Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 1 December 2006 at 21:32:07 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 November 2006, Liverpool vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    15   38  +26      91.77     6.10    67.25    81.68    99.53    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   35  +17      83.28     7.15    43.61    18.07    91.41    99.27    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      15   24   +7      62.15     7.94    17.06     0.04     2.25    44.91    70.01     0.04R    0.01  
Bolton          15   24   +1      56.61     7.73     2.31     0.01     0.47    17.77    40.72     0.28R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     15   23   +4      55.20     7.74     5.23     0.01     0.27    14.02    34.59     0.41R    0.01  
Arsenal         14   22  +10      64.02     8.15    25.01     0.18     4.45    55.27    77.57     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool       15   22   +0      54.49     7.91     2.17     0.00     0.21    12.38    31.52     0.68R    0.03  
Reading         14   22   -2      55.60     8.21    -2.39     0.00     0.38    15.42    35.95     0.59R    0.05  
Everton         15   21   +3      55.03     7.79     7.19     0.00     0.33    14.31    34.63     0.51R    0.04  
Fulham          15   20   -5      48.43     7.69   -11.09     0.00     0.02     2.77    10.20     4.25R    0.52  
Tottenham       14   19   -3      50.25     8.18    -5.28     0.00     0.06     5.34    15.96     3.13R    0.35  
Manchester_C    15   19   -4      46.62     7.59    -9.95     0.00     0.01     1.58     6.92     5.93R    0.82  
Wigan           13   18   +1      54.47     8.70     3.16     0.01     0.61    15.13    33.60     1.48R    0.17  
Middlesbrough   14   16   -6      41.67     7.95   -18.23     0.00     0.01     0.62     2.67    19.86R    4.13  
West_Ham        14   14   -6      37.65     7.64   -20.15     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.80    36.34R    9.52  
Blackburn       13   13   -6      41.63     8.40   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.74     3.27    21.75R    5.29  
Newcastle       14   13   -6      38.13     7.84   -15.72     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.10    33.41R    8.80  
Sheffield_U     15   13  -10      34.59     7.08   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    52.31R   18.00  
Watford         14    9  -10      32.96     7.67   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.20    60.27R   25.95  
Charlton        14    9  -11      33.30     7.84   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23    58.74R   26.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 November 2006, Derby vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Preston          20   38  +14      82.79     8.46    27.98    20.42    36.54    79.56    48.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +11      84.15     8.28    29.70    25.09    43.24    84.25    53.78P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       20   37   +8      81.16     8.47    21.50    14.79    29.31    73.15    39.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            20   37   +7      78.97     8.58    17.12     9.49    20.47    63.67    29.31P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          20   34   +8      74.10     8.58    14.83     3.40     8.58    42.30    16.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            20   33  +14      80.68     8.15    33.31    13.65    28.30    74.04    43.51P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      20   33   +8      77.59     8.46    22.75     7.49    16.95    59.47    27.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       20   30   +8      69.73     8.57    14.48     1.25     3.69    25.64     8.80P    0.15R    0.01  
Plymouth         20   30   +5      67.02     8.53     7.31     0.57     1.77    16.04     5.09P    0.39R    0.01  
West_Bromwich    20   29   +9      73.47     8.60    23.05     3.02     8.04    41.45    17.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Coventry         20   29   +2      65.99     8.49     4.97     0.39     1.27    12.95     4.14P    0.44R    0.01  
Norwich          20   29   -4      61.85     8.38    -9.11     0.09     0.39     5.35     1.24P    1.76R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    20   29   -5      59.16     8.30   -12.02     0.03     0.11     2.67     0.60P    3.63R    0.14  
Sunderland       20   27   +0      64.43     8.53     2.89     0.21     0.89     9.88     2.87P    0.94R    0.01  
Sheffield_W      20   27   -2      58.19     8.29    -9.29     0.03     0.11     2.40     0.51P    4.21R    0.15  
Ipswich          20   24   +0      58.87     8.58    -1.64     0.03     0.20     3.19     0.88P    4.26R    0.17  
Queens_PR        20   24   -2      57.16     8.64    -6.66     0.03     0.11     2.04     0.51P    6.58R    0.23  
Crystal_Palace   20   23   -4      54.36     8.27   -10.68     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.17P   10.26R    0.52  
Leicester        20   22   -5      53.65     8.24   -10.10     0.01     0.01     0.60     0.14P   11.53R    0.60  
Luton            20   22  -10      52.25     8.19   -20.28     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.07P   16.05R    1.36  
Barnsley         20   21  -11      48.61     8.13   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   30.23R    3.06  
Leeds            20   19  -17      43.55     7.87   -38.02     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   56.72R    9.70  
Hull             20   17  -13      42.93     7.99   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.59R    9.71  
Southend         20   12  -21      31.30     7.09   -49.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.22R   74.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Swansea vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      19   41  +14      93.32     8.52    36.94    57.21    78.31    97.86    84.05P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      19   35  +15      85.57     8.59    35.36    19.50    45.18    89.70    59.38P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        19   34  +10      80.63     8.87    24.35     7.79    22.93    75.12    37.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    19   33   +7      77.64     8.87    18.79     4.04    13.55    63.11    25.29P    0.03R    0.00  
Oldham          19   32  +12      80.40     8.98    29.69     7.57    22.96    75.73    37.90P    0.03R    0.00  
Swansea         19   31   +6      72.00     8.97    12.60     1.14     4.39    38.94    11.99P    0.24R    0.00  
Yeovil          19   31   +5      72.09     8.89    11.75     1.08     4.36    38.49    12.54P    0.14R    0.00  
Carlisle        19   30   +3      68.11     8.84     5.51     0.40     2.06    22.76     6.25P    0.42R    0.01  
Rotherham       19   28   +5      69.57     8.85    12.56     0.54     2.75    29.51     8.29P    0.32R    0.00  
Crewe           19   27   +3      63.28     8.88     0.94     0.20     0.69    11.04     2.44P    2.35R    0.08  
Gillingham      19   27   -3      61.47     8.75    -7.66     0.03     0.28     6.88     1.37P    3.65R    0.13  
Blackpool       19   25   +5      66.70     8.85    12.53     0.33     1.58    19.89     5.89P    1.03R    0.01  
Doncaster       19   24   +0      59.04     8.59    -0.97     0.03     0.14     3.73     0.96P    5.38R    0.22  
Brighton        19   24   -4      57.72     9.01    -9.34     0.03     0.10     3.46     0.67P    8.98R    0.47  
Huddersfield    19   24   -5      60.20     8.84    -6.58     0.06     0.18     5.83     1.20P    4.87R    0.20  
Bradford        19   23   +0      60.69     8.95     1.45     0.03     0.20     6.53     1.67P    4.61R    0.22  
Chesterfield    19   23   -1      59.59     8.85    -1.49     0.03     0.17     5.29     1.11P    5.12R    0.29  
Port_Vale       19   23   -6      57.25     8.83   -10.44     0.01     0.04     3.00     0.46P    9.19R    0.53  
Northampton     18   22   -3      56.77     9.05    -6.41     0.01     0.10     3.00     0.73P   10.20R    0.61  
Cheltenham      19   18  -12      42.76     8.14   -30.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    64.96R   15.54  
Bournemouth     19   17   -9      44.15     8.22   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   57.65R   11.54  
Millwall        19   17  -13      41.73     8.17   -32.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   69.78R   19.07  
Brentford       19   17  -15      40.58     7.79   -35.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.41R   23.02  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      40.02     8.54   -37.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.64R   28.07  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Bristol_Rovers vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          19   44  +23     103.18     7.43    56.31    87.31    98.84    99.97    99.36P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     19   37  +11      83.12     8.67    24.63     3.47    44.95    87.76    56.85P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        19   35  +15      86.11     8.45    39.70     5.96    61.37    93.92    70.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          19   34   +8      78.79     8.84    19.70     1.21    26.63    74.34    40.16P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     19   34   +6      75.06     9.09    12.20     0.59    15.04    58.62    23.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes    19   33   +5      74.96     8.88    13.55     0.45    14.49    58.90    23.25P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     19   31   +5      74.19     8.98    15.09     0.41    12.32    56.77    23.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       19   30   +4      70.23     8.94     9.41     0.10     6.21    38.27    14.08P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   19   28   -2      59.68     8.49    -8.38     0.00     0.37     6.57     1.52P    0.74R    0.06  
Hereford         19   27   +0      63.46     8.97    -0.74     0.01     1.49    15.81     4.74P    0.34R    0.04  
Hartlepool       19   26   +2      64.68     8.84     5.03     0.03     1.59    18.48     5.65P    0.20R    0.00  
Stockport        19   26   +0      60.75     8.87    -2.88     0.00     0.69     9.36     2.54P    0.75R    0.10  
Bury             19   26   -1      61.11     8.86    -3.62     0.01     0.55     9.46     2.42P    0.81R    0.09  
Shrewsbury       18   25   +8      74.46     9.35    25.51     0.46    14.96    59.11    29.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          18   22   -9      49.24     8.55   -27.22     0.00     0.03     0.66     0.14P   13.95R    2.48  
Chester          19   21   -3      54.56     8.93    -7.14     0.00     0.07     2.81     0.79P    4.14R    0.52  
Mansfield        19   21   -6      53.24     8.71   -14.25     0.00     0.14     1.92     0.51P    5.62R    0.72  
Barnet           19   21   -8      52.54     8.75   -18.66     0.00     0.06     1.47     0.33P    6.78R    1.11  
Accrington       19   20   -4      55.28     8.89    -7.64     0.00     0.15     3.25     0.82P    3.67R    0.67  
Rochdale         19   20   -5      52.71     8.83   -11.68     0.00     0.04     1.77     0.44P    6.55R    1.26  
Grimsby          19   20  -12      45.24     8.23   -32.84     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.02P   26.88R    5.55  
Torquay          19   18   -9      48.57     8.61   -17.62     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.14P   14.90R    2.90  
Boston           19   17  -10      45.75     8.31   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P   23.88R    5.09  
Macclesfield     19    7  -18      29.16     7.81   -43.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    90.72R   79.43  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 November 2006, Burton vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         20   47  +26     104.93     7.46    60.17    68.68    99.94    84.41P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          20   45  +26      99.23     7.82    58.91    30.96    99.64    58.85P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          21   35   +5      74.05     8.32    12.10     0.07    43.48     7.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             20   34   +3      72.90     8.65     8.20     0.04    37.47     7.47P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth           20   34   +1      69.88     8.69     1.64     0.01    25.05     3.97P    0.10R    0.01  
York               20   34   +0      70.40     8.61     0.97     0.03    27.14     3.90P    0.07R    0.01  
Morecambe          20   33   +3      73.25     8.85    10.12     0.08    40.12     7.27P    0.07R    0.00  
Exeter             20   30   +8      71.46     8.56    16.57     0.06    33.16     7.70P    0.07R    0.00  
Aldershot          20   29   +4      67.87     8.72     8.70     0.04    20.00     3.43P    0.34R    0.01  
Crawley            20   29   +2      66.20     8.75     4.23     0.00    15.61     2.56P    0.67R    0.06  
Woking             20   28   +5      67.03     8.55    10.25     0.01    17.27     3.41P    0.37R    0.02  
Grays              20   27  +12      70.76     8.60    24.73     0.03    31.73     8.19P    0.10R    0.00  
Stafford_Rangers   20   27   -8      56.67     8.35   -17.18     0.00     1.67     0.14P    7.36R    1.22  
Stevenage          20   25   -1      58.69     8.65    -6.15     0.00     3.42     0.46P    4.75R    0.80  
Northwich          20   25   -9      55.94     8.66   -17.47     0.00     1.58     0.23P    9.40R    1.48  
Cambridge_U        21   23   -7      53.04     8.24   -13.36     0.00     0.53     0.07P   13.81R    2.95  
Halifax            20   22   -5      54.00     8.60   -11.12     0.00     1.06     0.17P   12.46R    2.65  
Forest_Green       21   22   -7      50.91     8.10   -15.80     0.00     0.28     0.03P   19.80R    4.70  
Altrincham         20   22   -9      50.60     8.17   -19.47     0.00     0.34     0.04P   21.61R    4.88  
Kidderminster      20   21   -8      49.53     8.22   -17.78     0.00     0.17     0.02P   25.83R    6.83  
St_Albans          21   20  -11      47.97     8.18   -23.96     0.00     0.17     0.01P   33.16R    9.64  
Tamworth           20   20  -12      46.89     8.27   -26.92     0.00     0.14     0.02P   39.27R   12.50  
Rushden_&_D        20   17   -7      45.54     8.15   -18.44     0.00     0.04     0.01P   42.80R   15.32  
Southport          20   16  -11      40.69     7.99   -28.94     0.00     0.01     0.00    67.91R   36.94