Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 3 December 2006 at 21:32:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 December 2006, Everton vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    16   41  +27      92.15     5.91    66.55    83.39    99.61   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   35  +17      83.32     7.04    43.79    16.39    90.42    99.18    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   25  +13      66.36     7.60    29.47     0.17     6.25    65.33    85.90     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      16   25   +7      60.17     7.60    14.78     0.01     1.07    31.75    60.17     0.05R    0.01  
Liverpool       16   25   +4      61.45     7.46    14.14     0.03     1.29    37.00    66.52     0.03R    0.00  
Reading         15   25   -1      56.97     7.64    -1.37     0.00     0.47    16.67    40.12     0.21R    0.01  
Everton         16   24   +5      56.42     7.34     8.80     0.00     0.43    15.98    39.36     0.14R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     16   24   +4      56.22     7.45     7.19     0.01     0.30    14.78    38.62     0.23R    0.01  
Bolton          16   24   +0      54.46     7.25     0.13     0.00     0.07     9.16    28.46     0.37R    0.01  
Fulham          16   20   -7      45.64     7.30   -15.48     0.00     0.00     1.08     4.61     7.85R    0.86  
Manchester_C    15   19   -4      46.67     7.63    -9.61     0.00     0.01     1.60     6.78     6.22R    0.72  
Tottenham       15   19   -6      48.14     7.91    -9.23     0.00     0.03     2.60     9.54     5.11R    0.66  
Wigan           14   18   -3      48.45     7.98    -9.78     0.00     0.04     3.02    10.82     5.16R    0.60  
Blackburn       14   16   -4      44.63     7.96   -11.86     0.00     0.01     1.18     4.78    11.49R    2.23  
Middlesbrough   15   16   -7      42.37     7.62   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.41     2.48    16.89R    3.06  
Sheffield_U     16   16   -9      37.57     6.98   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.40    36.78R    8.69  
West_Ham        15   14   -8      36.21     7.25   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.35    44.52R   12.37  
Newcastle       14   13   -6      38.13     7.76   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.98    33.69R    8.90  
Watford         14    9  -10      32.72     7.66   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    62.33R   27.73  
Charlton        15    9  -12      31.51     7.38   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    68.93R   34.15  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Southend vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       21   40  +11      83.96     8.13    26.54    25.45    43.19    83.76    52.88P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          21   38  +12      79.24     8.27    22.75    11.29    23.14    66.72    34.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   38  +11      82.99     7.93    28.29    21.27    38.33    81.93    49.78P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            21   37   +6      77.49     8.18    15.89     7.09    15.87    57.22    23.99P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      21   36  +10      79.61     7.95    26.01    11.12    23.94    69.31    34.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          21   35   +8      73.51     8.17    14.59     2.69     7.49    39.17    14.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Stoke            21   34  +14      80.69     7.81    33.67    14.20    28.97    75.01    44.58P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    21   32  +10      75.10     8.25    23.88     4.46    11.10    48.98    21.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    21   32   -4      61.77     7.88    -9.46     0.07     0.26     4.16     0.93P    1.20R    0.01  
Colchester       21   31   +8      70.56     8.16    16.45     1.37     4.15    27.32    10.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Plymouth         21   30   +2      64.84     8.14     3.11     0.22     0.76     9.91     2.77P    0.45R    0.01  
Coventry         21   30   +2      65.85     8.11     5.20     0.28     0.99    11.78     3.67P    0.28R    0.00  
Sheffield_W      21   30   +1      62.25     8.19    -2.57     0.12     0.48     5.57     1.42P    1.02R    0.01  
Sunderland       21   30   +1      65.55     8.02     3.08     0.25     0.94    10.82     2.98P    0.35R    0.01  
Norwich          21   29   -5      60.42     8.06   -10.04     0.06     0.18     3.10     0.65P    2.17R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   21   26   -1      57.15     7.97    -5.76     0.01     0.04     1.33     0.30P    4.04R    0.08  
Ipswich          21   25   +0      58.60     8.11    -1.28     0.03     0.12     2.20     0.48P    3.44R    0.04  
Luton            21   25   -8      55.78     7.95   -14.71     0.01     0.03     0.82     0.11P    6.83R    0.27  
Queens_PR        21   24   -5      54.06     8.20   -12.77     0.01     0.04     0.64     0.17P   10.36R    0.34  
Leicester        21   22   -8      49.15     7.79   -18.23     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.04P   24.25R    1.13  
Barnsley         21   22  -11      49.27     7.84   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   24.35R    1.28  
Leeds            21   20  -17      42.86     7.48   -38.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   59.48R    6.92  
Hull             21   17  -15      41.42     7.49   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.98R    8.97  
Southend         21   12  -22      29.09     6.58   -52.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.75R   80.89  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Rotherham vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      19   41  +14      93.20     8.50    36.56    56.17    77.39    97.89    83.67P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      19   35  +15      85.63     8.46    35.50    19.41    45.34    89.98    59.76P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        19   34  +10      80.84     8.85    24.65     8.51    23.61    76.12    38.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    19   33   +7      77.48     8.86    18.57     4.01    13.02    62.77    24.73P    0.03R    0.00  
Oldham          19   32  +12      80.86     8.69    30.24     8.33    23.86    77.78    39.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham       20   31   +6      71.68     8.65    14.55     0.88     4.19    37.93    10.69P    0.15R    0.01  
Swansea         19   31   +6      71.70     9.04    12.22     1.10     4.43    37.09    11.63P    0.19R    0.01  
Yeovil          20   31   +4      69.94     8.58     9.62     0.51     2.73    28.80     8.61P    0.17R    0.00  
Carlisle        19   30   +3      68.18     8.95     5.58     0.39     1.99    23.28     6.29P    0.56R    0.00  
Crewe           19   27   +3      63.44     8.93     1.41     0.17     0.79    11.47     2.60P    2.29R    0.09  
Gillingham      19   27   -3      61.49     8.86    -7.79     0.08     0.29     7.33     1.34P    3.88R    0.14  
Blackpool       19   25   +5      66.71     8.80    12.61     0.25     1.35    19.47     5.55P    0.92R    0.03  
Doncaster       19   24   +0      59.40     8.57    -0.53     0.03     0.15     4.29     1.27P    4.82R    0.18  
Brighton        19   24   -4      57.75     8.77    -9.28     0.01     0.07     3.23     0.61P    8.01R    0.43  
Huddersfield    19   24   -5      60.10     8.73    -6.65     0.03     0.16     4.92     0.91P    5.21R    0.26  
Bradford        19   23   +0      60.92     8.92     1.75     0.04     0.28     7.00     1.68P    4.36R    0.17  
Chesterfield    19   23   -1      59.37     8.86    -2.06     0.04     0.18     4.88     1.06P    5.55R    0.23  
Port_Vale       19   23   -6      57.02     8.91   -10.80     0.01     0.07     2.79     0.52P   10.19R    0.55  
Northampton     18   22   -3      56.71     9.01    -6.38     0.04     0.09     2.83     0.67P    9.91R    0.58  
Cheltenham      19   18  -12      42.97     8.13   -30.11     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   64.39R   14.79  
Bournemouth     19   17   -9      44.62     8.37   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   54.93R   10.63  
Millwall        19   17  -13      41.97     8.18   -31.97     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   69.11R   18.30  
Brentford       19   17  -15      40.19     7.65   -36.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.50R   24.07  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      39.56     8.33   -38.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   77.81R   29.53  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Accrington vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          19   44  +23     102.84     7.63    56.11    86.76    98.67    99.97    99.21P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     19   37  +11      83.19     8.57    24.72     3.67    46.20    88.58    57.74P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        19   35  +15      85.68     8.55    38.93     6.08    60.22    92.95    69.03P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          19   34   +8      79.00     8.97    19.98     1.42    27.78    75.72    41.30P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     19   34   +6      75.09     9.06    12.25     0.51    15.40    59.57    24.36P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    19   33   +5      75.34     8.92    14.09     0.62    15.70    61.31    25.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     19   31   +5      73.99     8.80    14.65     0.33    12.62    56.24    23.05P    0.01R    0.01  
Darlington       19   30   +4      69.98     9.00     9.08     0.13     6.02    38.40    13.63P    0.03R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   19   28   -2      60.04     8.72    -7.96     0.01     0.48     7.55     1.97P    0.83R    0.06  
Hereford         19   27   +0      63.37     8.94    -0.84     0.01     1.47    15.46     4.59P    0.34R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       19   26   +8      73.35     9.05    24.66     0.41    12.27    55.48    26.12P    0.02R    0.01  
Hartlepool       19   26   +2      64.73     8.79     5.20     0.03     1.64    18.59     5.70P    0.15R    0.01  
Stockport        19   26   +0      60.26     8.67    -3.65     0.01     0.58     8.29     2.38P    0.80R    0.14  
Bury             19   26   -1      60.76     8.87    -4.24     0.02     0.53     9.24     2.38P    0.73R    0.09  
Wrexham          18   22   -9      49.77     8.64   -26.44     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.15P   12.81R    2.48  
Chester          19   21   -3      54.81     8.94    -6.80     0.00     0.12     2.96     0.86P    4.08R    0.48  
Accrington       20   21   -4      55.24     8.58    -7.35     0.00     0.09     2.78     0.72P    3.45R    0.61  
Mansfield        19   21   -6      53.11     8.76   -14.39     0.00     0.07     1.87     0.45P    6.05R    0.91  
Barnet           19   21   -8      52.89     8.91   -18.07     0.00     0.08     1.70     0.35P    7.24R    1.28  
Rochdale         19   20   -5      52.73     8.80   -11.75     0.00     0.05     1.74     0.51P    6.64R    1.25  
Grimsby          19   20  -12      45.43     8.29   -32.62     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.04P   26.93R    5.72  
Torquay          19   18   -9      48.51     8.72   -17.85     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.09P   15.87R    3.09  
Boston           19   17  -10      46.01     8.40   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   23.80R    5.29  
Macclesfield     19    7  -18      29.37     7.91   -42.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.20R   78.53  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Cambridge_U vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         21   48  +26     102.53     7.34    56.85    68.75    99.94    83.33P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          21   46  +26      96.76     7.79    54.00    30.53    99.38    58.41P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             21   37   +4      75.09     8.31     9.85     0.18    48.70     9.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           21   37   +2      72.62     8.42     4.16     0.08    36.88     6.25P    0.04R    0.00  
York               21   37   +1      72.24     8.33     2.47     0.07    34.65     5.05P    0.04R    0.01  
Gravesend          22   35   +3      69.69     8.07     5.43     0.03    24.25     4.12P    0.10R    0.01  
Morecambe          20   33   +3      72.62     8.70     9.14     0.13    38.10     7.18P    0.10R    0.01  
Exeter             20   30   +8      71.19     8.69    16.20     0.09    33.85     8.71P    0.15R    0.01  
Aldershot          20   29   +4      67.91     8.77     8.81     0.06    21.15     3.98P    0.41R    0.04  
Crawley            20   29   +2      66.91     8.76     5.33     0.04    17.91     3.33P    0.51R    0.03  
Woking             21   28   +2      63.57     8.35     3.88     0.01     9.13     1.74P    1.34R    0.16  
Grays              21   27  +11      68.72     8.30    22.73     0.04    23.80     6.23P    0.17R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   20   27   -8      56.99     8.45   -16.60     0.00     2.06     0.23P    7.36R    1.25  
Stevenage          21   26   -1      60.17     8.37    -2.71     0.00     4.29     0.58P    3.54R    0.53  
Halifax            21   25   -2      58.44     8.44    -3.50     0.00     3.02     0.55P    4.95R    0.82  
Northwich          20   25   -9      55.50     8.50   -18.24     0.00     1.41     0.16P   10.88R    2.27  
Kidderminster      21   24   -6      54.34     8.14   -11.38     0.00     0.76     0.15P   11.96R    2.48  
St_Albans          22   23   -9      50.36     8.01   -20.23     0.00     0.24     0.03P   24.76R    6.29  
Cambridge_U        22   23   -9      49.11     7.54   -18.92     0.00     0.09     0.00    28.18R    7.78  
Forest_Green       22   22   -8      48.94     7.66   -17.39     0.00     0.10     0.01P   28.45R    8.26  
Altrincham         21   22  -10      49.22     8.02   -21.23     0.00     0.15     0.04P   29.56R    8.66  
Tamworth           20   20  -12      46.85     8.27   -26.97     0.00     0.10     0.01P   41.70R   15.41  
Rushden_&_D        20   17   -7      45.08     8.17   -18.98     0.00     0.04     0.01P   48.20R   19.73  
Southport          21   17  -11      43.28     7.76   -22.70     0.00     0.01     0.01P   57.60R   26.22