Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 4 December 2006 at 21:32:11 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 December 2006, Everton vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    16   41  +27      92.30     5.80    66.50    83.17    99.64   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   35  +17      83.58     6.89    44.13    16.65    91.28    99.38    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   25  +13      66.28     7.60    29.37     0.14     5.80    64.28    85.25     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      16   25   +7      60.15     7.57    14.77     0.00     0.89    30.68    59.32     0.07R    0.00  
Liverpool       16   25   +4      61.39     7.51    14.01     0.03     1.16    36.25    65.11     0.04R    0.01  
Reading         15   25   -1      57.31     7.78    -0.85     0.01     0.40    17.80    42.03     0.21R    0.01  
Everton         16   24   +5      56.69     7.46     9.17     0.00     0.34    16.61    40.63     0.14R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     16   24   +4      56.23     7.53     7.19     0.01     0.22    14.71    37.73     0.20R    0.01  
Bolton          16   24   +0      54.73     7.46     0.67     0.00     0.14    10.32    30.05     0.41R    0.04  
Fulham          16   20   -7      45.44     7.35   -15.74     0.00     0.02     0.88     4.25     7.87R    0.96  
Manchester_C    15   19   -4      46.82     7.70    -9.47     0.00     0.01     1.59     6.72     5.91R    0.67  
Tottenham       15   19   -6      48.17     7.76    -9.26     0.00     0.04     2.37     9.02     4.49R    0.55  
Wigan           14   18   -3      48.74     8.13    -9.10     0.00     0.05     3.38    11.47     5.00R    0.68  
Blackburn       14   16   -4      44.52     8.03   -11.93     0.00     0.01     1.13     4.77    11.74R    2.23  
Middlesbrough   15   16   -7      42.12     7.75   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.43     2.12    17.88R    3.52  
Sheffield_U     16   16   -9      37.22     6.87   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.33    38.01R    8.98  
West_Ham        15   14   -8      36.07     7.22   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.33    44.16R   12.38  
Newcastle       14   13   -6      37.86     7.61   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.69    34.07R    8.89  
Watford         14    9  -10      32.38     7.66   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    63.00R   29.05  
Charlton        15    9  -12      31.71     7.41   -27.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    66.81R   32.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Southend vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       21   40  +11      83.99     8.23    26.52    25.82    43.60    83.97    53.30P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          21   38  +12      78.92     8.30    22.21    10.64    22.14    65.69    33.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          21   38  +11      82.97     7.90    28.34    21.27    39.24    82.78    50.56P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            21   37   +6      77.32     8.38    15.66     7.22    16.27    56.99    24.32P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      21   36  +10      79.55     8.12    25.78    11.86    24.55    69.50    35.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          21   35   +8      73.56     8.17    14.67     3.06     7.61    39.57    15.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            21   34  +14      80.24     7.94    33.00    13.62    28.09    73.75    43.69P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    21   32  +10      75.06     8.14    23.86     4.29    10.88    49.41    21.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    21   32   -4      61.68     8.01    -9.60     0.08     0.24     4.51     0.98P    1.42R    0.01  
Colchester       21   31   +8      70.24     8.13    15.89     1.16     3.69    26.59     9.43P    0.08R    0.01  
Plymouth         21   30   +2      65.00     8.22     3.29     0.24     0.89    10.29     2.98P    0.51R    0.01  
Coventry         21   30   +2      65.67     8.19     5.08     0.26     1.00    11.31     3.45P    0.40R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      21   30   +1      62.09     8.16    -2.90     0.13     0.43     5.45     1.43P    1.11R    0.04  
Sunderland       21   30   +1      65.50     8.03     3.06     0.26     0.90    10.76     2.85P    0.32R    0.01  
Norwich          21   29   -5      60.39     8.05    -9.96     0.06     0.25     3.35     0.78P    2.02R    0.05  
Crystal_Palace   21   26   -1      57.65     8.10    -4.95     0.00     0.04     1.77     0.40P    3.96R    0.14  
Ipswich          21   25   +0      58.60     7.97    -1.37     0.01     0.09     2.35     0.58P    3.14R    0.06  
Luton            21   25   -8      55.60     8.02   -15.06     0.01     0.03     0.93     0.20P    7.07R    0.28  
Queens_PR        21   24   -5      54.57     8.12   -11.78     0.02     0.05     0.77     0.17P    8.96R    0.34  
Leicester        21   22   -8      49.27     7.81   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   24.48R    1.44  
Barnsley         21   22  -11      49.24     7.93   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   25.24R    1.51  
Leeds            21   20  -17      43.16     7.48   -38.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   58.12R    7.06  
Hull             21   17  -15      41.08     7.55   -30.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    66.04R   10.42  
Southend         21   12  -22      29.61     6.76   -51.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.11R   78.64  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Rotherham vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      19   41  +14      92.76     8.36    36.04    54.55    76.28    97.91    82.56P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      19   35  +15      85.72     8.52    35.55    20.48    46.26    89.98    60.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Tranmere        19   34  +10      80.65     8.79    24.32     8.07    22.42    75.82    38.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    19   33   +7      77.40     9.00    18.43     4.04    13.38    62.03    24.15P    0.04R    0.00  
Oldham          19   32  +12      81.04     8.85    30.58     8.96    25.13    77.92    40.62P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       20   31   +6      71.66     8.60    14.51     0.90     4.03    37.62    10.87P    0.20R    0.01  
Swansea         19   31   +6      72.21     9.04    12.89     1.34     4.91    39.55    12.38P    0.15R    0.00  
Yeovil          20   31   +4      69.57     8.46     9.13     0.46     2.23    27.57     7.96P    0.20R    0.01  
Carlisle        19   30   +3      68.37     8.76     5.95     0.49     1.95    23.71     6.74P    0.52R    0.01  
Crewe           19   27   +3      63.09     8.86     0.79     0.20     0.69    10.58     2.35P    2.35R    0.10  
Gillingham      19   27   -3      61.36     8.77    -7.95     0.07     0.32     7.05     1.37P    3.89R    0.07  
Blackpool       19   25   +5      66.15     8.79    11.70     0.29     1.25    18.20     5.20P    1.00R    0.04  
Doncaster       19   24   +0      59.07     8.50    -1.04     0.01     0.10     3.87     0.94P    5.08R    0.18  
Brighton        19   24   -4      57.42     8.81    -9.74     0.01     0.07     3.06     0.59P    8.98R    0.61  
Huddersfield    19   24   -5      59.59     9.00    -7.48     0.03     0.20     5.00     1.03P    6.49R    0.33  
Bradford        19   23   +0      61.29     9.03     2.30     0.04     0.35     7.84     1.87P    3.98R    0.16  
Chesterfield    19   23   -1      59.48     8.93    -1.80     0.04     0.15     5.11     1.21P    5.79R    0.20  
Port_Vale       19   23   -6      57.75     8.95    -9.65     0.01     0.14     3.44     0.85P    9.04R    0.54  
Northampton     18   22   -3      57.53     9.20    -5.35     0.03     0.16     3.60     0.95P    9.12R    0.46  
Cheltenham      19   18  -12      42.65     8.17   -30.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   66.12R   16.09  
Bournemouth     19   17   -9      44.73     8.41   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   54.73R   10.26  
Millwall        19   17  -13      42.05     8.08   -31.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   68.59R   17.57  
Brentford       19   17  -15      40.16     7.77   -35.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.41R   24.48  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      39.87     8.51   -38.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    76.31R   28.90  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Accrington vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          19   44  +23     102.79     7.70    55.83    86.33    98.65    99.97    99.19P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     19   37  +11      83.37     8.74    25.01     4.01    47.59    88.69    59.02P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        19   35  +15      85.64     8.61    38.85     6.37    59.95    93.08    69.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          19   34   +8      78.72     8.99    19.60     1.23    27.39    74.71    40.90P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     19   34   +6      74.99     9.21    12.04     0.60    15.88    59.65    24.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes    19   33   +5      74.91     9.02    13.40     0.65    14.97    59.28    24.21P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     19   31   +5      73.80     8.95    14.32     0.39    12.35    55.51    23.16P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       19   30   +4      70.25     8.86     9.36     0.15     6.34    39.05    14.10P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   19   28   -2      59.84     8.71    -8.31     0.01     0.59     7.38     2.03P    0.85R    0.07  
Hereford         19   27   +0      63.39     8.93    -0.81     0.01     1.35    15.69     4.58P    0.38R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       19   26   +8      73.08     8.85    24.07     0.23    11.28    55.04    24.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool       19   26   +2      64.75     8.89     5.09     0.03     1.75    19.64     6.15P    0.22R    0.01  
Stockport        19   26   +0      60.71     8.92    -2.90     0.00     0.82     9.96     2.98P    0.68R    0.08  
Bury             19   26   -1      60.64     8.82    -4.36     0.01     0.65     9.44     2.45P    0.71R    0.07  
Wrexham          18   22   -9      49.58     8.59   -26.72     0.00     0.02     0.73     0.12P   13.51R    2.31  
Chester          19   21   -3      54.72     8.71    -6.90     0.00     0.12     2.56     0.69P    3.92R    0.49  
Accrington       20   21   -4      55.73     8.51    -6.43     0.00     0.11     3.21     0.81P    2.98R    0.49  
Mansfield        19   21   -6      53.29     8.61   -14.24     0.00     0.04     1.80     0.44P    5.58R    0.78  
Barnet           19   21   -8      52.85     8.81   -18.09     0.00     0.04     1.76     0.37P    7.24R    1.04  
Rochdale         19   20   -5      52.76     8.97   -11.53     0.00     0.10     1.84     0.55P    6.98R    1.32  
Grimsby          19   20  -12      45.67     8.35   -32.21     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P   26.55R    5.59  
Torquay          19   18   -9      48.38     8.75   -17.81     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.14P   16.52R    3.09  
Boston           19   17  -10      46.26     8.33   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   22.93R    4.93  
Macclesfield     19    7  -18      29.23     7.83   -43.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.89R   79.69  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Cambridge_U vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         21   48  +26     102.59     7.33    56.94    69.55    99.94    84.03P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          21   46  +26      96.71     7.75    53.90    29.73    99.45    57.48P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             21   37   +4      75.19     8.32    10.05     0.20    48.99     9.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           21   37   +2      72.26     8.40     3.54     0.09    34.74     5.71P    0.01R    0.00  
York               21   37   +1      72.51     8.35     2.72     0.10    36.19     5.70P    0.07R    0.00  
Gravesend          22   35   +3      69.27     8.20     4.85     0.04    23.73     4.05P    0.14R    0.00  
Morecambe          20   33   +3      73.02     8.81     9.68     0.15    39.27     8.01P    0.10R    0.00  
Exeter             20   30   +8      71.08     8.91    16.03     0.08    33.23     8.20P    0.17R    0.01  
Aldershot          20   29   +4      67.72     8.85     8.59     0.03    20.77     3.92P    0.46R    0.09  
Crawley            20   29   +2      67.17     8.88     5.79     0.02    19.17     3.65P    0.52R    0.04  
Woking             21   28   +2      63.38     8.34     3.57     0.01     8.63     1.66P    1.29R    0.09  
Grays              21   27  +11      68.51     8.42    22.37     0.01    23.60     6.18P    0.21R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   20   27   -8      56.85     8.37   -16.67     0.00     1.86     0.21P    8.16R    1.21  
Stevenage          21   26   -1      60.33     8.47    -2.52     0.01     4.55     0.67P    3.38R    0.51  
Halifax            21   25   -2      58.21     8.42    -4.01     0.00     2.87     0.43P    5.25R    0.81  
Northwich          20   25   -9      55.76     8.48   -17.80     0.00     1.49     0.13P   10.51R    2.00  
Kidderminster      21   24   -6      54.38     8.10   -11.29     0.00     0.76     0.14P   11.63R    2.10  
St_Albans          22   23   -9      50.54     8.15   -19.88     0.00     0.30     0.06P   24.32R    6.60  
Cambridge_U        22   23   -9      49.32     7.58   -18.63     0.00     0.09     0.01P   27.95R    7.42  
Forest_Green       22   22   -8      48.59     7.60   -17.90     0.00     0.08     0.00    30.33R    9.05  
Altrincham         21   22  -10      49.20     7.92   -21.22     0.00     0.14     0.01P   29.59R    8.65  
Tamworth           20   20  -12      47.09     8.32   -26.59     0.00     0.09     0.01P   40.88R   14.40  
Rushden_&_D        20   17   -7      45.53     8.25   -18.33     0.00     0.04     0.01P   46.16R   18.56  
Southport          21   17  -11      42.99     7.92   -23.18     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.87R   28.44