Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 7 December 2006 at 21:32:13 GMT
Premiership (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 December 2006, Newcastle vs Reading; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Manchester_U 16 41 +27 92.38 5.84 66.62 83.32 99.62 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 15 35 +17 83.40 7.13 44.00 16.45 90.53 99.27 99.89 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 15 25 +13 66.10 7.65 28.98 0.18 6.26 64.08 84.68 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 16 25 +7 60.35 7.54 15.03 0.01 1.00 32.25 60.91 0.04R 0.00 Liverpool 16 25 +4 61.46 7.56 13.95 0.04 1.29 36.82 65.97 0.03R 0.01 Reading 16 25 -2 55.21 7.45 -3.65 0.00 0.14 11.68 31.79 0.39R 0.02 Everton 16 24 +5 56.83 7.53 9.48 0.00 0.48 17.64 42.23 0.19R 0.00 Aston_Villa 16 24 +4 56.07 7.59 6.84 0.01 0.27 14.85 37.64 0.26R 0.03 Bolton 16 24 +0 55.07 7.31 1.24 0.01 0.21 11.05 31.50 0.35R 0.00 Tottenham 16 22 -5 49.78 7.38 -8.45 0.00 0.02 2.99 11.50 2.42R 0.20 Wigan 15 21 -1 51.84 7.85 -4.32 0.00 0.14 6.54 19.41 1.85R 0.17 Manchester_C 16 20 -4 44.81 7.16 -11.41 0.00 0.01 0.72 3.69 8.02R 1.14 Fulham 16 20 -7 45.89 7.28 -15.04 0.00 0.01 1.08 4.83 7.00R 0.81 Blackburn 15 16 -5 42.26 7.62 -14.20 0.00 0.00 0.52 2.52 17.16R 3.52 Newcastle 15 16 -5 41.11 7.41 -13.59 0.00 0.00 0.28 1.55 19.80R 4.04 Middlesbrough 16 16 -8 41.20 7.28 -17.19 0.00 0.00 0.18 1.33 20.00R 4.29 Sheffield_U 16 16 -9 37.21 6.87 -23.41 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.31 38.33R 10.04 West_Ham 16 14 -10 32.88 6.50 -26.86 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 64.36R 25.73 Charlton 16 12 -11 33.91 6.98 -25.14 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 56.74R 21.44 Watford 15 10 -10 32.54 7.28 -22.85 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 63.06R 28.57Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Sunderland vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Birmingham 21 40 +11 84.19 8.12 26.80 26.46 44.33 84.67 53.80P 0.00 0.00 Preston 21 38 +12 78.75 8.10 22.13 10.24 21.48 64.64 32.65P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 21 38 +11 82.65 7.98 27.78 20.38 37.41 80.92 48.80P 0.00 0.00 Derby 21 37 +6 77.66 8.19 16.15 7.21 16.77 58.72 25.52P 0.01R 0.00 Southampton 21 36 +10 79.65 8.12 25.96 11.70 24.11 69.89 34.86P 0.01R 0.00 Burnley 21 35 +8 73.88 8.32 15.11 3.13 8.53 41.36 15.97P 0.01R 0.00 Stoke 21 34 +14 80.67 7.86 33.63 14.62 29.43 75.07 45.16P 0.00 0.00 West_Bromwich 21 32 +10 74.75 8.24 23.33 4.04 10.49 47.48 20.32P 0.01R 0.00 Wolverhampton 21 32 -4 61.40 7.84 -10.02 0.07 0.20 3.79 0.83P 1.34R 0.01 Colchester 21 31 +8 70.52 8.23 16.34 1.19 3.87 28.00 9.49P 0.07R 0.00 Plymouth 21 30 +2 64.92 8.19 3.25 0.25 0.77 9.87 2.90P 0.58R 0.00 Coventry 21 30 +2 65.52 8.17 4.78 0.24 0.91 10.84 3.40P 0.42R 0.00 Sheffield_W 21 30 +1 62.22 8.12 -2.60 0.14 0.46 5.58 1.43P 1.11R 0.01 Sunderland 21 30 +1 65.10 7.96 2.35 0.19 0.78 9.75 2.69P 0.45R 0.01 Norwich 21 29 -5 60.33 8.11 -10.17 0.07 0.22 3.40 0.77P 2.13R 0.03 Crystal_Palace 21 26 -1 57.41 8.01 -5.31 0.01 0.07 1.71 0.48P 4.13R 0.10 Ipswich 21 25 +0 58.61 8.03 -1.28 0.03 0.12 2.33 0.51P 3.37R 0.07 Luton 21 25 -8 55.94 8.05 -14.48 0.00 0.03 0.98 0.21P 6.78R 0.21 Queens_PR 21 24 -5 54.30 8.18 -12.33 0.01 0.04 0.70 0.17P 10.12R 0.39 Leicester 21 22 -8 49.54 7.75 -17.71 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 23.03R 1.07 Barnsley 21 22 -11 49.55 7.97 -23.59 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 24.70R 1.36 Leeds 21 20 -17 42.73 7.38 -38.84 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 60.60R 6.92 Hull 21 17 -15 41.61 7.60 -29.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 63.45R 8.82 Southend 21 12 -22 29.18 6.65 -51.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.69R 81.01League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 6 December 2006, Chesterfield vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Nottingham 20 41 +12 88.02 8.25 29.17 37.64 59.73 93.97 69.25P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 20 36 +15 84.63 8.14 34.47 23.01 45.20 89.28 59.03P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 20 36 +8 79.29 8.52 19.76 8.58 20.44 70.83 31.82P 0.01R 0.00 Oldham 20 35 +13 81.33 8.46 29.05 13.13 29.16 79.89 43.88P 0.01R 0.00 Tranmere 20 35 +10 81.14 8.64 25.57 12.77 28.55 77.99 42.98P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 20 31 +6 71.94 8.52 14.92 1.70 5.34 38.99 12.16P 0.17R 0.00 Swansea 20 31 +5 69.44 8.58 9.83 0.93 2.96 27.80 8.24P 0.34R 0.00 Yeovil 20 31 +4 69.29 8.48 8.79 0.70 2.49 26.58 7.80P 0.33R 0.00 Carlisle 20 30 +2 67.26 8.54 5.23 0.53 1.70 19.36 5.29P 0.51R 0.01 Blackpool 20 28 +6 66.82 8.61 11.25 0.38 1.46 19.48 5.90P 0.81R 0.01 Doncaster 20 27 +4 64.52 8.31 7.86 0.21 0.86 12.24 3.90P 1.05R 0.01 Crewe 20 27 +2 63.26 8.67 2.81 0.16 0.74 10.51 2.55P 2.45R 0.11 Brighton 20 27 -3 60.44 8.59 -6.76 0.07 0.26 5.59 1.15P 4.54R 0.11 Gillingham 20 27 -5 58.88 8.47 -11.67 0.03 0.18 3.64 0.66P 6.68R 0.21 Bradford 20 26 +1 62.79 8.45 3.23 0.09 0.41 8.96 2.19P 2.23R 0.07 Port_Vale 20 26 -4 59.92 8.64 -6.62 0.04 0.17 4.75 0.94P 5.67R 0.12 Huddersfield 20 25 -5 58.81 8.40 -7.88 0.01 0.12 3.58 0.70P 6.42R 0.18 Chesterfield 20 24 -1 58.71 8.51 -2.20 0.03 0.14 3.87 0.84P 5.93R 0.23 Northampton 19 23 -3 56.59 8.53 -5.79 0.01 0.06 2.33 0.66P 9.77R 0.46 Bournemouth 20 20 -7 49.28 8.22 -16.18 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.06P 33.47R 2.83 Millwall 20 18 -13 41.37 7.69 -31.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 74.77R 15.64 Cheltenham 20 18 -13 41.91 7.76 -30.59 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 72.30R 14.41 Brentford 20 17 -19 36.95 7.19 -44.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.76R 37.34 Leyton_Orient 19 15 -15 38.75 8.07 -38.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 82.81R 28.28League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 December 2006, Wycombe vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Walsall 20 47 +24 104.11 7.28 57.05 90.66 99.38 99.98 99.63P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_C 20 38 +16 86.49 8.40 38.42 5.60 65.87 94.73 73.46P 0.00 0.00 Swindon_Town 20 37 +9 79.34 8.42 19.10 1.02 29.52 79.07 42.74P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 20 37 +9 81.00 8.39 21.47 1.41 37.42 84.09 50.82P 0.00 0.00 Milton_Keynes 20 36 +7 77.81 8.52 17.56 0.65 24.39 73.19 35.08P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 20 35 +6 74.36 8.66 11.69 0.34 13.47 58.62 22.59P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 20 31 +4 70.80 8.54 10.84 0.05 6.72 42.48 15.52P 0.01R 0.01 Darlington 20 30 +3 68.90 8.76 8.38 0.07 4.55 34.02 11.73P 0.06R 0.01 Hartlepool 20 29 +3 67.69 8.62 8.11 0.01 3.52 29.05 9.82P 0.07R 0.01 Hereford 20 28 +0 63.09 8.43 -0.57 0.01 0.99 13.95 3.94P 0.25R 0.03 Bristol_Rovers 20 28 -3 59.44 8.48 -7.42 0.00 0.31 6.57 1.55P 0.99R 0.15 Shrewsbury 19 26 +8 73.16 8.90 24.25 0.17 12.55 55.88 25.93P 0.01R 0.00 Bury 20 26 -2 60.23 8.68 -4.15 0.00 0.53 8.57 2.31P 0.96R 0.15 Stockport 20 26 -2 58.36 8.33 -6.29 0.00 0.28 5.28 1.43P 1.35R 0.15 Chester 20 24 -1 57.13 8.53 -4.16 0.00 0.18 4.51 1.26P 2.02R 0.33 Mansfield 20 24 -4 57.26 8.49 -8.18 0.00 0.13 4.34 0.95P 2.11R 0.33 Wrexham 19 23 -9 49.62 8.24 -26.17 0.00 0.01 0.65 0.12P 12.81R 2.83 Grimsby 20 23 -11 48.72 8.00 -28.18 0.00 0.01 0.38 0.08P 14.64R 3.31 Accrington 20 21 -4 55.15 8.63 -7.65 0.00 0.12 3.00 0.71P 3.98R 0.81 Barnet 20 21 -9 49.31 8.18 -22.80 0.00 0.02 0.48 0.12P 13.25R 3.01 Rochdale 20 20 -6 49.95 8.33 -14.67 0.00 0.01 0.77 0.16P 10.97R 2.42 Torquay 20 19 -9 47.45 8.28 -18.81 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.07P 18.84R 4.89 Boston 20 17 -12 44.39 8.00 -27.55 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 31.48R 9.02 Macclesfield 20 10 -17 31.73 7.69 -40.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.21R 72.55Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Halifax vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 21 48 +26 102.77 7.22 57.27 69.38 99.95 83.89P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 21 46 +26 96.99 7.63 54.42 30.04 99.45 58.59P 0.00 0.00 Burton 21 37 +4 75.49 8.39 10.47 0.18 50.31 10.27P 0.03R 0.00 Weymouth 21 37 +2 72.77 8.33 4.35 0.10 36.92 6.25P 0.06R 0.00 York 21 37 +1 72.29 8.47 2.45 0.07 35.35 5.07P 0.07R 0.00 Gravesend 22 35 +3 69.47 8.11 5.13 0.02 24.20 3.91P 0.10R 0.00 Morecambe 20 33 +3 72.73 8.84 9.25 0.10 38.70 7.57P 0.08R 0.00 Exeter 20 30 +8 70.95 8.75 15.78 0.07 32.43 7.85P 0.17R 0.01 Aldershot 20 29 +4 68.35 8.86 9.54 0.03 22.83 4.46P 0.38R 0.02 Crawley 20 29 +2 66.42 8.65 4.66 0.01 16.09 2.78P 0.55R 0.04 Woking 21 28 +2 63.48 8.32 3.80 0.00 8.80 1.69P 1.27R 0.13 Grays 21 27 +11 68.37 8.35 22.17 0.02 22.60 5.88P 0.21R 0.01 Stafford_Rangers 20 27 -8 56.76 8.42 -17.01 0.00 1.95 0.27P 8.36R 1.40 Stevenage 21 26 -1 60.27 8.41 -2.51 0.00 4.51 0.67P 3.40R 0.52 Halifax 21 25 -2 58.39 8.34 -3.64 0.00 2.76 0.45P 4.89R 0.73 Northwich 20 25 -9 55.50 8.58 -18.18 0.00 1.56 0.21P 11.22R 2.29 Kidderminster 21 24 -6 54.41 8.14 -11.29 0.00 0.85 0.13P 11.34R 2.28 St_Albans 22 23 -9 50.11 7.89 -20.77 0.00 0.19 0.01P 24.88R 6.41 Cambridge_U 22 23 -9 49.38 7.71 -18.54 0.00 0.11 0.03P 27.48R 7.33 Forest_Green 22 22 -8 48.77 7.67 -17.63 0.00 0.12 0.01P 29.40R 8.45 Altrincham 21 22 -10 49.35 8.11 -20.98 0.00 0.18 0.02P 29.30R 8.48 Tamworth 20 20 -12 46.69 8.17 -27.22 0.00 0.07 0.01P 42.02R 15.35 Rushden_&_D 20 17 -7 45.51 8.18 -18.34 0.00 0.03 0.01P 45.62R 17.84 Southport 21 17 -11 42.94 7.91 -23.18 0.00 0.03 0.01P 59.19R 28.71