Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 30 November 2006 at 21:32:10 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 November 2006, Liverpool vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    15   38  +26      92.13     6.14    68.09    81.63    99.48    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   35  +17      83.53     7.11    43.92    18.18    91.72    99.24    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth      15   24   +7      62.16     7.82    17.12     0.06     2.17    44.13    69.59     0.03R    0.00  
Bolton          15   24   +1      56.40     7.78     2.00     0.00     0.46    17.09    39.79     0.31R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     15   23   +4      55.38     7.89     5.51     0.00     0.35    14.79    35.55     0.48R    0.02  
Arsenal         14   22  +10      63.84     8.06    24.71     0.12     4.32    54.05    76.20     0.03R    0.00  
Liverpool       15   22   +0      54.89     7.98     2.74     0.01     0.30    13.29    33.05     0.67R    0.06  
Reading         14   22   -2      55.68     8.14    -2.21     0.01     0.29    15.84    36.11     0.62R    0.05  
Everton         15   21   +3      54.99     7.76     7.11     0.00     0.26    14.12    34.41     0.52R    0.02  
Fulham          15   20   -5      48.41     7.60   -11.07     0.00     0.04     2.77    10.13     3.90R    0.42  
Tottenham       14   19   -3      50.75     8.25    -4.68     0.00     0.09     6.36    17.95     2.62R    0.28  
Manchester_C    15   19   -4      45.86     7.52   -11.07     0.00     0.01     1.34     5.78     6.57R    0.81  
Wigan           13   18   +1      54.59     8.63     3.36     0.01     0.54    15.12    33.27     1.31R    0.10  
Middlesbrough   14   16   -6      41.51     7.83   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.55     2.46    19.85R    3.94  
West_Ham        14   14   -6      37.15     7.63   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.74    38.54R   10.76  
Blackburn       13   13   -6      41.89     8.53   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.92     3.60    20.89R    5.03  
Newcastle       14   13   -6      37.86     7.68   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.87    34.16R    9.01  
Sheffield_U     15   13  -10      34.76     7.25   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.28    51.31R   17.78  
Watford         14    9  -10      32.89     7.75   -23.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.19    60.01R   26.11  
Charlton        14    9  -11      33.30     7.73   -25.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17    58.19R   25.60  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 29 November 2006, Derby vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Preston          20   38  +14      82.72     8.53    27.79    20.46    36.91    78.91    48.24P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +11      84.05     8.26    29.57    24.58    42.91    84.31    53.27P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       20   37   +8      80.88     8.51    21.12    14.38    27.88    72.17    37.99P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            20   37   +7      79.06     8.59    17.25    10.11    21.22    63.88    29.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          20   34   +8      73.92     8.72    14.59     3.44     8.87    41.48    16.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Stoke            20   33  +14      80.76     8.01    33.36    13.95    28.37    75.08    44.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Southampton      20   33   +8      77.58     8.33    22.75     7.14    16.86    59.69    27.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       20   30   +8      69.77     8.45    14.49     1.22     3.36    25.07     8.38P    0.11R    0.00  
Plymouth         20   30   +5      67.25     8.50     7.73     0.60     1.92    16.41     5.39P    0.35R    0.01  
West_Bromwich    20   29   +9      73.54     8.63    23.17     3.08     8.30    42.08    17.39P    0.07R    0.00  
Coventry         20   29   +2      66.46     8.60     5.54     0.54     1.67    14.10     5.03P    0.38R    0.01  
Norwich          20   29   -4      61.94     8.42    -8.96     0.10     0.39     5.49     1.22P    1.71R    0.03  
Wolverhampton    20   29   -5      58.61     8.15   -12.91     0.01     0.07     2.21     0.51P    3.69R    0.07  
Sunderland       20   27   +0      64.41     8.51     2.83     0.21     0.76     9.71     2.62P    0.89R    0.02  
Sheffield_W      20   27   -2      58.10     8.35    -9.39     0.06     0.16     2.31     0.59P    4.43R    0.17  
Ipswich          20   24   +0      59.00     8.40    -1.49     0.06     0.14     2.85     0.68P    3.88R    0.16  
Queens_PR        20   24   -2      57.36     8.56    -6.36     0.03     0.13     2.06     0.48P    5.99R    0.24  
Crystal_Palace   20   23   -4      54.48     8.49   -10.53     0.01     0.03     1.06     0.25P   10.32R    0.55  
Leicester        20   22   -5      53.45     8.30   -10.43     0.01     0.04     0.55     0.15P   12.43R    0.73  
Luton            20   22  -10      52.46     8.32   -19.99     0.00     0.03     0.45     0.10P   16.00R    1.33  
Barnsley         20   21  -11      48.60     8.18   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   30.39R    2.92  
Leeds            20   19  -17      43.79     7.80   -37.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.98R    8.95  
Hull             20   17  -13      42.79     7.88   -27.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   58.77R   10.03  
Southend         20   12  -21      31.14     7.10   -49.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.59R   74.80  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Swansea vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      19   41  +14      93.01     8.50    36.52    56.23    77.22    97.61    82.85P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      19   35  +15      85.50     8.44    35.32    19.31    45.03    89.96    59.39P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        19   34  +10      80.40     8.68    24.08     7.57    21.86    74.69    36.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    19   33   +7      77.45     8.93    18.49     4.41    13.40    61.87    24.65P    0.03R    0.00  
Oldham          19   32  +12      80.59     8.85    29.98     8.11    23.82    76.25    38.91P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         19   31   +6      72.40     9.06    13.26     1.48     5.61    39.70    13.02P    0.13R    0.01  
Yeovil          19   31   +5      72.17     8.90    11.85     1.18     4.61    39.01    12.87P    0.15R    0.00  
Carlisle        19   30   +3      68.27     8.86     5.72     0.42     1.98    23.21     6.69P    0.57R    0.01  
Rotherham       19   28   +5      69.70     8.90    12.80     0.65     2.86    29.85     8.72P    0.28R    0.00  
Crewe           19   27   +3      63.39     8.86     1.27     0.16     0.70    10.73     2.31P    2.29R    0.07  
Gillingham      19   27   -3      61.54     8.81    -7.57     0.03     0.39     7.39     1.29P    3.83R    0.10  
Blackpool       19   25   +5      66.83     8.93    12.71     0.28     1.51    19.91     5.96P    1.06R    0.03  
Doncaster       19   24   +0      58.58     8.50    -1.51     0.01     0.11     3.56     0.99P    5.69R    0.26  
Brighton        19   24   -4      57.43     8.82    -9.84     0.01     0.07     3.10     0.63P    9.21R    0.47  
Huddersfield    19   24   -5      59.74     8.96    -7.35     0.04     0.17     5.22     1.06P    5.72R    0.34  
Bradford        19   23   +0      60.65     8.98     1.39     0.04     0.27     6.84     1.50P    4.38R    0.17  
Chesterfield    19   23   -1      59.30     9.00    -2.04     0.04     0.18     5.16     1.18P    6.02R    0.30  
Port_Vale       19   23   -6      57.45     8.85   -10.19     0.03     0.07     3.00     0.53P    9.38R    0.60  
Northampton     18   22   -3      56.77     9.06    -6.30     0.01     0.14     2.81     0.74P   10.55R    0.65  
Cheltenham      19   18  -12      42.66     8.17   -30.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   66.16R   16.18  
Bournemouth     19   17   -9      44.44     8.51   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   56.08R   11.72  
Millwall        19   17  -13      42.21     8.18   -31.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   67.47R   17.33  
Brentford       19   17  -15      40.51     7.96   -35.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   75.47R   23.77  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      40.07     8.56   -37.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    75.54R   28.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Bristol_Rovers vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          19   44  +23     103.09     7.64    56.30    86.53    98.58    99.98    99.17P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     19   37  +11      83.61     8.71    25.38     4.24    47.08    88.52    58.88P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        19   35  +15      85.93     8.53    39.48     6.04    60.52    93.31    69.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          19   34   +8      78.65     8.87    19.55     1.18    25.36    73.84    38.47P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     19   34   +6      74.93     9.10    11.97     0.54    14.79    58.23    23.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes    19   33   +5      75.16     8.98    13.85     0.53    15.17    60.01    24.97P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     19   31   +5      74.35     8.83    15.20     0.42    12.91    56.94    23.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       19   30   +4      70.51     8.91     9.84     0.11     6.60    39.66    14.61P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   19   28   -2      60.04     8.50    -7.79     0.00     0.37     6.76     1.68P    0.65R    0.07  
Hereford         19   27   +0      63.45     8.81    -0.81     0.01     1.21    14.77     4.18P    0.26R    0.01  
Hartlepool       19   26   +2      64.38     8.98     4.58     0.01     1.50    18.03     5.37P    0.25R    0.01  
Stockport        19   26   +0      60.86     8.88    -2.75     0.00     0.65     9.82     2.66P    0.74R    0.07  
Bury             19   26   -1      60.80     8.82    -4.13     0.01     0.52     8.94     2.12P    0.80R    0.07  
Shrewsbury       18   25   +8      74.48     9.11    25.37     0.40    14.35    59.42    28.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          18   22   -9      49.00     8.42   -27.74     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.09P   14.04R    2.35  
Chester          19   21   -3      54.34     8.82    -7.57     0.00     0.14     2.42     0.73P    4.18R    0.56  
Mansfield        19   21   -6      53.40     8.73   -13.95     0.00     0.06     1.83     0.40P    5.33R    0.90  
Barnet           19   21   -8      52.59     8.63   -18.64     0.00     0.04     1.27     0.27P    7.10R    1.04  
Accrington       19   20   -4      55.41     8.92    -7.44     0.00     0.12     3.27     0.81P    3.46R    0.63  
Rochdale         19   20   -5      52.54     8.85   -12.04     0.00     0.05     1.62     0.42P    6.88R    1.31  
Grimsby          19   20  -12      45.45     8.20   -32.42     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P   25.98R    5.36  
Torquay          19   18   -9      48.14     8.59   -18.23     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.10P   16.09R    3.08  
Boston           19   17  -10      45.93     8.32   -24.79     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   23.50R    5.28  
Macclesfield     19    7  -18      29.15     7.91   -43.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.64R   79.28  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 November 2006, Burton vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         20   47  +26     104.88     7.52    60.15    69.33    99.98    84.16P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          20   45  +26      98.95     7.86    58.38    30.27    99.59    57.89P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          21   35   +5      73.82     8.39    11.79     0.04    42.84     7.92P    0.06R    0.00  
Burton             20   34   +3      73.05     8.67     8.38     0.11    38.69     7.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Weymouth           20   34   +1      69.51     8.60     1.22     0.04    23.96     3.73P    0.12R    0.01  
York               20   34   +0      70.23     8.58     0.69     0.04    26.23     3.60P    0.12R    0.00  
Morecambe          20   33   +3      73.24     8.82    10.10     0.08    39.90     7.50P    0.05R    0.00  
Exeter             20   30   +8      71.22     8.67    16.22     0.06    32.74     7.61P    0.11R    0.01  
Aldershot          20   29   +4      67.85     8.69     8.78     0.01    20.25     3.54P    0.34R    0.03  
Crawley            20   29   +2      66.41     8.88     4.68     0.01    15.90     2.98P    0.63R    0.12  
Woking             20   28   +5      67.11     8.64    10.43     0.01    17.75     3.60P    0.46R    0.06  
Grays              20   27  +12      70.99     8.60    25.16     0.03    32.76     8.87P    0.12R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   20   27   -8      56.91     8.33   -16.85     0.00     1.76     0.29P    6.51R    0.96  
Stevenage          20   25   -1      58.99     8.59    -5.61     0.00     3.62     0.52P    4.58R    0.70  
Northwich          20   25   -9      55.45     8.46   -18.41     0.00     1.25     0.10P    9.82R    1.81  
Cambridge_U        21   23   -7      52.65     8.11   -13.84     0.00     0.51     0.07P   15.01R    3.06  
Halifax            20   22   -5      54.56     8.65   -10.24     0.00     1.18     0.18P   11.64R    2.43  
Forest_Green       21   22   -7      50.83     7.95   -16.01     0.00     0.21     0.04P   19.95R    4.66  
Altrincham         20   22   -9      50.55     8.19   -19.55     0.00     0.29     0.04P   22.41R    5.47  
Kidderminster      20   21   -8      49.83     8.37   -17.34     0.00     0.35     0.05P   25.32R    6.56  
St_Albans          21   20  -11      47.68     8.13   -24.61     0.00     0.07     0.01P   34.34R   10.58  
Tamworth           20   20  -12      47.10     8.20   -26.54     0.00     0.10     0.01P   38.20R   12.47  
Rushden_&_D        20   17   -7      45.04     8.20   -19.14     0.00     0.02     0.00    45.65R   17.32  
Southport          20   16  -11      41.41     8.04   -27.86     0.00     0.01     0.00    64.55R   33.77