Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 2 December 2006 at 21:32:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Middlesbrough vs Manchester_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    16   41  +27      92.34     5.91    66.90    83.52    99.48    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   35  +17      83.41     7.05    43.96    16.14    89.97    99.25    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   25  +13      66.83     7.72    30.22     0.26     6.93    67.49    86.61     0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth      16   25   +7      60.63     7.53    15.50     0.02     1.18    33.02    63.12     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       16   25   +4      61.19     7.66    13.70     0.03     1.24    35.16    65.03     0.04R    0.01  
Reading         15   25   -1      57.23     7.88    -1.02     0.01     0.38    18.00    42.01     0.30R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     16   24   +4      56.43     7.57     7.34     0.01     0.30    15.32    39.98     0.23R    0.01  
Bolton          16   24   +0      54.60     7.21     0.48     0.00     0.15     9.06    28.93     0.35R    0.01  
Everton         15   21   +3      55.03     7.83     7.17     0.01     0.28    12.98    34.23     0.47R    0.03  
Fulham          16   20   -7      45.71     7.17   -15.36     0.00     0.01     0.94     4.53     7.41R    0.93  
Manchester_C    15   19   -4      46.34     7.72   -10.25     0.00     0.03     1.53     6.63     7.57R    0.91  
Tottenham       15   19   -6      47.94     7.74    -9.60     0.00     0.02     2.27     8.94     5.14R    0.54  
Wigan           14   18   -3      48.25     8.02   -10.10     0.01     0.03     3.04    10.48     5.53R    0.74  
Blackburn       14   16   -4      44.10     8.05   -12.78     0.00     0.01     1.15     4.66    13.76R    2.75  
Middlesbrough   15   16   -7      42.52     7.64   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.42     2.52    16.30R    2.98  
Sheffield_U     16   16   -9      37.15     6.85   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.33    39.07R    9.31  
West_Ham        14   14   -6      37.57     7.69   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.96    38.04R    9.88  
Newcastle       14   13   -6      38.13     7.64   -15.52     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.78    33.42R    9.11  
Watford         14    9  -10      32.38     7.61   -24.03     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.24    64.20R   29.48  
Charlton        15    9  -12      31.64     7.41   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    68.14R   33.30  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Southend vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Birmingham       21   40  +11      84.30     8.08    26.94    26.87    45.16    84.81    54.87P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          21   38  +12      78.36     8.10    21.47     9.14    19.30    62.73    30.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          21   38  +11      82.69     8.00    27.79    20.29    36.91    81.22    48.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            21   37   +6      77.56     8.25    16.02     7.34    16.54    58.27    25.14P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      21   36  +10      79.79     8.04    26.16    11.54    24.78    69.91    35.35P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          21   35   +8      73.57     8.18    14.67     2.91     7.66    39.12    14.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            21   34  +14      81.01     7.89    34.24    15.10    30.61    76.34    46.61P    0.00     0.00  
West_Bromwich    21   32  +10      75.20     8.15    23.98     4.38    11.05    49.76    21.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    21   32   -4      61.46     8.02    -9.90     0.07     0.25     4.12     0.84P    1.42R    0.01  
Colchester       21   31   +8      70.60     8.22    16.50     1.42     4.22    27.77    10.09P    0.07R    0.00  
Plymouth         21   30   +2      64.66     8.31     2.78     0.20     0.83     9.97     2.85P    0.64R    0.01  
Coventry         21   30   +2      65.66     8.22     5.00     0.28     1.00    11.30     3.50P    0.47R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      21   30   +1      62.27     8.20    -2.59     0.14     0.52     5.79     1.66P    1.07R    0.04  
Sunderland       21   30   +1      65.15     8.21     2.52     0.25     0.82    10.10     2.55P    0.48R    0.01  
Norwich          21   29   -5      60.12     7.96   -10.44     0.02     0.12     3.06     0.58P    1.96R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   21   26   -1      57.73     8.07    -4.86     0.01     0.07     1.71     0.43P    3.81R    0.06  
Ipswich          21   25   +0      58.75     7.96    -1.09     0.03     0.12     2.10     0.51P    3.13R    0.07  
Luton            21   25   -8      55.82     7.99   -14.78     0.00     0.02     0.97     0.19P    6.95R    0.23  
Queens_PR        21   24   -5      54.31     8.14   -12.27     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.14P    9.28R    0.34  
Leicester        21   22   -8      49.34     7.87   -18.01     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   24.09R    1.32  
Barnsley         21   22  -11      49.32     7.75   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.70R    1.25  
Leeds            21   20  -17      43.06     7.46   -38.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.57R    6.66  
Hull             21   17  -15      41.24     7.59   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.75R    9.84  
Southend         21   12  -22      29.22     6.62   -51.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.57R   80.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Rotherham vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      19   41  +14      92.82     8.38    36.13    55.21    76.86    97.86    82.97P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      19   35  +15      85.72     8.51    35.53    20.63    46.70    89.81    60.62P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        19   34  +10      80.29     8.86    23.90     7.87    22.25    73.84    37.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    19   33   +7      77.34     8.73    18.29     4.00    12.77    62.53    24.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Oldham          19   32  +12      80.67     8.84    29.99     8.38    24.22    76.64    39.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham       20   31   +6      71.81     8.55    14.67     1.05     4.30    37.94    11.24P    0.11R    0.00  
Swansea         19   31   +6      71.90     8.97    12.46     1.12     4.57    38.00    11.61P    0.17R    0.00  
Yeovil          20   31   +4      70.04     8.58     9.77     0.57     2.59    29.28     8.46P    0.21R    0.00  
Carlisle        19   30   +3      68.50     8.85     6.10     0.47     2.21    23.73     6.79P    0.51R    0.01  
Crewe           19   27   +3      63.68     8.89     1.86     0.14     0.72    11.65     2.56P    2.05R    0.05  
Gillingham      19   27   -3      61.47     8.75    -7.73     0.05     0.31     7.14     1.35P    3.52R    0.12  
Blackpool       19   25   +5      66.86     8.82    12.75     0.30     1.46    19.96     5.88P    0.81R    0.02  
Doncaster       19   24   +0      59.33     8.67    -0.60     0.03     0.14     4.24     1.11P    4.88R    0.17  
Brighton        19   24   -4      57.71     8.88    -9.33     0.03     0.12     3.18     0.71P    8.43R    0.43  
Huddersfield    19   24   -5      59.77     8.97    -7.27     0.04     0.17     5.26     0.90P    5.82R    0.28  
Bradford        19   23   +0      61.23     8.85     2.26     0.05     0.23     7.35     1.74P    3.79R    0.14  
Chesterfield    19   23   -1      59.36     8.89    -1.96     0.03     0.17     4.93     1.02P    5.50R    0.23  
Port_Vale       19   23   -6      57.90     8.91    -9.47     0.03     0.11     3.42     0.67P    8.77R    0.50  
Northampton     18   22   -3      57.06     9.05    -6.08     0.01     0.10     3.08     0.88P    8.98R    0.49  
Cheltenham      19   18  -12      42.08     8.03   -31.38     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    68.25R   17.07  
Bournemouth     19   17   -9      44.45     8.38   -23.15     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   55.51R   10.46  
Millwall        19   17  -13      41.72     8.11   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   69.31R   18.34  
Brentford       19   17  -15      40.18     7.71   -35.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.04R   23.95  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      39.87     8.40   -38.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   76.32R   27.75  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Accrington vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          19   44  +23     102.94     7.60    55.93    87.14    98.59    99.96    99.11P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     19   37  +11      83.49     8.58    25.14     3.64    47.22    89.13    59.54P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        19   35  +15      85.75     8.50    39.01     5.95    60.83    93.33    69.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          19   34   +8      79.18     8.93    20.32     1.39    28.32    76.69    41.88P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     19   34   +6      74.54     9.20    11.31     0.57    14.77    57.15    22.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes    19   33   +5      75.26     8.84    14.01     0.48    15.63    60.91    25.57P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     19   31   +5      74.02     8.88    14.74     0.39    12.07    56.53    22.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       19   30   +4      69.78     8.93     8.70     0.12     5.86    36.84    12.76P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   19   28   -2      59.73     8.61    -8.38     0.01     0.49     7.12     1.77P    0.90R    0.10  
Hereford         19   27   +0      63.36     8.92    -0.85     0.02     1.29    15.51     4.30P    0.40R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       19   26   +8      73.16     8.92    24.24     0.24    11.46    54.68    24.52P    0.05R    0.00  
Hartlepool       19   26   +2      64.73     9.04     5.11     0.02     1.78    19.58     6.36P    0.28R    0.01  
Stockport        19   26   +0      60.73     8.67    -2.92     0.01     0.68     9.27     2.70P    0.64R    0.08  
Bury             19   26   -1      61.07     8.84    -3.67     0.01     0.66    10.12     2.85P    0.76R    0.04  
Wrexham          18   22   -9      49.62     8.51   -26.64     0.00     0.03     0.77     0.15P   12.91R    2.00  
Chester          19   21   -3      54.64     8.89    -7.05     0.00     0.07     2.69     0.78P    4.20R    0.56  
Accrington       20   21   -4      55.55     8.69    -6.80     0.01     0.09     3.25     0.84P    3.37R    0.60  
Mansfield        19   21   -6      53.29     8.71   -14.18     0.00     0.06     1.79     0.39P    5.68R    0.82  
Barnet           19   21   -8      52.68     8.73   -18.42     0.00     0.04     1.67     0.40P    6.89R    1.00  
Rochdale         19   20   -5      52.93     8.85   -11.23     0.00     0.06     1.95     0.48P    6.27R    1.26  
Grimsby          19   20  -12      45.39     8.30   -32.55     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   26.86R    5.53  
Torquay          19   18   -9      48.29     8.73   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.16P   16.93R    3.06  
Boston           19   17  -10      46.31     8.53   -24.14     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.07P   22.70R    4.94  
Macclesfield     19    7  -18      28.98     7.78   -43.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.11R   79.96  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 December 2006, Cambridge_U vs St_Albans; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         21   48  +26     103.15     7.23    57.85    70.44    99.94    84.79P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          21   46  +26      97.02     7.76    54.60    28.93    99.42    57.73P    0.00     0.00  
Burton             21   37   +4      75.23     8.39    10.10     0.19    49.39    10.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Weymouth           21   37   +2      72.72     8.41     4.22     0.07    37.17     6.17P    0.02R    0.00  
York               21   37   +1      72.17     8.36     2.27     0.10    33.87     5.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Gravesend          22   35   +3      69.51     8.14     5.18     0.01    24.39     4.08P    0.14R    0.01  
Morecambe          20   33   +3      73.14     8.78     9.80     0.12    40.23     7.98P    0.03R    0.00  
Exeter             20   30   +8      70.85     8.71    15.63     0.09    31.44     7.38P    0.14R    0.01  
Aldershot          20   29   +4      68.14     8.62     9.23     0.01    21.71     4.16P    0.29R    0.01  
Crawley            20   29   +2      66.75     8.80     5.18     0.03    17.26     3.29P    0.59R    0.07  
Woking             21   28   +2      63.49     8.13     3.67     0.00     8.30     1.47P    1.04R    0.12  
Grays              21   27  +11      68.84     8.28    22.97     0.02    24.40     6.09P    0.15R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   20   27   -8      56.74     8.27   -16.97     0.00     1.77     0.23P    7.58R    1.17  
Stevenage          21   26   -1      60.10     8.48    -2.85     0.00     4.61     0.69P    3.64R    0.57  
Halifax            21   25   -2      58.45     8.38    -3.54     0.00     2.94     0.46P    4.94R    0.72  
Northwich          20   25   -9      55.63     8.56   -18.01     0.00     1.64     0.14P   10.68R    2.25  
Kidderminster      21   24   -6      54.53     8.14   -11.15     0.00     0.88     0.14P   11.38R    2.07  
St_Albans          22   23   -9      50.10     7.91   -20.84     0.00     0.21     0.03P   25.04R    6.33  
Cambridge_U        22   23   -9      49.17     7.63   -18.85     0.00     0.07     0.01P   28.07R    7.26  
Forest_Green       22   22   -8      48.76     7.57   -17.67     0.00     0.07     0.01P   28.72R    8.12  
Altrincham         21   22  -10      49.06     7.96   -21.50     0.00     0.12     0.01P   29.96R    8.34  
Tamworth           20   20  -12      46.91     8.25   -26.76     0.00     0.12     0.03P   41.05R   14.76  
Rushden_&_D        20   17   -7      44.97     8.21   -19.27     0.00     0.03     0.01P   48.15R   20.12  
Southport          21   17  -11      42.98     7.89   -23.26     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.33R   28.07