Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 5 December 2006 at 21:32:11 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 December 2006, Manchester_C vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    16   41  +27      92.30     5.81    66.47    83.37    99.59   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   35  +17      83.28     7.11    43.85    16.40    89.44    99.12    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   25  +13      66.94     7.65    30.44     0.20     7.10    67.42    87.00     0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth      16   25   +7      60.18     7.65    14.79     0.01     1.16    30.41    59.38     0.06R    0.00  
Liverpool       16   25   +4      61.84     7.48    14.64     0.01     1.33    37.80    67.91     0.02R    0.00  
Reading         15   25   -1      57.14     7.78    -1.19     0.01     0.37    16.75    40.61     0.21R    0.03  
Everton         16   24   +5      56.74     7.41     9.28     0.00     0.50    16.20    41.45     0.15R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     16   24   +4      56.48     7.42     7.54     0.00     0.28    14.59    39.33     0.20R    0.01  
Bolton          16   24   +0      54.69     7.32     0.52     0.00     0.12     9.51    29.32     0.40R    0.02  
Manchester_C    16   20   -4      44.87     7.16   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.78     3.65     7.85R    0.91  
Fulham          16   20   -7      45.37     7.17   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.74     3.73     7.81R    0.91  
Tottenham       15   19   -6      47.91     7.75    -9.48     0.01     0.02     2.12     8.62     4.82R    0.49  
Wigan           14   18   -3      48.16     8.17   -10.25     0.00     0.07     2.89    10.26     5.71R    0.81  
Blackburn       14   16   -4      44.40     8.01   -12.27     0.00     0.01     0.94     4.71    12.05R    2.29  
Middlesbrough   15   16   -7      42.96     7.77   -15.27     0.00     0.01     0.54     2.79    15.05R    3.13  
Sheffield_U     16   16   -9      37.29     6.84   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.34    37.09R    8.76  
West_Ham        15   14   -8      36.09     7.20   -22.02     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.32    44.66R   13.30  
Newcastle       14   13   -6      37.66     7.62   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.58    35.20R    9.92  
Watford         15   10  -10      32.83     7.31   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    60.84R   26.27  
Charlton        15    9  -12      31.64     7.27   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    67.86R   33.13  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Southend vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       21   40  +11      84.08     8.02    26.66    26.04    44.21    84.48    53.95P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          21   38  +12      78.73     8.21    21.98    10.55    21.35    64.58    32.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   38  +11      82.80     7.90    28.02    20.72    38.06    81.67    49.27P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            21   37   +6      77.39     8.31    15.76     7.32    16.21    57.56    24.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      21   36  +10      79.51     8.11    25.77    11.37    23.94    68.95    34.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          21   35   +8      73.69     8.21    14.85     3.21     8.19    40.69    15.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Stoke            21   34  +14      80.59     7.82    33.57    14.04    29.14    75.16    44.84P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    21   32  +10      74.89     8.31    23.61     4.41    10.96    48.36    20.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    21   32   -4      61.63     8.07    -9.60     0.10     0.30     4.39     1.08P    1.40R    0.01  
Colchester       21   31   +8      70.19     8.26    15.80     1.16     3.79    26.75     9.35P    0.09R    0.00  
Plymouth         21   30   +2      65.29     8.26     3.74     0.32     1.07    10.98     3.24P    0.47R    0.00  
Coventry         21   30   +2      65.85     8.06     5.28     0.28     1.07    11.59     3.85P    0.26R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      21   30   +1      62.05     8.25    -2.89     0.12     0.46     5.69     1.63P    1.13R    0.02  
Sunderland       21   30   +1      65.06     8.05     2.33     0.28     0.74     9.72     2.66P    0.51R    0.01  
Norwich          21   29   -5      60.28     8.11   -10.25     0.05     0.18     3.41     0.65P    2.25R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   21   26   -1      57.45     7.97    -5.27     0.03     0.08     1.57     0.37P    4.12R    0.09  
Ipswich          21   25   +0      58.86     8.08    -0.97     0.02     0.14     2.59     0.70P    3.12R    0.05  
Luton            21   25   -8      55.75     8.02   -14.84     0.00     0.04     0.85     0.18P    6.92R    0.28  
Queens_PR        21   24   -5      54.41     8.22   -12.09     0.01     0.03     0.79     0.12P   10.23R    0.32  
Leicester        21   22   -8      49.71     7.76   -17.44     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.04P   22.05R    1.06  
Barnsley         21   22  -11      49.30     7.91   -24.01     0.00     0.01     0.09     0.02P   25.57R    1.50  
Leeds            21   20  -17      42.98     7.39   -38.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.61R    7.24  
Hull             21   17  -15      41.36     7.58   -29.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.96R    9.66  
Southend         21   12  -22      29.31     6.81   -51.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.31R   79.75  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 December 2006, Scunthorpe vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      19   41  +14      92.80     8.44    36.10    56.95    77.10    97.88    82.92P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      20   36  +15      84.54     8.33    34.35    17.03    41.72    88.37    56.47P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        20   35  +10      80.70     8.52    24.89     8.32    23.48    76.39    38.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    19   33   +7      77.79     8.83    18.92     4.72    14.86    63.88    26.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          19   32  +12      80.62     8.83    29.91     8.62    24.76    76.44    40.09P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham       20   31   +6      71.54     8.60    14.24     1.10     4.30    36.78    10.65P    0.12R    0.00  
Swansea         19   31   +6      71.98     8.93    12.61     1.38     5.17    38.50    12.38P    0.16R    0.00  
Yeovil          20   31   +4      69.74     8.62     9.37     0.65     2.59    28.42     8.51P    0.27R    0.01  
Carlisle        19   30   +3      68.15     9.02     5.57     0.46     2.29    23.15     6.59P    0.56R    0.01  
Crewe           19   27   +3      63.53     8.80     1.42     0.15     0.74    11.09     2.58P    2.21R    0.03  
Gillingham      19   27   -3      61.66     8.96    -7.48     0.08     0.43     7.92     1.61P    3.90R    0.14  
Blackpool       19   25   +5      66.79     8.84    12.57     0.34     1.41    19.94     5.88P    0.98R    0.04  
Doncaster       19   24   +0      59.16     8.60    -0.85     0.01     0.10     4.06     0.94P    5.56R    0.16  
Brighton        19   24   -4      57.49     8.88    -9.64     0.02     0.17     3.17     0.67P    8.90R    0.45  
Huddersfield    19   24   -5      59.70     8.94    -7.35     0.03     0.17     5.01     0.97P    6.03R    0.34  
Bradford        19   23   +0      61.35     8.92     2.42     0.07     0.31     7.73     1.83P    3.82R    0.17  
Chesterfield    19   23   -1      59.39     8.89    -1.94     0.03     0.18     4.90     1.09P    5.54R    0.24  
Port_Vale       19   23   -6      57.46     8.94   -10.20     0.02     0.11     3.18     0.66P    9.49R    0.68  
Northampton     18   22   -3      57.34     8.99    -5.71     0.03     0.10     3.08     0.79P    9.02R    0.51  
Cheltenham      19   18  -12      42.21     8.03   -31.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   67.75R   17.05  
Bournemouth     19   17   -9      44.61     8.32   -22.82     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.01P   55.38R   10.21  
Millwall        19   17  -13      42.13     8.21   -31.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   67.86R   17.93  
Brentford       19   17  -15      40.41     7.68   -35.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    76.31R   23.50  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      39.94     8.56   -37.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    76.11R   28.54  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Accrington vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          19   44  +23     102.92     7.60    56.05    86.86    98.81    99.95    99.27P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     19   37  +11      83.63     8.41    25.39     4.07    47.76    90.06    59.95P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        19   35  +15      85.54     8.58    38.61     5.88    59.66    92.80    68.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          19   34   +8      78.98     8.83    20.02     1.43    27.12    75.72    41.11P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     19   34   +6      74.72     9.07    11.62     0.45    14.97    58.26    23.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes    19   33   +5      75.31     8.92    13.99     0.58    16.09    61.09    25.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     19   31   +5      74.02     8.93    14.77     0.34    12.47    56.06    23.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       19   30   +4      70.33     8.97     9.59     0.12     6.50    39.55    14.34P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   19   28   -2      60.14     8.87    -7.85     0.00     0.65     7.87     2.17P    0.98R    0.10  
Hereford         19   27   +0      63.26     8.81    -1.06     0.01     1.23    14.84     4.08P    0.37R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       19   26   +8      73.11     8.91    24.14     0.23    11.30    54.35    24.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Hartlepool       19   26   +2      64.49     9.03     4.72     0.03     1.91    18.82     6.02P    0.22R    0.02  
Stockport        19   26   +0      60.73     8.83    -2.85     0.00     0.61     9.44     2.79P    0.71R    0.04  
Bury             19   26   -1      60.64     8.84    -4.36     0.00     0.63     9.18     2.54P    0.90R    0.07  
Wrexham          18   22   -9      48.72     8.39   -28.14     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.06P   15.50R    2.57  
Chester          19   21   -3      54.32     8.82    -7.42     0.00     0.07     2.35     0.68P    4.50R    0.58  
Accrington       20   21   -4      55.65     8.63    -6.60     0.00     0.10     3.08     0.73P    3.29R    0.58  
Mansfield        19   21   -6      53.54     8.63   -13.80     0.00     0.05     1.69     0.41P    5.38R    0.73  
Barnet           19   21   -8      52.89     8.81   -18.07     0.00     0.03     1.60     0.41P    7.11R    1.09  
Rochdale         19   20   -5      52.85     8.94   -11.39     0.00     0.03     2.00     0.51P    6.60R    1.40  
Grimsby          19   20  -12      45.69     8.35   -32.19     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   25.84R    5.13  
Torquay          19   18   -9      48.56     8.52   -17.67     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.12P   15.14R    2.78  
Boston           19   17  -10      46.34     8.40   -23.93     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.05P   22.30R    4.59  
Macclesfield     19    7  -18      29.05     7.85   -43.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.05R   80.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Cambridge_U vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         21   48  +26     102.24     7.29    56.46    68.07    99.95    83.37P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          21   46  +26      96.70     7.79    53.96    31.12    99.36    58.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             21   37   +4      74.91     8.45     9.64     0.23    48.02     9.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth           21   37   +2      72.33     8.25     3.72     0.10    34.87     5.48P    0.04R    0.00  
York               21   37   +1      72.41     8.38     2.73     0.10    35.38     5.07P    0.06R    0.01  
Gravesend          22   35   +3      69.36     8.14     4.97     0.03    23.41     3.66P    0.17R    0.01  
Morecambe          20   33   +3      73.25     8.87     9.94     0.16    40.74     8.39P    0.09R    0.01  
Exeter             20   30   +8      71.31     8.74    16.36     0.14    33.80     8.53P    0.15R    0.01  
Aldershot          20   29   +4      67.96     8.75     8.84     0.01    21.70     4.18P    0.39R    0.03  
Crawley            20   29   +2      66.74     8.78     5.10     0.01    17.38     3.41P    0.68R    0.04  
Woking             21   28   +2      63.75     8.12     4.21     0.01     8.64     1.68P    1.03R    0.10  
Grays              21   27  +11      68.62     8.50    22.57     0.01    24.16     6.62P    0.23R    0.02  
Stafford_Rangers   20   27   -8      56.94     8.25   -16.65     0.00     1.85     0.24P    7.16R    1.16  
Stevenage          21   26   -1      60.23     8.41    -2.63     0.00     4.70     0.66P    3.44R    0.55  
Halifax            21   25   -2      58.08     8.38    -4.13     0.00     2.71     0.47P    5.24R    0.91  
Northwich          20   25   -9      55.51     8.59   -18.20     0.00     1.55     0.17P   11.47R    2.31  
Kidderminster      21   24   -6      54.79     8.25   -10.87     0.00     1.03     0.18P   10.92R    2.04  
St_Albans          22   23   -9      50.22     8.20   -20.60     0.00     0.27     0.04P   25.65R    7.04  
Cambridge_U        22   23   -9      49.21     7.62   -18.82     0.00     0.10     0.01P   28.42R    7.74  
Forest_Green       22   22   -8      48.82     7.73   -17.56     0.00     0.10     0.01P   29.86R    8.56  
Altrincham         21   22  -10      49.25     7.93   -21.05     0.00     0.14     0.02P   29.54R    8.21  
Tamworth           20   20  -12      46.96     8.26   -26.67     0.00     0.07     0.01P   41.23R   14.62  
Rushden_&_D        20   17   -7      45.57     8.39   -18.32     0.00     0.06     0.00    45.97R   18.64  
Southport          21   17  -11      43.09     7.96   -22.99     0.00     0.02     0.00    58.27R   28.00