Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 6 December 2006 at 21:33:17 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 December 2006, Charlton vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    16   41  +27      92.01     5.91    66.26    82.45    99.41    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   35  +17      83.32     7.11    43.97    17.20    89.53    99.09    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   25  +13      66.80     7.81    30.06     0.28     7.18    66.45    86.33     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      16   25   +7      59.90     7.67    14.33     0.01     1.04    30.18    58.65     0.06R    0.01  
Liverpool       16   25   +4      61.41     7.61    13.98     0.05     1.43    36.17    65.73     0.04R    0.00  
Reading         15   25   -1      57.13     7.83    -1.12     0.00     0.36    17.09    41.26     0.36R    0.00  
Everton         16   24   +5      56.80     7.51     9.36     0.01     0.52    17.48    42.24     0.17R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     16   24   +4      56.30     7.47     7.24     0.01     0.34    14.36    38.53     0.17R    0.01  
Bolton          16   24   +0      54.84     7.40     0.78     0.00     0.12    10.57    30.44     0.38R    0.03  
Tottenham       16   22   -5      49.96     7.45    -8.20     0.00     0.03     3.06    12.04     2.47R    0.27  
Manchester_C    16   20   -4      44.67     7.27   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.66     3.68     9.08R    1.27  
Fulham          16   20   -7      45.60     7.26   -15.66     0.00     0.00     0.91     4.54     7.50R    1.06  
Wigan           14   18   -3      48.56     8.13    -9.42     0.00     0.04     3.12    11.37     5.33R    0.79  
Blackburn       15   16   -5      41.92     7.43   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.38     2.04    17.68R    3.85  
Middlesbrough   16   16   -8      41.46     7.34   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.50    19.47R    4.49  
Sheffield_U     16   16   -9      37.44     6.93   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.37    38.30R   10.39  
West_Ham        15   14   -8      36.07     7.37   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.35    46.02R   15.36  
Newcastle       14   13   -6      38.40     7.67   -15.18     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.88    32.84R    9.54  
Charlton        16   12  -11      33.77     6.97   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    57.95R   23.70  
Watford         15   10  -10      32.81     7.27   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07    62.20R   29.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Southend vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       21   40  +11      83.99     8.06    26.63    25.82    43.68    83.76    53.54P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          21   38  +12      78.66     8.06    22.01     9.82    20.46    64.19    31.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          21   38  +11      82.61     7.97    27.73    19.65    37.03    80.87    48.03P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            21   37   +6      77.43     8.35    15.82     7.26    16.20    57.85    24.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      21   36  +10      79.72     8.12    26.11    12.30    25.40    69.82    36.37P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          21   35   +8      73.71     8.23    14.93     3.27     8.30    40.33    15.84P    0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            21   34  +14      80.76     7.96    33.82    15.19    30.07    75.73    46.05P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    21   32  +10      75.04     8.12    23.79     4.31    10.71    48.96    20.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    21   32   -4      61.23     7.91   -10.28     0.02     0.23     3.69     0.85P    1.44R    0.01  
Colchester       21   31   +8      70.50     8.16    16.26     1.43     4.12    27.46     9.97P    0.03R    0.00  
Plymouth         21   30   +2      64.71     8.21     2.85     0.23     0.84     9.52     2.73P    0.72R    0.00  
Coventry         21   30   +2      66.46     8.20     6.10     0.30     1.20    13.22     4.22P    0.29R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      21   30   +1      62.04     8.14    -3.03     0.13     0.47     5.25     1.45P    1.21R    0.00  
Sunderland       21   30   +1      65.36     8.03     2.86     0.20     0.91    10.44     2.73P    0.41R    0.00  
Norwich          21   29   -5      60.39     7.97   -10.01     0.01     0.14     3.15     0.63P    1.94R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   21   26   -1      57.54     8.08    -5.17     0.01     0.06     1.75     0.43P    4.11R    0.08  
Ipswich          21   25   +0      58.48     8.05    -1.49     0.03     0.10     2.25     0.55P    3.49R    0.08  
Luton            21   25   -8      55.32     7.92   -15.54     0.01     0.05     0.75     0.16P    7.72R    0.24  
Queens_PR        21   24   -5      54.37     8.20   -12.14     0.01     0.03     0.72     0.16P   10.01R    0.31  
Leicester        21   22   -8      49.55     7.75   -17.63     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   23.34R    1.11  
Barnsley         21   22  -11      49.49     7.96   -23.71     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   24.24R    1.50  
Leeds            21   20  -17      43.18     7.56   -38.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    58.13R    7.03  
Hull             21   17  -15      41.37     7.46   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.28R    9.25  
Southend         21   12  -22      29.27     6.68   -51.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.56R   80.38  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 December 2006, Scunthorpe vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      20   41  +12      88.04     8.40    29.16    38.20    59.66    93.36    68.65P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      20   36  +15      84.84     8.16    34.76    23.89    45.41    89.83    59.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    20   36   +8      79.53     8.64    20.04     8.89    21.42    71.25    32.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          20   35  +13      81.39     8.35    29.08    12.80    29.30    79.74    44.06P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        20   35  +10      80.99     8.38    25.35    11.44    26.83    78.00    41.58P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       20   31   +6      71.19     8.52    13.68     1.41     4.55    35.09    10.46P    0.14R    0.01  
Swansea         20   31   +5      70.06     8.55    10.92     0.92     3.38    30.00     9.18P    0.28R    0.00  
Yeovil          20   31   +4      69.87     8.51     9.59     0.93     3.32    28.64     9.39P    0.23R    0.00  
Carlisle        20   30   +2      66.84     8.38     4.68     0.36     1.41    17.77     4.88P    0.60R    0.01  
Blackpool       20   28   +6      66.93     8.68    11.42     0.47     1.82    19.92     5.96P    0.74R    0.00  
Doncaster       20   27   +4      64.56     8.28     7.86     0.13     0.60    12.21     3.65P    1.22R    0.03  
Crewe           20   27   +2      63.30     8.65     3.01     0.18     0.80    10.41     2.46P    2.04R    0.06  
Brighton        20   27   -3      60.13     8.50    -7.26     0.07     0.22     4.71     0.92P    4.93R    0.12  
Gillingham      20   27   -5      59.10     8.42   -11.27     0.04     0.16     3.77     0.79P    6.03R    0.16  
Bradford        20   26   +1      62.91     8.58     3.38     0.12     0.47     9.34     2.31P    2.37R    0.04  
Port_Vale       20   26   -4      59.87     8.58    -6.65     0.05     0.20     4.66     1.04P    5.24R    0.15  
Huddersfield    20   25   -5      58.42     8.41    -8.62     0.00     0.06     2.94     0.48P    7.21R    0.20  
Chesterfield    19   23   -1      59.50     8.82    -1.66     0.07     0.29     5.25     1.24P    5.88R    0.14  
Northampton     18   22   -3      56.71     9.02    -6.44     0.03     0.10     2.84     0.81P   10.87R    0.51  
Bournemouth     20   20   -7      49.23     8.23   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   33.73R    2.67  
Millwall        20   18  -13      41.46     7.71   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    74.64R   15.48  
Cheltenham      20   18  -13      42.04     7.86   -30.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    70.97R   13.96  
Brentford       20   17  -19      36.94     7.27   -44.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    89.55R   36.97  
Leyton_Orient   19   15  -15      38.51     8.17   -38.98     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    83.31R   29.50  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 December 2006, Torquay vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          20   47  +24     103.89     7.32    56.57    90.34    99.38    99.97    99.61P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        20   38  +16      86.33     8.30    38.06     5.48    64.76    94.69    72.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     20   37   +9      79.76     8.51    19.77     1.42    31.15    80.27    44.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          20   37   +9      80.82     8.48    21.20     1.28    36.06    83.40    49.42P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    20   36   +7      77.45     8.72    16.94     0.73    23.35    71.33    34.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     20   35   +6      74.69     8.71    12.27     0.36    14.77    59.25    23.68P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     20   31   +4      71.40     8.64    11.73     0.12     7.55    45.33    17.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Darlington       20   30   +3      68.76     8.72     8.15     0.04     4.84    33.67    11.44P    0.06R    0.00  
Hartlepool       20   29   +3      67.63     8.61     8.00     0.01     3.34    29.06     9.44P    0.07R    0.01  
Hereford         20   28   +0      62.84     8.45    -1.02     0.01     0.96    13.13     3.85P    0.43R    0.05  
Bristol_Rovers   20   28   -3      59.33     8.31    -7.58     0.00     0.42     6.17     1.68P    0.69R    0.10  
Shrewsbury       19   26   +8      73.06     8.87    24.02     0.20    12.06    54.88    25.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury             20   26   -2      60.15     8.58    -4.27     0.00     0.52     8.19     2.26P    1.04R    0.11  
Stockport        20   26   -2      58.57     8.50    -5.95     0.00     0.29     5.91     1.58P    1.28R    0.20  
Chester          20   24   -1      57.20     8.60    -3.94     0.00     0.23     4.64     1.28P    1.85R    0.29  
Mansfield        20   24   -4      57.32     8.44    -8.27     0.00     0.17     4.21     0.95P    2.10R    0.25  
Wrexham          19   23   -9      49.71     8.36   -25.97     0.00     0.01     0.58     0.12P   13.02R    2.67  
Grimsby          20   23  -11      48.56     7.92   -28.32     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.04P   14.55R    3.10  
Accrington       20   21   -4      55.65     8.68    -6.65     0.00     0.10     3.34     0.78P    3.62R    0.91  
Barnet           20   21   -9      49.28     8.12   -22.71     0.00     0.01     0.51     0.11P   12.73R    2.92  
Rochdale         20   20   -6      49.77     8.34   -15.09     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.17P   11.05R    2.44  
Torquay          20   19   -9      47.53     8.33   -18.69     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.06P   18.64R    4.49  
Boston           20   17  -12      44.28     7.93   -27.75     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   31.68R    9.26  
Macclesfield     20   10  -17      31.67     7.52   -40.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.14R   73.19  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Cambridge_U vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         21   48  +26     102.92     7.28    57.64    69.86    99.95    84.02P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          21   46  +26      96.88     7.73    54.34    29.55    99.40    57.85P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             21   37   +4      75.15     8.27     9.93     0.13    48.51     9.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           21   37   +2      72.70     8.43     4.21     0.10    36.35     6.13P    0.02R    0.00  
York               21   37   +1      72.03     8.36     2.05     0.05    33.33     4.78P    0.05R    0.00  
Gravesend          22   35   +3      69.99     8.10     5.92     0.01    25.91     4.24P    0.09R    0.01  
Morecambe          20   33   +3      73.27     8.82    10.06     0.15    40.73     8.08P    0.14R    0.01  
Exeter             20   30   +8      71.15     8.71    16.12     0.10    33.12     8.34P    0.14R    0.00  
Aldershot          20   29   +4      68.23     8.79     9.30     0.03    22.55     4.46P    0.40R    0.03  
Crawley            20   29   +2      66.46     8.88     4.62     0.01    16.27     3.08P    0.78R    0.06  
Woking             21   28   +2      63.40     8.19     3.54     0.01     8.15     1.55P    1.24R    0.15  
Grays              21   27  +11      68.68     8.33    22.65     0.01    23.50     5.97P    0.20R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   20   27   -8      56.58     8.24   -17.14     0.00     1.84     0.15P    7.55R    1.38  
Stevenage          21   26   -1      60.15     8.32    -2.71     0.00     4.45     0.68P    3.29R    0.44  
Halifax            21   25   -2      58.15     8.45    -4.06     0.00     2.81     0.61P    5.44R    0.79  
Northwich          20   25   -9      55.60     8.53   -18.11     0.00     1.47     0.18P   10.91R    2.16  
Kidderminster      21   24   -6      54.44     8.19   -11.23     0.00     0.93     0.10P   11.55R    2.15  
St_Albans          22   23   -9      50.19     7.88   -20.57     0.00     0.21     0.03P   24.56R    6.18  
Cambridge_U        22   23   -9      49.32     7.59   -18.67     0.00     0.10     0.02P   27.74R    7.21  
Forest_Green       22   22   -8      48.84     7.65   -17.47     0.00     0.09     0.01P   29.26R    8.19  
Altrincham         21   22  -10      49.24     8.05   -21.20     0.00     0.18     0.03P   29.64R    8.33  
Tamworth           20   20  -12      46.92     8.24   -26.78     0.00     0.10     0.01P   41.30R   14.95  
Rushden_&_D        20   17   -7      45.30     8.19   -18.80     0.00     0.04     0.00    46.02R   18.46  
Southport          21   17  -11      42.74     7.91   -23.62     0.00     0.01     0.01P   59.66R   29.50