Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 28 November 2006 at 21:32:05 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Manchester_U vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Manchester_U    14   35  +23      90.18     6.44    64.12    82.26    98.03    99.89    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   32  +16      80.69     7.49    41.78    16.11    79.34    97.00    99.33     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          14   24   +2      58.48     8.13     4.29     0.06     1.41    19.61    44.34     0.16R    0.02  
Portsmouth      14   23   +7      61.44     8.34    15.74     0.10     2.73    33.45    59.88     0.06R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     14   23   +6      61.19     8.21    13.98     0.24     2.71    31.18    58.84     0.08R    0.01  
Arsenal         13   22  +11      67.06     8.64    28.93     1.11    12.39    60.62    81.56     0.01R    0.00  
Reading         14   22   -2      54.88     8.19    -3.46     0.00     0.41    10.05    27.93     0.73R    0.04  
Everton         14   21   +6      56.87     8.37    10.45     0.09     1.43    16.75    38.88     0.30R    0.01  
Liverpool       14   21   +0      55.82     8.43     3.59     0.01     0.63    13.12    33.08     0.52R    0.04  
Tottenham       14   19   -3      50.53     8.16    -4.88     0.00     0.11     4.14    14.02     2.42R    0.22  
Wigan           13   18   +1      54.77     8.70     3.81     0.01     0.79    11.98    30.30     1.09R    0.12  
Fulham          14   17   -6      44.82     7.95   -15.33     0.00     0.02     0.99     4.22     9.73R    1.34  
Middlesbrough   14   16   -6      41.54     7.79   -18.49     0.01     0.01     0.30     1.82    18.39R    3.48  
Manchester_C    14   16   -6      39.94     7.60   -18.51     0.00     0.01     0.14     1.02    23.25R    4.50  
West_Ham        14   14   -6      37.61     7.67   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.76    33.91R    8.54  
Blackburn       13   13   -6      41.52     8.48   -16.84     0.00     0.01     0.48     2.43    20.54R    5.04  
Newcastle       14   13   -6      38.05     7.44   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.56    30.17R    7.13  
Sheffield_U     14   10  -11      30.77     7.19   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    69.83R   36.52  
Watford         13    9   -9      37.64     8.39   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.78    34.60R   10.89  
Charlton        14    9  -11      33.73     7.79   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    54.20R   22.10  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 November 2006, Colchester vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          19   37  +14      87.07     8.36    35.37    34.20    55.28    91.23    65.02P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          19   37  +14      83.75     8.77    28.79    20.86    39.08    82.34    50.65P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       19   37   +9      82.79     8.70    22.70    16.86    33.72    79.11    44.70P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            19   34   +6      78.15     8.90    17.71     7.39    17.11    61.46    25.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          19   31   +7      73.85     8.94    16.30     2.95     8.46    43.15    16.59P    0.07R    0.00  
Stoke            19   30  +11      76.81     8.74    26.62     6.00    14.46    57.45    27.60P    0.04R    0.00  
Southampton      19   30   +7      75.71     8.69    20.98     4.35    11.18    51.80    21.84P    0.01R    0.00  
West_Bromwich    19   29  +11      76.94     8.95    28.38     5.89    14.96    59.05    27.32P    0.04R    0.00  
Coventry         19   28   +2      65.53     8.96     3.96     0.37     1.29    13.85     4.49P    0.78R    0.02  
Wolverhampton    19   28   -5      59.87     8.58   -11.41     0.04     0.20     4.11     0.88P    3.02R    0.07  
Colchester       19   27   +4      66.90     8.82     8.55     0.42     1.66    16.93     5.04P    0.56R    0.01  
Plymouth         19   27   +4      65.80     8.83     6.99     0.34     1.37    14.48     4.27P    0.69R    0.01  
Norwich          19   26   -6      59.28     8.75   -12.34     0.06     0.18     3.60     0.61P    4.15R    0.16  
Ipswich          19   24   +1      60.25     8.80    -0.70     0.08     0.26     4.95     1.25P    3.21R    0.17  
Queens_PR        19   24   -1      60.32     9.02    -2.58     0.07     0.30     5.37     1.31P    3.58R    0.25  
Sunderland       19   24   -1      61.52     8.99    -0.23     0.09     0.41     6.89     1.74P    2.62R    0.10  
Sheffield_W      19   24   -4      54.01     8.37   -14.81     0.00     0.02     0.93     0.23P   11.14R    0.77  
Leicester        19   22   -3      55.37     8.68    -7.10     0.01     0.03     1.32     0.35P    9.11R    0.68  
Crystal_Palace   19   22   -4      54.79     8.60   -10.37     0.01     0.03     1.13     0.27P    9.78R    0.72  
Luton            19   22   -9      53.13     8.45   -20.49     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.15P   14.44R    1.62  
Leeds            19   19  -16      43.41     8.05   -39.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   57.73R   12.80  
Barnsley         19   18  -13      46.83     8.37   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   39.01R    7.29  
Hull             19   17   -9      44.57     8.27   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   48.37R    9.23  
Southend         19   12  -19      33.09     7.64   -46.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.67R   66.10  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Swansea vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Nottingham      19   41  +14      92.52     8.59    35.72    53.95    75.23    97.48    81.70P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe      19   35  +15      85.70     8.44    35.53    20.46    46.40    90.41    60.26P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        19   34  +10      80.37     8.87    24.02     8.38    22.84    74.58    37.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City    19   33   +7      77.61     8.95    18.67     4.46    14.07    62.97    25.86P    0.02R    0.00  
Oldham          19   32  +12      80.43     8.93    29.71     8.18    23.25    75.47    38.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         19   31   +6      72.52     8.97    13.45     1.53     5.70    40.77    13.14P    0.10R    0.00  
Yeovil          19   31   +5      71.40     8.84    10.82     1.07     3.90    35.39    11.12P    0.15R    0.01  
Carlisle        19   30   +3      67.87     8.77     5.19     0.47     1.89    21.89     6.13P    0.54R    0.02  
Rotherham       19   28   +5      70.01     8.90    13.28     0.77     3.10    31.33     9.30P    0.32R    0.00  
Crewe           19   27   +3      63.87     8.93     2.09     0.17     0.89    12.31     2.79P    1.99R    0.08  
Gillingham      19   27   -3      61.32     8.68    -7.98     0.04     0.27     6.79     1.24P    3.77R    0.16  
Blackpool       19   25   +5      66.60     8.75    12.33     0.30     1.50    19.18     5.61P    0.72R    0.01  
Doncaster       19   24   +0      58.96     8.47    -1.04     0.01     0.08     3.94     1.09P    5.07R    0.17  
Brighton        19   24   -4      57.65     8.79    -9.51     0.01     0.10     3.33     0.62P    8.43R    0.43  
Huddersfield    19   24   -5      59.83     8.77    -7.06     0.04     0.16     4.97     0.94P    5.70R    0.33  
Bradford        19   23   +0      61.11     8.97     2.11     0.07     0.26     7.56     1.89P    3.94R    0.20  
Chesterfield    19   23   -1      59.57     8.94    -1.61     0.04     0.12     5.23     1.03P    5.63R    0.23  
Port_Vale       19   23   -6      57.84     8.93    -9.50     0.01     0.11     3.29     0.69P    8.70R    0.43  
Northampton     18   22   -3      56.80     9.05    -6.35     0.02     0.13     2.98     0.81P   10.02R    0.60  
Cheltenham      19   18  -12      42.53     8.07   -30.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    66.72R   15.79  
Bournemouth     19   17   -9      44.83     8.43   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.03P   54.08R   10.35  
Millwall        19   17  -13      41.51     8.16   -32.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   70.61R   19.41  
Brentford       19   17  -15      40.46     7.82   -35.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    76.45R   23.11  
Leyton_Orient   18   15  -14      39.74     8.48   -38.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    77.06R   28.68  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 November 2006, Bristol_Rovers vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Walsall          19   44  +23     102.94     7.53    56.00    86.76    98.55    99.98    99.10P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon_Town     19   37  +11      83.46     8.70    25.10     3.89    46.15    88.35    58.45P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        19   35  +15      85.76     8.54    39.10     5.88    59.48    92.86    68.42P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          19   34   +8      78.85     9.09    19.80     1.40    26.98    74.17    40.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     19   34   +6      74.94     9.03    12.13     0.61    14.76    58.23    23.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Milton_Keynes    19   33   +5      75.50     8.93    14.33     0.48    15.62    61.40    25.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     19   31   +5      73.94     9.08    14.66     0.39    12.62    54.96    23.01P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       19   30   +4      70.05     9.03     9.14     0.10     6.04    37.73    13.65P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   19   28   -2      59.79     8.77    -8.27     0.01     0.53     7.29     2.04P    0.84R    0.04  
Hereford         19   27   +0      63.33     8.85    -1.02     0.01     1.20    14.65     4.39P    0.34R    0.00  
Hartlepool       19   26   +2      64.60     8.92     4.94     0.01     1.71    18.29     5.59P    0.19R    0.03  
Stockport        19   26   +0      60.78     8.80    -2.81     0.01     0.65     9.29     2.49P    0.69R    0.06  
Bury             19   26   -1      61.18     8.90    -3.47     0.00     0.60     9.85     2.53P    0.69R    0.06  
Shrewsbury       18   25   +8      74.76     9.07    25.91     0.46    14.76    60.89    28.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          18   22   -9      49.47     8.52   -27.02     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.13P   12.93R    2.33  
Chester          19   21   -3      54.59     8.89    -7.26     0.00     0.10     2.88     0.77P    4.12R    0.65  
Mansfield        19   21   -6      53.11     8.68   -14.48     0.00     0.04     1.65     0.31P    5.63R    0.85  
Barnet           19   21   -8      52.73     8.69   -18.38     0.00     0.07     1.48     0.38P    6.79R    1.03  
Accrington       19   20   -4      55.24     8.84    -7.69     0.00     0.10     3.02     0.66P    3.69R    0.76  
Rochdale         19   20   -5      52.60     8.94   -11.85     0.00     0.04     1.75     0.47P    6.67R    1.53  
Grimsby          19   20  -12      45.15     8.15   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   27.17R    5.66  
Torquay          19   18   -9      48.33     8.57   -17.98     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.07P   15.63R    2.94  
Boston           19   17  -10      45.88     8.48   -24.81     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   24.22R    5.17  
Macclesfield     19    7  -18      29.29     7.82   -43.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.35R   78.88  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 November 2006, Burton vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Oxford_Utd         20   47  +26     104.77     7.34    59.80    68.47    99.96    84.05P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red          20   45  +26      99.09     7.88    58.78    31.23    99.62    58.73P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend          21   35   +5      73.76     8.36    11.72     0.06    41.97     7.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton             20   34   +3      73.16     8.66     8.54     0.05    39.12     7.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Weymouth           20   34   +1      69.65     8.66     1.33     0.01    24.36     3.57P    0.18R    0.01  
York               20   34   +0      70.20     8.76     0.70     0.04    26.50     3.81P    0.20R    0.00  
Morecambe          20   33   +3      73.12     8.89     9.91     0.04    38.89     6.94P    0.14R    0.00  
Exeter             20   30   +8      71.55     8.81    16.76     0.05    34.03     8.02P    0.10R    0.00  
Aldershot          20   29   +4      67.96     8.69     8.88     0.00    20.12     3.64P    0.33R    0.02  
Crawley            20   29   +2      66.27     8.74     4.42     0.00    15.16     2.66P    0.56R    0.04  
Woking             20   28   +5      67.32     8.63    10.69     0.01    17.93     3.69P    0.36R    0.03  
Grays              20   27  +12      71.19     8.59    25.45     0.03    33.40     8.76P    0.09R    0.01  
Stafford_Rangers   20   27   -8      57.08     8.29   -16.50     0.00     1.70     0.22P    6.40R    0.98  
Stevenage          20   25   -1      58.83     8.58    -5.94     0.00     3.19     0.42P    4.45R    0.68  
Northwich          20   25   -9      55.83     8.48   -17.60     0.00     1.30     0.20P    9.26R    1.66  
Cambridge_U        21   23   -7      52.48     8.06   -14.09     0.00     0.50     0.08P   15.28R    3.06  
Halifax            20   22   -5      54.33     8.70   -10.63     0.00     1.25     0.18P   11.80R    2.54  
Forest_Green       21   22   -7      50.88     7.93   -15.83     0.00     0.22     0.04P   19.69R    4.39  
Altrincham         20   22   -9      50.37     8.15   -19.85     0.00     0.27     0.02P   23.00R    5.43  
Kidderminster      20   21   -8      50.00     8.28   -17.03     0.00     0.27     0.05P   24.05R    5.74  
St_Albans          21   20  -11      47.72     8.14   -24.53     0.00     0.10     0.03P   34.14R   10.62  
Tamworth           20   20  -12      46.80     8.05   -27.07     0.00     0.06     0.00    38.59R   12.63  
Rushden_&_D        20   17   -7      45.16     8.14   -19.17     0.00     0.04     0.01P   44.73R   16.20  
Southport          20   16  -11      40.83     7.98   -28.73     0.00     0.02     0.00    66.60R   35.97