.07R    0.01  
Hereford         20   28   +0      63.11     8.39    -0.55     0.00     0.90    13.95     3.75P    0.23R    0.04  
Bristol_Rovers   20   28   -3      59.36     8.29    -7.65     0.00     0.34     6.21     1.64P    0.81R    0.07  
Shrewsbury       19   26   +8      73.24     8.94    24.31     0.23    12.45    55.82    25.45P    0.04R    0.01  
Bury             20   26   -2      59.73     8.56    -4.94     0.00     0.40     7.54     1.83P    0.98R    0.14  
Stockport        20   26   -2      58.49     8.37    -6.08     0.00     0.23     5.46     1.23P    1.15R    0.15  
Chester          20   24   -1      57.26     8.39    -3.86     0.00     0.20     4.47     1.26P    1.55R    0.23  
Mansfield        20   24   -4      57.59     8.60    -7.76     0.00     0.18     4.82     1.16P    2.01R    0.28  
Wrexham          19   23   -9      49.48     8.28   -26.39     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.14P   13.32R    3.02  
Grimsby          20   23  -11      48.68     7.99   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P   14.55R    3.25  
Accrington       20   21   -4      55.78     8.67    -6.49     0.00     0.14     3.45     0.93P    3.63R    0.88  
Barnet           20   21   -9      48.81     8.21   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P   14.51R    3.35  
Rochdale         20   20   -6      49.43     8.33   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.11P   12.12R    3.09  
Torquay          20   19   -9      47.59     8.29   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.11P   18.17R    4.73  
Boston           20   17  -12      44.15     8.07   -28.15     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.01P   32.21R   10.21  
Macclesfield     20   10  -17      32.33     7.75   -39.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.59R   70.52  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Halifax vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         21   48  +26     102.24     7.34    56.50    67.76    99.93    82.08P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          21   46  +26      96.79     7.77    54.14    31.45    99.30    58.40P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             21   37   +4      75.39     8.50    10.38     0.24    49.16     9.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           21   37   +2      72.50     8.40     3.99     0.10    35.13     5.96P    0.03R    0.00  
York               21   37   +1      71.97     8.37     2.00     0.10    32.73     4.83P    0.04R    0.01  
Gravesend          22   35   +3      69.64     8.20     5.39     0.01    24.80     4.03P    0.11R    0.01  
Morecambe          20   33   +3      73.33     8.78    10.14     0.14    40.66     8.13P    0.06R    0.01  
Exeter             20   30   +8      71.60     8.77    16.78     0.14    34.58     8.71P    0.14R    0.01  
Aldershot          20   29   +4      68.25     8.83     9.30     0.04    21.97     4.47P    0.36R    0.01  
Crawley            20   29   +2      66.61     8.71     4.87     0.01    16.46     3.38P    0.58R    0.03  
Woking             21   28   +2      63.34     8.11     3.56     0.00     7.43     1.53P    1.05R    0.10  
Grays              21   27  +11      68.99     8.54    23.11     0.01    25.18     7.02P    0.24R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   20   27   -8      56.84     8.31   -16.82     0.00     1.96     0.28P    7.46R    1.26  
Stevenage          21   26   -1      60.42     8.38    -2.31     0.00     4.59     0.58P    3.12R    0.36  
Halifax            21   25   -2      58.74     8.41    -3.18     0.00     3.15     0.57P    4.45R    0.57  
Northwich          20   25   -9      55.63     8.53   -18.04     0.00     1.41     0.18P   10.61R    2.15  
Kidderminster      21   24   -6      54.53     8.14   -11.17     0.00     0.79     0.17P   11.12R    2.25  
St_Albans          22   23   -9      50.16     7.87   -20.71     0.00     0.18     0.03P   24.10R    6.04  
Cambridge_U        22   23   -9      49.35     7.66   -18.61     0.00     0.12     0.02P   26.79R    6.96  
Forest_Green       22   22   -8      48.47     7.64   -18.05     0.00     0.09     0.01P   30.53R    8.74  
Altrincham         21   22  -10      48.91     7.99   -21.61     0.00     0.19     0.02P   30.59R    8.82  
Tamworth           20   20  -12      46.50     8.19   -27.55     0.00     0.10     0.01P   42.53R   15.77  
Rushden_&_D        20   17   -7      45.32     8.11   -18.57     0.00     0.05     0.01P   46.20R   17.84  
Southport          21   17  -11      42.73     7.81   -23.56     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.87R   29.04