Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 29 November 2006 at 21:32:09 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 November 2006, Watford vs Sheffield_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    14   35  +23      90.59     6.53    64.83    82.59    98.44    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   32  +16      80.85     7.48    41.93    15.91    80.09    97.19    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          14   24   +2      57.76     7.99     3.10     0.03     1.14    17.06    40.53     0.16R    0.00  
Portsmouth      14   23   +7      61.45     8.15    15.60     0.15     2.63    33.80    60.66     0.04R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     14   23   +6      60.58     8.07    13.10     0.12     1.90    28.34    56.47     0.06R    0.01  
Arsenal         13   22  +11      67.30     8.67    29.38     1.09    12.70    62.73    82.23     0.00     0.00  
Reading         14   22   -2      55.28     8.20    -2.87     0.01     0.42    11.30    29.97     0.56R    0.03  
Everton         14   21   +6      57.17     8.23    10.84     0.04     1.18    17.27    40.37     0.27R    0.01  
Liverpool       14   21   +0      56.01     8.40     3.82     0.01     0.66    13.70    34.15     0.57R    0.05  
Tottenham       14   19   -3      50.26     8.16    -5.46     0.00     0.09     3.94    12.93     2.54R    0.30  
Wigan           13   18   +1      55.04     8.62     4.02     0.03     0.71    12.42    31.50     0.91R    0.12  
Fulham          14   17   -6      44.85     8.06   -15.51     0.00     0.01     0.99     4.34    10.06R    1.66  
Middlesbrough   14   16   -6      41.54     7.95   -18.52     0.00     0.01     0.39     1.92    18.60R    4.11  
Manchester_C    14   16   -6      40.82     7.64   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.15     1.47    19.75R    3.71  
West_Ham        14   14   -6      37.06     7.47   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.38    35.85R   10.39  
Blackburn       13   13   -6      41.69     8.41   -16.49     0.00     0.01     0.55     2.42    19.70R    5.11  
Newcastle       14   13   -6      38.19     7.87   -15.74     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.82    30.11R    8.69  
Sheffield_U     15   13  -10      34.08     7.06   -26.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10    52.65R   19.61  
Watford         14    9  -10      33.37     7.65   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    54.57R   23.13  
Charlton        14    9  -11      33.72     7.81   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    53.59R   23.07  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 November 2006, Wolverhampton vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Preston          20   38  +14      82.18     8.55    27.17    18.71    34.93    78.25    46.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +11      84.00     8.33    29.55    24.41    43.15    84.58    53.63P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       19   37   +9      82.92     8.75    22.81    20.41    37.15    79.16    47.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          20   34   +8      73.85     8.50    14.62     3.31     8.49    42.20    16.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby            19   34   +6      78.02     8.91    17.43     8.87    18.68    60.98    27.48P    0.02R    0.00  
Stoke            20   33  +14      80.70     8.20    33.42    13.50    28.54    75.08    43.84P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       20   30   +8      69.86     8.52    14.72     1.25     3.70    26.70     8.96P    0.15R    0.00  
Southampton      19   30   +7      75.43     8.76    20.52     5.04    12.30    50.95    22.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth         20   30   +5      67.03     8.51     7.29     0.55     1.79    16.50     5.13P    0.26R    0.01  
West_Bromwich    20   29   +9      73.25     8.52    22.75     3.05     7.89    41.60    16.45P    0.03R    0.00  
Coventry         20   29   +2      66.29     8.35     5.33     0.40     1.40    13.71     4.51P    0.39R    0.00  
Norwich          20   29   -4      61.95     8.38    -8.88     0.12     0.45     5.88     1.39P    1.77R    0.06  
Wolverhampton    20   29   -5      58.95     8.23   -12.35     0.04     0.10     2.45     0.52P    3.48R    0.12  
Sunderland       20   27   +0      64.71     8.48     3.46     0.21     0.86    10.77     3.10P    0.83R    0.03  
Sheffield_W      20   27   -2      58.21     8.45    -9.00     0.04     0.18     2.62     0.66P    4.52R    0.13  
Ipswich          19   24   +1      59.81     8.68    -1.47     0.09     0.28     4.39     1.15P    3.46R    0.14  
Queens_PR        20   24   -2      57.27     8.56    -6.54     0.01     0.06     2.14     0.47P    5.98R    0.25  
Crystal_Palace   20   23   -4      54.51     8.35   -10.51     0.01     0.02     0.94     0.21P   10.08R    0.64  
Leicester        20   22   -5      53.30     8.21   -10.58     0.01     0.01     0.60     0.17P   12.66R    0.78  
Luton            20   22  -10      51.83     8.22   -21.12     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.06P   17.55R    1.68  
Barnsley         20   21  -11      49.08     8.18   -25.03     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.01P   28.32R    2.81  
Leeds            20   19  -17      43.90     7.91   -37.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    54.70R    9.30  
Hull             20   17  -13      42.27     7.87   -27.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.91R   11.99  
Southend         20   12  -21      31.68     7.14   -48.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.86R   72.07  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Swansea vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      19   41  +14      92.70     8.48    35.90    54.62    76.52    97.67    82.24P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      19   35  +15      85.75     8.55    35.58    20.96    46.63    90.14    60.63P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        19   34  +10      80.42     8.85    24.04     7.96    22.61    75.00    37.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City    19   33   +7      77.13     8.91    17.98     3.93    12.66    61.34    23.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Oldham          19   32  +12      80.76     8.71    30.20     8.43    24.41    76.97    39.48P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         19   31   +6      72.17     9.02    12.96     1.23     4.76    39.66    12.44P    0.21R    0.00  
Yeovil          19   31   +5      71.90     8.73    11.50     1.10     4.13    37.38    11.93P    0.13R    0.00  
Carlisle        19   30   +3      68.21     8.86     5.68     0.48     1.97    23.33     6.58P    0.58R    0.01  
Rotherham       19   28   +5      69.80     8.92    13.01     0.67     2.81    30.37     8.96P    0.38R    0.00  
Crewe           19   27   +3      63.73     8.80     1.84     0.14     0.72    11.70     2.63P    2.19R    0.06  
Gillingham      19   27   -3      61.45     8.73    -7.76     0.07     0.35     6.67     1.45P    3.67R    0.17  
Blackpool       19   25   +5      66.43     8.96    12.12     0.25     1.40    19.21     5.87P    1.24R    0.04  
Doncaster       19   24   +0      58.79     8.51    -1.28     0.02     0.12     3.61     0.89P    5.34R    0.18  
Brighton        19   24   -4      57.53     8.93    -9.70     0.04     0.11     3.41     0.74P    9.10R    0.46  
Huddersfield    19   24   -5      59.98     9.01    -6.90     0.04     0.23     5.53     1.10P    5.95R    0.38  
Bradford        19   23   +0      60.76     8.94     1.59     0.03     0.22     6.84     1.51P    4.70R    0.26  
Chesterfield    19   23   -1      59.44     8.88    -1.84     0.03     0.17     5.14     1.17P    5.70R    0.23  
Port_Vale       19   23   -6      57.19     8.95   -10.43     0.01     0.11     3.05     0.56P    9.85R    0.53  
Northampton     18   22   -3      57.14     8.78    -5.93     0.00     0.07     2.79     0.64P    8.90R    0.43  
Cheltenham      19   18  -12      42.62     7.89   -30.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    66.26R   15.39  
Bournemouth     19   17   -9      44.94     8.42   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   53.66R   10.12  
Millwall        19   17  -13      42.01     8.29   -31.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   68.75R   18.23  
Brentford       19   17  -15      40.49     7.86   -35.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   76.24R   23.99  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      39.69     8.46   -38.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   77.12R   29.53  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Bristol_Rovers vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          19   44  +23     103.08     7.66    56.32    86.88    98.54    99.95    99.10P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     19   37  +11      83.36     8.75    25.00     3.88    46.02    87.89    58.06P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        19   35  +15      85.86     8.66    39.27     5.98    60.60    92.91    69.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          19   34   +8      78.76     8.96    19.66     1.36    25.87    74.58    39.35P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     19   34   +6      74.81     9.17    11.86     0.49    15.05    57.94    23.44P    0.00     0.00  
Milton_Keynes    19   33   +5      74.90     9.04    13.41     0.45    14.68    59.19    24.21P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     19   31   +5      74.16     8.89    14.97     0.37    12.95    55.83    23.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       19   30   +4      69.78     8.98     8.78     0.13     5.86    36.76    12.79P    0.04R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   19   28   -2      60.15     8.76    -7.92     0.00     0.58     8.01     2.21P    0.71R    0.08  
Hereford         19   27   +0      63.81     8.89    -0.20     0.02     1.45    16.05     4.70P    0.34R    0.04  
Hartlepool       19   26   +2      64.74     8.95     5.09     0.03     1.83    19.11     6.05P    0.21R    0.04  
Stockport        19   26   +0      60.49     8.89    -3.22     0.00     0.65     9.31     2.75P    0.68R    0.06  
Bury             19   26   -1      61.37     8.93    -3.28     0.01     0.64    10.47     2.63P    0.65R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       18   25   +8      74.37     9.24    25.31     0.40    14.81    59.41    29.04P    0.03R    0.01  
Wrexham          18   22   -9      49.24     8.49   -27.22     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.14P   13.82R    2.35  
Chester          19   21   -3      54.41     8.71    -7.34     0.00     0.14     2.46     0.75P    4.08R    0.41  
Mansfield        19   21   -6      53.22     8.74   -14.24     0.00     0.06     1.84     0.43P    5.79R    0.95  
Barnet           19   21   -8      52.65     8.74   -18.45     0.00     0.03     1.63     0.36P    7.07R    1.24  
Accrington       19   20   -4      55.42     9.04    -7.54     0.00     0.16     3.44     0.79P    3.77R    0.67  
Rochdale         19   20   -5      52.62     8.92   -11.85     0.00     0.08     1.84     0.41P    6.59R    1.30  
Grimsby          19   20  -12      45.53     8.33   -32.31     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P   26.23R    5.42  
Torquay          19   18   -9      48.49     8.55   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P   15.06R    2.56  
Boston           19   17  -10      45.94     8.35   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   23.75R    4.81  
Macclesfield     19    7  -18      29.04     7.82   -43.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.19R   80.01  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 November 2006, Burton vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         20   47  +26     104.91     7.59    60.19    69.25    99.94    84.03P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          20   45  +26      99.02     7.87    58.55    30.51    99.61    57.84P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          21   35   +5      73.90     8.41    11.95     0.07    42.40     7.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             20   34   +3      72.92     8.68     8.25     0.03    37.40     7.08P    0.07R    0.01  
Weymouth           20   34   +1      69.78     8.68     1.51     0.03    25.00     4.16P    0.11R    0.01  
York               20   34   +0      70.09     8.70     0.57     0.01    25.82     3.49P    0.14R    0.01  
Morecambe          20   33   +3      73.39     8.87    10.27     0.04    40.28     7.53P    0.06R    0.01  
Exeter             20   30   +8      71.10     8.78    16.08     0.04    32.07     7.50P    0.10R    0.01  
Aldershot          20   29   +4      68.18     8.63     9.24     0.01    20.71     4.00P    0.24R    0.01  
Crawley            20   29   +2      66.65     8.73     4.97     0.00    16.14     2.96P    0.41R    0.03  
Woking             20   28   +5      67.22     8.69    10.54     0.00    18.16     3.60P    0.32R    0.02  
Grays              20   27  +12      71.31     8.51    25.59     0.02    33.53     8.90P    0.07R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   20   27   -8      56.61     8.25   -17.25     0.00     1.49     0.13P    7.31R    1.06  
Stevenage          20   25   -1      58.95     8.60    -5.70     0.00     3.73     0.60P    4.28R    0.64  
Northwich          20   25   -9      55.62     8.53   -17.97     0.00     1.36     0.17P    9.40R    1.74  
Cambridge_U        21   23   -7      52.59     8.13   -13.96     0.00     0.46     0.08P   14.64R    3.08  
Halifax            20   22   -5      54.05     8.66   -11.14     0.00     0.97     0.17P   12.26R    2.55  
Forest_Green       21   22   -7      51.08     8.10   -15.49     0.00     0.27     0.04P   19.11R    4.46  
Altrincham         20   22   -9      50.50     8.29   -19.65     0.00     0.25     0.01P   22.66R    5.28  
Kidderminster      20   21   -8      49.58     8.26   -17.69     0.00     0.15     0.01P   25.54R    6.58  
St_Albans          21   20  -11      47.70     8.21   -24.48     0.00     0.12     0.01P   34.07R   10.20  
Tamworth           20   20  -12      47.06     8.18   -26.54     0.00     0.10     0.01P   38.05R   11.94  
Rushden_&_D        20   17   -7      45.26     8.11   -18.92     0.00     0.04     0.01P   44.11R   15.96  
Southport          20   16  -11      40.77     8.03   -28.93     0.00     0.01     0.00    67.08R   36.42